恒指 26,000 點上落：聯儲局 10 月再次鷹派減息，2026 年減息空間少於 預期。中美元首 10 月會面取得成果，美方取消 10%芬太尼關稅，暫停一 年 24%對等關稅。兩國緊張局勢暫時緩和，核心矛盾延後解決。內地第 三季經濟進一步降溫，十五五規劃提出擴大內需及促進科技自立自強，方 向符合預期，後續留意其他重要會議以跟進政策落地情況。基於短期內港 股企業盈利難有明顯改善，中美貿易戰局勢反覆，以及聯儲局減息路徑未 明，恒指料於 26,000 點上落。 短期看好板塊 每日港股評析 港股早晨快訊 2025 年 11 月 7 日星期五 2012-01- 17 市場回顧 中港股市短期展望 今日市場焦點 ➢ 中國 10 月進出口；美國 11 月密西根大學消費者信心指數； 宏觀焦點 ➢ 美聯儲12月降息方向不明，今年票委因政府關門不敢行動，明年票 委更擔心通脹； 英國央行利率維持4%不變，12月降息預期升溫； 日本大型工會組織爭取明年加薪6%； 陳茂波：理財通有潛力納入更多投資者和產品 甚至擴大地域； 企業消息 ➢ 華虹半導體(1347)上季少賺43% 第四季毛利率指引勝預期； 統一企業中國(0220)首三季稅後利 ...

港股早晨快訊 2025 年 11 月 6 日星期四 個股推介 敏實集團(0425) 39.00 元 / 目標價：45.00 元 / 15.4%潛在升幅 市場回顧 中港股市短期展望 恒指 26,000 點上落：聯儲局 10 月再次鷹派減息，2026 年減息空間少 於預期。中美元首 10 月會面取得成果，美方取消 10%芬太尼關稅，暫 停一年 24%對等關稅。兩國緊張局勢暫時緩和，核心矛盾延後解決。內 地第三季經濟進一步降溫，十五五規劃提出擴大內需及促進科技自立自 強，方向符合預期，後續留意其他重要會議以跟進政策落地情況。基於 短期內港股企業盈利難有明顯改善，中美貿易戰局勢反覆，以及聯儲局 減息路徑未明，恒指料於 26,000 點上落。 短期看好板塊 今日市場焦點 ➢ 英倫銀行議息結果；華虹半導體(1347)、百濟神州(6160)等業績； 宏觀焦點 中國暫停對美加徵24%關稅1年； 中國傳禁國家投資數據中心安裝外國AI晶片； 李強表示中國經濟規模5年後有望逾170萬億元人民幣； 中國10月RatingDog服務業PMI降至52.6，遜預期； 美國10月ADP私企職位增長勝預期；華府停擺第36日，創紀錄； 企業消息 ...

港股早晨快訊 2025 年 11 月 5 日星期三 個股推介 中煤能源(1898) 11.47 元 / 目標價：13.80 元 / 20.3%潛在升幅 市場回顧 中港股市短期展望 恒指 26,000 點上落：聯儲局 10 月再次鷹派減息，2026 年減息空間少 於預期。中美元首 10 月會面取得成果，美方取消 10%芬太尼關稅，暫 停一年 24%對等關稅。兩國緊張局勢暫時緩和，核心矛盾延後解決。內 地第三季經濟進一步降溫，十五五規劃提出擴大內需及促進科技自立自 強，方向符合預期，後續留意其他重要會議以跟進政策落地情況。基於 短期內港股企業盈利難有明顯改善，中美貿易戰局勢反覆，以及聯儲局 減息路徑未明，恒指料於 26,000 點上落。 短期看好板塊 今日市場焦點 ➢ 中國10月RatingDog服務業PMI；美國等10月服務業PMI； 港交所(0388)業績； 宏觀焦點 中證監將推更多開放舉措，提升跨境投融資便利； 金管總局將深化中港金融合作，探索加大開放力度； 內地據報向科企提供廉價電力，助國產AI晶片發展； 國家衛健委發文支持AI+醫療，智慧理療產品或加速進入臨床； 內地春節連放9日史上最長，歐遊諮詢量急升 ...

