Core Insights - A new wave of speculation has emerged regarding Intel's foundry ambitions, particularly in relation to Microsoft's plans to manufacture its next-generation Maia AI chip [1] Group 1 - Intel's foundry ambitions are gaining renewed interest due to recent reports [1] - Microsoft is reportedly preparing to manufacture its next-generation Maia AI chip using Intel's foundry services [1]

All right, stocks up after earnings. It's up over 70% since the government announced it took a 10% stake in the chip maker after earnings. How do you feel about not only Intel, but the fact that it has some backing from the government.Do you see a positive uptrend beyond this report. >> Well, the the report came as a relief and maybe a confirmation to investors that the companies and the US government's efforts to turn their fortunes around have paid off in the latest quarter. This being said, as you said, ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3, the company reported revenue of $13.7 billion, exceeding guidance and up 6% sequentially [22][23] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 40%, four percentage points better than guidance, driven by higher revenue and a favorable mix [23] - Earnings per share for Q3 were $0.23, compared to guidance of breakeven EPS, attributed to stronger gross margin and cost discipline [23] - Operating cash flow was $2.5 billion, with gross CapEx of $3 billion and positive adjusted free cash flow of $900 million [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Intel products revenue was $12.7 billion, up 7% sequentially, supported by strong demand in both client and server segments [25] - Client Computing Group (CCG) revenue was $8.5 billion, up 8% quarter over quarter, driven by a stronger TAM and Windows 11 refresh [25][26] - Data Center and AI (DCAI) revenue was $4.1 billion, up 5% sequentially, driven by improved product mix and higher enterprise demand [26][27] - Intel Foundry revenue was $4.2 billion, down 4% sequentially, but operating loss improved by $847 million due to favorable comparisons [29][30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted healthy customer purchasing behavior and inventory levels, with industry supply tightening materially [21] - The demand for server CPUs is expected to grow due to the accelerating build-out of AI infrastructure [21][27] - The client consumption total addressable market (TAM) is projected to approach 290 million units in 2025, marking two consecutive years of growth [26] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on rebuilding its market position through AI and enhancing its x86 architecture to support hybrid compute environments [10][19] - Strategic partnerships, particularly with NVIDIA, are aimed at creating new classes of products that accelerate AI adoption [10][11] - The company is committed to improving its engineering and design execution, including the establishment of a central engineering group to unify functions [11][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism regarding macroeconomic volatility but noted strong demand driven by AI and traditional compute [21] - The company is focused on shoring up its balance sheet and has secured approximately $20 billion in cash through strategic partnerships [23][24] - Management emphasized the importance of building long-term trust with customers in the foundry business and the need for improved yield and reliability [48][50] Other Important Information - The company is on track to launch its first Pentelic SKU by year-end, with additional SKUs expected in the first half of next year [12] - The company is prioritizing wafer capacity for server shipments over entry-level client parts due to tight supply conditions [33] - The company plans to maintain disciplined capital expenditures while being flexible to respond to demand [62] Q&A Session Summary Question: Foundry collaborations and increased confidence - Management indicated that collaborations, particularly with SoftBank, are enhancing confidence in the foundry business due to increased demand for AI infrastructure [38] Question: Gross margin outlook for 2026 - Management noted that while Altera's absence will be a headwind, they expect improvements in foundry gross margins driven by scale and leading-edge mix [42][44] Question: Customer commitments for foundry investments - Management emphasized the importance of building trust with customers and demonstrating yield improvements to secure commitments for foundry investments [48][50] Question: Supply constraints in server CPUs - Management acknowledged that shortages are widespread, particularly in Intel 10 and 7, and are working to manage demand and inventory [54][55] Question: Demand outlook for 2026 - Management indicated that demand is expected to outpace supply in both server and client markets, with potential improvements anticipated later in the year [60] Question: Investments in CapEx and product businesses - Management stated that the focus remains on deleveraging, but they are open to increasing CapEx if customer demand justifies it [62] Question: Update on NVIDIA relationship - Management highlighted the importance of the collaboration with NVIDIA, which is expected to create new product opportunities in the AI space [91][94]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported Q3 revenue of $13.7 billion, exceeding guidance and up 6% sequentially [19] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 40%, four percentage points better than guidance, driven by higher revenue and a favorable mix [19] - Earnings per share for Q3 were $0.23, compared to guidance of break-even EPS, attributed to higher revenue and stronger gross margin [19] - Operating cash flow was $2.5 billion, with gross CapEx of $3 billion and positive adjusted free cash flow of $900 million [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Intel products revenue was $12.7 billion, up 7% sequentially, supported by strong demand in both client and server segments [21] - Client Computing Group (CCG) revenue was $8.5 billion, up 8% quarter over quarter, driven by a stronger TAM and Windows 11 refresh [22] - Data Center and AI (DCAI) revenue was $4.1 billion, up 5% sequentially, driven by improved product mix and higher enterprise demand [23] - Intel Foundry revenue was $4.2 billion, down 4% sequentially, but operating loss improved by $847 million due to favorable comparisons [25][26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted healthy customer purchasing behavior and inventory levels, with industry supply tightening materially [18] - The client consumption total addressable market (TAM) is expected to approach 290 million units in 2025, marking two consecutive years of growth [23] - Demand for server CPUs is expected to grow due to the rapid expansion of AI infrastructure and underinvestment in traditional infrastructure [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on rebuilding its market position through strategic partnerships, particularly with Nvidia, to enhance AI capabilities [8][25] - A new Central Engineering Group has been created to unify engineering functions and improve product development efficiency [9] - The company aims to position itself as a compute platform of choice for AI inference workloads, emphasizing partnerships with various incumbents and emerging companies [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism regarding macroeconomic conditions and the potential for CPU TAM growth in 2026 [18] - The company is committed to improving its competitive position while navigating supply constraints, particularly in Intel 10 and Intel 7 [19] - Management highlighted the importance of building long-term trust with customers in the Foundry business and emphasized the need for yield improvement and reliability [41] Other Important Information - The company received significant funding from the U.S. government and strategic investments from Nvidia and SoftBank, enhancing its cash position [20] - The company plans to maintain disciplined CapEx while focusing on deleveraging and ensuring that investments align with customer demand [51] Q&A Session Summary Question: Foundry collaborations and increased confidence - Management noted that collaborations, particularly with SoftBank, are expected to drive demand for Foundry services, and progress on 18A and 14A has been promising [32][33] Question: Gross margin outlook for 2026 - Management indicated that while Altera's absence will be a headwind, they expect gross margins to improve due to a better product mix and leading-edge technology [35][36] Question: Demand and supply constraints - Management acknowledged that supply constraints are affecting both client and server products, with a focus on managing inventory and demand shaping [46][47] Question: Transition from older products to AI products - Management emphasized the importance of driving application development for AI PCs and noted that the Windows refresh is contributing to demand for older products [61][62] Question: Update on Nvidia relationship - Management expressed excitement about the collaboration with Nvidia, which is expected to create new product opportunities without cannibalizing existing markets [71][73]

