Company Insights - Lens Technology (6613) has a current price of HK$19.44 with a short-term target price of HK$21.80, indicating a potential upside of 19.1% [2] - The company is expected to benefit from the lifting of the EDA ban in the US and the signing of the US-Vietnam trade agreement, which may ease concerns regarding upstream supply chain pricing and gross margin pressures [12] - Lens Technology is a leading provider of comprehensive precision manufacturing solutions in the global consumer electronics sector, with a market share of 13.0% in precision structural components and 20.9% in global smart automotive interaction systems [12] - The company anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.2% in revenue and 30.3% in core net profit from FY22 to FY24 [12] Industry Overview - The Hang Seng Index is facing resistance at 24,700 points, with a forecasted price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11 times over the next 12 months [2] - The Chinese economy showed a GDP growth of 5.2% in Q2, outperforming expectations, while industrial output exceeded forecasts, although fixed asset investment and retail sales fell short [3] - The Hong Kong dollar has triggered the weak-side convertibility guarantee, leading the Hong Kong Monetary Authority to buy over HK$14.8 billion [3] - The overall market sentiment remains cautious due to limited progress in US-China trade talks and a lack of significant economic stimulus from mainland China [2][3]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is facing resistance at 24,700 points, with a forecasted P/E ratio of 11 times over the next 12 months [2] - The market is influenced by the recent US-China trade negotiations, which have seen a reduction in tariffs but lack significant progress [2] - The inflow of capital from mainland China has slowed down, impacting market sentiment [2] Economic Indicators - China's GDP for Q2 and various economic indicators for the first half of the year are key market focuses [3] - The People's Bank of China reported that new loans in June amounted to 2.24 trillion yuan, exceeding expectations, with total new loans for the first half of the year reaching 12.92 trillion yuan [9] - China's exports in June increased by 5.8% year-on-year, surpassing market expectations, while imports rose by 1.1% [9] Company News - Alibaba is reportedly entering the food delivery market with plans for a "Super Saturday" campaign [4] - Li Ning's sales for Q2 recorded low single-digit growth [4] - Shandong Gold, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Guotai Junan are expected to report positive earnings [4] - New World Development is in negotiations for a 15.6 billion yuan loan that has not been secured on time [4] - Yujian is conducting a share placement at a 9.5% discount to raise 1.04 billion yuan [4] - Ascentage Pharma is also conducting a share placement at an 8.2% discount to raise over 1.5 billion yuan [4] Stock Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 24,203 points, up 0.26% with a trading volume of 210.4 billion HKD [6] - The Hang Seng Tech Index and other indices showed varying performance, with the Hang Seng Tech Index up 0.67% [5] Macro Focus - The US Federal Reserve maintained interest rates, indicating a cautious outlook on inflation and economic uncertainty [4] - The European Union is preparing a sanctions list against the US, potentially affecting various sectors including aviation and automotive [4] - The global smartphone market saw a 1% increase in shipments, while China's market experienced a 1% decline [10]

Company Recommendation - BYD Electronics (0285) is recommended for purchase with a target price of HKD 38.50, indicating a potential upside of 16.7% from the current price of HKD 33.95 [2][10] - The catalysts for growth include the lifting of the EDA ban in the US and the completion of the US-Vietnam trade agreement, which is expected to ease concerns regarding upstream supply chain pricing and gross margin pressures [2][10] - The company is diversifying into AI servers, liquid cooling, and Autonomous Mobile Robots (AMR), with a strong partnership with NVIDIA, which is anticipated to drive new growth momentum [2][10] Valuation - The current price corresponds to a forecasted P/E ratio of 13.2x for FY25E and 11.2x for FY26E, with FY26E valuation being 29% lower than the 5-year average [2][10] - The expected revenue and net profit compound annual growth rates for FY24-FY27E are 11.6% and 22.4%, respectively [2][10] Market Review - The Hang Seng Index is facing resistance at 24,700 points, influenced by US-China trade negotiations and limited progress in economic stimulus from mainland China [2][4] - The market is experiencing a slowdown in capital inflow from Northbound trading, with corporate earnings showing limited improvement [2][4] Industry Insights - The automotive sector in China is showing