“I believe we could get started in earnest next year on the price decline and see a rather large drop historically speaking, but still think it could take several years to bottom,” she told Newsweek (4).Wright believes the coming correction could take several years to fully play out, but she thinks the downturn could begin as early as 2026.There are already hints of a shift. Zillow recently reported that 53% of U.S. homes lost value over the past year — the highest share since 2012 — with an average drawdow ...

Group 1 - First Majestic Silver's shares are down 2.8% while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are gaining, indicating a divergence in performance [1] - The decline in First Majestic's shares is attributed to falling silver prices, likely influenced by easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China [1][2] - A successful U.S.-China trade deal could lead to a shift in investor capital from metals to equities, further impacting silver prices [3] Group 2 - Silver miners, including First Majestic, face increased risk as metal prices retreat, despite a significant rise in stock value earlier this year [4] - First Majestic's stock has increased over 80% this year due to rising silver prices, but a decline in silver could lead to a sharper drop in its stock [4] - Analysts recommend caution for investors considering First Majestic, as it was not included in a list of top investment stocks [5][6]

Core Insights - Gold prices have reached a record high, with New York spot closing at $4,326 per troy ounce and futures trading above $4,344, driven by economic uncertainty and investor anxiety [3][4] - Gold futures have increased nearly 60% since the beginning of 2025, rising from approximately $2,670 to around $4,268 per troy ounce [5] - The surge in gold prices is attributed to factors such as the U.S. government shutdown, ongoing trade wars, and the prospect of lower interest rates, making gold a more attractive investment [4][10] Economic Context - The rise in gold prices is linked to economic turmoil stemming from President Trump's trade wars, which have imposed steep tariffs and strained businesses and consumers [8] - The U.S. government shutdown has delayed key economic data and affected federal employees, contributing to increased investor anxiety [9] - Analysts note the weakness of the U.S. dollar and recent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve as additional factors driving gold investments [10] Market Behavior - There has been a notable shift in investor behavior, with many distancing themselves from riskier assets like cryptocurrencies amid market volatility [11] - Jewelry merchants are experiencing increased customer inquiries about gold value, with some opting to sell or melt down family heirlooms due to rising prices [12] - Larger retailers have acknowledged the impact of rising material costs and tariffs on their businesses during recent earnings calls [13] Investment Perspective - Advocates for gold investment argue it serves as a safe haven and can diversify investment portfolios, while critics caution against relying solely on gold as an inflation hedge [14][15] - The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has warned about the volatility of precious metals, indicating that sellers typically profit during periods of economic anxiety [16] Environmental Concerns - The increased demand for gold has raised health and environmental issues, particularly related to mercury poisoning from illegal gold mining practices [18] - Mercury, used in artisanal mining, poses significant risks to both workers and local communities, leading to neurological and developmental harm [19][20]

Market Overview - Australian shares are projected to gain a modest +0.03% on Wednesday, influenced by a stall in the Wall Street rally, which has also contributed to gold surpassing the $4,000 level [1][2] - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq composite reached intraday highs, but there are growing concerns that the market may be "a little too overenthusiastic" about the current equity surge [2] Gold Market Insights - Gold has recently surpassed $4,000 an ounce, reflecting a strong demand as investors seek safe-haven assets, although it dipped back slightly [3] - Gold is now confirmed as Australia's second most valuable export, following iron ore [3] Companies to Watch - Companies in the gold sector, such as Bellevue Gold (ASX:BGL), Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN), and Northern Star Resources (ASX:NST), are highlighted as key players to monitor due to the rising gold prices [5] - Emerging companies like Caprice Resources (ASX:CRS) and New Murchison Gold (ASX:NMG) have also gained attention in recent weeks [5] Exchange Developments - ASX Ltd (ASX:ASX) faces competition as ASIC has approved rival exchange CBOE to list Australian companies on its platform [6] - Green and Gold Minerals is set to become the latest ASX company, with its shares offered at 20 cents each [6] Commodity Prices - The Australian dollar is trading at 65.8 U.S. cents [7] - Iron ore remains stable at $104.10 per tonne, while Brent crude oil has increased by +0.5% to $65.77 per barrel [7] - Gold is currently priced at $3,998 an ounce, and US natural gas futures have risen by +4.9% to $3.52 per gigajoule [7]

Funding and Investment - Meanwhile, the first life insurance company to offer policies entirely in Bitcoin has raised $82 million in a new funding round led by Bain Capital and Haun Ventures, bringing its total funding for 2025 to $122 million after a successful Series A that raised $40 million in April [1][2] - Other participants in the latest funding round include Apollo, Framework Ventures, Fulgar Ventures, Northwestern Mutual, Pantera Capital, and Stillmark [2] Company Operations - Meanwhile operates as a fully licensed and regulated life insurance carrier in Bermuda, with payouts denominated in Bitcoin, allowing beneficiaries to receive Bitcoin instead of fiat currency upon policy execution [3] - The company is also one of the world's largest Bitcoin lenders, providing both institutional and policyholder lending services [4] Policyholder Benefits - Individuals with policies older than two years can borrow against their policies to receive Bitcoin at fair market value, with the option to sell the new Bitcoin immediately if it appreciates [5] - Policyholders have the choice to either repay the loan or allow it to be covered by their policy's death benefit [5] Market Context - Bitcoin reached a new all-time high on October 6, with US spot Bitcoin ETFs seeing record inflows, marking their second highest level since inception [6] - The price of Bitcoin started the month around $117,000, peaking at $126,198 on October 6 before a slight pullback, attributed to investors seeking safe haven amid global uncertainty [7]

