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Powell: Labor market has seen slowdown in supply and demand for workers
CNBC Television· 2025-09-23 19:30
In the labor market, there has been a marked slowdown in both the supply of and the demand for workers, an unusual and challenging development. In this less dynamic and somewhat softer labor market, the downside risks to employment have risen. The unemployment rate edged up to 4.3% in August, but has remained relatively stable at a low level over the past year.Payroll job gains slowed sharply over summer months as employers added an average of just 29,000 per month over the past three months. The recent pac ...
Mad Dash: Darden Restaurants
Youtube· 2025-09-19 14:03
All right, two minutes before we get to the final opening bell of the week. Let's get in a mad dash. What do you do with the best restaurant company.Uh, Olive Garden. Fantastic margins. They do have a long, you know, you know, this long run.It's not doing so much steak. Yeah. But I would tell you this thing went down hard on a miss.3% yield. It is still the flagship. I think it can come back.It can come back, but you have to have some dimmunition in food prices because there's certainly no there's not a tra ...
钢材:螺纹仓单压力大,钢价依然承压
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-09-15 01:56
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, steel prices maintained a weak and volatile trend. The profit of power - off - peak electricity for short - process steel decreased and fell into losses, leading to a reduction in production. The profit of long - process steel also fell into losses, but after the parade, the hot metal production quickly recovered to over 2.4 million tons. The overall supply remained high. The demand for hot - rolled coils recovered rapidly, while the demand for rebar declined due to large warehouse receipt pressure. The overall inventory continued to accumulate, with the rebar inventory accumulating faster than last year. It is expected that the short - term steel prices will maintain a bottom - oscillating trend. The trading strategy suggests maintaining a wait - and - see approach for both arbitrage and options [4][7]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Chapter 1: Steel Market Summary and Outlook 3.1.1 Market Summary - **Supply**: This week, the small - sample production of rebar was 2.1868 million tons (- 0.0188 million tons), and that of hot - rolled coils was 3.1424 million tons (- 0.105 million tons). The daily average hot metal output of 247 blast furnaces was 2.4055 million tons (+ 0.1171 million tons), and the capacity utilization rate of 49 independent electric arc furnace steel mills was 35.2% (- 0.3%). The cost of flat - rate electricity for electric furnaces in East China was about 3,373 yuan/ton (converted to the futures price), with a profit of - 166.92 yuan/ton. The cost of off - peak electricity was about 3,208 yuan/ton (converted to theoretical weight), and the profit of off - peak electricity for the third - tier rebar in East China was - 2 yuan/ton [4]. - **Demand**: The small - sample apparent demand for rebar was 2.0207 million tons (- 0.04 million tons), and that for hot - rolled coils was 3.0536 million tons (+ 0.208 million tons). From January to July, the growth rate of China's fixed - asset investment decreased month - on - month, and the incremental investment in domestic projects was insufficient. In July, the decline in housing sales, land acquisition, new construction, and completion areas widened, and the overall demand for housing construction was weak. The manufacturing PMI contracted, and the new orders, production, and export data all declined. The production and export of Chinese automobiles in July increased year - on - year, but the industry profit continued to shrink. The production schedule of three major white goods in September decreased year - on - year, and it is expected to decline further in October. The initial value of the US manufacturing PMI in August reached a 39 - month high, and the initial value of the eurozone manufacturing PMI in August returned to the expansion range for the first time in three years [4]. - **Inventory**: The rebar inventory in steel mills decreased by 47,100 tons, and the social inventory increased by 185,700 tons, with a total increase of 138,600 tons. The hot - rolled coil inventory in steel mills increased by 9,000 tons, and the social inventory decreased by 19,200 tons, with a total decrease of 10,200 tons. The total inventory of five major steel products in steel mills decreased by 35,000 tons, and the social inventory increased by 174,100 tons, with a total increase of 139,100 tons [4]. 