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X @Cassandra Unchained
Cassandra Unchained· 2026-02-09 05:13
Or, the market is just jittery over historic overvaluation, historic capital expenditures, and tiny “AI” revenue.tae kim (@firstadopter):The entire selloff this week was sparked by a completely false narrative, amplified by technically illiterate media pouring gas on the panic, just like DeepSeek last year. You can't make this stuff up.Here's what Claude says after reading the GitHub on the infamous Anthropic https://t.co/UUGFMIXCMr ...
CrowdStrike Plunges 22% in 3 Months: Time to Hold or Fold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2026-02-05 13:40
Core Viewpoint - CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) stock has experienced a significant decline of 21.9% over the past three months, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's decline of 19.2% [1][7] Group 1: Stock Performance - CrowdStrike shares have underperformed compared to industry peers such as Fortinet (FTNT), Check Point Software (CHKP), and Okta Inc. (OKTA), with Fortinet's shares increasing by 0.2%, while Check Point and Okta have decreased by 10.2% and 2.7%, respectively [1][7] - The stock has dipped below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bearish trend and potential for continued downward pressure in the short term [19] Group 2: Revenue Growth - CrowdStrike's revenue growth has slowed, with a decrease from over 35% year-over-year growth until fiscal 2024 to 29% in fiscal 2025, and expectations of further deceleration to around 21% for fiscal 2026 [6][21] - For fiscal 2026, CrowdStrike anticipates total revenues between $4.797 billion and $4.807 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 21% to 22% [6] Group 3: Cost Pressures - The company faces margin pressure due to rising research and development (R&D) and sales and marketing (S&M) costs, with R&D expenses increasing twelvefold over the last six fiscal years [9][10] - S&M expenses have also surged nearly ninefold to $1.52 billion in fiscal 2025 from $173 million in fiscal 2019, with year-over-year increases of 20.2% and 23.3% for S&M and R&D expenses, respectively, in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 [10][11] Group 4: Profitability Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CrowdStrike's fiscal 2026 bottom line is projected at $3.72 per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 5.3% [12] - The company is currently trading at a high price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 22.09X, significantly above the Zacks Security industry's forward 12-month P/S ratio of 11.07X, suggesting that CRWD stock is overvalued [15][18]
Jim Cramer Warns Silver Is 'Overvalued' As Peter Brandt Explains Why Your 'Supply Shortage' Narrative Might Be Dead
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-31 11:01
Silver prices are retreating from a historic peak after two of the most prominent voices in finance issued a stark reality check to investors riding the white metal's parabolic surge. The Peak And The Pivot On Jan. 29, silver reached a staggering all-time high of $121.6700 per ounce. However, the euphoria was short-lived. By Jan. 30, the market witnessed a sharp correction, with silver spot prices falling to $108.8400—a drop of 5.90%, as of the publication of this article. This sudden $6.82 slide coinci ...
2026 Debt Walls And A Likely Bear Market In Stocks
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-12 08:59
Join us today to learn what our members already know. Our analysis helps you find more profits and more income with less risk. ETF Asset Allocation, Growth Stocks, Dividend Stocks, REITs, and Option Selling for Income (we'll teach you how).For 2025, I forecast that overvaluation and uncertainty are a path to correction in 2025. By April we had a sharp and deep correction. Animal spirits and the last QE liquidity left in the system thenAnalyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative pos ...
We are in the 'advanced stages' of an AI bubble, says Rockefeller’s Ruchir Sharma
CNBC Television· 2025-12-15 15:47
Joining us now, Rashir Charmer, Rockefeller International chairman, and he's the founder of Breakout Capital. All right, Rashier, you want to go through them one through four quickly if you have time. Tell me whether we're in fact in a bubble.>> Yeah, David, as you know, there's a bit of a bubble and bubble talk these days, uh, which is that everyone's talking about a bubble, but there is no standard definition of a bubble. So what I've tried to do in my FT oped this morning uh is to lay out the a framework ...
