First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Presentation May 2, 2025 Copyright ® 2025 by American International Group, Inc. All rights reserved. No part of this document may be reproduced, republished or reposted without the permission of AIG. Q1 2025 Earnings Key Themes 1. NPW on a comparable basis reflects constant dollar basis adjustments and the sale of AIG's Travel business in 2024. NPE on a comparable basis reflects the sale of AIG's Travel business in 2024. Refer to page 26 for more detail. * Refers to fina ...

Core Insights - American International Group (AIG) reported a revenue of $6.62 billion for Q1 2025, marking a 47% decline year-over-year and falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.79 billion, resulting in a surprise of -2.59% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same quarter was $1.17, down from $1.77 a year ago, but exceeded the consensus estimate of $1.05 by 11.43% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - AIG's shares have returned -7.1% over the past month, compared to a -0.7% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite, with a current Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) indicating potential performance in line with the broader market [3] - General Insurance combined ratio was reported at 95.8%, better than the average estimate of 96.7% from four analysts [4] - The expense ratio for General Insurance was 30.5%, compared to the estimated 31.1% [4] - The loss ratio for General Insurance was 65.3%, slightly better than the 65.6% average estimate [4] - North America Commercial loss ratio was reported at 71.8%, compared to the estimated 71.2% [4] - North America Commercial combined ratio was 93.9%, better than the estimated 94.9% [4] - Net premiums earned in General Insurance were $5.77 billion, below the average estimate of $5.86 billion, reflecting a -0.3% year-over-year change [4] - Net investment income for General Insurance was $736 million, lower than the average estimate of $809.75 million, representing a -3.4% year-over-year change [4] - International Commercial net premiums earned were $2.05 billion, below the estimated $2.10 billion [4] - Global Personal net premiums earned were $1.59 billion, compared to the estimated $1.74 billion [4] - Other Operations reported net investment income and other at $110 million, exceeding the average estimate of $96.73 million, showing a significant year-over-year increase of 358.3% [4] - North America Commercial net premiums earned were $2.12 billion, slightly above the average estimate of $2.06 billion [4] - Total net investment income was reported at $1.11 billion, surpassing the average estimate of $933.40 million, but reflecting a substantial year-over-year decline of 71.7% [4]

Group 1: Earnings Performance - American International Group (AIG) reported quarterly earnings of $1.17 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.05 per share, but down from $1.77 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 11.43% [1] - The company posted revenues of $6.62 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.59%, and down from $12.47 billion year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, AIG has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates two times [2] Group 2: Stock Performance and Outlook - AIG shares have increased approximately 12% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's decline of -5.3% [3] - The future performance of AIG's stock will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the company's earnings outlook [4][6] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.69 on revenues of $6.99 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $6.15 on revenues of $27.84 billion [7] Group 3: Industry Context - The Zacks Industry Rank indicates that the Insurance - Multi line sector is currently in the top 20% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook for stocks within this sector [8] - Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact AIG's stock performance [5]

