RT Bloomberg en Español (@BBGenEspanol)Con el peso sobrevaluado, miles de argentinos cruzan cada mes a Chile para comprar televisores, ropa y electrodomésticos, vaciando las reservas en dólares que el gobierno de Milei intenta proteger.@AntoMufarech explica https://t.co/ypqNcFzRrM https://t.co/POVB1wvIrY ...

Group 1 - GQG Partners warns that the current technology market is experiencing "dotcom-era overvaluation," with high capital spending and weakening fundamentals potentially leading to significant repercussions [1][3] - The report titled "Dotcom on Steroids" argues that the AI-driven boom has created a precarious situation in the tech sector, characterized by rich valuations, increasing macro risks, and deteriorating company fundamentals [2][4] - GQG highlights that capital expenditure (CapEx) in the tech sector is reaching levels comparable to previous market bubbles, raising concerns about the sustainability of such high spending [4][5] Group 2 - The report indicates that big tech companies' CapEx as a percentage of EBITDA is currently between 50%-70%, similar to historical peaks during the telecom and energy bubbles [5] - GQG challenges the notion that today's tech companies are cheaper than those during the dot-com era, asserting that they are actually more expensive on a growth-adjusted basis [6][7] - Data shows that the share of S&P 500 companies trading at more than 10 times sales has surpassed the 2000 peak, indicating widespread overvaluation in the market [7] Group 3 - GQG concludes that there are "better investment opportunities outside the tech sector" due to the identified risks and overvaluation [7] - The report also includes performance data for major tech firms and AI-linked ETFs, highlighting their year-to-date and one-year performance metrics [9][10]

Market Overview - The S&P 500 has shown significant gains this year despite recent selloff concerns, with current gains reflecting an entire year's worth of historical returns on average [3] - There are indications of high stock valuations, but the market is not in a bubble at this time [3] Closed-End Funds (CEFs) Analysis - Many closed-end funds are currently overbought, with yields exceeding 8%, necessitating caution among investors [4] - Three specific CEFs are highlighted as having inflated premiums to net asset value (NAV), suggesting they should be sold or avoided [4] Sell Signal No. 1: Gabelli Utility Trust (GUT) - GUT has a premium of 89.6%, down from 96.2%, indicating investors are still paying significantly above its asset value [5][6] - The fund's holdings in major US utility stocks could face declines if the premium diminishes, especially given the crowded trade in utilities related to AI's electricity demand [6][7] Sell Signal No. 2: PIMCO Strategic Income Fund (RCS) - RCS has seen its premium rise to over 55%, significantly above the 20% premium during the April selloff, indicating a potential "mini-bubble" [8][9] - Historical data suggests that RCS's premium could drop, leading to unrealized losses for investors [9] Sell Signal No. 3: Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund (GOF) - GOF's premium stands at 29.1%, which, while lower than previous highs, still raises concerns about sustainability [10] - The fund's yield on NAV is 19%, indicating it may not be generating enough returns to cover its dividend, suggesting a potential payout cut [12][13]

Market Overview - The S&P 500 has experienced its longest losing streak of 2025, dropping for five consecutive trading days, marking the first such decline this year [1] - The index declined 1.5% over the past five sessions, driven by selling in major tech stocks due to concerns over an AI bubble and overvaluation [2] Economic Indicators - The likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September has decreased, with the CME Group's FedWatch Tool indicating a 73.6% chance of a quarter-point reduction, down from 92.1% a week prior [3] Inverse ETFs Performance - The market sell-off has led to a rally in inverse single-stock ETFs, which are designed to deliver the opposite daily return of specific stocks [3] - Several inverse single-stock ETFs have shown significant gains over the past week, including: - Defiance Daily Target 2X Short PLTR ETF (PLTZ) – Up 30.6% [5] - Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST) – Up 25.1% [6] - Defiance Daily Target 2X Short IONQ ETF (IONZ) – Up 19.4% [7] - GraniteShares 2x Short COIN Daily ETF (CONI) – Up 16% [8] - Defiance Daily Target 2X Short SMCI ETF (SMCZ) – Up 15.7% [9] Company Earnings Impact - Disappointing earnings reports from major retailers like Target and Walmart have contributed to the market downturn [2]

>> With the one. >> CNBC out with its latest fed survey showing some growing concern about the market's valuation. Let's get over to Steve Liesman.He's got details for us Steve. >> Hey, David. Yeah.Respondents to the CNBC fed survey expressing as much concern about overvaluation in the stock market as they have in at least a year. S&P seen pretty much flat, even down according to the average respondent, 37 respondents. This time 6344 was 6133 in June.So it's up from there. But below where the market is righ ...

Group 1 - The launch of Tesla's Robotaxi in June served as a significant positive catalyst, resulting in a 15% increase in the stock price since early June [1] - The author emphasizes a strong background in IT and experience in managing a family portfolio, which has led to a deep understanding of risk and reward in investment decisions [1] - The intention is to provide clear and accessible insights into the market, particularly focusing on technology stocks while also exploring diverse sectors for investment opportunities [1] Group 2 - The article expresses a beneficial long position in Tesla shares, indicating confidence in the company's future performance [2] - The author clarifies that the article reflects personal opinions and is not influenced by any business relationships with companies mentioned [2] - There is a disclaimer regarding the nature of past performance not guaranteeing future results, emphasizing the independent nature of the analysis [3]

Heading into earnings season, a price to earnings or PE ratio of 22 suggest stocks are priced at 22 times their annual earnings, which is historically high. For context, the S&P 500 long-term average PE is around 15 to 16 with peaks near 25 to 30 during past bubbles such as the dot era. A PE of 22 is elevated but not extreme by historical standards.Elevated pees could signal overvaluation if driven by speculative fervor or concentrated in a few stocks, especially if earnings falter or rates rise. Conversely ...

Market Valuation - Crypto companies' market capitalization at $100 billion places them among the top 100 largest companies globally [1] - The crypto industry's revenue and growth do not currently justify such high valuations [1] - The crypto market has been experiencing overvaluation [1]