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How I Learned To Love The Bubble (Even Before It Bursts)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-20 07:53
Group 1 - The article does not provide any relevant content regarding the company or industry [1]
Big Tech's $650 Billion Bet on AI
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-17 13:15
Core Insights - Big Tech companies are projected to spend approximately $650 billion on capital expenditures (capex) by 2026, a significant increase compared to previous spending levels [1][2] - This spending surge has raised both enthusiasm and concerns in the market regarding the potential return on investment and the economic implications of such large expenditures [2][10] - The competitive landscape is shifting, with major players like Alphabet allocating a substantial portion of their capex to server infrastructure, indicating a focus on enhancing their cloud capabilities [3][5] Capital Expenditures - The $650 billion capex forecast for Big Tech dwarfs the combined $200 billion expected from 21 major U.S. companies in sectors like automotive and energy for the same year [2] - Alphabet plans to allocate over $100 billion specifically for servers, highlighting the strategic focus on cloud infrastructure [3] - The market is questioning whether this level of spending will yield adequate returns, given the opportunity costs associated with such investments [2][4] Competitive Dynamics - The significant investments by hyperscalers may be aimed at stifling potential competition from startups, particularly in the AI space, as these companies seek to maintain their market dominance [3][4] - Companies like Nvidia and ASML are positioned to benefit from the increased spending on semiconductors and related technologies, as they are key suppliers to these hyperscalers [2][5] - The competitive environment is characterized by high margins, with companies like Nvidia experiencing a substantial increase in operating margins from 20% to around 60% [7] Economic Implications - The massive capex spending is expected to have positive short-term effects on the broader economy, potentially supporting growth despite underlying economic weaknesses [10][11] - Concerns about a potential bubble are emerging, particularly as companies begin to take on debt to finance their investments, raising questions about sustainability [8][10] - The market's reaction indicates a mix of optimism and caution, as investors weigh the risks associated with such high levels of spending against the potential for future growth [10][12] Software and AI Landscape - The rise of AI is causing significant disruptions in the software industry, leading to a sell-off in SaaS stocks as investors reassess their valuations in light of AI advancements [16][17] - Companies that provide niche software solutions may face challenges as AI technologies evolve, potentially rendering some of their offerings obsolete [19][20] - There is a growing belief that companies capable of integrating AI into their services will emerge as winners, while those reliant on traditional software models may struggle [20][21]
Wealth vs Money
Wealth can easily be created the way we account for wealth. For example, you start a company. Let's say you want to make a unicorn.You sell $50 million worth of it. You value it at a billion. You're now a billionaire and it counts in wealth as a billion dollars and there's but nobody would pay a billion dollars for that issue combined.Okay. And that's a lot of what's happening now with wealth and and and if you look at the 1920s bubbles or you look at those what you see in one way or another is that wealth ...
Michael Burry Says We're In Another Bubble
Today on the Joseph Carlson show, we just recently got through one of the craziest times of the market where software companies, SAS companies sold off big. And the reason they sold off is because of artificial intelligence. Claude is releasing plugin after plugin that goes to different pieces of software and makes it run better with artificial intelligence.Many investors have extrapolated that these software companies are in trouble because of claude. So software companies have been going down the tubes. M ...
Wall Street veteran who called the dot-com bust sees a bigger bubble in Magnificent 7
MarketWatch· 2026-01-27 12:08
Richard Bernstein says investors are ignoring a whole bunch of high-earning companies for the sake of a few tech giants. ...
Ray Dalio Explains Debt Cycles
The short-term debt cycle. As economic activity increases, we see an expansion. The first phase of the short-term debt cycle, spending continues to increase and prices start to rise.This happens because the increase in spending is fueled by credit, which can be created instantly out of thin air. When the amount of spending and incomes grow faster than the production of goods, prices rise. When prices rise, we call this inflation.The central bank doesn't want too much inflation because it causes problems. Se ...
Dalio on why market crises keep changing rules for investors #raydalio #markets #bubble #investing
Bloomberg Television· 2025-12-20 16:00
Okay. What is a bubble. A bubble occurs when there's an enormous amount of increase in wealth relative to money.It's it's important to understand the difference between wealth and money. Wealth is easy to create. Like now um and in other times, what you do is that let's say you raise uh $50 million for a billion dollar company.then you're a billionaire and the um company's worth a billion dollars, but nobody's really paid anything like that. And so wealth is something that uh rises, but you haven't material ...
2026 will be a 'phenomenal' year for IPOs, says Tenacity's Ben Narasin
CNBC Television· 2025-12-19 13:47
Medline $6 billion IPO closing out a strong year for public listings. Joining us right now with what to come in 2026. Ben Narrison, founder of Tenacity Venture Capital.Good morning to you. Uh lot of excitement about a big year ahead. Lot of big IPOs maybe in the mix including SpaceX anthropic.I don't know whether you think Open AI is going to get there or not in at least in the next calendar year. But um where do you think we really are in these markets right now, Ben. Well, I think, you know, we talked abo ...
There's a cost to being reckless, until someone stops the spin, buyer beware, says Jim Cramer
CNBC Television· 2025-12-18 00:47
HEY I'M CRAMER. WELCOME TO MAD MONEY. WELCOME TO CRAMERICA.OTHER PEOPLE MAKE FRIENDS I'M JUST TRYING TO SAVE A LITTLE BIT OF MONEY OUT HERE. MY JOB IS NOT JUST TO ENTERTAIN BUT TO PUT IT IN CONTEXT. SO CALL ME AT ONE 807.43 CNBC OR TWEET ME AT JIM CRAMER. WHEN I WAS RUNNING THE STREET. COM, THE ONLINE NEWS JOURNAL I STARTED IN 1995, I FOUND OUT HOW HARD BUSINESS COULD BE.HARDLY A QUARTER WENT BY WHERE WE COULD MEET OUR QUOTA FOR AD REVENUE, WHICH IS WHY WE SET UP MORE STABLE SUBSCRIPTION BUSINESS TO CUSHION ...
'Big Short' Michael Burry Broke His Silence, What We've Learned so Far
Business Insider· 2025-12-17 11:07
Group 1: AI Bubble Concerns - Michael Burry has expressed concerns about a historic bubble in AI, comparing it to the dot-com and housing bubbles, predicting a potential disaster [3][7]. - He has warned that leading tech companies are experiencing a slowdown in cloud-computing growth and are overinvesting in equipment, which could harm shareholder value [6]. - Burry predicts the AI bubble will burst within two years and has advised investors to cash out their winnings from high-flying assets [8]. Group 2: Cryptocurrency and Gold - Burry criticized bitcoin trading at $100,000 as "the most ridiculous thing," stating it is "not worth anything" and worse than a tulip bulb due to its association with crime [10]. - He has owned gold since 2005, indicating a preference for traditional assets over cryptocurrencies [10]. Group 3: Federal Reserve and Banking System - Burry has criticized the Federal Reserve for causing significant damage over its history and suggested that a Treasury department could manage interest rates and money supply more effectively [11]. - He warned that the US banking system is showing signs of fragility, with banks weakening rapidly [11]. Group 4: Personal Investment Portfolio - Burry has shared details of his personal portfolio, which includes positions in Lululemon, Molina Healthcare, Shift4 Payments, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac [12]. - He revisited his sale of GameStop before its price surge in January 2021, indicating a lack of foresight regarding the stock's future performance [12].