個股推介 中國中免(1880.HK) 2026 年 1 月 30 日星期五 第三季收入跌幅收窄，第四季旅遊旺季收入料重拾動能 公司首三季收入為 398.62 億元人民幣，按年跌 7.3%，純利為 30.52 億元人民幣，按年跌 22.1%，單計第三季收入 117.11 億元人民幣，按 年微跌 0.4%，跌幅較上半年的 10%收窄。海南離島免稅 7 至 9 月銷 售額合計 54.02 億元人民幣，按年跌 2.6%，按年降幅較 4 至 6 月收窄 1.6 個百分點，其中 9 月海南離島免稅月度銷售額按年增長 3.4%，在 同期低基數下錄得 18 個月以來首次增長 ，公司第三季收入表現優於 海南全島。海南旅遊旺季推動下，10 月至 11 月離島免稅銷售均錄雙 位數按年增長，新增城市市內免稅店下半年集中開業，加上免稅政策 利好，第四季收入料重拾增長。 海南封關首月數據強勁，春節假期數據料成潛化劑 海南自由貿易港自 2025 年 12 月 18 日正式啟動全島封關運作，免稅 優惠對象擴大至所有自海南島離境的旅客，早期「離島免稅」主要面 向從海南飛往內地其他地區的旅客，重點是境內旅客，最新安排則可 覆蓋國內外旅客。而每名 ...

對外方面，集團作為獨立第三方及具備全場景業務覆蓋能力的平台， 可承接全渠道訂單，包括抖音、淘寶閃購、京東秒送等。阿里早前提 出，2026 年淘寶閃購首要目標是份額增長，相信順豐同城將受惠於其 加快擴張及份額爭奪。此外，隨著需求場景拓闊至非餐飲實物以及生 活服務領域，相關領域的商家並未與現有平台建立綁定關係，為獨立 第三方即時配送平台帶來增長動力。在需求強勁的背景下，集團有望 優先匹配新增需求。 個股推介 順豐同城(9699.HK) 2026 年 1 月 29 日星期四 實行配送場景全覆蓋，受惠即時零售市場持續擴張 2024 年內地即時零售規模達 7,810 億元人民幣，商務部預期 2025 年 將達 9,714 億元人民幣，至 2030 年將達到 2 萬億元人民幣，「十五 五」期間年均增速將達 12.6%。順豐同城是內地最大的第三方即時配 送平台，擁有強大的品牌效應和行業影響力。集團已全方位覆蓋餐飲 外賣、同城零售及近場電商，形成強大的市場布局，料將受惠於即時 零售市場持續擴張。 節日期間提供穩定履約保障，突顯其即時配送能力 順豐同城數據顯示，2026 年元旦假期期間，同城配送日均單量按年增 長 55%，其中 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 45.50, indicating an upside potential of 12.6% from the current price of HKD 40.42 [5][8]. Core Insights - The company recorded a net revenue of HKD 12.2 billion for Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 14%. Adjusted EBITDA also rose by 14% to HKD 3.3 billion, with a normalized net win rate leading to a 7% increase in adjusted EBITDA [1]. - The company's market share is estimated to be around 20% for the full year of 2025, maintaining its position as the second-largest player in the industry. Management indicated an increase in market share for Q4 2025, with expectations for further growth in 2026 due to the utilization of new projects opening in December 2023 [1]. - Macau's gaming revenue is projected to grow by 9.1% year-on-year to MOP 247.4 billion in 2025, with a significant increase of 13.8% in the second half of 2025. The upcoming longer Spring Festival holiday in 2026 is expected to boost travel demand from mainland citizens, benefiting the tourism sector and the company [2]. - Competitors are facing increased brand fees and geopolitical concerns, which may lead to a preference for the company among investors. MGM China announced a new brand agreement that doubles its brand fees, raising market concerns for other competitors [3]. - The company's current valuation is at 10.6 times the 2026 EV/EBITDA, which is considered low compared to the pre-pandemic range of 10.0 to 14.0 times, suggesting potential for valuation re-rating as performance improves [4]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: FY22: HKD 11.474 billion, FY23: HKD 35.684 billion, FY24: HKD 43.432 billion, FY25E: HKD 48.574 billion, FY26E: HKD 52.232 billion [5]. - EBITDA projections are: FY22: HKD (0.553) billion, FY23: HKD 9.955 billion, FY24: HKD 12.188 billion, FY25E: HKD 14.020 billion, FY26E: HKD 14.971 billion [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for BYD Electronic with a target price of HKD 48.84, representing a potential upside of 22.6% from the current price of HKD 39.85 [6][17]. Core Insights - BYD Electronic's FY24 results showed a revenue growth of 36.4% to RMB 177.3 billion, while net profit increased by 5.5% to RMB 4,265 million, although net profit was approximately 6% below consensus due to lower than expected gross margin and higher costs [1][16]. - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for generative AI smartphones, which is projected to drive a new replacement cycle in the smartphone market starting in 2024 [5][16]. - BYD Electronic's automotive intelligent segment revenue