3 Undervalued ETFs to Buy Before 2026
ZACKS· 2025-12-10 13:01
Core Insights - The economic landscape is fragile for everyday consumers despite Wall Street's focus on AI-driven gains, indicating a slower economic pace [1] - Discount retailers like Dollar Tree and Dollar General are performing well due to increased consumer reliance on low-cost options amid economic pressures [2] - Higher-income consumers are shifting to lower-priced options, while middle- and lower-income families are increasingly dependent on affordable essentials, highlighting an affordability issue [3] Economic Environment - Wage growth has softened, hiring has cooled, and consumer sentiment is muted, contradicting the optimism surrounding AI [3] - Value stocks are expected to perform better in the current uneven economic backdrop, particularly in stable demand sectors like consumer staples, utilities, and healthcare [4] Market Valuation - Concerns about overvaluation are rising as the S&P 500 Index traded at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 29.21, significantly above its historical median of 17.986 [6] - The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) also shows a high P/E ratio of 27.29, indicating that current valuations are pricey [7] Investment Opportunities - A focus on undervalued stocks and ETFs is recommended as the market approaches 2026, particularly those with lower P/E ratios and positive price momentum [7] - Highlighted ETFs include: - State Street SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE) with a P/E of 11.29 and a one-month price gain of 5.2% [9] - State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) with a P/E of 15.25 and a one-month price gain of 7.4% [10] - State Street SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF (XPH) with a P/E of 10.25 and a one-month price gain of 16.9% [11]
Ross Gerber Calls Warner Bros 'Dog Asset' Worth No More Than $15: Says Netflix, Paramount Are Both 'Vastly Overpaying' In Bidding Frenzy - Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX)
Benzinga· 2025-12-10 07:38
Core Viewpoint - Investor Ross Gerber warns that the bidding for Warner Bros Discovery Inc. is leading to significant overvaluation of the company, describing it as a "dog asset" not worth more than $15 per share, while competitors Netflix and Paramount are bidding at $27.75 and $30 per share respectively [1][3]. Group 1: Company Valuation and Bidding Dynamics - Gerber believes that the competitive bidding environment, driven by the scarcity of major studio assets, is inflating offers for Warner Bros Discovery Inc. [3]. - He expressed skepticism about how Netflix would create value from acquiring Warner Bros, suggesting that the primary motivation is to protect its market position [3]. - Gerber noted that shareholders of Warner Bros would be content to recover their investments, indicating a lack of confidence in the company's future profitability [3]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Stock Performance - Shares of Warner Bros Discovery Inc. increased by 3.78% on Tuesday, closing at $28.26, with a slight overnight rise of 0.35% [6]. - The stock is noted to have a favorable price trend in the short, medium, and long terms, scoring high on Momentum in Benzinga's Edge Stock Rankings [6]. Group 3: Ethical and Political Considerations - Paramount's bid for Warner Bros has attracted scrutiny due to its backing by Affinity Partners, which is associated with Jared Kushner and several Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds [5]. - Former President Trump has indicated his intention to be involved in the federal review of Netflix's potential acquisition of Warner Bros, citing concerns over market share implications [6].
Why this analyst agrees with Michael Burry in Tesla's overvaluation.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-03 19:28
Tesla's valuation is coming into question yet again. This time by well-known investor Michael Bur. In a new Subsack post, Tesla's market capitalization is ridiculously overvalued today and has been for a long time.Bur is arguing that stockbased compensation stands to further dilute Tesla shareholders. >> I kind of agree with Michael Barry at this point that it is overvalued. I think ultimately what they've done is actually quite credible but there's I think quite some negative news flow at the moment around ...
AI Stocks Expose Market Vulnerability as Overvaluation Hits November Returns
Investing· 2025-12-01 18:08
Core Insights - The article provides a comprehensive market analysis focusing on investment opportunities and trends in various sectors [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The analysis highlights significant shifts in market dynamics, particularly in technology and healthcare sectors, indicating a growing interest from investors [1] - Emerging markets are showing resilience, with increased foreign investment inflows, suggesting a potential for higher returns [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Specific companies within the renewable energy sector are identified as having strong growth potential due to favorable government policies and increasing consumer demand [1] - The financial services industry is experiencing a transformation driven by fintech innovations, presenting new investment avenues [1] Group 3: Economic Indicators - Key economic indicators such as GDP growth rates and unemployment figures are discussed, providing context for market performance and investor sentiment [1] - Inflation rates are monitored closely, as they impact interest rates and overall market stability [1]
X @aixbt
aixbt· 2025-11-14 08:27
aerodrome ignition sets token launch prices through veaero votes not market demand. litkey launched at $106m fdv from voting then bottomed at launch price. smart money dumped 65% of aero positions last 30 days. whales accumulated 200% because they profit from voting rewards regardless of token price. every ignition launch follows same pattern: veaero voters bribe for overvaluation, 7800% apy attracts mercenary farmers, immediate dump on buyers. the merger gives aero 94.5% distribution to scale this broken m ...