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to fluctuate around 26,000 points due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on interest rate cuts and ongoing uncertainties in the US-China trade relations [1] - The third quarter economic performance in mainland China has further cooled, prompting a focus on expanding domestic demand and promoting technological self-reliance as outlined in the 14th Five-Year Plan [1] Company News - Pony.ai (2026) has set its share offering price at HKD 139 [3] - Geely has acquired a 26.4% stake in Renault's Brazilian operations, allowing it to benefit from production and sales at the Brazilian factory [3] - Chow Tai Fook (1929) has adjusted prices for some gold products starting today [3] - Sa Sa International (0178) has issued a profit warning, expecting a mid-term profit increase of over 50% [3] Economic Indicators - The US Federal Reserve announced a 0.25% interest rate cut, lowering the target range to 3.75% to 4.00%, and plans to end balance sheet reduction starting December [4] - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,158 points, up 0.97%, with a trading volume of HKD 228.7 billion [5] - The manufacturing PMI in China fell to 50.6 in October, below expectations, indicating a slowdown in economic activity [7] Sector Focus - The insurance sector is seeing improved investment returns in Q3 due to strong performance in A-shares [6] - AI concept stocks are benefiting from accelerated applications of "Artificial Intelligence+" in mainland China, with breakthroughs in chip development [6] - Macau gaming stocks reported October gaming revenue exceeding expectations, reaching a nearly six-year monthly high [6] Regulatory Developments - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority has launched the "FinTech 2030" initiative, focusing on over 40 projects across four key areas to enhance the financial technology landscape [8] - The Securities and Futures Commission has issued new guidelines to facilitate licensed virtual asset trading platforms, allowing them to merge trading instructions with affiliated overseas platforms [8]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to fluctuate around 26,000 points due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on interest rate cuts and ongoing uncertainties in the US-China trade relations [2][7] - The third quarter economic performance in mainland China has shown further cooling, prompting the government to focus on expanding domestic demand and promoting technological self-reliance [2][4] Company Performance - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) reported a quarterly profit of 100 billion RMB, while China Construction Bank (CCB) and Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) also showed profit increases of 4.2% and 3.7% respectively [12] - AIA Group's new business value rose by 25% in the last quarter, reaching a record high for Q3, driven by growth in markets including Hong Kong and mainland China [12] - China Life Insurance's new business value increased by nearly 42% in the first three quarters, with a significant profit growth of 91.5% in Q3 [12] - China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) reported a 12% decline in profit for the third quarter, reflecting challenges in the oil market [5][12] Economic Indicators - The US Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25%, bringing the target range to 3.75% to 4.00%, with indications that further cuts are uncertain [5][7] - The G7 is planning to establish a critical minerals alliance to counter China's dominance in key sectors such as AI and electric vehicles [10][12] - The People's Bank of China is accelerating the implementation of policies related to "Artificial Intelligence + Finance" to enhance the digital transformation of the financial sector [10][12] Sector Focus - The insurance sector in mainland China is seeing improved investment returns due to strong performance in the A-share market [8] - The AI sector is experiencing rapid advancements, particularly in chip development, as the government promotes the application of AI technologies [8][10]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to fluctuate around 26,000 points due to mixed signals from the Federal Reserve and ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions [2][4] - The U.S. Federal Reserve has reduced interest rates by 0.25%, with the target range now at 3.75% to 4.00%, and plans to end quantitative tightening by December [4][9] - Economic activity in the U.S. is expanding at a moderate pace, but uncertainty remains high, particularly regarding employment and inflation data [4][9] Company Performance - China Life Insurance (2318) reported a 46% year-on-year increase in new business value and an 11.5% rise in net profit for the first three quarters [11] - Ping An Insurance (2318) achieved a net profit of 132.86 billion yuan, up 11.5% year-on-year, with a significant increase in new business value [11] - China Merchants Bank (3968) saw a modest 1% increase in net profit to 38.84 billion yuan, with net interest income rising by 2.1% [11] - HSBC (0005) reported a 14% decline in pre-tax profit but raised its full-year net interest income forecast [11] - CICC (3908) experienced a 129.75% increase in net profit, driven by a rise in commission income and gains from financial instruments [11] Economic Indicators - The unemployment rate in urban areas of China decreased to 5.2% in September, with over 10.57 million new jobs created in the first three quarters [10] - The U.S. government shutdown has resulted in an estimated economic loss of $18 billion, with potential GDP growth impacts if the shutdown continues [9][10] Sector Focus - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from strong investment returns in the third quarter, with companies likely to report positive earnings [8] - AI-related stocks are gaining traction as mainland China accelerates the application of artificial intelligence technologies [8]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to hold around 25,000 points, reflecting a forecasted P/E ratio of 12 times over the next 12 months, amid uncertainties in U.S. monetary policy and ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions [2] - The U.S. Federal Reserve's recent hawkish stance on interest rate cuts has led to reduced expectations for future rate reductions, with only one cut anticipated in 2026, which is lower than market expectations [5][10] Corporate News - Anta (2020) reported low single-digit growth in retail sales for its brand products in Q3 [12] - Cansino (6185) benefited from sales of its meningitis vaccine, with net profit increasing 842% year-on-year in Q3 [5] - China Aluminum (2600) achieved a net profit of 3.8 billion RMB in Q3, marking a 90.3% increase [5] - Meituan (3690) announced that its rider social security subsidies will now cover the