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November Instance Insights_ NVDA Sees Strength, AMD EPYC Genoa Boosts CPU Share
AMD· 2025-01-10 02:25
AI Instances grew +0.9% M/M in November, down from +3.3% in October. NVDA took the lion's share of new Accelerator instances in the month at 97.7%, increasing total share +30bps M/M to 85.0%. AMD continues to outpace INTC in CPUs, gaining +70bps driven by EPYC Genoa while INTC declined -70bps. MSFT continues to lead CSPs in VM Instances with 35.3% share with 90+% coming from CPU instances. AMD Maintains Accelerator Share, While NVDA Gains: Total Dedicated Accelerators increased +0.9% M/M compared to +3.3% i ...
US Aerospace & Defense_2025 Outlook_ Favor OE_AM barbell as BA ramps, not expecting DoD cuts but remain selective
AMD· 2025-01-10 02:25
ab 6 January 2025 Powered by YES UBS Evidence Lab Global Research US Aerospace & Defense 2025 Outlook: Favor OE/AM barbell as BA ramps, not expecting DoD cuts but remain selective Key A&D Debates and Top Picks for 2025 In 2025, we see opportunity in both commercial OE and AM, and believe a barbell approach is the best positioning to capture both improving production rates and hedge supply chain risk. We model BA MAX production at 38/mo by October and expect the stock to outperform as the market prices in no ...
China Entertainment_ Upsurge in short and mini dramas_ framing TAM, monetization and potential winners_losers
AMD· 2024-12-23 01:54
Industry and Company Overview * **Industry**: China Entertainment, specifically focusing on short and mini dramas. * **Key Company**: Hongguo Drama (ByteDance Group), a free short drama app. * **Analyst Firm**: Goldman Sachs China Entertainment. Key Points 1. **Rapid Growth of Short and Mini Drama Industry**: * The short and mini drama industry has experienced significant growth, with a TAM of RMB 50 billion in 2024E, surpassing the domestic box office of the movie industry. * The industry is expected to grow at a 22% CAGR from 2024 to 2027E, reaching RMB 91 billion by 2027E. * The format is gaining popularity due to its convenience, affordability, and diverse content offerings. 2. **Monetization Model Shift**: * The monetization model is shifting from In-App Purchase (IAP) to In-App Advertising (IAA), with IAA expected to account for 70% of total revenue by 2027E. * The freemium model, particularly with Hongguo Drama, is becoming increasingly popular, driven by its free access and ad-supported content. 3. **Key Players and Value Chain**: * Key players include short drama producers, advertising platforms (e.g., Douyin, Kuaishou, Tencent), and content producers/IP owners. * Advertising platforms, particularly Douyin and Kuaishou, are expected to benefit significantly from the rising short drama TAM and advertising spend. * Producers typically earn around 12% of total revenue, with the majority of revenue going to advertising platforms for marketing and user acquisition. 4. **Overseas Opportunities**: * The overseas short drama market is still in its early stages, with the US being the largest market. * The overseas TAM is expected to reach over US$10 billion with 200-300 million users in the future. * Challenges include enriching localized content offerings and improving profitability due to higher production costs in overseas regions. 5. **Impact on Long-Form Video (LFV) Platforms**: * The rise of short and mini dramas is gaining time share and may affect content consumption habits, potentially challenging LFV incumbents like IQ and Mango. * LFV platforms are increasingly introducing mini and short dramas to their content libraries to stay competitive. Potential Winners and Losers * **Winners**: * Advertising platforms (e.g., Douyin, Kuaishou, Tencent) * Short drama producers * Hongguo Drama (ByteDance Group) * **Losers**: * LFV platforms (e.g., IQ, Mango) * Traditional LFV producers
大摩:中国DRAM的崛起
AMD· 2024-12-19 05:11
CXMT 能否赶上 DDR5?以下是根据我们的渠道调查的最新行业更新: 年翻倍,占全球总比特供应量的 9%。 预期之外的消费者需求在 2025 年上半年的复苏 DoSilicon 有限公司 (688110.SS) 基础案例,来源于剩余收益模型。我们假设股本成本为 7.45%(无风险利率为 2.5%,风险溢价为 4.5%,贝塔值为 1.1),并假设终值增长率为 5%。 上 由于公司市场份额的增加,预期之外的出货量增加 下行风险 《中国 DRAM 的崛起》 摩根士丹利亚洲有限公司 当前,存储器行业正面临三大挑战:1) 周期性衰退,2) 高带宽存储器(HBM)的竞争,以 及 3) 中国的竞争。我们认为,不可能同时面对这三个挑战,而股票还能持续超越市场表现。 我们还探讨了中国 CXMT 对 DRAM 行业的影响。 中国 DRAM 产能超过全球产能的 11%。CXMT(长鑫存储技术;未覆盖)已迅速增加其 DRAM 产能,从 2022 年每月 57,000 片晶圆增加到 2024 年第四季度的 210,000 片,并预计到 2025 年底将达到 300,000 片,占全球产能的 15%。按照这个速度,到 2026 年,C ...