resilience, with a 22.2% year-on-year increase in vehicle exports in June, and production and sales also reflecting positive growth [11] - The construction and real estate sectors are seeing increased land sale revenues, particularly in first and second-tier cities, with a 40% increase in land sale amounts [11] - The gaming industry in Macau is expected to benefit from strong summer season revenues, with June's gaming income exceeding expectations [5]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is facing resistance at 24,700 points, with a projected P/E ratio of 11 times over the next 12 months [2] - The recent US-China trade talks have led to a temporary reduction in tariffs, but further progress remains uncertain, impacting corporate earnings and capital inflow [2][4] - The Hang Seng Index closed at 23,892 points, down 1.06% year-to-date, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 1.76% [6] Economic Indicators - The US Federal Reserve maintained interest rates, with expectations of two rate cuts totaling 0.5% this year, reflecting cautious optimism about inflation [5][8] - China's June CPI unexpectedly rose by 0.1%, ending four months of deflation, while PPI fell by 3.6%, the largest drop in two years [9] - The National Development and Reform Commission estimates China's economy could reach 140 trillion yuan this year, emphasizing the importance of innovation in economic growth [9] Corporate News - New World Development is reportedly seeking to sell its K11 properties in Hangzhou and Shenzhen, aiming to attract investment from private firms [10] - Longfor Group's debt restructuring plan has been approved by creditors, allowing for adjustments in repayment arrangements [11] - BYD has achieved significant advancements in smart parking technology, promising comprehensive safety coverage for users [10] Sector Focus - Macau's June gaming revenue exceeded expectations, indicating a strong recovery as the summer peak season approaches [7] - The online music sector faces intensified competition, prompting a potential shift of funds towards more visible tech stocks [7] - The global PC shipment volume increased by 6.5% year-on-year in Q2 2025, with Lenovo leading the market share at 24.8% [9]

Company Recommendations - Chow Tai Fook (1929) is recommended for buy with a target price of HKD 15.00, indicating a potential upside of 12.8%. The catalysts for this recommendation include the historical high gold prices and an increase in the proportion of high-margin fixed-price gold products, which is expected to narrow the year-on-year decline in same-store sales and revenue [10][13] - Pop Mart (9992) is also recommended for buy with a target price of HKD 300.00, representing a potential upside of 16.3%. The catalysts include the sustained popularity of key IPs like the Monsters series and the new IP CRYBABY, with expectations of an earnings surprise announcement in mid-July [14][16] Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is currently facing resistance at 24,700 points, with recent trade talks between China and the U.S. leading to a temporary reduction in tariffs. However, the lack of progress in trade negotiations and limited corporate profit improvements are contributing to a slowdown in capital inflow [3][7] - The Chinese stock market is showing signs of recovery, with the Hang Seng Index recently surpassing 24,000 points, reflecting a positive market sentiment despite external pressures [7] Sector Focus - The Macau gaming sector is expected to perform well, with June's gaming revenue significantly exceeding expectations and the summer peak season approaching [8] - The brokerage sector is also highlighted, with the Shanghai Composite Index nearing 3,500 points and a continued trend of A+H share listings [8] Technical Analysis - Chow Tai Fook's stock price recently reached a 52-week high, supported by strong trading volume and a positive technical outlook, indicating potential for further gains [11][12] - Pop Mart's stock is currently supported at the 20-day moving average, with a favorable technical setup suggesting the possibility of new highs if it maintains above this level [15][18] Industry Growth - The traditional gold jewelry market in mainland China is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 22% from 2023 to 2028, with Chow Tai Fook holding a significant market share of 20% [13] - Pop Mart's sales growth in Q1 2025 is reported to be significantly higher than management's initial guidance, indicating strong demand for its IP products across both domestic and international markets [18]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is facing resistance at 24,700 points, with a projected P/E ratio of 11 times over the next 12 months [2] - The US-China trade talks have seen limited progress, and there is a lack of willingness from China to implement further economic stimulus measures [2] - The inflow of capital from the north has slowed down, indicating limited improvement in corporate earnings [2] Macro Focus - The US has announced tariffs on Japan and South Korea at 25%, and on Laos and Myanmar at 40%, effective August 1 [4][8] - The US Treasury Secretary anticipates discussions with Chinese officials to advance trade and other issues [4][8] - The US Federal Reserve has maintained interest rates, with expectations of two rate cuts totaling 0.5% this year, reflecting a cautious stance on inflation uncertainties [4][8] - The Chinese central bank increased its gold reserves by 70,000 ounces in June, continuing a trend of accumulation [4][8] Sector Highlights - The biotechnology sector is expected to benefit from new measures supporting the high-quality development of innovative drugs [7] - Macau's gaming revenue in June increased by 19% year-on-year, exceeding expectations [7] - The power sector is seeing increased demand due to high temperatures [7] Company News - Lens Technology (6613) priced its shares at HKD 18.18, a discount of nearly 28% compared to A-shares [10] - Dongfeng Motor (0489) aims to maintain its annual sales target of 3 million vehicles, with a focus on 1 million new energy vehicles [10] - Xiaomi (1810) reported a 20-fold increase in air conditioner sales in Northeast China due to unprecedented high temperatures [10] - NIO (9866) plans to officially launch its third factory in Hefei in September [10] - JD Logistics (1519) reported a 23.5% year-on-year increase in parcel volume for the second quarter [10]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is facing resistance at 24,700 points, with a projected P/E ratio of 11 times over the next 12 months [2] - The index closed at 23,916 points, down 0.64% year-to-date, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 0.45% [4] - The market is experiencing a slowdown in capital inflow from mainland investors, and corporate earnings improvements are limited [2][5] Macro Focus - The U.S. Federal Reserve maintained interest rates, with expectations of two rate cuts totaling 0.5% this year, reflecting a cautious stance on future inflation uncertainties [3] - OPEC+ has agreed to increase production by 548,000 barrels per day in August, exceeding market expectations, which may limit the upward potential of international oil prices [8] Company News - China Feihe (6186) expects a decline in half-year earnings, projecting net profit between 1 billion to 1.2 billion RMB, with a total dividend of no less than 2 billion RMB for the year [9] - Xiaomi (1810) has officially delivered its first batch of the YU7 SUV, priced between 253,500 to 329,900 RMB, with significant initial order numbers [9] - BYD (1211) reported a 54.4% month-on-month increase in sales of its Tang L model, reaching 12,700 units in June [9] - NIO (9866) announced that its L90 model will be priced below 300,000 RMB, with a product launch event scheduled [9] Industry Insights - The biotechnology sector is expected to benefit from new government measures supporting the high-quality development of innovative drugs [6] - Macau's gaming revenue in June increased by 19% year-on-year, significantly exceeding expectations, indicating a recovery in the gaming industry [6] - The textile industry anticipates improved orders as Nike's performance is expected to stabilize [6] Economic Indicators - China's smartphone shipments fell by 22% year-on-year in May, with 5G phone shipments decreasing by 17% [8] - The average price of international tickets from mainland China has decreased by 15% this summer, with significant drops in prices for flights to Canada and Japan [8]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is facing resistance at 24,700 points, with a projected P/E ratio of 11 times over the next 12 months, following a reduction in tariffs between the US and China [2] - The market sentiment remains cautious due to limited progress in US-China trade talks and a lack of significant economic stimulus from mainland China [2] Macro Focus - The Caixin China Services PMI fell to 50.6 in June, below expectations, indicating a slowdown in service sector expansion [3][8] - Retail sales of new energy vehicles in China increased by 25% year-on-year in June, with a penetration rate of 52.7% [8] - The Ministry of Commerce plans to strengthen guidance on second-hand vehicle exports, aiming to support the development of the second-hand car market [8] - The Macau gaming sector saw a 19% year-on-year increase in June gaming revenue, exceeding expectations [6] Company News - Alibaba issued over 12 billion HKD in zero-coupon convertible bonds for Alibaba Health [3] - Geely Auto is entering the Italian market, while XPeng's G7 model starts at 195,800 RMB [3] - HSBC Holdings sold its UK insurance business for approximately 260 million GBP [3] Industry Insights - The biotechnology sector is expected to