Morgan Stanley raised its price forecast for Brent crude for 2026 to $60 per barrel from $57.50 following OPEC+’s decision to pause production hikes over the first three months of next year. This was the first oil price forecast revision after the Sunday meeting of the oil-producing group, which also produced one last output hike of 137,000 barrels daily for December. “Even if the OPEC announcement does not change the mechanics of our production outlook, it does send an important signal,” the bank’s anal ...

Amid a geopolitical storm over its Dutch chip unit Nexperia, Wingtech Technology delivered stellar third-quarter earnings while warning of potential future disruptions. The impact of the power struggle at Nexperia, the biggest revenue earner for Wingtech, was "difficult to quantify precisely", the Chinese company said in its filing to the Shanghai Stock Exchange outside trading hours on Friday evening. "Should control over Nexperia fail to be restored by the end of 2025, the company may face the risk of ...

just walk me through your latest estimate on exactly what the price is going to look like at the end of Q4 and how much more steam does this gold rally actually have. >> We look at the foundations of this rally. Yes, it started with a lot of central bank buying, record buying over the past couple of years, but this year that buying momentum tilted towards the ETF buyers and that has accelerated at a pace that we haven't seen since 2020.In fact, we're now just 20 tons shy of the all-time high that was reache ...

Core Viewpoint - Gold experienced its worst single-day drop in 12 years, ending a record-breaking rally, but the underlying supply-and-demand dynamics remain strong, even at overbought levels in the short term [1][2]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Spot gold was trading around $4,140 per ounce, down from a record $4,381.21 per ounce, reflecting a significant price fluctuation [2]. - Prices have increased by as much as 60% as investors, including central banks and private funds, sought protection from inflation, fiscal deficits, and geopolitical risks, while supply remains constrained [3]. Central Bank Influence - Central banks have been steadily increasing their gold holdings since 2008, creating a higher price floor for gold [3]. - The demand from the official sector is seen as a stabilizing force for gold prices, with central banks likely to continue diversifying their reserve holdings in gold due to fiscal uncertainties and geopolitical risks [5]. Macroeconomic Factors - Gold's characteristics as a medium of exchange, unit of account, and store of value are particularly appealing in the context of high US government debt, which negatively impacts Treasuries [4]. - Macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties are expected to sustain further demand for gold, prompting analysts to raise their 12-month gold price target from $3,900 to $4,600 per ounce [6]. Investor Sentiment - Despite the recent drop, investor interest in gold remains strong due to ongoing inflation fears and global turmoil, with central banks expected to continue increasing their gold purchases [7].

Joining us now is Sir William Browder, founder and CEO of Hermitage Capital Management and head of the global Magnitzky Justice Campaign. Bill, it's great to have you on the show. Welcome.>> Great to be here. >> Um, so that's exactly where I want to start with you because not a not a day and if not a day then not a week goes by then I'm not speaking to CEOs both on and off camera who don't say that or do say I guess that um that geopolitics is among the risks that they're tracking most closely right now. So ...

Market Outlook - The economy has shown remarkable resilience, with no anticipated recession occurring over the past three years despite various shocks [2][3] - The overall economy is expected to continue growing through the end of the decade, referred to as the "roaring 2020s" [3] Earnings and Stock Predictions - Earnings are projected to exceed $450 per share by the end of the decade, applying a 22x multiple could lead to stock prices approaching 10,000 [4] Gold and Investment Trends - Gold is increasingly viewed as a safe, diversifying asset in investment portfolios, contrasting with Bitcoin, which is seen as a risk-on asset [5][6] - There is a global demand for gold, driven by wealth diversification and as a hedge against geopolitical risks [7][8] Geopolitical Factors - Potential positive developments in U.S.-China relations could impact market sentiment, with ongoing discussions about trade resolutions [10][11] - The outcome of Supreme Court rulings on tariffs may also influence market dynamics [12]

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Core Viewpoint - XRP is experiencing a sell-off due to rising geopolitical risks, particularly the deteriorating relations between the U.S. and China, which are impacting investor sentiment in the cryptocurrency market [1][2][9]. Geopolitical Impact - The U.S.-China trade tensions are escalating, with China limiting rare-earth mineral exports and the U.S. imposing a 100% tariff on Chinese goods, leading to further retaliatory actions [4][6]. - These geopolitical dynamics are causing investors to become more risk-averse, affecting the overall market sentiment towards cryptocurrencies like XRP [5][7]. Market Performance - As of the latest trading session, XRP's price has fallen by 3% in the last 24 hours, while Bitcoin and Ethereum have also seen declines of 1.5% and 0.5%, respectively [1][9]. - The cryptocurrency market is increasingly correlating with equities, making it susceptible to macroeconomic and geopolitical factors [7]. Future Outlook - A potential new trade agreement between the U.S. and China could serve as a bullish catalyst for XRP and other cryptocurrencies, but the likelihood of reaching mutually agreeable terms remains uncertain [6]. - The ongoing adversarial relations between the two countries pose significant risks for XRP investors in the near term [6][9].

Company Operations - IMAX 的所有产品都在加拿大制造，然后运往全球各地的实体，最终交付给客户 [1] - IMAX 总部位于加拿大 [1] Risk Management - 由于 IMAX 是一家全球性公司，因此一直面临关税风险、货币风险、地缘政治风险和供应链波动风险 [2] - IMAX 已经花费数十年时间评估和权衡各种风险，并制定应对策略 [2] - IMAX 正在与供应链团队密切合作，制定应对美国关税的策略 [2]

Market Overview & Risk Management - Equity valuations are high, and markets are on a knife's edge, prompting consideration of hedges like commodities [1] - Diversification into bonds or commodities and option-based strategies are recommended to bolster portfolios against equity market sell-offs [6] - The market offers opportunities to manage risk, and leaning into hedges is advisable given subdued volatility [43] - It's a good time to reduce US-centric equity risk due to valuations and uncertainties [45] Options Strategies - Option markets are efficient, and determining attractiveness requires more than just observing volatility levels [9][10] - Avoiding leverage and ensuring full collateralization are crucial when using options selling strategies [11] - Diversifying the option overlay through laddering (trading a small slice each day) helps adapt to changing market conditions [12][13] - Demand for income and defense against equity drawdowns should drive growth in option strategies [25] Gold & Precious Metals - Gold is traditionally a safe haven during economic turmoil and geopolitical instability, benefiting from falling interest rates [16][17] - There's significant room for gold to run, supported by geopolitical risks and central bank buying (approximately 1,000 tons per year over the last three years) [20][21] - Investors are typically underallocated to gold, with recommendations suggesting a 5% to 15% allocation [33] - Silver's industrial component (60% of overall demand) offers growth potential through industrialization, energy transition, and AI [49][50]