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Does it really matter who ends up owning Warner Bros.? Media exec Tom Rogers breaks it down
CNBC· 2026-01-13 11:00
Company Overview - Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) is undergoing a significant sale process, attracting attention due to the involvement of major media brands like Netflix, HBO, Paramount, CBS, CNN, and MTV [1] - David Ellison, CEO of Paramount, made a preemptive move to acquire Warner before its split into two companies, which led to a competitive bidding situation [2] Bidding Dynamics - Netflix made a surprising bid of $27.75 per share for HBO and Warner studios, which was deemed more valuable than Paramount's $30 per share offer for the entire company due to the perceived value of cable networks [3] - The Warner board preferred Netflix's offer due to its greater certainty of closure compared to Paramount's bid [3][4] Consumer Impact - From a consumer perspective, the ownership of Warner studios and HBO is crucial for maintaining a variety of quality productions at reasonable prices [5] - Netflix's pricing strategy, which offers low-cost services with ads and higher-priced ad-free options, has been successful and may benefit consumers if it acquires HBO [6] - If Paramount acquires Warner, it may lead to a merger of Paramount+ and HBO, potentially reducing consumer choice compared to Netflix's plan to keep HBO as a separate service [7] Regulatory Considerations - Any acquisition will face regulatory scrutiny, particularly regarding competition in the market [8] - Paramount+ is considered a subscale service that needs to merge with another player to compete effectively against larger companies like Disney and Amazon [8] - The market share analysis shows that Netflix combined with HBO Max would have about 28% market share, while Paramount with HBO Max would only have about 7% [11] Industry Implications - The merger of Paramount and Warner studios could lead to significant cost cuts, impacting jobs and reducing the number of major studios in the industry [9][10] - The acquisition could also affect the competitive landscape for theatrical releases, as Netflix has historically focused on streaming rather than theatrical distribution [10] - The advertising revenue dynamics would not significantly change the competitive landscape, regardless of which company acquires Warner [14] News Business Impact - Paramount's acquisition of CNN would streamline news operations but reduce the number of major news organizations, raising concerns about competition in the news sector [16] - The editorial direction of CNN under Paramount could shift, impacting the diversity of news programming available to consumers [16] Shareholder Interests - The primary concern for shareholders of Warner is to secure the highest price with the greatest certainty of payment [20] - Larry Ellison's personal guarantee of the Paramount bid has alleviated some concerns regarding equity financing, but issues surrounding debt financing remain [20]
派拉蒙就Netflix交易起诉华纳兄弟影业 借法律与股东双线施压
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-13 02:52
Core Viewpoint - The control dispute over Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) has intensified, with Paramount Skydance filing a lawsuit to block WBD's acquisition deal with Netflix and pushing for shareholder support for its own acquisition offer [1][3]. Group 1: Acquisition Proposals - WBD agreed to sell its streaming and film business to Netflix for $82.7 billion (approximately 577.9 billion RMB) [3]. - Paramount proposed to acquire the entire WBD for $108.4 billion (approximately 757.5 billion RMB) and is attempting to convince shareholders that its offer is superior to Netflix's deal [3][4]. Group 2: Legal Actions and Shareholder Engagement - Paramount has filed a lawsuit demanding WBD disclose more transaction details, including the valuation of Global Networks' remaining equity and the debt reduction calculations in the Netflix deal [3][4]. - Paramount plans to nominate board candidates at WBD's annual shareholder meeting to oppose the Netflix transaction and propose amendments requiring shareholder approval for any cable channel spin-off [4]. Group 3: Financial Considerations - The Netflix acquisition proposal translates to $27.72 per share, comprising $23.25 in cash and some Netflix common stock [4]. - WBD's board previously rejected Paramount's offer, citing the need for "exceptionally large debt financing" and a negative free cash flow, while Netflix is expected to generate over $12 billion in free cash flow this year [5]. - WBD believes that separating cable channels from film studios and HBO Max could yield higher value, while Paramount's acquisition would jeopardize existing spin-off plans [5].
