Claire, the AI trade has been the absolute juggernaut in markets over the past couple of years now at least. Are there signs in your mind that things are legitimately cooling off or is this just a pause that refreshes so to speak. >> Morning, Dom.It's great to be on your show. Um, there's there's not a pause, there's an acceleration in in our view. I mean, given the fact that was announced between Nvidia and Open AI, the importance of which we don't think can be overstated.Uh I mean this was for 10 gigawatt ...

All right, what do you make of the rebound. I mean, yesterday it seemed like the markets were kind of weighed down by some of those JPAL comments and also some questions about the AI trade. Why are we seeing the rebound this morning.Well, I think you're checking both boxes. First off, JPAL mentioning that markets might be overvalued as being like, uh, the the sky is blue, water's wet. We know nothing's cheap right now.There's not a lot of cheapness in the market, but that doesn't mean necessarily that we ca ...

All right, what do you make of the rebound. I mean, yesterday it seemed like the markets were kind of weighed down by some of those JPAL comments and also some questions about the AI trade. Why are we seeing the rebound this morning.Well, I think you're checking both boxes. First off, JPAL mentioning that markets might be overvalued as being like, uh, the the sky is blue, water's wet. We know nothing's cheap right now.There's not a lot of cheapness in the market, but that doesn't mean necessarily that we ca ...

All right. So, JP Pal says the market seems uh a little frothy. I'm going to just translate what he's trying to say.I think everybody's saying that, but people keep putting their money into the markets and it keeps moving to highs. Do you think that this is sustainable, specifically with so much money pouring into the AI trade. Look, I think Jay is clearly trying to manage expectation around how many rate cuts we should be expecting, not only for the balance of this year, but as we move through 2026.The Fed ...

Let's start with your word of the day. Your word of the day today is inflection. What inflection are you seeing.>> So inflection in terms of market leadership shifting from US equities more towards international equities. Inflection also when it comes to movement of capital more away from cash more towards dividend paying companies and inflection also when it comes to China where their policy is changing more from control more towards supporting growth. >> Okay.I know you gave us these notes yesterday. I do ...

Let's start with your word of the day. Your word of the day today is inflection. What inflection are you seeing.>> So inflection in terms of market leadership shifting from US equities more towards international equities. Inflection also when it comes to movement of capital more away from cash more towards dividend paying companies and inflection also when it comes to China where their policy is changing more from control more towards supporting growth. >> Okay.I know you gave us these notes yesterday. I do ...

And that's how bringing another voice to this conversation. Bartlett's Holly Mazaka and also Wells Fargo's Scott Ren as well. Uh you guys both heard what we just spoke about with Lauren here.So I'm going to go with you Holly first on this one as you talk about the markets at or near record highs. Again, Lauren laid out the case for that broadening out trade. Also this idea that we're watching those certain key parts of the market.Is this still a trade that is contingent upon names like Nvidia, Microsoft, Ap ...

Group 1 - The market has experienced a significant rally, up 35% since April, raising questions about the sustainability of this growth and the potential for future rate cuts [1][4][5] - There is ambiguity regarding whether the market anticipates a rate cut due to the Federal Reserve's ability or necessity, influenced by uneven labor market data [2][3] - Projections suggest a trough in growth towards the end of the year, with GDP expected to stabilize around 1.5% by 2026, alongside a peak in inflation [3][5] Group 2 - The AI trade is highlighted as a dominant factor in market performance, potentially overshadowing macroeconomic and interest rate influences [4] - There is a notable presence of skeptics regarding the near-term durability of the market rally, which could be beneficial for long-term stability [5] - If the market were to ignore a potential rate cut announcement, it could indicate overconfidence and increase the likelihood of a market pullback in October [6]

For more, let's bring in Julian Emanuel. He is Evercore ISI's senior managing director and strategist there. Julian, it's great to great to see you.Um, I guess it's hard to argue with that point, right. This is a a kind of insurance or good news or normalization rate cut program from here on out if we get a full program. Um, to what degree is that enough at this point now that the market's up, you know, 35% since April.>> So, actually, when we think about it, there's two ways of looking at it. In the here a ...

Confirmation awaits, but signs are pointing to QQQ and QQQM potentially being earnings season winners. For example, July and August represented the first time since Q2 2024 analysts boosted aggregate EPS forecasts in the first two months of a quarter. September is the final month of the third quarter, meaning another earnings season is right around the corner. It could be a banner one, because data indicates analysts have been boosting earnings per share (EPS) for S&P 500 member firms at a notable rate. Inv ...