Oil prices heading lower this morning as the US attempts to broker a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine. For more on the impact to oil markets, let's bring in Barclay's oil analyst, Amomar Singh. Omar, appreciate the time this morning.Good to see you. >> My pleasure. Thank you for having me.>> So, so whether it's individual reports today or just the prospect of these talks making progress in Geneva, to what degree is it really weighing on the commodity today. Well, we've seen this volatility caused by ge ...

By Seher Dareen, Nicole Jao and Mohi Narayan LONDON/NEW YORK/NEW DELHI (Reuters) -Global refining margins have hit multi-year highs in November due to sanctions on Russia, refinery outages and maintenance, according to LSEG data and analysts, and some see ​little respite without more plants being built in the Western world. The strength in margins contrasts with crude oil markets coming under pressure from an expected oversupply,‌ and has defied expectations earlier this year that the rally could prove t ...

Europe’s energy firms did much better than expected in the third quarter, as stronger refining margins offset the impact of subdued oil prices, though the outlook going into 2026 remains uncertain https://t.co/muL9RoYgub ...

Core Insights - Phillips 66 (PSX) reported third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of $2.52 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.07 and improving from $2.04 in the same quarter last year [1][9] - Total quarterly revenues reached $35 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $30 billion, although this represents a decline from $36.2 billion year-over-year [1][9] Segment Performance - **Midstream**: Adjusted pre-tax earnings were $697 million, up from $672 million year-over-year, but slightly below the estimate of $706 million, driven by stronger NGL business results [3] - **Chemicals**: Adjusted pre-tax earnings fell to $176 million, a 49% decrease from $342 million in the prior-year quarter, missing the estimate of $304.7 million due to weaker polyethylene chain margins and higher feedstock costs [4][9] - **Refining**: Adjusted pre-tax earnings improved to $430 million from a loss of $67 million in the year-ago quarter, exceeding the estimate of $80.9 million, attributed to higher realized refining margins [5][9] - **Marketing & Specialties**: Adjusted pre-tax earnings declined to $477 million from $583 million year-over-year, although it beat the projection of $392.2 million, due to lower marketing fuel margins [7] Refining Margins - Realized refining margins increased to $12.15 per barrel from $8.31 year-over-year, with notable increases in various regions: Central Corridor ($15.82 from $14.19), Gulf Coast ($8.74 from $6.39), West Coast ($12.31 from $4.34), and Atlantic Basin/Europe ($11.94 from $5.87) [6] Financial Overview - Total costs and expenses decreased to $34.8 billion from $35.8 billion year-over-year, while the projection was $26.1 billion [11] - The company generated $1.2 billion in net cash from operations, up from $1.1 billion in the prior year, with capital expenditures totaling $541 million and dividends paid out amounting to $484 million [12] - As of September 30, 2025, cash and cash equivalents stood at $2 billion, with total debt at $21.8 billion, reflecting a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 44% [12]

Philip 66 out with quarterly results. Earnings came in at $2.50% a 52 cents a share. That was much better than the $2.17% that the street had been expecting.Company operating at 99% capacity utilization and refining during the quarter and it generated $1.2% billion of net operating cash flow. Joining us right now to talk about the results is Mark Laser. He is Philip 66 chairman and CEO.And Mark, thanks for being here today. It looks like the stock is up by about half percent on this news. These numbers are ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, net income attributable to Valero stockholders was $1.1 billion or $3.53 per share, compared to $364 million or $1.14 per share for Q3 2024, reflecting a significant increase [8] - Adjusted net income for Q3 2025 was $1.1 billion or $3.66 per share, up from $371 million or $1.16 per share in Q3 2024 [8] - Refining segment reported operating income of $1.6 billion for Q3 2025, compared to $565 million in Q3 2024 [8] - Net cash provided by operating activities was $1.9 billion in Q3 2025, with adjusted net cash provided being $1.6 billion [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Refining throughput volumes averaged 3.1 million barrels per day in Q3 2025, with a utilization rate of 97% [8] - The renewable diesel segment reported an operating loss of $28 million in Q3 2025, down from an operating income of $35 million in Q3 2024 [9] - The ethanol segment achieved $183 million of operating income in Q3 2025, compared to $153 million in Q3 2024, with production volumes averaging 4.6 million gallons per day [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Refining margins remained strong due to global demand and low inventory levels, despite high utilization rates [5] - Quality differentials for medium and heavy sour crudes have widened, with WCS trading at a 12% discount to Brent and Maya at a 14% discount [20] - Diesel demand in the U.S. was reported to be up 8% year-over-year in Valero's system, with overall diesel demand showing a 2% increase according to DOE data [51] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is progressing on the FCC unit optimization project at St. Charles Refinery, a $230 million initiative expected to enhance high-value product yields [6] - Valero plans to continue returning excess free cash flow to shareholders through stock buybacks, maintaining a payout ratio of 78% for Q3 2025 [11][33] - The company anticipates refining fundamentals to remain supported by low inventories and supply tightness, with limited capacity additions beyond 2025 [7] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about refining fundamentals remaining strong due to low inventories and geopolitical disruptions affecting supply [5][7] - The outlook for the ethanol segment remains positive due to strong domestic and export demand, supported by a record corn crop [40] - Management noted that the renewable diesel segment is expected to return to positive EBITDA, aided by lower fat prices and rationalization in the biodiesel market [42] Other Important Information - The company ended Q3 2025 with $8.4 billion in total debt and $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents, resulting in a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 18% [12] - Capital investments for 2025 are expected to be approximately $1.9 billion, with a significant portion allocated to sustaining the business [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on heavy crude differentials and availability - Management expressed disappointment in the impact of TMX on West Coast crude values, noting that most barrels are flowing to the Far East, and quality differentials have widened significantly [20][21] Question: Global capacity additions and reliability - Management indicated that while there are expected capacity additions, many new facilities may not reach nameplate capacity, leading to tighter supply-demand balances [26] Question: Impact of global outages on product markets - Management noted strong export demand and the inability to restock inventories in the U.S., which is keeping domestic markets tight [30] Question: Capital returns and stock buybacks - Management confirmed that excess free cash flow will continue to be directed towards share buybacks, maintaining a disciplined approach to capital returns [33] Question: Crude on the water and its destination - Management noted that most barrels are flowing to Asia, with increased Iraqi barrels expected in the U.S. market [39] Question: Performance of non-refining businesses - Ethanol is performing well due to strong demand and favorable conditions, while Diamond Green Diesel is returning to profitability [40][42] Question: Domestic gasoline demand trends - Management reported flat to slightly down gasoline demand year-over-year, with good export demand and stable fundamentals [50] Question: Technology advancements in operations - Management discussed the use of AI and robotics to improve operational efficiency and maintenance scheduling [56][86]