派拉蒙就Netflix交易起诉华纳兄弟影业,借法律与股东双线施压
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-13 00:25
Core Viewpoint - The control dispute over Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) has intensified, with Paramount Skydance filing a lawsuit to block WBD's acquisition deal with Netflix and pushing for shareholder support for its own acquisition offer [1][2]. Group 1: Acquisition Proposals - WBD agreed to sell its streaming and film business to Netflix for $82.7 billion (approximately 577.9 billion RMB) [1]. - Paramount has proposed an acquisition of the entire WBD for $108.4 billion (approximately 757.5 billion RMB) and is attempting to convince shareholders that its offer is superior to Netflix's deal [1][2]. Group 2: Legal Actions and Demands - Paramount's CEO David Ellison has requested the court to compel WBD to disclose more transaction details, including the valuation of Global Networks' remaining equity and the debt reduction calculations involved in the Netflix deal [2]. - Paramount aims to persuade more WBD shareholders to accept its acquisition offer before the January 21 deadline [2]. Group 3: Financial Concerns and Responses - WBD's board has expressed that Paramount's proposal is not superior to the Netflix agreement, citing the need for "exceptionally large debt financing" and a negative free cash flow for Paramount [3][4]. - WBD highlighted that the combined entity from Paramount's acquisition would carry approximately $87 billion (about 607.9 billion RMB) in debt, which does not adequately cover potential high termination fees if the deal fails [3]. Group 4: Strategic Considerations - WBD believes that separating its cable channels from its film studio and HBO Max could yield higher value, while Paramount's acquisition would force the company to abandon its current separation plans, increasing risks if the deal fails [4]. - WBD's board chairman Samuel Di Piazza Jr. noted that Paramount has repeatedly made offers without increasing the price, indicating a lack of sufficient attractiveness [4].
Warner Bros. Discovery mocks Paramount Skydance's merger ‘gimmicks' as it seeks sweetened bid: sources
New York Post· 2026-01-12 23:13
Core Viewpoint - Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) executives view Paramount Skydance's recent actions to pressure for a merger as ineffective "gimmicks" and suggest that Paramount should increase its offer to finalize a deal [1][4]. Group 1: Paramount Skydance's Actions - Paramount Skydance, led by David Ellison and Larry Ellison, has initiated a proxy fight for control of WBD's board and filed a lawsuit in Delaware to enforce engagement regarding its $30-per-share all-cash offer [2][10]. - The Ellisons are reportedly considering a legal challenge to the deal, referred to internally as "DefCon 1" [6][19]. - Paramount has accused WBD's board of breaching fiduciary duties by not engaging with what it claims is a financially superior proposal while supporting the $72 billion deal with Netflix [20]. Group 2: WBD's Response - WBD executives have dismissed the lawsuit as a "dud" and likened it to a comedic scenario from the show "F-Troop," indicating a lack of seriousness in Paramount's approach [3][4]. - WBD executives believe that to elect new board members, the Ellisons must wait until the company's June annual meeting, where the Netflix deal is expected to be nearly finalized [8]. - WBD remains open to the possibility of the Ellisons owning the company but suggests they need to enhance their cash bid by "a couple of bucks" per share [9]. Group 3: Financial Considerations - Larry Ellison, with a net worth of $255 billion, would need to guarantee the debt portion of his $78 billion offer, which relies on significant leverage amid declining cable TV viewership [9][12]. - The Netflix acquisition of WBD's Warner studio and HBO Max is valued at $72 billion, raising concerns about the potential for antitrust scrutiny from the Justice Department [13][22]. Group 4: Political and Regulatory Context - There is increasing skepticism from the White House regarding the Netflix deal, which could lead to significant antitrust reviews and potential lawsuits [13][19]. - Former President Trump has expressed interest in influencing the administration's stance on WBD's future, given its significance in news and programming [14][16].
收购再生波折 派拉蒙起诉华纳兄弟要求披露其与奈飞交易细节
Huan Qiu Wang Zi Xun· 2026-01-12 22:15
Core Viewpoint - Paramount Pictures has filed a lawsuit against Warner Bros Discovery to obtain more details about its $827 billion deal with Netflix, while also planning to nominate board members to persuade investors that its $1,087 billion all-cash acquisition proposal is superior to Netflix's cash and stock offer [1] Group 1: Legal Actions and Proposals - Paramount Pictures is seeking additional information regarding Warner Bros' agreement with Netflix, which is valued at $827 billion [1] - The company intends to nominate directors to Warner Bros' board as a strategic move to convince investors of the superiority of its acquisition proposal [1] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Paramount Pictures and Netflix are in fierce competition for Warner Bros and its valuable film and television production assets, including the "Harry Potter" series and the DC Comics universe [1] - Warner Bros recently rejected Paramount's latest offer and recommended shareholders support Netflix's deal [1] Group 3: Acquisition Proposals - Paramount's acquisition proposal includes an all-cash offer of $30 per share for the entire Warner Bros, which it argues is better than Netflix's offer of $27.75 per share in cash and stock [1] - Paramount claims its proposal is more likely to receive regulatory approval compared to Netflix's deal, which involves a significant divestiture of Warner Bros' cable business [1]
Paramount files lawsuit against Warner Bros over $82.7B Netflix deal – Latest updates & key developments
MINT· 2026-01-12 19:14
Paramount Skydance Corp., led by David Ellison, has escalated its months-long effort to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. (WBD), filing a lawsuit over the studio’s $82.7 billion merger agreement with Netflix Inc. The move intensifies one of Hollywood’s most high-profile corporate battles.Paramount sued Warner Bros in the Delaware Court of Chancery, seeking disclosure of the financial analysis that the Warner Bros. board used to justify its Netflix deal.The lawsuit aims to give shareholders critical inform ...
