Core Insights - Intel Corp is set to report its fourth-quarter earnings, with Wall Street expecting an EPS of 12 cents and revenues of $13.81 billion [1] - The stock has declined by 54.51% over the past year and is down 1.36% year-to-date, raising concerns about its long-term growth due to weak AI positioning and declining data center market share [1] - Analysts currently rate Intel stock as Neutral, with a price target of $28.54, indicating a potential upside of 12.14% based on recent ratings from UBS, Citigroup, and Barclays [5] Stock Performance - Intel stock is facing strong bearish pressure, trading at $19.98, which is below its five-, 20-, and 50-day exponential moving averages, indicating continued selling pressure [2] - The eight-day and 20-day simple moving averages confirm short-term weakness, with the 50-day simple moving average at $21.31 reinforcing a bearish outlook [3] - The 200-day simple moving average at $25.56 highlights a prolonged downtrend, suggesting a challenging recovery path for the stock [3] Technical Indicators - The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) at negative 0.12 indicates ongoing negative momentum, while a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 44.67 suggests the stock is nearing oversold territory [4] - Investors are advised to brace for continued volatility and look for signs of stabilization before considering a bullish reversal [4]

Earnings and Revenue Projections - Intel's upcoming quarterly earnings are expected to be $0 12 per share, a decline of 77 8% compared to the year-ago period [1] - Analysts forecast revenues of $13 77 billion, representing a decrease of 10 6% year over year [1] - No revision in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter over the past 30 days, indicating stability in analysts' projections [1] Importance of Earnings Estimate Revisions - Revisions to earnings projections are critical for predicting potential investor behaviors and short-term stock price performance [2] Key Metrics Analysis - 'Net Revenues- Total Intel Products Group- Network and Edge' is expected to be $1 44 billion, a year-over-year change of -2 4% [4] - 'Net Revenues- Total Intel Products Group- Client Computing Group' is forecasted at $7 75 billion, a year-over-year change of -12 4% [4] - 'Net Revenues- All other- Other' is estimated at $154 54 million, a year-over-year change of -13 2% [5] - 'Net Revenues- Total Intel Products Group- Data Center and AI' is projected to reach $3 35 billion, a year-over-year change of -15 9% [5] - 'Net Revenues- Intel Foundry Services' is expected to be $4 49 billion, a year-over-year change of +1443 1% [5] - 'Net Revenues- All other- Mobileye' is forecasted at $508 22 million, a year-over-year change of -20 2% [6] - 'Net Revenues- Client Computing- Notebook' is estimated at $5 13 billion, a year-over-year change of -1 1% [6] - 'Net Revenues- Client Computing- Desktop' is projected to reach $2 17 billion, a year-over-year change of -31 4% [6] - 'Net Revenues- Client Computing- Other' is expected to be $364 16 million, a year-over-year change of -26 4% [7] Stock Performance - Intel's shares have returned -1 3% over the past month, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1 7% change [7] - Intel currently carries a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting its performance may align with the overall market in the near future [7]

Company Overview - Intel faces a major crossroads following the forced retirement of its CEO, Pat Gelsinger, in early December, leaving investors uncertain about the company's future direction [1] - There is speculation among investors about the potential split of Intel's product business from its other operations, though no concrete plans have been announced [1] Leadership and Strategy - The departure of Pat Gelsinger, a charismatic leader, has created a leadership vacuum at Intel, raising questions about the company's strategic direction [1] - The CEO transition comes at a critical time for Intel, as the company navigates challenges in the semiconductor industry and seeks to maintain its competitive edge [1] Investor Sentiment - Investors are closely monitoring Intel's next steps, particularly regarding potential structural changes such as a business split, which could impact the company's valuation and market position [1] - The uncertainty surrounding Intel's leadership and strategic direction has led to increased scrutiny from the investment community [1]

DAVOS, SWITZERLAND - JANUARY 21: Intel store is seen at Promenade Street in Davos, Switzerland on ... [+] January 21, 2025. (Photo by Ömer Sercan Karku/Anadolu via Getty Images)Anadolu via Getty ImagesChina’s new AI model DeepSeek roiled the U.S. big tech stocks on Monday with semiconductor names taking the biggest hit. The industry expects the resource-light new model could usher in a wave of more efficient AI models, hurting demand for AI hardware. The worst hit were AI bellwether Nvidia and Broadcom whic ...

Intel Corporation (INTC) is scheduled to report fourth-quarter 2024 earnings after the closing bell on Jan. 30. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for sales and earnings is pegged at $13.77 billion and 12 cents per share, respectively. Over the past 60 days, estimates for INTC have remained steady at a loss of 14 cents per share for 2024 but declined from earnings of 94 cents per share to 92 cents for 2025.Find the latest EPS estimates and surprises on Zacks Earnings Calendar.INTC Estimate TrendImage Source: Zack ...

