This is all just feeling and and and an opinion. None of this is factual. But it does seem that that stocks are expensive relative to what I call fundamentals or you might call reality.And, you know, the outstanding reason, I think, is that, you know, there hasn't been a serious market correction in 16 years. So people get out of the habit of thinking about market corrections. The biggest single mistake I've been thinking a lot, what is the biggest single mistake investors make.And I've concluded that it is ...

US stocks are “in the early days” for a bubble, although the critical point for a correction has yet to come, Oaktree co-founder Howard Marks cautioned https://t.co/V2sMCNuq5Z ...

Investors are watching the greatest businesses ever constructed drive earnings higher, while they scream about a bubble or market crash.It is hard to have a bubble if the Mag 7 is becoming cheaper since the start of the year. ...

This isn't a bubble.“Just because digital asset treasuries have gone up and you don’t own it doesn’t mean it’s a bubble… A bubble is just your friend making money.”Tom Lee ( @fundstrat ) explains how most people misread markets. It’s not a bubble just because assets rise without you. ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ: QQQ) and its recent analysis, highlighting the advantages of QQQM over QQQ [1] - Sensor Unlimited, an economist with a PhD, specializes in financial economics and has a decade of experience covering the mortgage market, commercial market, and banking industry [2] - The focus of Sensor Unlimited's work includes asset allocation and ETFs related to the overall market, bonds, banking and financial sectors, and housing markets [2]

Meme stock mania is back like it's 2021 all over again. Amateur traders are piling into heavily shorted companies with low prices in a bid to get rich quick. This time around it's not GameStop, AMC, or Bed Bath and Beyond.The new batch of meme darlings are the likes of Kohl's, GoPro, Crispy Cream, and Wendy's. These are companies that have faced bankruptcy and are often bet against by short sellers for running poor businesses. Chatter on Reddit forums like Wall Street Bets is surging around these firms, and ...

Yeah, I think uh volatility needs to be seen um in the long run, not as risk uh es especially when you have a 16-year data set for something like this and you can you can you can see the volatility overlaid with the overall trend like this is a unique perspective. Um and so uh you can h you actually have these opportunities, right, to take massive advantage of of uh temporary explosive exponential growth rates. But what I also try to hammer home is this this idea of hodling, right.So so Bitcoin spend it tur ...

Market Trends - HSBC strategists suggest that relentless dollar-selling is resembling a bubble [1] - The dollar-selling bubble is expected to eventually pop [1]

Bitcoin Price Prediction - To reach $1 million, Bitcoin needs to double its price a little over three times [1][2] - The current doubling time for Bitcoin is approximately two years, but it is gradually increasing [1] - Based on the parallel core trend, Bitcoin could reach $1 million around 2033, potentially sooner with market bubbles [2] Volatility Analysis - The standard deviation of the core Bitcoin price trend is about 20% [3] - The standard deviation of Bitcoin bubbles has significantly decreased from over 100% to approximately 37% [3] - The volatility of Bitcoin bubbles is decreasing roughly as a reciprocal relationship to Bitcoin's age [4] Forecast Methodology - The forecast method considers both the parallel core mean and the bubble mean, along with the standard deviation size for the bubble [5] - The right tail of the bubble, specifically one and two standard deviations above the mean, indicates potential extreme prices [5][6] - There's an estimated 8% chance of Bitcoin price being one standard deviation above the bubble mean and only about a 1% chance of being two standard deviations above [6] Power Law Model - The ratio of price increase for the power core can be calculated by taking the inverse of Bitcoin's age, adding one, and raising that to the power law index of 58% [8] - At Bitcoin age 245 years, the parallel core median line is projected to be around $1 million [9][10]

Market Overview - The report title suggests the presence of a significant "bubble," implying potential market instability or overvaluation [1] Potential Risks - The term "big beautiful bubble" indicates a possible impending market correction or crash [1]