ITG国贸期货 贵金属数据日报 the first 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 | | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | | 投资咨询号: Z0013700 | | | 2025/11/10 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 贵金属与新能源研究中心 白素娜 | | 人业资格号:F3023916 | | | | | | 日期 | 伦敦金现 | 伦敦银现 | COMEX黄金 | COMEX白银 | AU2512 | AG2512 | AU (T+D) | AG (T+D) | | 内外盘金 银15点价 | | (美元/盎司) | (美元/盎司) | (美元/盎司) | (美元/盎司) | (元/克) | (元/千克) | (元/克) | (元/千克) | | 格跟踪 | 2025/11/7 | 4007. 42 | 48. 71 | 4015. 20 | 48. 51 | 921.26 | 11484. 00 | 918. 00 | 11481.00 | | (本表数 据来源: | 2 ...

Skip to Main Content Skip to Search Nov 07, 2025, 7:47 am EST Share Resize Reprints In this article SPX PLTR QCOM AMD U.S. stock markets have been missing a key component that could reverse this week's worrying selloff heading into the start of Friday's trading session, but investors still seem to believe in the record-setting rally picking up steam over the final stretch of the year. Continue reading this article with a Barron's subscription SUBSCRIBE NOW Topics This copy is for your personal, non-commerci ...

The dollar index (DXY00) is down today by -0.30%.  The dollar is retreating today after a report from Challenger showed US job cuts in October surged +175% y/y by the most in 22 years, bolstering the outlook for the Fed to keep cutting interest rates.  Also, the dollar is still under pressure from the ongoing US government shutdown.  The longer the shutdown is maintained, the more likely the US economy will suffer and the more likely the Fed will have to cut interest rates.  The dollar recovered from its w ...

Rates have already come down once this year, but with another Fed meeting on the horizon portending a further potential cut, investors may be looking at their options. That shifting rate environment p... ...

BREAKING: Futures Mixed After Jobs Data, ADP's estimate of net private-sector job growth for October showed a return to modest job growth. The report has outsized significance as the government shutdown cancels another Bureau of Labor Statistics jobs report. S&P 500 futures were little changed, with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) falling modestly in reaction to its earnings report. After Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell insisted that a December rate cut is "far from" a done deal last week, the ADP jobs ...

March U.S. Treasury note (ZNH26) futures present a selling opportunity on more price weakness. See on the daily bar chart for March U.S. Treasury note futures that prices are trending down. A minor bear flag pattern has also formed on the daily bar chart. See, too, at the bottom of the chart that the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator is in a bearish posture as the blue MACD line is below the red trigger line and both lines are trending down. The bears have the near-term technical adva ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The discussion primarily revolves around the **U.S. economy**, focusing on **AI spending**, **corporate credit**, and **delinquency rates** in the context of macroeconomic conditions. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Federal Reserve Rate Cuts** - The expectation is for two consecutive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve until January 2026, despite a lack of data due to the ongoing government shutdown [8][9][10] 2. **Delinquency Rates** - Concerns about rising delinquencies are currently unfounded; prime credit remains stable or improving in 2025, while subprime credit is showing incremental stress [10][11][12] 3. **Corporate Credit Health** - Aggregate fundamentals in corporate credit appear strong, with a backdrop of supportive fiscal, monetary, and regulatory policies. However, there is a noted bifurcation in credit quality [13][14][16] 4. **Chinese Equities Investment Timing** - It is not yet time to buy the dip in Chinese equities due to geopolitical developments, weak consumption, and a slowing housing market. A valuation derating of 10-15% in MSCI China is anticipated before considering investments [17][18][19] 5. **AI Spending and GDP Growth** - AI spending is not the primary driver of U.S. GDP growth. After accounting for imports, AI contributed only 0.3 percentage points to the 1.6% annualized GDP growth in the first half of 2025. Future contributions from AI spending are expected to be more subdued [21][24][26] Additional Important Insights - **Labor Market Data** - Private labor market data remains weak, indicating potential challenges ahead for employment and economic stability [9] - **Credit Quality Trends** - Prime delinquencies are improving, while subprime delinquencies are on the rise, particularly affecting low- to middle-income borrowers [10][12] - **Corporate Debt Trends** - U.S. corporate debt as a percentage of GDP has been declining since 2020, suggesting a healthier corporate credit environment [14][15] - **Market Sentiment** - Investor sentiment is currently cautious, particularly regarding Chinese equities, as they await clearer signals on corporate fundamentals [17] This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the conference call, highlighting the current economic landscape and investment considerations.