entire country, becoming the first to establish a comprehensive protection system for all riders [12] - Pony.ai plans to raise over 7.56 billion HKD through its IPO, with a focus on expanding its autonomous driving services [12] - WeRide (0800) aims to raise over 3.09 billion HKD in its IPO, positioning itself as a leader in L4 autonomous driving solutions [12] Macro Focus - In September, profits of large-scale industrial enterprises in China increased by 21.6% year-on-year, with a cumulative growth of 3.2% for the first three quarters [10] - The Chinese government is set to deepen reforms in the ChiNext board to optimize financing and regulatory systems [10][11] - The Hong Kong government reported a 16.1% increase in exports and a 13.6% increase in imports in September, both exceeding market expectations [11] Sector Insights - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from strong A-share performance, leading to improved investment returns in Q3 [8] - AI concept stocks are gaining traction as mainland China accelerates the application of "Artificial Intelligence+" [8] - The report indicates that Alibaba and Baidu hold the top two positions in China's AI cloud market, with market shares of 30.2% and 22.5% respectively [11]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to hold at 25,000 points, with a forecasted P/E ratio of 12 times over the next 12 months, amid concerns over U.S.-China relations and weak consumer spending in mainland China [2] - The U.S. Federal Reserve's recent hawkish stance on interest rate cuts has led to increased market volatility, with expectations of reduced space for rate cuts in 2026 [2][4] Macro Focus - The average price of second-hand homes in 100 cities fell by 0.74% month-on-month in September, marking the 41st consecutive month of decline, with a cumulative drop of 5.79% in the first three quarters of the year [3][8] - The Shanghai government aims to stabilize real estate investment and promote high-quality development in the construction industry [8] Corporate News - Haier Smart Home plans to spin off its IoT business, COSMOPlat, for an expected fundraising of approximately $500 million [4][9] - Luk Fook Holdings reported a 10% increase in same-store sales for the second quarter, indicating a recovery in retail performance [4][9] - Pop Mart's overall revenue increased by 2.5 times year-on-year, with overseas revenue growing by 3.7 times [4][9] - China Telecom reported a 5.03% increase in net profit for the first three quarters, with service revenue rising by 0.9% [9] - Xinda Biopharmaceuticals and Takeda Pharmaceutical have entered a global strategic collaboration, with a total transaction value potentially reaching $11.4 billion [4][9] Industry Insights - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from strong A-share performance, leading to improved investment returns in the third quarter [7] - AI concept stocks are gaining traction as mainland China accelerates the application of "Artificial Intelligence+" [7] - The real estate market continues to face downward pressure despite some recovery in transaction activity in key cities [8]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to hold at 25,000 points, with a forecasted P/E ratio of 12 times over the next 12 months, amid concerns over U.S.-China trade tensions and weak consumer spending in Hong Kong [2] - The U.S. Federal Reserve's recent hawkish stance on interest rate cuts has led to increased market volatility, with expectations of reduced interest rates in 2026 being lower than previously anticipated [2][6] Economic Indicators - China's GDP growth for Q3 was reported at 4.8%, slightly above the market expectation of 4.7%, with a year-to-date GDP of 101.5 trillion yuan, reflecting a 5.2% annual growth [10] - The average unemployment rate in urban areas of China was stable at 5.2% for Q3, with a slight decrease in September [10] - The real estate sector continues to struggle, with new home sales down 7.9% year-on-year in the first three quarters, and a significant drop in property investment by 13.9% [10] Corporate Performance - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (CATL) reported a 36% increase in profit for the first three quarters, exceeding expectations [5] - China Mobile's profit rose by 4% in the same period, with EBITDA increasing by 1% [5] - JD.com saw a significant increase in sales during the "Double 11" shopping festival, with over 52,000 brands achieving a year-on-year sales increase of more than three times [5] Sector Focus - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from strong investment returns in Q3, with companies likely to announce positive earnings [8] - AI-related stocks are gaining traction as the mainland accelerates the application of "Artificial Intelligence+" [8] Trade Relations - U.S. President Trump indicated a potential for a fair trade agreement with China, despite the looming threat of increased tariffs set to take effect on November 1 [11]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to hold at 25,000 points, reflecting a forecasted price-to-earnings ratio of 12 times over the next 12 months, amid concerns over U.S.-China relations and weak consumer spending in mainland China [2][4] - The U.S. Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cuts and the potential for further reductions in 2026 have influenced market sentiment, with expectations of increased volatility in the market due to ongoing trade tensions [4][6] Sector Focus - The insurance sector is showing strong investment returns in Q3, driven by robust performance in A-shares, leading to expectations of positive earnings announcements from companies [7] - AI concept stocks are gaining traction as mainland China accelerates the application of artificial intelligence, with breakthroughs in chip development [7] Economic Indicators - China's GDP for Q3, along with industrial and retail data for January to September, is anticipated to be released soon, which will provide insights into the economic landscape [7] - The People's Bank of China is expected to implement a moderately loose monetary policy to support economic stability, while also enhancing financial risk monitoring and management [9] Corporate News - Zijin Mining reported a net profit exceeding $900 million for the first three quarters, while Sany Heavy Industry is set to raise up to 12.36 billion yuan through an IPO [7] - BYD and Geely are recalling over 160,000 vehicles due to safety concerns, highlighting ongoing challenges in the automotive sector [9] Investment Opportunities - The semiconductor industry is witnessing significant investments, with a 20 billion yuan project announced for a high-end analog integrated circuit production line in Xiamen [9] - The ice and snow industry in China is projected to exceed 1 trillion yuan by 2025, indicating a growing market for winter sports and related activities [10]