surged by 45.5% YoY to RMB 20.5 billion, indicating strong growth potential in the automotive sector [13][16]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY24 revenue reached RMB 177.3 billion, up 36.4% YoY, while net profit was RMB 4,265 million, a 5.5% increase YoY [1][21]. - Gross margin decreased by 1.1 percentage points YoY to 6.9%, below the consensus estimate of 7.6% [1][16]. Business Segments - The assembly and components segments experienced significant growth, with assembly service revenue increasing by 26% YoY and components revenue soaring 1.6x YoY to approximately RMB 35.6 billion [3][12]. - The IoT segment faced challenges, with revenue slipping YoY due to pressures in the energy storage business [2][11]. Market Trends - The global smartphone shipment grew approximately 2.4% YoY in 4Q24, with a notable 37% QoQ increase in shipments from US clients due to new flagship launches [1][3]. - Generative AI smartphones are expected to account for a significant portion of total smartphone shipments, with projections of 234 million units in 2024 and a CAGR of 100% from 2023 to 2027 [5][16]. Future Outlook - BYD Electronic anticipates continued revenue growth in the IoT and automotive segments, projecting revenue to exceed RMB 50 billion and RMB 65 billion by FY25E and FY26E, respectively [15][16]. - The company is focusing on diversifying its business strategy, which is expected to enhance sales and earnings visibility in the long run [16][17].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Sunny Optical with a target price of HKD 92.60, representing a potential upside of 27.0% from the current price of HKD 72.95 [9]. Core Insights - Sunny Optical's FY24 results exceeded market expectations, with revenue and net income reported at RMB 38,294 million and RMB 2,699 million, reflecting year-on-year growth of 20.9% and 145% respectively [1][2]. - The company continues to uphold its leadership in high-end lens systems (HLS) and high-end camera modules (HCM), with market shares of 30.8% and 12.1% respectively in 2024 [3][4]. - The management's guidance for FY25E indicates a positive outlook, with expectations for HLS and HCM shipments to grow by 5% and 5-10% year-on-year [5][6]. Financial Performance - Sunny's gross margin improved to 18.3% in FY24, up from 14.5% in FY23, driven by a recovery in the premium smartphone market and improved yield rates [4][15]. - The company reported a significant increase in net profit estimates for FY25E and FY26E by 16.1% and 14.1% respectively, supported by higher sales and gross margin forecasts [14][15]. - The automotive segment showed strong growth, with vehicle-related product sales rising 14.3% year-on-year to RMB 6,039 million, accounting for approximately 16.0% of total revenue [11]. Shipment and Market Trends - The high-end handset product shipments, particularly 6P+ lenses and periscopes, have shown steady growth, contributing significantly to overall sales [10][16]. - The report highlights a gradual recovery in global smartphone shipments, primarily driven by flagship models from top-tier clients, which is expected to continue into FY25E [5][6]. - Sunny's automotive business outlook remains positive, with a strong order book of approximately RMB 15 billion, indicating robust future growth potential [11]. Research and Development - Sunny's R&D expenses accounted for 7.6% of total revenue in FY24, with expectations to maintain around 8% in FY25E and FY26E [12]. - The company is focusing on technology upgrades and product diversification, particularly in the automotive and XR segments, to enhance its competitive edge [12][14].