Earnings and Analyst Expectations - Intel is expected to report a fourth-quarter revenue of $13.8 billion, a 10% year-over-year decline [2] - The company is anticipated to post a net loss of $710 million, or 14 cents per share, compared to earnings of $2.66 billion, or 63 cents per share, in the same quarter last year [2] - 12 out of 13 analysts tracked by Visible Alpha have issued "hold" or equivalent ratings, with one "sell" rating, and a consensus price target of $24, implying a 15% upside from Monday's closing price of $20.29 [1] Market Performance and Valuation - Intel's market capitalization stands at over $87 billion, but the stock has lost more than half its value over the past 12 months [4] - Shares of Intel declined by more than 2.5% in Monday trading [4] Takeover Speculation and Leadership Changes - Intel has been the subject of recent takeover speculation, with Citi analysts suggesting Broadcom as the most likely potential buyer, possibly interested in acquiring Intel's struggling foundry business [3] - The fourth-quarter results will be the first since Intel's CEO Pat Gelsinger stepped down last month [3]

It all revolves around narrowing the performance gap to show it's still a viable semiconductor choice.In this video, Motley Fool contributor Jason Hall explains why Intel (INTC -3.43%) faces a hard path forward, but has the potential to be a market-beating stock over the next five years.*Stock prices used were from the afternoon of Jan. 23, 2025. The video was published on Jan. 27, 2025. ...

Stock Valuation - Intel's stock price surged over 9% on Jan 17 following reports of a potential acquisition interest [1] - The stock's price-to-book ratio is just over 0.9, indicating potential undervaluation compared to the S&P 500 average of over 5x book value [2][3][4] - The company could theoretically increase in value by 8% through liquidation based on its current book value [3] Foundry Business - Intel operates more foundries in the US than any other company [5] - US share of global chip production has declined from 40% in 1990 to 12% in 2020 [5] - The CHIPS Act allocates $53 billion to domestic chip production, potentially benefiting Intel [5] - Intel's planned investments in advanced foundries could position it as a top global chip producer [6] Semiconductor Market Position - Intel generated $36 billion in product revenue in the first nine months of 2024 [8] - Excluding foundry business, Intel still maintains significant industry presence with $23 billion in revenue [8] - The company remains competitive in less technically advanced chips, which represent a substantial market segment [7][9] - TSMC derived 26% of its Q4 2024 revenue from chips larger than 7 nanometers, indicating continued demand for older chip designs [9] Acquisition Potential - Intel's current valuation and industry position make it an attractive acquisition target [10][11] - While unlikely to regain industry leadership, the company's undervaluation and revenue generation capacity present potential value [11] - Political and industry factors could enhance Intel's foundry business over time [11]

Paul Franke's Investment Strategy - Paul Franke is a private investor with 38 years of trading experience, known for his contrarian stock selection style and algorithm-based analysis of fundamental and technical data [1] - He developed the "Victory Formation" system, which identifies supply/demand imbalances through specific stock price and volume movements [1] - Franke recommends using 10% or 20% stop-loss levels on individual stock choices and maintaining a diversified portfolio of at least 50 well-positioned stocks for regular market outperformance [1] - His "Bottom Fishing Club" articles focus on deep-value stocks or those experiencing a major reversal in technical momentum to the upside [1] - The "Volume Breakout Report" articles discuss positive trend changes backed by strong price and volume trading action [1] Paul Franke's Career Achievements - Franke was consistently ranked among the top investment advisors nationally for stock market and commodity macro views by Timer Digest during the 1990s [1] - He was ranked 1 in the Motley Fool CAPS stock-picking contest during parts of 2008 and 2009, outperforming over 60,000 portfolios [1] - As of September 2024, Franke was ranked in the Top 3% of bloggers by TipRanks for 12-month stock-picking performance over the last decade [1] Disclosure and Disclaimer - The article includes disclosures about the author's long position in INTC and the lack of compensation or business relationships with mentioned companies [2] - The writing is for educational and informational purposes only, with no investment recommendations or guarantees of accuracy [3] - Seeking Alpha's disclosure emphasizes that past performance is no guarantee of future results and that their analysts are not licensed securities dealers or investment advisers [4]

Industry Overview - The semiconductor industry is at a critical juncture with Intel and AMD preparing to report Q4 earnings, with investor sentiment being reshaped by dynamics in the PC, server, and AI markets [1] Intel Analysis - Intel faces a tough near-term outlook due to limited market growth, CPU share losses, and ongoing PC weakness [2] - The server segment is nearing a bottom, but AI remains a significant gap in Intel's pipeline [2] - M&A speculation surrounds Intel, but regulatory challenges and growing dependence on TSMC pose hurdles [2] - A potential breakthrough in Intel's 18A node could offer a lifeline, though success remains unproven [3] AMD Analysis - AMD has gained server CPU share but is highly sensitive to AI GPU demand for 2025 [3] - Q4 earnings are expected to be in-line, but PC headwinds and muted embedded/gaming demand could pressure Q1 results [4] - AMD's 2025 AI revenue is projected at $8 billion, below the $9 billion consensus [4] - Nvidia holds over 80% of the AI market share, positioning AMD as a secondary player [4] Competitive Landscape - AMD appears better positioned with steady server CPU gains and AI exposure, though its long-term AI market share remains uncertain [5] - Intel is grappling with manufacturing uncertainty and AI irrelevance, but positive 18A developments could shift sentiment [5] - Investors are evaluating whether Intel's current position is solid or a mirage, while AMD's AI strategy faces a reality check [5]