Wall Street Lunch: Paramount Skydance Takes Fight To Warner's Board To Block Netflix Deal
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-12 18:37
Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery - Paramount Skydance plans to nominate directors to Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) and has filed a lawsuit in Delaware for basic information, emphasizing the need for Warner shareholders to make an informed decision regarding its bid versus the current deal with Netflix [3] - Paramount also proposes a bylaw amendment requiring WBD shareholder approval for any separation of Global Networks, indicating a strategic move to influence WBD's governance [3] Netflix Acquisition Odds - Despite political pressure from President Trump against Netflix's potential control over WBD, the odds of Netflix acquiring WBD remain stable at 54% on Kalshi and 53% on Polymarket, reflecting market confidence in the acquisition [4] Credit Card Issuers - Credit card issuer stocks are experiencing a decline following President Trump's proposal for a one-year cap on card rates at 10%, with notable declines in stocks such as Capital One, Synchrony Financial, Bread Financial, and American Express [8] UnitedHealth and Medicare Advantage - UnitedHealth shares are down after a Senate committee reported that the company used "aggressive tactics" to enhance payment-boosting diagnoses for its Medicare Advantage members, although the stock has recovered slightly after the company reaffirmed its outlook [9] Eli Lilly and Nvidia Partnership - Eli Lilly is partnering with Nvidia to establish an AI co-innovation lab in the San Francisco Bay Area, focusing on using AI to accelerate drug discovery, with plans to invest up to $1 billion in talent and infrastructure over five years [10]
Paramount Launches Warner Bros. Proxy Fight, Files Suit
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-12 18:10
Core Viewpoint - Paramount Skydance Corp. is intensifying its efforts to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. by nominating directors to the board and filing a lawsuit to reveal details about Netflix's $82.7 billion takeover agreement, amid a competitive bidding war [1]. Group 1: Acquisition Attempts - Paramount has been pursuing Warner Bros. for four months, making multiple offers that have been rejected by Warner Bros.'s board [2]. - Paramount argues that its $30-a-share offer for Warner Bros. is superior, claiming it has fewer risks and costs compared to the Netflix deal [3]. Group 2: Legal Actions - Paramount has filed a lawsuit against Warner Bros. in Delaware Chancery Court, alleging that Warner Bros. failed to provide adequate disclosures to shareholders regarding the Netflix deal [6]. - The lawsuit requests the court to mandate Warner Bros. to correct misleading disclosures and provide detailed information on the valuations and risk adjustments related to the Netflix offer [6]. Group 3: Strategic Positioning - Warner Bros. plans to spin off its cable-TV channels, Discovery Global, which it believes enhances the attractiveness of the Netflix offer [4]. - Paramount contends that shares in Discovery Global are essentially worthless and maintains that its all-cash offer is more beneficial for investors [4].
Show us the math: Paramount sues Warner Bros. over how it determined Netflix's bid is better
MarketWatch· 2026-01-12 17:49
Paramount says it is suing Warner Bros. Discovery and filing a competing slate of directors in an effort to get the Warner board to take its offer to acquire the company seriously. ...
Paramount escalates hostile bid for Warner Bros. Discovery with proxy fight, lawsuit
New York Post· 2026-01-12 17:43
Paramount Skydance dramatically escalated its hostile bid for Warner Bros. Discovery on Monday, launching a proxy fight for control of the board and filing a lawsuit in Delaware to force engagement with its $30-per-share all-cash offer.The step marks an escalation after Paramount last month accused WBD’s board of breaching its fiduciary duties by refusing to engage with what it calls its financially superior proposal while the board backed a $72 billion deal with Netflix, instead.Last week, The Post reporte ...