Financial Performance - AIG reported net premiums written (NPW) of $4.5 billion for Q1 2025, flat year-over-year on a reported basis but up 8% on a comparable basis[6]. - Net income attributable to AIG common shareholders was $698 million, or $1.16 per diluted share, down from $1.2 billion, or $1.74 per diluted share, in the prior year quarter[10]. - Total net investment income for Q1 2025 was $1.1 billion, a 13% increase from $979 million in the prior year quarter[12]. - AIG reported a pre-tax income of $1,058 million for the three months ended March 31, 2024, with a net income attributable to AIG common shareholders of $1,194 million[48]. - The adjusted pre-tax income attributable to AIG common shareholders was $1,153 million, while the adjusted after-tax income was $862 million for the same period[48]. - Net income attributable to AIG common shareholders decreased by 32.6% to $1.18 in 2025 from $1.75 in 2024[54]. Shareholder Returns - AIG returned approximately $2.5 billion to shareholders in Q1 2025, including $2.2 billion in share repurchases and $234 million in dividends[13]. - The Board of Directors approved a 12.5% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.45 per share, marking the third consecutive year of double-digit percentage increases[5]. - Basic earnings per share from continuing operations increased by 3.5% to $1.18 for the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to $1.14 in 2024[54]. Insurance Operations - Global Commercial NPW increased to $3.2 billion, reflecting a 10% growth year-over-year, with North America Commercial growing 14% and International Commercial growing 8%[4]. - The General Insurance combined ratio was 95.8%, an increase from 89.8% in the prior year quarter, primarily due to higher catastrophe charges[17]. - The accident year combined ratio, as adjusted, was 87.8%, the best first quarter results since the financial crisis[3]. - The combined ratio for the first quarter was 107.9%, an increase from 98.3% in the prior year quarter, primarily due to the impact of January California wildfires[21]. - Net premiums written for the first quarter of 2025 were $1.3 billion, a decline of 14% from the prior year quarter, but a growth of 3% on a comparable basis driven by Personal Auto growth[21]. - The accident year combined ratio for North America Commercial was adjusted to 84.3 in 2025 from 85.9 in 2024[61]. Investment Performance - AIG's net investment income from General Insurance was $814 million, while the net investment income from Other Operations was a loss of $133 million[52]. - Net investment income and other for the first quarter increased by $37 million to $73 million, attributed to dividend income from Corebridge[22][25]. - Net investment income on a consolidated basis increased to $1,105 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, from $979 million in 2024[54]. Financial Position - The debt to total capital ratio was 17.1% as of March 31, 2025, indicating a strong balance sheet position[14]. - Total financial and hybrid debt stood at $8,558 million as of March 31, 2025, with total capital at $50,017 million[58]. - Total adjusted common shareholders' equity rose to $53,249 million as of March 31, 2024, up from $44,726 million at the end of 2024[56]. - Book value per share increased by 10.4% to $64.66 as of March 31, 2024, compared to $70.16 at the end of 2024[56]. - AIG's core operating book value per share was $61.72 as of March 31, 2025, reflecting a slight decrease from $61.75 in 2024[56]. Operational Efficiency - Corporate and other general operating expenses improved by $73 million from the prior year quarter, achieving a run-rate target of $85 million in the first quarter of 2025[25]. - The company is on track to achieve a target operating structure of $350 million in annual expenses for 2025[25]. - Interest expense decreased by $24 million from the prior year quarter, primarily due to debt reduction[25]. Forward-Looking Statements - AIG expects to achieve a Core Operating Return on Equity (ROE) of 10%+ for the full year 2025, supported by significant strategic and financial flexibility[8]. - Forward-looking statements indicate potential risks including economic conditions, catastrophic events, and regulatory changes that may affect future results[26][27]. Miscellaneous - AIG will host a conference call on May 2, 2025, to review these results, accessible via a live webcast[23]. - The adjusted return on equity is used to show the rate of return on common shareholders' equity excluding Investments AOCI, providing insight into underlying profitability[38]. - The company experienced a net loss reserve discount charge of $76 million in the reported period[52]. - Integration and transaction costs associated with acquiring or divesting businesses amounted to $3 million in the first quarter of 2024[52]. - AIG recorded a net loss from discontinued operations of $803 million, reflecting the impact of divestitures[48]. - Changes in the fair values of equity securities and AIG's investment in Corebridge resulted in a loss of $88 million[48]. - The company reported net realized losses on Fortitude Re funds withheld assets totaling $55 million[48].