3.1.2 Market Outlook - It is expected that the rebar production will continue to decrease due to serious losses in both short - and long - process production, while the hot - rolled coil production will continue to resume as it remains profitable. The overall inventory will continue to accumulate, with the rebar inventory accumulating faster than last year, and the hot - rolled coil inventory starting to decline. The steel prices are expected to maintain a bottom - oscillating trend in the short term. In September, attention should be paid to the peak - season demand, coal mine safety inspections, overseas tariffs, and domestic macro and industrial policies. The trading strategy suggests a bottom - oscillating trend for single - side trading and a wait - and - see approach for both arbitrage and options [7]. 3.2 Chapter 2: Price and Profit Review - **Spot Prices**: On Friday, the aggregated price of rebar in Shanghai was 3,220 yuan (- 20 yuan), and in Beijing was 3,160 yuan (- 30 yuan). The price of hot - rolled coils in Shanghai was 3,380 yuan (unchanged), and that of HBIS hot - rolled coils in Tianjin was 3,310 yuan (unchanged) [11]. - **Profits**: The flat - rate electricity profit of electric furnaces in East China was - 166 yuan (- 39 yuan), and the off - peak electricity profit was - 2 yuan (- 39 yuan) [29]. 3.3 Chapter 3: Important Domestic and Overseas Macroeconomic Data - **US Data**: The unadjusted CPI annual rate in the US in August reached 2.9%, the highest since January, in line with market expectations. The seasonally adjusted CPI monthly rate was 0.4%, higher than the expected 0.3%. The number of initial jobless claims in the week of September 6 was 263,000, higher than the expected 235,000 [31]. - **Chinese Data**: In August, the retail sales of the national passenger car market reached 1.995 million units, a year - on - year increase of 4.6%. From January to August, the cumulative retail sales were 14.741 million units, a year - on - year increase of 9.5%. In July, the new social financing was 1.13 trillion yuan, with new RMB loans of - 5 billion yuan. The loans on the household side were - 48.93 billion yuan, and enterprise loans were 60 trillion yuan. From January to July 2025, the cumulative year - on - year growth rate of China's fixed - asset investment was + 1.6%, with a decline in growth rate month - on - month [31][38]. - **Egyptian Data**: Egypt launched safeguard measure investigations on imported steel billets, cold - rolled coils, galvanized sheets, and pre - painted sheets on September 10, 2025, and made a positive preliminary ruling on imported hot - rolled coils on September 10, suggesting the collection of temporary safeguard measure taxes from September 14, 2025, to April 1, 2026 [31]. 3.4 Chapter 4: Steel Supply, Demand, and Inventory Situation 3.4.1 Supply - The daily average hot metal output of 247 blast furnaces was 2.4055 million tons (+ 0.1171 million tons), and the capacity utilization rate of 49 independent electric arc furnace steel mills was 34.7% (- 0.5%) [56]. - The small - sample production of rebar was 2.1193 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 0.0675 million tons, and that of hot - rolled coils was 3.2514 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 0.109 million tons [62]. 3.4.2 Demand - The small - sample apparent demand for rebar was 1.9807 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 0.04 million tons, and that for hot - rolled coils was 3.2616 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 0.208 million tons [65]. - As of September 9, the capital availability rate of sample construction sites was 59.24%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.16 percentage points. The capital availability rate of non - housing construction projects was 61.03%, a week - on - week increase of 0.02 percentage points, while that of housing construction projects was 50.75%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.64 percentage points [74]. - From January to July 2025, China's cumulative steel exports were 67.983 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 11.4%. In July, the steel exports were 9.836 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 0.158 million tons. The high - frequency data in August showed that direct steel exports remained high, but the export profit shrank recently [77]. 3.4.3 Inventory - The overall inventory situation showed that the rebar inventory continued to accumulate, while the hot - rolled coil inventory started to decline. The total rebar inventory and its breakdown into social and steel mill inventories, as well as the total hot - rolled coil inventory and its breakdown, are presented in the relevant graphs [82][84].
