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莫迪预当选,市场上涨
彭博行业研究· 2024-06-03 01:34
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - India's GDP grew more than 8% in the fiscal year ending in March, solidifying its position as the world's fastest-growing major economy [25] - The bond market is near its highest levels in about a year, indicating positive sentiment [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Stocks of state-owned companies and infrastructure-linked firms are expected to be in focus, with about 90% of the 'Modi stocks' outperforming the Nifty index in the past six months [22][38] - Engineering firms like Larsen & Toubro Ltd. and power generators NTPC Ltd. are among the preferred stocks due to their perceived benefits from pro-growth policies [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The NSE Nifty 50 Index is projected to reach a new record if the election results align with exit polls, following a nearly 2% decline to 22,531 points last week [21][35] - Foreign investors are expected to cover short positions quickly, potentially leading to a market spike beyond 23,000 points [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction and Industry Competition - A strong government is anticipated to continue its current policy program, which may lead to a 3-5% market return [11] - The potential for renewed reforms in politically-sensitive areas like agriculture and labor laws could widen the "India premium" over other emerging markets [4][45] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The election outcome is seen as a vote for continuity, which is expected to calm investors who were previously anxious about market volatility [18][34] - The consensus view is that the ruling party will maintain its majority, which is crucial for pushing through economic growth policies [33][46] Other Important Information - S&P Global Ratings has indicated a potential credit rating upgrade for India, which could boost financial markets ahead of its inclusion in JPMorgan's emerging market bond index [27][40] - Faster-than-expected economic growth data published recently is expected to further buoy market sentiment [39] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the expected impact of the election results on the market? - Analysts expect a positive market reaction if the results align with exit polls, potentially leading to new highs for the NSE Nifty 50 Index [35] Question: How will foreign investors react to the election outcome? - Foreign investors are likely to cover short positions quickly, which may lead to a significant market rally [13] Question: What are the implications of the GDP growth data? - The strong GDP growth reinforces India's status as a leading emerging market, which could attract more investment [25]
五件事20240603
彭博行业研究· 2024-06-03 01:34
更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day: Asia bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-06-02/five-things-you-need-to-know-to-start-your-day-asia By Alex Millson 亚历克斯·⽶尔森(Alex Millson)2024年6⽉3⽇ at GMT+8 07:21 2024年6⽉3⽇ at GMT+8 07:21BookmarkSave Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day: Asia 开始新的⼀天需要知道的五件事: 亚洲 ...
五件事20240531
彭博行业研究· 2024-06-01 13:00
更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day: Asia bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-05-30/five-things-you-need-to-know-to-start-your- day-asia By Isabelle Lee 作者:Isabelle Lee2024年5⽉31⽇ at GMT+8 07:302024年5⽉31⽇ at GMT+8 07:30BookmarkSave Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day: Asia 开始新的⼀天需要知道的五件事: 亚洲 ...
五件事20240529
彭博行业研究· 2024-05-29 00:57
Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day: bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-05-28/five-things-you-need-to-know-to-start-your-day-asia By Isabelle Lee 作者:Isabelle Lee2024年5月29日 at GMT+8 07:302024年5月29日 at GMT+8 07: 30BookmarkSave Japanese 10,000 yen, 5,000 yen and 1,000 yen banknotes arranged for a photograph in Tokyo, Japan, on May 10, 2024. 更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 早上好。日元继续下跌。美国国债扩大跌幅。基金经理连续第 二周将资金投入中国资产。以下是推动市场发展的因素。—— 伊莎贝尔·李(Isabelle Lee) 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V:shuinu9870 Treasuries hit 美国国债受到打击 更多资 ...
财经早茶20240524
彭博行业研究· 2024-05-24 02:42
早上好欢迎收听彭博财经早茶我是Lydia今天是2024年5月24日星期五我们一起来看头条新闻美国企业活动扩张速度两年来最快美联储抗通胀任务在天阻力 亚洲对冲基金巨头Cigante宣布暂停赎回将向投资者返还资金并关闭小米集团季度营收创两年多来最快增速上调今年电动汽车交付目标一起来看详细内容美国最新数据再度展现经济强韧标普全球公布的美国综合PMI指数显示 其活动在5月初以两年来最快的速度扩张其中服务业活动增速创出一年最快水平制造业产出也在加速工厂投入价格增速为2022年11月以来最快如此富有韧性的需求将使通胀难以降温这有助于解释为何美联储计划维持高利率更长时间货币市场定价显示美联储首次降息时间已经从11月退后到12月 涉嫌内幕交易的亚洲对冲基金巨头Cigante宣布暂停赎回并交向投资者返还资金该基金创始人被称为亚洲大宗交易之王的萨德勒据悉周四告诉员工基金关闭最符合投资者的利益截至上个月Cigante还管理着近50亿美元的资产借助亮眼的回报和实施复杂大宗股票交易的能力吸引了全球各地的投资者 另外据知情人士透露SIGETI内幕交易案将移交给香港级别更高的法院被定罪者最高可判处长达7年的监禁小米集团交出量力财报得益于智 ...