Global Tech_ Smartphone TAM update_ Introducing detailed breakdown by price band
AMD· 2024-12-10 02:48
Industry Overview 1. **Global Smartphone Market Segmentation**: The global smartphone market is segmented into three price bands: Premium (>US$600), mid-end (US$200-600), and entry level (<US$200). [20] 2. **Market Growth Projections**: The global smartphone market is expected to grow at a modest pace, with a volume growth of +3% YoY to 1.26bn units in 2025E. Market value is projected to grow at a faster rate of 5% YoY to US$573bn in 2025E. [6][8] 3. **Premium Segment Growth**: The premium segment is expected to grow at a 7% CAGR to 418m units in 2024-27E, accounting for 32% of total volume in 2027E. This segment is driven by strong consumer purchasing power and continuous technology upgrades. [21] 4. **Mid-End Segment Decline**: The mid-end segment is expected to decline by 4% CAGR to 306m units from 2024-27E, down to 23% of the total shipment by 2027E. This decline is attributed to the lack of revolutionary technology upgrades and conservative consumer behavior. [24] 5. **Entry Level Segment Stability**: The entry level segment is expected to remain stable, with a volume growth of 3% CAGR to 581m units in 2024-27E, contributing 45% of the total market. [25] 6. **Foldable Phone Penetration**: Foldable phones are expected to become more mainstream, with a penetration rate of 3.1%/ 3.7% / 4.5% in 2025-27E. This growth is driven by price reductions, software improvements, and innovative designs. [12] Company Analysis 1. **Apple**: Apple is expected to maintain its leading position in the premium segment, with a shipment growth of +5% / +3% / +2% YoY in 2024E / 25E / 26E. [35] 2. **Samsung**: Samsung is also expected to grow in the premium segment, with a shipment growth of +5% / +3% / +2% YoY in 2024E / 25E / 26E. [35] 3. **Xiaomi**: Xiaomi is expected to grow in the premium segment, with a shipment growth of +5% / +3% / +2% YoY in 2024E / 25E / 26E. [35] 4. **Lenovo**: Lenovo is expected to grow in the premium segment, with a shipment growth of +5% / +3% / +2% YoY in 2024E / 25E / 26E. [35] 5. **ZTE**: ZTE is expected to grow in the premium segment, with a shipment growth of +5% / +3% / +2% YoY in 2024E / 25E / 26E. [35] 6. **Sony**: Sony is expected to grow in the premium segment, with a shipment growth of +5% / +3% / +2% YoY in 2024E / 25E / 26E. [35] 7. **HTC**: HTC is expected to grow in the premium segment, with a shipment growth of +5% / +3% / +2% YoY in 2024E / 25E / 26E. [35] 8. **Asus**: Asus is expected to grow in the premium segment, with a shipment growth of +5% / +3% / +2% YoY in 2024E / 25E / 26E. [35] Supply Chain Analysis 1. **Semiconductors**: The semiconductor industry is expected to grow, driven by demand for smartphones, PCs, servers, and other consumer electronics. [37] 2. **Components and Brands**: Companies like MediaTek, TSMC, and SMIC are expected to grow due to increased demand for smartphones and other consumer electronics. [37] 3. **EMS and Surveillance**: Companies like Hon Hai and Pegatron are expected to grow due to increased demand for smartphones and other consumer electronics. [37] 4. **Telecom and Communication**: Companies like ZTE and Huawei are expected to grow due to increased demand for smartphones and other telecommunications equipment. [37]
Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN)_ AWS re_Invent 2024 Key Takeaways
AMD· 2024-12-10 02:48
6 December 2024 | 4:21PM EST | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-----------------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|--------|-------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------|----------------------------|------------------------------| ...
AMD20241206
AMD· 2024-12-09 01:18
At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Greetings and welcome to the AMD third quarter 2024 conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. And as a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to You may begin. Thank you and welcome to AMD's third quarter 2024 financial results con ...
DRAM &ndash; What's Going On_
AMD· 2024-12-05 02:58
December 2, 2024 03:14 PM GMT M Update | --- | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...
The 720_ Meituan, China Tech – Tariff Impact, Horizon Robotics & AMP Initiations, Miniso, Bosideng, HDFC Bank, BHP, Fujitsu
AMD· 2024-12-05 02:58
2 December 2024 | 7:16AM HKT The 720: Meituan, China Tech – Tariff Impact, Horizon Robotics & AMP Initiations, Miniso, Bosideng, HDFC Bank, BHP, Fujitsu In Focus | Meituan Meituan - 3Q24 review: Strong food delivery profit beat - Buy. Meituan reported a solid 3Q beat with accelerated growth across top line +22% yoy and adj. EBIT +196% yoy, where core local commerce adj. EBIT came in ahead at Rmb14.6bn, +44% yoy (GSe/V.A. consensus of +35%/+37%) and we now expect continued fast 4QE core local commerce EBIT g ...
Global Semiconductors_ High Bandwidth LLW DRAM Expected to Emerge for Mobile
AMD· 2024-12-02 06:35
shuinu9870 shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 26 Nov 2024 04:37:52 ET │ 12 pages Global Semiconductors shuinu9870 High Bandwidth LLW DRAM Expected to Emerge for Mobile 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: CITI'S TAKE We anticipate LLW DRAM, which could be seen as mini HBM for mobile, is set to emerge as a high bandwidth solution in 2H25E. LLW DRAM is fabricated based on Vertical wire Fan-Out (VF ...