Industry Overview - The telecom sector has shown strong performance, with the S&P Telecom Select Industry Index increasing by 50.85% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 17.35% gain [1] - The index has also outperformed the broad market index month to date, rising by 9.52% compared to the S&P 500's 2% gain [1] - The sector's positive outlook is bolstered by optimistic AI growth forecasts and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025 [2] Verizon Communications - Verizon reported third-quarter 2025 results with wireless service revenues of $21 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 2.1% [3] - On a GAAP basis, net income was $5.06 billion or $1.17 per share, up from $3.41 billion or 78 cents per share in the prior-year quarter, driven by top-line growth and lower operating expenses [4] - Total operating revenues increased by 1.5% to $33.82 billion, although it missed the consensus estimate of $34.18 billion [5] - Verizon achieved 261,000 net additions in fixed wireless access, growing its subscriber base to nearly 5.4 million, with a target of 8 to 9 million subscribers by 2028 [5] - The company expects wireless service revenues to grow by 2%-2.8% in 2025 [6] AT&T - AT&T reported third-quarter 2025 results with strong mobility and broadband demand trends, but both adjusted earnings and revenues fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate [7] - On a GAAP basis, net income was $9.28 billion or $1.29 per share, a significant improvement from a net loss of $0.23 billion or a loss of 3 cents per share in the prior-year quarter, largely due to a $5.5 billion gain from the sale of DIRECTV investments [8] - Adjusted earnings remained flat at 54 cents per share, missing the consensus estimate by a penny [9] - Quarterly GAAP operating revenues increased by 1.6% year over year to $30.71 billion, but also missed the consensus mark of $30.96 billion [9] - AT&T recorded 328,000 post-paid net additions, including 405,000 postpaid wireless phone additions [9] - The company aims to enhance operational efficiencies while focusing on 5G and fiber-based connectivity, along with expanding software-based entertainment platforms [10] - For 2025, AT&T expects wireless service revenues to improve by 3% or more, with broadband revenues anticipated to grow in the mid to high-teens [11] ETFs in Focus - Several exchange-traded funds (ETFs) provide exposure to the U.S. telecom industry, including: - Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund with 4.13% exposure to AT&T and 4.2% to Verizon [13] - Vanguard Communication Services ETF with 4.12% exposure to AT&T and 3.85% to Verizon [14] - Fidelity MSCI Communication Services Index ETF with 4.13% exposure to AT&T and 3.82% to Verizon [15] - iShares Global Comm Services ETF with 3.62% exposure to AT&T and 3.37% to Verizon [16] - iShares U.S. Telecommunications ETF with approximately 11.59% exposure to AT&T and 11.11% to Verizon [17]

Group 1: Dollar Index and Economic Indicators - The dollar index (DXY00) reached a 2.75-month high, finishing up by +0.29% due to higher T-note yields and hawkish comments from Fed Chair Powell regarding interest rates [1] - The markets are pricing in a 72% chance of a 25 basis point cut in the fed funds target range at the upcoming FOMC meeting on December 9-10, with an overall expected rate cut of 82 basis points by the end of 2026 [3] Group 2: US-China Trade Relations - Easing US-Chinese trade tensions are seen as supportive for economic growth, following an agreement between President Trump and President Xi Jinping to extend a tariff truce and reduce trade barriers [1] Group 3: Eurozone Economic Performance - The euro fell to a 2-week low, down by -0.32%, influenced by the dollar's strength, but recovered after the ECB maintained interest rates and positive economic data emerged [4] - Eurozone Q3 GDP increased by +0.2% quarter-on-quarter and +1.3% year-on-year, surpassing expectations, while the economic sentiment indicator rose to a 2.5-year high of 96.8 [5] - German October CPI rose by +0.3% month-on-month and +2.3% year-on-year, exceeding expectations [6]

Biotech-based exchange-traded fund (ETF) iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) has rallied 26.1% over the past six months (as of Oct. 27, 2025), outperforming SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) (up 24.4%). Year to date, IBB has risen 18.2% versus SPY’s 17.2% gain.The performance marks a sharp turnaround in 2025. Note that the MSCI USA Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology and Life Sciences Index (USD) offered muted returns of 3.74% in 2024 and 0.97% in 2023. The returns were too shallow, given the 25.1% and 27.1% returns offe ...