Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% from the current price [6][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 16.75 billion for Q1 2025, a year-on-year decline of 11%, and a net profit of RMB 1.94 billion, down 16% year-on-year, which was below expectations [7]. - The report highlights a marginal improvement in duty-free sales, particularly in Hainan, with a notable recovery in average transaction value [9]. - The company is expected to optimize its product categories, membership services, and supply chain management, leading to projected net profits of RMB 5.26 billion, RMB 5.96 billion, and RMB 6.70 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [9]. Company Overview - The company operates in the retail trade industry and has a current H-share price of HKD 51.85, with a market capitalization of RMB 90.20 billion [2]. - The major shareholder is China Tourism Group, holding 50.3% of the shares [2]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be RMB 2.54, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19 times [9]. Financial Performance - The company’s net profit for 2022 was RMB 5.03 billion, with projections of RMB 6.71 billion for 2023 and RMB 4.27 billion for 2024, reflecting fluctuations in profitability [8]. - The revenue forecast for 2025 is RMB 62.93 billion, with a year-on-year growth expectation of 23.3% [15]. - The report indicates a stable cost structure, with a gross margin of 33% and a decrease in financial expenses [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Trading Buy" with a target price of 1674 CNY, indicating a potential upside of 8% from the current price of 1550.20 CNY [1][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a Q1 2025 revenue of 51.44 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 10.7%, and a net profit of 26.85 billion CNY, up 11.6% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [5]. - The revenue growth for the flagship product, Moutai liquor, was 43.56 billion CNY, reflecting a 9.7% increase, while the series liquor segment saw a revenue of 7.02 billion CNY, up 18.3% [7]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its distributor assessment to enhance market engagement and service quality, which is expected to strengthen its competitive position [7]. Financial Summary - The company’s net profit is projected to reach 95.36 billion CNY in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 10.6%, and further growth is expected to continue through 2027 [6][7]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 75.91 CNY for 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20 [6][7]. - The company has maintained a stable gross margin of 92.1%, with a slight decrease of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [7]. Market Position - The company’s market capitalization is approximately 194.74 billion CNY, with major shareholders including China Guizhou Moutai Distillery (Group) Co., Ltd., holding 54.07% [1]. - Institutional investors hold 7.1% of the circulating A-shares, while general corporations account for 70.7% [2].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 60 CNY per share [5][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue growth of 165.3% year-on-year in Q1 2025, reaching 4.686 billion CNY, with a net profit increase of 52.8% to 463 million CNY [6]. - The demand for computing power from internet companies is driving the company's revenue growth, while economies of scale are reducing expense ratios [6]. - Major internet firms are increasing capital expenditures on computing power, which is expected to sustain high industry demand [6]. - The company maintains a strong position in the server industry, particularly in AI and liquid-cooled servers, with a market share of 36.8% in liquid-cooled servers in China [6]. - Future earnings are projected to grow significantly, with net profits expected to reach 3.43 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 49.67% [8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates primarily in the computer industry, with a market capitalization of approximately 74.77 billion CNY and a share price of 50.85 CNY as of May 5, 2025 [1]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a gross margin of 34.5% in Q1 2025, despite a year-on-year decline of 4.68 percentage points due