五件事20240524
彭博行业研究· 2024-05-24 01:26
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - US stocks and bonds experienced a decline due to unexpectedly strong economic data, leading traders to reduce expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts this year [1][3] - The yield on 10-year Treasuries rose to its highest level in over a week, indicating a shift in market sentiment regarding interest rates [1] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Nvidia reported better-than-expected results and a bullish outlook, with its stock climbing 9.3% to a record high, contrasting with the overall market trend [1] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Luxury home prices in select Asian cities surged, with Manila, Tokyo, and Mumbai experiencing increases of 27%, 13%, and 12% respectively, while established markets like New York and London saw declines of over 2% [25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Major tech companies like Alphabet and Meta are investing millions to train AI video generation software, indicating a strategic focus on AI technology development [22][36] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tracker indicates a projected annualized growth rate of 3.6% for the current quarter, suggesting resilience in the US economy despite concerns about economic overheating and inflation [13][32] - Management expressed concerns about softness in the US labor market but noted that the overall market remains focused on inflationary pressures [30][42] Other Important Information - The incident involving Archegos Capital Management, where nearly $470 million was accidentally wired to Goldman Sachs, highlights risks in financial management practices [23][24] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the implications of the recent economic data on interest rates? - The recent PMI data showed both services and manufacturing sectors beating estimates, supporting the view that the US economy may still be growing above trend, which could influence interest rate expectations [15]
高盛CEO今年不会降息
彭博行业研究· 2024-05-23 01:37
更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 Goldman’s CEO Solomon Says He Sees ‘Zero’ Rate Cuts This Year bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-22/goldman-s-ceo-solomon-says-he-sees-zero-rate-cuts-this-year By Brooke Sutherland and Silla Brush作者:Brooke Sutherland 和 Silla Brush Goldman’s Solomon Says He Sees ‘Zero’ Rate Cuts This Year ⾼盛的所罗⻔表示,他认为今年将“零”降息 CEO says he doesn’t see compelling data to support rate cuts ⾸席执⾏官表⽰,他没有看到令⼈信服的数据来⽀持降息 Average Americans are feeling pinch from inflation: Solomon 普通美国⼈因通货膨胀⽽感到压⼒:所罗门 Goldm ...
五件事20240523
彭博行业研究· 2024-05-23 01:37
Day: Asia 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V:shuinu9870 更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 Jensen Huang, co-founder and chief executive officer of Nvidia Corp., in Las Vegas, Nevada, on May 20, 2024. Bullish forecast 看涨预测 处于人工智能热潮中心的芯片制造商英伟达(Nvidia) 给出了另一个看涨的销售预测,表明人工智能计算的支 出仍然强劲。第二季度营收约为280亿美元。根据彭博 社汇编的数据,分析师曾预测为268亿美元。第一财季 的业绩也超出了预期。乐观的前景巩固了英伟达作为人 工智能支出最大受益者的地位。该公司所谓的人工智能 加速器在过去两年中已成为热门商品,使其销售额飙 升。英伟达的市值也飙升,超过2.3万亿美元。该股在 周三的延长交易中进一步上涨。截至收盘,他们已经上 涨了92%。该公司还宣布了10比1的股票拆分,并将其 季度股息提高了150%,达到每股10美分。 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V:shuinu9870 Sunak gam ...
五件事20240521
彭博行业研究· 2024-05-21 00:55
更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day: Asia bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-05-20/five-things-you-need-to-know-to-start-your-day-asia By Isabelle Lee 作者:Isabelle Lee2024年5⽉21⽇ at GMT+8 07:302024年5⽉21⽇ at GMT+8 07: 30BookmarkSave Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day: Asia 开始新的⼀天需要知道的五件事: 亚洲 ...
五件事20240517
彭博行业研究· 2024-05-17 01:13
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Dow Jones Industrial Average touched 40,000, indicating a strong market performance driven by expectations of rate cuts and resilient economic conditions [3][13][40] - Inflationary pressures remain a concern, with core consumer inflation rising at an annualized pace of 3.6%, 4.1%, and 4.0% over one-, three-, and six-month periods respectively [25][26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - No specific business line data or metrics were provided in the documents reviewed Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The MSCI China Index surged almost 30% from its January low, although it still trades at less than half the valuation of the S&P 500 [7][33] - Chinese stocks and ETFs accounted for 24% of David Tepper's equity portfolio, reflecting a shift in investment focus towards beaten-down Chinese stocks [7][8] Company Strategy and Development Direction and Industry Competition - Jamie Dimon expressed concerns about inflation and its potential impact on the economy, suggesting that interest rates may remain high for longer than many anticipate [30][31] - The company is facing significant inflationary forces linked to various factors including infrastructure spending and trade disputes, which could influence future economic conditions [30][31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains cautious about the economic outlook, indicating that the chances of a "soft landing" may be lower than market expectations [30][31] - The company is monitoring inflation closely, as it continues to pose risks to economic stability and growth [30][31] Other Important Information - The US economy is showing signs of slowing, with initial jobless claims hovering above 200,000 and housing starts below expectations [25][26] - The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow economic tracker indicates an annualized growth run rate of 3.6% for the current quarter, but this may decline quickly [26][45] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the concerns regarding inflation and economic growth? - Jamie Dimon highlighted that inflation remains a significant concern, with various pressures that could keep interest rates elevated for an extended period [30] - He noted that while markets are pricing in a soft landing, the likelihood of issues arising is higher than many believe [31]