Core Insights - Gold futures have surpassed $4,000 per ounce for the first time, driven by investor demand for safe-haven assets amid ongoing U.S. government shutdown [1][2] - Gold prices have increased approximately 50% since the beginning of 2025, rising from around $2,670 to about $4,003 per troy ounce [2] Economic Context - The rise in gold prices is largely attributed to economic uncertainty stemming from President Trump's trade wars, which have led to increased tariffs and strained both businesses and consumers [4] - The current U.S. government shutdown has exacerbated investor anxieties, delaying key economic data and affecting federal employees [5] Market Dynamics - The demand for gold typically spikes during periods of investor anxiety, as seen with the recent surge in prices [3] - Central banks worldwide have shown strong demand for gold, influenced by rising geopolitical tensions, including conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine [6]

Core Insights - Gold prices reached record highs, driven by investor demand for safe-haven assets amid the first government shutdown in nearly seven years, although the broader economic impact is expected to be minimal [1][3][6] - Bitcoin also saw a significant rally, with prices increasing nearly 7% over the past five days, indicating a shift in investor sentiment towards perceived less risky assets [1][3][5] Gold Market - U.S. gold futures hit an all-time high of approximately $3,922 per troy ounce before settling around $3,900 [3] - Goldman Sachs and UBS strategists suggest that gold is favored during periods of economic uncertainty, with expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve contributing to rising prices [4] Bitcoin Market - Bitcoin's price rose from just over $109,000 to around $117,200, reflecting a 2.8% increase on the day of reporting [3] - Despite being a risk asset, Bitcoin is perceived as a less risky investment compared to traditional equities during times of economic uncertainty [5] Economic Impact of Government Shutdown - Historical data indicates that government shutdowns tend to have a short-lived and minimal impact on the economy, with an average duration of eight days [6] - Previous shutdowns have resulted in temporary market rallies, such as a 10% increase in the S&P 500 following a 34-day shutdown in late 2018 [6] Upcoming Economic Data - The government shutdown may delay the release of key economic data, including nonfarm payrolls and inflation reports, which are critical ahead of the Federal Reserve's policymaking meeting [7]

Core Insights - The U.S. stock market, specifically the S&P 500, has experienced a decline for three consecutive sessions [1] - A decrease in weekly jobless claims to 218,000 from 232,000 has alleviated concerns regarding the job market [2] - This drop in jobless claims has negatively impacted gold futures, which are down 0.1% to approximately $3,763 per troy ounce [2] Market Reactions - The positive shift in the job market data has reduced the demand for safe-haven assets, leading to a stronger U.S. dollar index [2] - Silver prices have seen a slight increase of 1.3%, reaching $44.79 per troy ounce, despite earlier gains being pared back [2]

Market Trends - A significant market shift is anticipated, particularly as stocks and bonds rally simultaneously, which is unusual and noteworthy [1][6]. - Historically, summer rallies are fragile, but when they persist into September, they often lead to a strong fourth quarter [4]. ETFs Performance - Four specific ETFs are showing bullish patterns, indicating a positive outlook for the end of the year [2]. - The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has seen a rise from just under 600 in late May to around 660 by mid-September, marking a 10% increase [4]. - The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) has also rallied, moving from the mid-80s to above 90 [5]. Interest Rates and Economic Indicators - The market is reacting to signs of a potential federal interest rate cut, with recent labor data showing weakness and economic reports being revised downward [6]. - The Federal Reserve cut rates by a quarter point for the first time since December 2024, which could create investment opportunities [6]. Energy Sector Insights - The United States Oil Fund (USO) is being closely monitored, particularly the $72 level, which could trigger a significant price drop if breached [8]. - Seasonal trends indicate that oil prices typically weaken after July, and a breakdown could negatively impact related stocks [9]. Gold Market Analysis - The SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) has increased over 10% since summer, reaching inflation-adjusted all-time highs without significant retail enthusiasm [10]. - The lack of hype around gold is seen as a bullish indicator, suggesting that institutional investors are moving into gold as a safe haven [10][11]. Technology Sector Developments - Tesla's stock surged following a $1 billion insider buy from Elon Musk, while Alphabet became the fourth company to surpass a $3 trillion market cap [12]. - The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS), which tracks major tech companies, has risen 20% since June, indicating strong performance in the tech sector [12][13].

Core Viewpoint - Dalio expresses concerns about U.S. Treasurys as a secure investment, advocating for gold as a safer alternative due to rising national debt and budget deficits [1] Group 1: Investment Concerns - U.S. national debt has surpassed $37 trillion, raising alarms about the security of Treasurys [1] - The annual budget deficit is approaching $2 trillion, further complicating the investment landscape [1] Group 2: Alternative Investments - Dalio recommends gold as a preferred safe haven investment over Treasurys [1]