to increased sales to internet firms [6]. - Operating cash flow increased by 265.5% year-on-year, reaching 5.803 billion CNY, attributed to improved sales collection and changes in payment schedules [6]. Market Position - The company ranks second globally and first in China in server market share, with a strong foothold in AI server technology [6]. - The report highlights the company's technological advancements, including the launch of a general-purpose server capable of running large AI models [6]. Earnings Forecast - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 3.43 billion CNY, 4.67 billion CNY, and 6.25 billion CNY, respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 49.67%, 36.07%, and 33.80% [8].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% [5][12]. Core Insights - The company has shown strong revenue growth in Q1 2025, with a year-over-year increase of 19.65%, driven by a recovery in the domestic downstream market [6][8]. - The company is focusing on the humanoid robot core component sector, which is expected to provide significant growth opportunities in the future [10][13]. - Despite a competitive market leading to a decline in gross margin, the company continues to expand its overseas market presence, particularly in key regions such as Japan, Southeast Asia, North America, and Europe [7][8]. Company Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3.87 billion RMB, representing an 8.77% year-over-year growth, while the net profit was 0.56 billion RMB, down 33.26% year-over-year [8][11]. - The company's revenue from harmonic reducers was 3.25 billion RMB, with a year-over-year growth of 2.56%, while the mechatronic equipment segment saw a significant increase of 56.74% [8][11]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 37.54%, a decrease of 3.60 percentage points compared to the previous year, primarily due to price adjustments in a competitive market [8][11]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 0.81 billion RMB in 2025, 1.16 billion RMB in 2026, and 1.51 billion RMB in 2027, with year-over-year growth rates of 44.95%, 41.92%, and 30.92% respectively [11][13]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.44 RMB in 2025, 0.63 RMB in 2026, and 0.83 RMB in 2027, reflecting a positive growth trajectory [11][13]. Market Position - The company holds a leading position in the harmonic reducer and mechatronic product markets, with a focus on lightweight and compact technologies for humanoid robots [10][13]. - The product mix is heavily weighted towards harmonic reducers and metal components, which account for 84% of total revenue, while mechatronic products and smart automation devices contribute 13.6% and 1.2% respectively [3].

2025 年 04 月 30 日 顾向君 H70420@capitalcom.tw 目标价(元) 34 公司基本资讯 | 产业别 | | 食品饮料 | | --- | --- | --- | | A 股价(2025/4/29) | | 28.79 | | 上证指数(2025/4/29) | | 3286.65 | | 股价 12 个月高/低 | | 31.96/21.13 | | 总发行股数(百万) | | 6365.90 | | A 股数(百万) | | 6334.47 | | A 市值(亿元) | | 1823.69 | | 主要股东 | | 香港中央结算 | | | | 有限公司 | | | | (10.23%) | | 每股净值(元) | | 9.16 | | 股价/账面净值 | | 3.14 | | | 一个月 三个月 | 一年 | | 股价涨跌(%) | 2.5 | 6.4 7.3 | C o m p a n y U p d a t e C h i n a R e s e a r c h D e p t . 伊利股份(600887.SH) BUY 买进 大额减值影响 2024 年盈利，25Q1 扣 ...

顾向君 H70420@capitalcom.tw 目标价(元) 34 公司基本资讯 | 产业别 | | 食品饮料 | | --- | --- | --- | | A 股价(2025/4/29) | | 28.79 | | 上证指数(2025/4/29) | | 3286.65 | | 股价 12 个月高/低 | | 31.96/21.13 | | 总发行股数(百万) | | 6365.90 | | A 股数(百万) | | 6334.47 | | A 市值(亿元) | | 1823.69 | | 主要股东 | | 香港中央结算 | | | | 有限公司 | | | | (10.23%) | | 每股净值(元) | | 9.16 | | 股价/账面净值 | | 3.14 | | | 一个月 三个月 | 一年 | | 股价涨跌(%) | 2.5 6.4 | 7.3 | 近期评等 | 出刊日期 | 前日收盘 | 评等 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2024-10-31 | 26.44 | 买进 | | 2024-08-30 | 22.87 | 买进 | | 2024-04-30 | 28.29 | ...

2025 年 04 月 30 日 顾向君 H70420@capitalcom.tw 目标价(元) 34 公司基本资讯 | 产业别 | | 食品饮料 | | --- | --- | --- | | A 股价(2025/4/29) | | 28.79 | | 上证指数(2025/4/29) | | 3286.65 | | 股价 12 个月高/低 | | 31.96/21.13 | | 总发行股数(百万) | | 6365.90 | | A 股数(百万) | | 6334.47 | | A 市值(亿元) | | 1823.69 | | 主要股东 | | 香港中央结算 | | | | 有限公司 | | | | (10.23%) | | 每股净值(元) | | 9.16 | | 股价/账面净值 | | 3.14 | | | 一个月 三个月 | 一年 | | 股价涨跌(%) | 2.5 6.4 | 7.3 | 近期评等 | 出刊日期 | 前日收盘 | 评等 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2024-10-31 | 26.44 | 买进 | | 2024-08-30 | 22.87 | 买进 | | 202 ...