Industry Overview - Continued improved pricing, exposure growth, portfolio streamlining, solid retention, renewals, reinsurance agreements, and accelerated digitalization are expected to have boosted insurance stocks' performance in the March quarter [1] - The total earnings of finance companies for the first quarter are anticipated to rise by 8.2% year-over-year, with revenues expected to improve by 3.3% [2] Performance Factors - Solid retention, exposure growth across business lines, and improved pricing are likely to have boosted premiums, with the commercial insurance sector seeing a composite rate increase of 3% and personal lines composite rate increasing by 4.9% in Q1 2025 [3] - Auto premiums are likely to have improved due to increased travel, while a low unemployment rate is expected to aid commercial and group insurance [4] - The aging U.S. population is expected to maintain strong demand for life insurance and protection products, contributing to steady premium inflows [6] - The insurance industry's increased use of technology such as blockchain, AI, and advanced analytics is likely to have curbed costs and aided margins [7] Company-Specific Insights - Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) is expected to benefit from solid performance in both segments, with new business, solid retention, and higher renewal premiums [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AJG's earnings is pegged at $3.57, indicating a 2.2% increase year-over-year, with revenues expected at $3.75 billion, implying 16.4% growth [11] - Reinsurance Group of America (RGA) is expected to benefit from solid performance in various segments, with rising premiums and net investment income, although rising costs may constrain profit expansion [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RGA's earnings is pegged at $5.33 per share, indicating an 11.4% decline year-over-year, with revenues expected at $5.74 billion, implying a 7.2% decrease [13] - American International Group (AIG) anticipates a 1.3% year-over-year growth in General Insurance net premiums earned, but with expected declines in North America and International units [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AIG's earnings is pegged at $1.05 per share, indicating a 40.6% decline year-over-year, with revenues expected at $6.79 billion, signaling a 45.5% decline [15]

Group 1 - American International Group, Inc. (NYSE: AIG) has made significant progress in improving its underwriting performance in recent years, although it still has a weaker underwriting capability compared to its peers [1] - The article highlights the expertise of Labutes IR, a fund manager/analyst with over 18 years of experience in the financial sector, indicating a knowledgeable perspective on the industry [1]

Group 1 - Albert Anthony is a Croatian-American media personality active on investor platforms like Investing.com and Seeking Alpha, with over 1,000 followers since 2023 [1] - He is set to launch a new book titled "Financial Markets: Growing A Dividend Income Portfolio" in 2025, coinciding with an ongoing series of articles on the same topic [1] - Albert Anthony has a background in management and information systems, having worked in the IT department of a top-10 financial firm [1] Group 2 - The Albert Anthony brand is owned by Albert Anthony & Co., a sole proprietorship registered in Austin, Texas [1] - The focus of the Future Investor Fund is on building a dividend portfolio, indicating a strategy aimed at generating income through dividends [1] - Albert Anthony has completed various degrees and certifications from institutions such as Drew University and UVA Darden School of Business, enhancing his expertise in finance [1]