What Do We Already Know About REAL Supply and Demand in Grains?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-12 12:06
Corn Market - The corn market showed little activity with December futures (ZCZ25) remaining unchanged after a trading range of 1.75 cents and a volume of 12,000 contracts [1] - The US is expected to harvest a large corn crop in 2025, and the commercial side has priced in a bearish scenario, as indicated by the stabilization of futures spreads [1] - The National Corn Index was reported at $3.78, up 2.25 cents for the day, with the national average basis at 41.75 cents under December futures [1] Soybean Market - The soybean market opened lower with November futures (ZSX25) trading in a range of 4.5 cents and a volume of 10,500 contracts [4] - The November-January futures spread covered 69% of the calculated full commercial carry, indicating a bearish sentiment compared to 64% a year ago [4] - The National Soybean Index was calculated at $9.5450, with the national average basis at 79.0 cents under November futures [4] Wheat Market - The wheat market was mostly lower, with December futures (ZWZ25) remaining unchanged and a total overnight trade volume of about 5,000 contracts [5] - The Dec-March futures spread covered a neutral 51% of the calculated full commercial carry, while the National SRW Index was at $4.4850 [5] - The National HRW Index was reported at $4.33, marking its lowest monthly close since July 2020 [5]
Sezzle: A Risky Ride With Room To Run
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-10 14:07
Core Insights - Sezzle (NASDAQ: SEZL) has over 36 million shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, highlighting its market position in the context of supply and demand dynamics [1] Company Analysis - Sezzle is positioned within the small and midcap investment space, which is characterized by asymmetric upsides, indicating potential for significant growth [1] - The company operates in a competitive landscape, with comparisons drawn to Affirm, suggesting a need for strategic differentiation [1] Industry Context - The analysis reflects a broader understanding of the Industrials and chemicals sector, indicating the analyst's diverse experience which enriches the evaluation of companies like Sezzle [1]
X @Anthony Pompliano 🌪
Anthony Pompliano 🌪· 2025-09-10 12:12
Housing Market Analysis - Home prices are expected to decrease if local governments increase housing supply [1] - Mortgage rates are projected to decline when the Federal Reserve reduces interest rates [1] Policy Implication - Addressing the housing crisis can be achieved by increasing housing supply and lowering interest rates [1]
【震撼】比特幣礦企:AI、電力、飆漲條件、強制平倉、供給衝擊 Matthew Schultz【邦妮區塊鏈】
China was had by far and away the most hash rate in the world. When China banned Bitcoin mining a number of years ago, a lot of the Chinese miners relocated to the US. Historically, we've been able to mine Bitcoin between 20 and $40,000 each.Companies that don't sell their Bitcoin have no other choice but to dilute the shares. So, they're equity funded. Is it really worth that much of a premium.There's power that isn't always consumed. And if you don't consume it, you lose it. It goes to ground.You can't st ...
X @Starknet 🐺🐱
Starknet 🐺🐱· 2025-08-11 11:45
Market Sentiment - There's significant attention surrounding a particular individual or entity within the cryptocurrency space [1] - Speculation exists regarding the potential impact of staking activities on supply and demand dynamics [1]
McDonald's Snack Wrap demand causes lettuce shortage at some of its restaurants
Fox Business· 2025-07-23 15:16
Core Insights - The return of McDonald's Snack Wrap has led to unexpected high demand, resulting in a temporary depletion of lettuce supplies [1][5][8] - The company issued a directive to franchisees to pause adding shredded lettuce to McChicken sandwiches to manage supply shortages [2][5] - McDonald's had not anticipated such a surge in demand after the Snack Wrap's nine-year absence from the menu [5][11] Supply Chain Management - The supply shortage of lettuce has been resolved and is currently stable, with other ingredient outages also being temporary [8] - McDonald's typically follows a standard process for projecting supply needs but was caught off guard by the pent-up demand for the Snack Wrap [5][8] Customer Engagement - The decision to bring back the Snack Wrap was influenced by customer enthusiasm, including social media buzz and petitions [11] - McDonald's U.S. President had previously indicated that the Snack Wrap had a "cult following," which contributed to its relaunch [9][11]
X @Solana
Solana· 2025-07-22 05:39
Tokenization of Securities - The industry is considering whether algorithms should match supply and demand in the tokenization of securities and new offerings [1]