Group 1 - The research service "Asia Value & Moat Stocks" targets value investors looking for Asia-listed stocks with significant discrepancies between price and intrinsic value, focusing on deep value balance sheet bargains and wide moat stocks [1] - The service emphasizes investment opportunities in the Hong Kong market, identifying deep value balance sheet bargains and high-quality businesses with strong competitive advantages [1] - Monthly updates and watch lists are provided to members, highlighting potential investment opportunities in the region [1]

Core Insights - ZTO Express reported mixed fourth-quarter 2024 earnings, with earnings per share of 44 cents missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 46 cents, while total revenues of $1.77 billion surpassed the estimate of $1.65 billion [1][2] Financial Performance - The company's adjusted net income for the quarter was 2.7 billion, and parcel volume reached 9.7 billion, with an average daily retail parcel volume exceeding 7 million, marking a nearly 50% increase year over year [3] - Revenues from the core express delivery business improved by 22.4% year over year, driven by an 11% growth in parcel volume and a 10.3% increase in unit price [4] - Gross profit improved by 20.2% year over year, although the gross margin rate fell to 29.1% from 29.5% in the previous year [5] Operational Statistics - Revenues from freight forwarding services declined by 11.7% year over year due to falling cross-border e-commerce pricing, while revenues from accessory sales increased by 11.7% [5] - Total operating expenses were RMB306.5 million ($42.0 million), down from RMB373.2 million in the previous year [6] Cash and Dividends - ZTO Express ended the fourth quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $1.84 billion, an increase from $1.66 billion at the end of the prior quarter [6] - The board approved a semi-annual cash dividend of 35 cents per American depositary share, representing a 40% dividend payout ratio [7] Share Repurchase Program - The board approved an increase in the share repurchase program to $2 billion, with the effective period extended through June 30, 2025; as of December 31, 2024, ZTO had repurchased 50,546,707 ADSs for $1,222.0 million [8] Future Guidance - ZTO Express expects its parcel volume for 2025 to be in the range of 40.8 billion to 42.2 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 20-24% [9] Stock Performance - ZTO shares have gained 9% year to date, outperforming the transportation-services industry [11]

Group 1: Nvidia and AI Market - Nvidia's GPU Technology Conference (GTC) is anticipated to provide positive updates on demand and production, potentially attracting investors back to tech stocks [2][3] - The iShares Future AI & Tech ETF (ARTY) has seen a decline of 18% from its recent market high, indicating a bearish trend in the AI sector [3] - BofA analyst Vivek Arya expects updates on Nvidia's pipeline, particularly the Blackwell Ultra and Rubin, and its competitive position in China [4] Group 2: Federal Reserve and Economic Projections - Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is expected to face questions regarding the impact of tariffs on growth and inflation during his upcoming press conference [6][7] - Economists from Wells Fargo predict a modest downgrade to economic projections for 2025, with real GDP growth expected to dip below 2.0% [10] - The latest consumer sentiment report shows a rise in inflation expectations, with year-ahead expectations increasing to 4.9% from 4.3% [8] Group 3: Earnings Reports and Market Sentiment - FedEx is projected to report earnings of $4.67 per share on revenue of $21.91 billion, with expectations of improved efficiency and higher margins in FY26 [11] - Other companies reporting earnings include KE Holdings, XPeng, Tencent Music, and ZTO Express, indicating a busy earnings calendar [11][12] - Bill Gross comments on the current market volatility and the potential impact of tariffs on global economies, suggesting a bearish outlook [15][16]

Core Insights - ZTO Express is set to report its fourth-quarter 2024 results on March 18, with earnings per share (EPS) estimates remaining flat at 47 cents and revenue expectations at $1.66 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 10.8% [1][2] Financial Performance Expectations - High operating expenses are anticipated to negatively impact the company's bottom line, although top-line growth is expected to be driven by strong parcel volumes, particularly in the express delivery services unit [3] - The company has revised its 2024 parcel volume guidance to a range of 33.7 billion to 33.9 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 11.6% to 12.3%, down from a previous estimate of 34.73 billion to 35.64 billion [4] Revenue Insights - Revenues from the freight forwarding services unit are expected to be adversely affected by weak freight demand, with an update on the ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China anticipated during the fourth-quarter conference call [5] Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for ZTO Express, as it has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a hold position [6][7]