Well, Intel's third quarter earnings are just now hitting the wire. Uh stocks popping more earning than about 4% here. Let's get you the numbers.Uh so, Intel reported 13.7% billion in revenue for the third uh quarter here. That is higher than the 13.15% billion expected by analysts. I'm just looking for the adjusted earnings per share.There it is. 23 cents. That's above what was projected.Uh turning ahead, uh fourth quarter adjusted EPS of 8 cents. that looks like it's less uh than what was estimated. Uh th ...

Intel's (NASDAQ: INTC ) rebound since my last coverage by a 50% jump is led by the more than $18 billion of new funding and key partnerships powering its growth in AI and foundry. TheHi, I'm Yiannis. Spotting winners before they break out is what I do best.Experience: Previously worked at Deloitte and KPMG in external/internal auditing and consulting. Education: Chartered Certified Accountant, Fellow Member of ACCA Global, with BSc and MSc degrees from U.K. business schools. Investment Style: Spotting high- ...

Group 1 - The article suggests that there are opportunities in undervalued stocks that are mispriced by the market as October begins [1] - It encourages readers to consider joining a platform for insights on these investment opportunities [1] Group 2 - No specific companies or stocks are mentioned in the content, focusing instead on general investment strategies [2][3][4]

Market Trends & Industrial Policy - Intel shares jumped 7%, potentially influenced by emerging US industrial policy affecting AMD, Nvidia, and possibly Pfizer [1] - The US government, tech community, and Intel are seemingly collaborating to create a US-based foundry capability, with Intel receiving contracts for volume [1] - Tariffs may be incentivizing companies to build in the US, potentially leading to deals where Intel is used as a manufacturer to avoid tariffs [1][2] Company Strategy & Competition - Intel faces challenges in manufacturing and needs to reach 2 nanometer production to compete with TSMC [1] - AMD's market capitalization once reached $270 billion, surpassing Intel's sub-$100 billion valuation, but Intel is catching up [1] - AMD might be considering using Intel as a foundry customer [1] Antitrust Concerns & Contractual Relationships - Nvidia may face antitrust scrutiny regarding its compute allocation practices [3] - Nvidia's contracts with hyperscalers may allow Nvidia to resell up to 50% of the capacity [4][6]

Investment & Partnerships - Intel is reportedly in talks with Apple for a potential investment, which could be a form of payback for the removal of iPhone tariffs [1][2][3] - The US government, under the Trump administration, has shown support for Intel with a $20 billion investment [2] - Intel needs a bonafide large foundry customer with millions of units and a roadmap extending through 2030 [8] Manufacturing & Capacity - The focus of US investment is on bringing manufacturing back to the United States, favoring companies with manufacturing sites [5] - Wolfspeed may need funding to support its silicon carbide ambitions [6] - Texas Instruments (TI) could be a potential investment target, although they may be reluctant [5] Market Dynamics & Competition - AMD is trying to take market share from Nvidia, highlighting the importance of having multiple producers of this technology [4] - Intel is seeking a 14A foundry customer, potentially linked to the investment [3]

Government Funding & Investment - Intel confirmed receiving $5.7 billion from the government [1] - SoftBank's $2 billion investment was a coincidence [2] Foundry Business Strategy - Success in the foundry business depends on providing the best advanced processes and higher yielding chips [3] - Potential for other external customers represents a second opportunity to raise cash [3] Market Performance - Intel's shares are down by half a percent [3]