2025 年 04 月 30 日 顾向君 H70420@capitalcom.tw 目标价(元) 34 公司基本资讯 | 产业别 | | 食品饮料 | | --- | --- | --- | | A 股价(2025/4/29) | | 28.79 | | 上证指数(2025/4/29) | | 3286.65 | | 股价 12 个月高/低 | | 31.96/21.13 | | 总发行股数(百万) | | 6365.90 | | A 股数(百万) | | 6334.47 | | A 市值(亿元) | | 1823.69 | | 主要股东 | | 香港中央结算 | | | | 有限公司 | | | | (10.23%) | | 每股净值(元) | | 9.16 | | 股价/账面净值 | | 3.14 | | | 一个月 三个月 | 一年 | | 股价涨跌(%) | 2.5 | 6.4 7.3 | 近期评等 C o m p a n y U p d a t e C h i n a R e s e a r c h D e p t . | 出刊日期 | 前日收盘 | 评等 | | --- | --- | --- | ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [6][12]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated solid performance in its financials, with a revenue of 37.04 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 21.8%. However, the net profit decreased by 9.6% to 4.29 billion RMB [7]. - The company's revenue from the new energy vehicle (NEV) segment has shown remarkable growth, achieving 16.64 billion RMB in 2024, a year-over-year increase of 67.8% [7]. - The automation business has seen a slight increase in market share despite a challenging domestic market, with key products maintaining top rankings in their respective categories [7]. - The company is focusing on cost control, with a decrease in the expense ratio, which has positively impacted its profitability [7]. - Future growth is anticipated in the NEV sector and the development of humanoid robots, with significant investments planned for new product lines [12]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 37.04 billion RMB, with a breakdown showing NEV revenue at 16.64 billion RMB and general automation revenue at approximately 15.24 billion RMB [7][13]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 8.98 billion RMB, marking a year-over-year increase of 38.3%, with net profit reaching 1.32 billion RMB, up 63.1% [7]. - The projected net profits for 2025 to 2027 are 5.81 billion RMB, 6.73 billion RMB, and 7.45 billion RMB, respectively, indicating a strong growth trajectory [10][12]. Market Position and Strategy - The company holds a leading position in the automation sector, with significant market share increases in various product categories, including servos and frequency converters [7]. - The strategic focus on expanding the NEV market and humanoid robotics is expected to enhance the company's competitive edge and market presence [12]. - The company plans to initiate research and development for its sixth-generation powertrain and related products in the second half of 2025 [12].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% from the current price [2][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 10.3 billion RMB for 2024, a decrease of 9.7% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.26 billion RMB, down 36.1% year-on-year. However, the first quarter of 2025 showed signs of recovery with a revenue of 2.48 billion RMB, up 5.4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 370 million RMB, up 1.9% year-on-year [5]. - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 0.8 RMB per 10 shares and may consider an additional mid-year dividend if conditions are met [5]. - International sales have shown strong growth, with overseas revenue reaching 2.27 billion RMB in 2024, up 35% year-on-year, accounting for 22% of total revenue. The domestic market is expected to recover in 2025 [5]. - Maintenance service revenue increased by 26.8% year-on-year to 1.36 billion RMB in 2024, while equipment sales were impacted by domestic policy changes [5]. - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 1.64 billion RMB, 2.00 billion RMB, and 2.42 billion RMB, representing year-on-year growth rates of 30.3%, 22.0%, and 20.8% respectively [5][7]. Financial Summary - The company achieved a net profit of 1.974 billion RMB in 2023, with projections of 1.644 billion RMB for 2025, and an EPS of 2.0 RMB for the same year [7][10]. - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is projected to be 63 times for 2025, decreasing to 42 times by 2027 [7][10]. - The company’s total revenue is expected to grow from 11.41 billion RMB in 2023 to 12.98 billion RMB in 2025 [10].