Bitcoin Adoption by JP Morgan - JP Morgan is considering offering Bitcoin-backed loans to clients [1] - JP Morgan will consider Bitcoin holdings when assessing clients' net worth [1]

RT Crypto.com Research & Insights (@cryptocom_rni)Crypto Market Pulse Weekly:📈 Crypto market cap surpassed $4 trillion for the first time✍️ US House of Representatives passed three crypto legislations💫 Bank of America, Citigroup, and JP Morgan explore stablecoinsThe details 👇https://t.co/yQ78Vl0CVp https://t.co/nuqNqouj3M ...

If you guys have been watching the videos, we have been tracking stable coins and tokenization closely. And the reason why is because these two are really directly correlated with one another. Stable coins enable almost everything around crypto.Um, think of them as pretty much the lifeline for everything, right. Because stable coins are liquidity for this market. Um, you utilize stable coins to transact with to tap into DeFi protocols for like liquidity pools, lending and borrowing.you name it. And stable c ...

IN, SCARLET FU WITH VONNIE WHEN THE S&P 500 IS NEAR RECORD HIGHS BUT HASN'T MOVED A LOT THIS AFTERNOON. VONNIE: ALMOST AT 6300 FEET FLAT ON THE S&P 500 BUT 50% OF THE COMPANIES IN IT ARE HIGHER AND 50% OR LOWER. WE HAD COMMENTS FROM CHRIS WALLER ON TELEVISION TODAY REITERATING HIS CASE FOR A RATE CUT AND THE PRESIDENT IS PUSHING FOR A MINIMUM TARIFF. YOU HEARD THE PRESIDENT TALKING ABOUT TARIFFS ON BRICS AND OTHER COUNTRIES. PROFIT TAKING AS WELL, GIVEN THAT IT IS FRIDAY. SCARLET: LET'S BEGIN OUR MARKET DIS ...

Inflation and Tariffs Impact - US inflation accelerated in June, with the consumer price index rising 27% year-over-year [1] - Bank of America warns that tariffs are being passed on to consumers [3] - Wells Fargo notes that the impact of tariffs on consumer spending is now visible [3] - Yale Budget Lab estimates Americans will face an average tariff rate of over 18%, potentially rising above 20% if August 1 tariffs take effect [9] - Consumer electronics and household furnishings prices are already rising substantially [11] - The Treasury collected $27 billion in customs revenue in June, up $20 billion from a year earlier [12] Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - The President suggests the Fed should lower interest rates immediately [4] - Treasury Secretary is reportedly seeking a replacement for Powell when his term ends in May 2026 [5] - The independence of the Fed is critical for financial stability [16] - Concerns exist that meddling with interest rates for short-term gains could destabilize the economy [25]

Core Insights - Turning Rock Partners announced the sale of South Reach Networks, a leading provider of hybrid fiber, colocation, and transport services, through a control buyout transaction by Blue Owl Capital's Digital Infrastructure strategy [1][2] - South Reach Networks has experienced growth in its colocation and fiber footprint through both organic expansion and strategic acquisitions, led by its existing management team [2] - Blue Owl Capital expressed excitement about supporting South Reach Networks' expansion in Florida, highlighting the Southeast as a priority region for hyperscale customers [3] Company Overview - South Reach Networks is a Florida-based telecommunications infrastructure provider that constructs, owns, and operates a Metro & Long-Haul Fiber Optic Network spanning 370 miles along the East Coast of Florida [5] - The company provides global and domestic reach to a diverse ecosystem of carriers, subsea, enterprise, and wireless operators [5] Investment Context - Turning Rock Partners focuses on debt, equity, and hybrid investments in lower-middle market businesses in North America, offering bespoke financing solutions [4] - Blue Owl Capital manages over $273 billion in assets as of March 31, 2025, and invests across multiple strategies including Credit, Real Assets, and GP Strategic Capital [6]