Core Insights - The company expects an increase in upstream production in the third quarter compared to the previous quarter [1] - Anticipated gains of up to $400 million are expected from higher refining margins [1] Group 1 - Upstream production is projected to rise from the previous quarter [1] - The company forecasts a financial boost of up to $400 million due to improved refining margins [1]

Core Insights - Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) anticipates a sequential increase in third-quarter 2025 earnings by $300 million due to changes in oil prices [1] - The company expects a sequential increase in September quarter earnings by $200 million attributed to natural gas price fluctuations [2] - The projected impact of oil price changes on XOM's third-quarter earnings is estimated to range from a loss of $100 million to a profit of $300 million, while natural gas price changes may result in a loss or profit of up to $200 million [2] Oil and Natural Gas Price Analysis - Average WTI spot prices for July, August, and September 2025 were $68.39, $64.86, and $63.96 per barrel, respectively, indicating a healthier pricing environment compared to the previous quarter [3] - In the prior quarter, average prices were $63.54, $62.17, and $68.17 per barrel for April, May, and June [3] Earnings Expectations - XOM's energy products business unit is projected to generate earnings between $300 million and $700 million in Q3 2025, driven by favorable refining margins [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for XOM's third-quarter 2025 earnings is $1.72 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 10.4% [4] Industry Context - Other integrated energy companies like Chevron Corporation (CVX) and BP plc (BP) are also affected by oil and natural gas price fluctuations, which are expected to impact their upstream businesses [5] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CVX's third-quarter 2025 earnings is $1.88 per share, indicating a year-over-year decrease of 25.1%, while BP's estimate is 70 cents per share, showing a decline of nearly 16% [6]

Core Insights - Shell plc has revised its third-quarter outlook, leading to a positive premarket trading response for its shares [1] Production and Earnings Outlook - The company has adjusted its Integrated Gas production guidance to approximately 910 to 950 thousand boe/d, down from a previous range of 910 to 970 thousand boe/d [1] - The Upstream segment outlook has been tightened to about 1,790 to 1,890 thousand boe/d, compared to the earlier forecast of 1,700 to 1,900 thousand boe/d [3] - Adjusted earnings are expected to incur a hit of $200 to $400 million due to the rebalancing of participation interests in Brazil [3] LNG and Refining Projections - Shell has increased its LNG liquefaction volumes forecast to 7.0 to 7.4 million metric tons, up from a previous estimate of 6.7 to 7.3 million metric tons [2] - Refinery utilization is projected to be around 94% to 98%, an increase from the prior outlook of 88% to 96% [3] - The refining margin is expected to be $11.6 per barrel, higher than the $8.9 per barrel recorded in the second quarter [3] Chemical and Marketing Segment Insights - Chemical manufacturing plant utilization is now expected to be 79% to 83%, slightly adjusted from the earlier guidance of 78% to 86% [4] - The chemicals sub-segment is anticipated to experience an adjusted loss in the third quarter [4] - Marketing sales volumes are projected to be around 2,650 to 3,050 thousand b/d, compared to the previous guidance of 2,600 to 3,100 thousand b/d [4] Impairments and Provisions - The company expects non-cash post-tax impairments and provisions of approximately $600 million in the Marketing segment due to the cancellation of its Rotterdam biofuels project [5] - Total impairments and provisions related to the biofuels venture have reached $1.4 billion [5] Stock Performance - Shell shares were trading higher by 0.92% to $74.95 in premarket trading [6]

Financial Performance - Exxon Mobil's refining margins rebounded in Q3, increasing earnings by approximately $500 million compared to the previous quarter [1]