benefit from new measures supporting the high-quality development of innovative drugs [6] - The textile industry anticipates improved orders as Nike's performance is expected to stabilize [6] - The solar industry is facing challenges due to low-price competition, prompting the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology to call for comprehensive governance [9] IPO Market - KPMG estimates that the total amount raised from new IPOs in Hong Kong could reach up to 250 billion HKD this year, with over 200 applications currently being processed [9]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is facing resistance at 24,700 points, with a projected P/E ratio of 11 times over the next 12 months [2] - The recent US-China trade talks have led to a reduction in tariffs, with US tariffs on Chinese imports dropping from 145% to 30%, and Chinese tariffs on US imports decreasing from 125% to 10% [2] - The inflow of capital from mainland investors has slowed, and corporate earnings improvements are limited [2] Economic Indicators - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has mandated that cash transactions over 100,000 RMB for gold and diamonds must be reported starting August [4] - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has completed the allocation of 800 billion RMB for construction projects this year [4] - Hong Kong's retail sales rose by 2.4% in May, ending a 14-month decline [4][10] Corporate News - Luxshare Precision is planning to raise 1 billion USD through an H-share listing in Hong Kong [5][11] - Alibaba repurchased approximately 56 million shares for 805 million USD in the last quarter [11] - Xiaomi is prioritizing domestic delivery issues for its new car model YU7, with plans to expand production [11] - Geely is set to launch its brand of cars in the UK, starting with the electric SUV EX5 [11] IPO Market - PwC forecasts that Hong Kong's IPO fundraising will exceed 200 billion RMB this year, potentially making it the top global market [9] - The first half of the year saw Hong Kong's IPO market raise 107.1 billion RMB, a sevenfold increase from the previous year [9] Sector Focus - The biotech sector is expected to benefit from new government measures supporting high-quality development [8] - Macau's gaming revenue in June increased by 19% year-on-year, surpassing expectations [8] - The textile sector anticipates improved orders following Nike's performance [8] Banking Sector - KPMG reported that Hong Kong's banking sector showed resilient growth, with total assets increasing by 4.5% to 24 trillion RMB [10] - The non-performing loan ratio rose from 1.65% to 2.15%, primarily due to challenges in the commercial real estate sector [10]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is facing resistance at 24,700 points, with a projected P/E ratio of 11 times over the next 12 months, as the US-China trade talks show limited progress and corporate earnings improvement remains constrained [2] - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 24,072 points, down 0.87% [6] Macro Focus - The Central Economic Commission of China is advancing the construction of a unified national market, emphasizing the need for regulatory improvements and quality enhancement in products [3][8] - The official and Caixin manufacturing PMIs for June exceeded expectations, indicating a slight recovery in manufacturing activity [3][8] - Macau's June gaming revenue rose by 19%, surpassing expectations, reflecting a positive trend in the gaming sector [3][7] Company News - Xiaomi delivered over 25,000 vehicles in June, indicating strong performance in the automotive sector [4] - Geely's June sales increased by 42%, prompting an upward revision of its annual sales target by 11% [4] - New World Development secured a financing agreement worth 88.2 billion yuan, showcasing robust financial activity [4] Industry Insights - The gaming industry in mainland China saw the approval of 158 domestic and imported games in June, marking a significant increase in new titles [7] - The textile sector is optimistic about improved orders, driven by expectations of better performance from major brands like Nike [7] - The film industry in mainland China reported a total box office of over 29.2 billion yuan in the first half of the year, with the animated film "Nezha 2" accounting for over half of the revenue [9] Financial Market Developments - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority intervened in the currency market, buying over 20 billion HKD to defend the peg against the US dollar [9] - The issuance of QDII quotas totaling 3.08 billion USD aims to support cross-border investment by qualified domestic institutional investors [9] - The Hong Kong government's financial situation showed a deficit of 78.4 billion HKD in the first two months of the fiscal year, primarily due to timing in tax revenue collection [9]