Group 1: Nvidia and AI Market - Nvidia's GPU Technology Conference (GTC) is anticipated to provide positive updates on demand and production, potentially attracting investors back to tech stocks [2][3] - The iShares Future AI & Tech ETF (ARTY) has seen a decline of 18% from its recent market high, indicating a bearish trend in the AI sector [3] - BofA analyst Vivek Arya expects updates on Nvidia's pipeline, particularly the Blackwell Ultra and Rubin, and its competitive position in China [4] Group 2: Federal Reserve and Economic Projections - Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is expected to face questions regarding the impact of tariffs on growth and inflation during his upcoming press conference [6][7] - Economists from Wells Fargo predict a modest downgrade to economic projections for 2025, with real GDP growth expected to dip below 2.0% [10] - The latest consumer sentiment report shows a rise in inflation expectations, with year-ahead expectations increasing to 4.9% from 4.3% [8] Group 3: Earnings Reports and Market Sentiment - FedEx is projected to report earnings of $4.67 per share on revenue of $21.91 billion, with expectations of improved efficiency and higher margins in FY26 [11] - Other companies reporting earnings include KE Holdings, XPeng, Tencent Music, and ZTO Express, indicating a busy earnings calendar [11][12] - Bill Gross comments on the current market volatility and the potential impact of tariffs on global economies, suggesting a bearish outlook [15][16]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the Quest UK Pension Scheme Core Insights - The primary goal of the trustees is to ensure the scheme is fully funded, with a focus on stability and improving the expected solvency position [6][22] - The investment strategy is designed to balance various asset types, considering the scheme's liabilities, cash flow needs, and funding levels [7][10] - The trustees have appointed Aon Investment Limited for daily asset management and have established a diversified investment portfolio to mitigate concentration risks [5][8] Summary by Sections Investment Objectives and Policies - The trustees aim to achieve a funding target with prudent assumptions and will create a recovery plan if deficits are identified [6] - The investment strategy includes a mix of growth and matching assets to align with future retirement benefit payments [22][23] Investment Selection and Management - The scheme's assets are primarily invested in regulated markets, with a cautious approach to investments outside these markets [10] - The trustees retain responsibility for asset allocation and will seek professional advice as needed [12][18] Performance Monitoring and Risk Management - Investment performance and risks are monitored quarterly, with a focus on ensuring that the investment strategy remains suitable [19][20] - The trustees will reassess the investment strategy following significant changes in the scheme's status or every three years [13][18] Cost and Performance Evaluation - The trustees are aware of the importance of monitoring total costs associated with asset management and their impact on overall value [37] - Annual cost transparency reports are received from the asset manager, detailing all investment-related costs [38][39] Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Considerations - The trustees recognize the importance of ESG factors in investment decisions and expect investment managers to incorporate these considerations [41][42] - Regular assessments of ESG-related risks and opportunities are conducted, with a focus on responsible investment practices [43][51]

Industry Overview - The Zacks Multiline Insurance industry includes companies that provide various insurance coverages, allowing customers to pay a single premium for multiple products, which enhances customer retention and reduces concentration risk [3][4] - The industry is experiencing increased demand for protection products, particularly in life insurance, driven by heightened awareness and customized offerings [4] Trends Impacting the Industry - Product diversification is helping industry players mitigate concentration risk and improve revenue generation [1] - Accelerated digitalization and the adoption of embedded insurance are expected to drive growth, with global premiums from embedded insurance projected to exceed $722 billion by 2030 [1][6] - The transition to green energy and the rise of cyber insurance due to increased AI adoption present new growth opportunities [4][6] Mergers and Acquisitions - The solid capital levels of multiline insurers are expected to fuel M&A activities, with a focus on diversifying operations and gaining market share [2][5] - Consolidation is anticipated to rise in 2024, particularly among insurance technology companies [5] Financial Performance - The Multiline Insurance industry has underperformed compared to the Finance sector and the S&P 500, with a collective gain of 11.1% over the past year, while the Finance sector increased by 25.6% and the S&P 500 rose by 24.1% [11] - The industry's Zacks Industry Rank is 128, placing it in the bottom 48% of 251 Zacks industries, reflecting a negative earnings outlook with a 28.1% downward revision in earnings estimates for the current year [8][9] Current Valuation - The industry is currently trading at a trailing 12-month price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 2.38X, compared to the S&P 500's 8.07X and the sector's 3.71X [13] Company Highlights - **Radian Group**: Focused on mortgage insurance, with a strong capital position and expected growth driven by new business and increasing persistency [17][18] - **CNO Financial Group**: Offers a range of insurance products with a projected earnings increase of 10.3% for 2026 [20][21] - **MetLife**: A global financial services company with a focus on growth potential and cost control, expecting a 19% increase in earnings for 2025 [23][24] - **American International Group (AIG)**: Growth driven by strategic de-risking and acquisitions, with a projected earnings increase of 27.7% for 2025 [26][27] - **Prudential Financial**: Strong asset-based businesses and a competitive edge expected to drive long-term growth, with a projected earnings increase of 13.6% for 2025 [29][30]