Tariffs and Market Risk - The market is largely discounting the risk of higher tariffs, viewing President's threats as saber rattling [2][3] - There is a risk that tariffs, with an effective rate of 13-14%, will start to impact second quarter earnings, as they began to kick in during May [4] - Mega cap tech companies are relatively invulnerable to tariffs [12] Interest Rates and Fed Policy - The Fed is split on interest rate policy, with approximately 50% favoring rate cuts due to concerns about unemployment and 50% worried about the inflationary effects of tariffs [6] - Chicago Fed chairman Goulsby is considered dovish and signals potential rate cuts [5] Yield Curve and Banking Sector - A steepening yield curve is generally considered positive for the overall economy and is beneficial for banks, as they borrow short and lend long [8] - The banking sector is fundamentally benefiting from the current yield curve [9] - Mega cap banks like JP Morgan are trading at high valuations (250% of book value), but regional banks may still offer attractive opportunities [10] Tech Sector - Tech names are showing strong positive indications pre-earnings, with approximately 60% of positive pre-announcements coming from the tech sector, compared to about 14% for industrials [13] - Mega cap tech companies still have room to grow, driven by long-term growth pathways, despite recent pullbacks for profit taking [12]

We did have though the Russell 2000 posting its ninth day of gains in 10 S&P and NASDAQ coming off record highs and Steph you have the president talking about and threatening more tariffs and UBS really hits the nail on the head today. The remarkable resilience of the US equity market persists and that's what the story is and that's what the story remains. The question is can it continue to do that.It can tell tell our viewers why you think so. Yes, the market is resilient despite the noise with regards to ...

Trade Tensions and Tariffs - President Trump's threat of a 35% tariff on some Canadian goods and a baseline of 15-20% on other countries is causing market volatility [1][2] - China criticizes the U S over its trade policies, accusing Washington of abusing tariffs [1] - Markets appear relatively relaxed despite tariff headlines, with the S&P 500 pointing lower by two-tenths of 1% [2][3] - A 35% tariff on Canada may not be as impactful as it seems, as much of the trade is covered by the USMCA [5][10] - The market may be becoming desensitized or complacent to the massive number of tariff headlines [6] - A baseline tariff of 20% would effectively double the economic damage expected by markets and economists [14] Market Sentiment and Risk Assessment - Jamie Dimon warns that markets are complacent on Trump's tariff agenda [1][18] - Implied volatility is low, suggesting the market is not pricing in risk from extreme volatility [7] - The market's ability to "buy the dip" after sell-offs is a conundrum for investors [8][9] - Equity markets may be trading off of earnings outlook and inflation data rather than tariff threats [20][21] Federal Reserve and Inflation - The Federal Reserve (FED) officials are divided on how the tariff impact shows up and how long it will persist [27] - Jamie Dimon anticipates firmer inflation due to tariffs, giving the FED a 40-50% chance of hiking [22][23] - The FED minutes solidify that most FED members are worried about persistent inflation from tariffs [27] Geopolitical Implications - China opposes unilateral tariffs and believes ASEAN countries will resist unilateralism [32][33] - China is willing to work with Vietnam to safeguard the legitimate interests of all countries [34] - The U S and China are vying for influence in Southeast Asia [36]

Market Overview & Strategy - The soft landing trade is currently in effect, but structural and fundamental improvements are needed for consumer discretionary and small-cap sectors to continue outperforming beyond a tactical trade [2] - A bullish narrative for the second half requires cyclical sectors, including consumer discretionary, to perform well and contribute to earnings growth beyond growth-led sectors [7] - The market is currently pricing in a lot of good news, and sentiment is somewhat stretched, requiring earnings season to deliver [12] - Risk-reward is slightly more to the downside than upside, but a bullish case depends on more factors contributing positively [15] Investment Opportunities - AI remains a favored growth theme, with opportunities potentially underpriced in many stocks [4] - Consider AI plays outside the US to complement structural growth names already prominent in the index [4] - Focus on companies globally that are improving quality and efficiency, regardless of the economic backdrop [9] - Companies that are users or adopters of AI tools, like SAP, represent investment opportunities as structural improvers not yet priced to perfection [10] Risks & Concerns - Consumer matters for a bullish second half, with potential issues including inventory pulled in ahead of expected tariffs and credit issues affecting working-class consumers [5][7] - Short-term caution is advised, echoing Jamie Dimon's warning about market complacency on tariffs [10][12] - While not the base case, a surprise Fed rate hike would negatively impact equity markets [11]