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating to "Buy" with a target price of HK$5.44, representing a potential upside of 17.5% from the current price of HK$4.63 [1]. Core Insights - The company reported a strong performance in 1H24, with revenue and net profit increasing by 40.1% and 453.9% year-on-year, reaching RMB 767.5 million and RMB 1.15 million, respectively [1][3]. - The growth is attributed to improved smartphone demand, increased shipments of camera modules (CCM), and a stable operating expense ratio [1][2]. - The average selling price (ASP) of camera modules has shown a year-on-year increase of 10.5%, indicating a recovery in demand and profitability [1][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H24, the company's revenue reached RMB 767.5 million, a 40.1% increase year-on-year, while net profit surged to RMB 1.15 million, reflecting a 453.9% growth [1][3]. - The company maintained its FY24E shipment guidance, with total CCM shipments expected to reach approximately 430 million units, a 15% year-on-year increase [1][2]. Market Dynamics - The automotive CCM segment saw a remarkable 15-fold increase in sales volume, indicating strong demand in the non-smartphone market [2]. - The company has successfully qualified with over 20 clients, including major automotive manufacturers, and is diversifying its product offerings beyond smartphones [2]. Product Segmentation - The report highlights that the non-smartphone CCM segment is expected to contribute approximately 3% to total shipments, with significant growth potential in the automotive and IoT sectors [2][3]. - The average selling price of camera modules is projected to reach around RMB 32.6 by 2H24, reflecting a positive trend in pricing and demand recovery [1][3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 31% in net profit from FY24E to FY26E, driven by quality growth and recovery in sales and margins [3][4]. - The new target price of HK$5.44 is based on a FY25E price-to-earnings ratio of 14.1, indicating a favorable valuation compared to historical averages [4].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the companies discussed Core Insights - The report highlights various companies' financial performances, with several exceeding market expectations in terms of profit growth and revenue increases. Notably, companies like Hillstone Technology and Tencent have shown significant growth in their respective sectors, indicating potential investment opportunities in technology and gaming industries [4][4][4] Company Summaries Hillstone Technology - Reported a 4.5 times increase in interim profit, reaching 115 million RMB, driven by a 40.15% increase in revenue to 7.675 billion RMB, primarily due to a 30.8% growth in camera module sales [4][4][4] Tencent - Collaborated with Nexon to release two games in China, indicating a strategic move to enhance its gaming portfolio and capitalize on the growing gaming market [4][4] Hong Teng Precision Technology - Achieved a profit of 32.52 million USD in the first half of the year, a turnaround from a loss of 8.95 million USD in the same period last year, with a revenue increase of 15.85% [4][4] Yuanyuan Group - Reported a 1.2 times increase in interim profit to 18.4 million USD, despite a 3.36% decline in revenue to 4.015 billion USD [4][4] Reading Group - Experienced a 34% increase in interim profit to 504 million RMB, with total revenue rising by 27.65% to 4.191 billion RMB [4][4] Other Companies - Several companies, including 361 Degrees and Baosheng International, reported profit increases, indicating a positive trend in their respective sectors [4][4][4]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report highlights a mixed economic outlook for the mainland, with July CPI rising by 0.5% and PPI declining by 0.8%, both exceeding market expectations [3] - The People's Bank of China indicates that some bond-type financial products have yields higher than their underlying assets, suggesting significant interest rate risks [3] - Regulatory bodies are requiring certain brokerages to self-examine their bond trading practices, indicating increased scrutiny in the bond market [3] - The report discusses the acceleration of green transformation in the economy, with specific targets set for 2030 and 2035 regarding energy consumption and emissions [4] - The report notes a significant increase in financing for real estate companies in July, primarily driven by Vanke's substantial bank loans [4] - The automotive sector is experiencing a decline in sales, with July figures showing a 5.2% year-on-year drop, although new energy vehicle sales are increasing [4][5] Summary by Sections Macroeconomic Focus - July CPI increased by 0.5%, while PPI decreased by 0.8%, with food prices remaining stable and non-food prices rising [3] - The People's Bank of China reported that some financial products are leveraging to achieve higher yields, posing risks when market rates rise [3] - Regulatory scrutiny is increasing, with brokerages required to self-check bond trading practices [3] Green Transformation - The central government has set ambitious targets for green transformation by 2030 and 2035, including a significant increase in non-fossil energy consumption [4] - The National Development and Reform Commission is guiding social capital participation in green projects and enhancing the regulatory framework [4] Real Estate Sector - In July, financing for 65 major real estate companies reached 52.35 billion yuan, a monthly increase of 63.8%, largely due to Vanke's loans [4] - Regulatory bodies are encouraging real estate companies to adopt various fundraising methods to ensure project completion [4] Automotive Industry - July saw a 5.2% year-on-year decline in overall vehicle sales, while new energy vehicle sales rose by 27% [4][5] - Reports indicate that several car manufacturers are reducing discounts and production to stabilize pricing [4][5]