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Exploring Analyst Estimates for Chipotle (CMG) Q2 Earnings, Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2025-07-18 14:15
Core Insights - Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.32 per share, reflecting a 5.9% decline year-over-year, while revenues are forecasted to reach $3.1 billion, indicating a 4.4% increase compared to the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 0.4% over the past 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2] - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor actions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3] Revenue Metrics - Analysts estimate 'Revenue- Food and beverage' to be $3.08 billion, representing a 4.2% year-over-year increase [5] - The forecast for 'Revenue- Delivery service' is $16.06 million, which reflects an 11.8% decline from the same quarter last year [5] Restaurant Operations - The estimated number of 'Company-operated restaurants at end of period' is 3,846, up from 3,530 in the same quarter last year [6] - Analysts predict a 'Comparable restaurant sales increase' of -2.8%, a significant drop from the previous year's 11.1% [6] New Openings and Sales - The consensus is that 'Company-operated restaurants opened' will total 65, compared to 52 in the prior year [7] - The projected 'Company-operated restaurants at beginning of period' is 3,781, up from 3,479 in the same quarter last year [7] - The estimated 'Average restaurant sales - TTM' is $3.14 million, slightly down from $3.15 million year-over-year [7] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Chipotle shares have returned +3.3%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has seen a +5.4% change [8] - CMG currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting its performance may align with the overall market in the near future [8]
Wall Street's Insights Into Key Metrics Ahead of Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-07-18 14:15
Core Insights - Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.29 per share, reflecting a decline of 35.6% year over year [1] - Analysts forecast revenues of $237.24 million, indicating a decrease of 20.2% compared to the same quarter last year [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the past 30 days, suggesting a reassessment of projections by covering analysts [1] Revenue Estimates - Interest income is projected to reach $237.24 million, down 20.2% from the prior-year quarter [4] - Other revenue from gains on sales, including fee-based services, is estimated at $13.77 million, reflecting a decline of 21.1% year over year [4] - Servicing revenue is expected to be $26.77 million, indicating a decrease of 10.5% from the previous year [4] Additional Revenue Metrics - Analysts estimate 'Other revenue- Mortgage servicing rights' at $10.47 million, suggesting a year-over-year decline of 28% [5] - Over the past month, Arbor Realty Trust shares have gained 11%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which increased by 5.4% [5] - Arbor Realty Trust holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the overall market [5]
Does Sky Harbour Group (SKYH) Have the Potential to Rally 76.9% as Wall Street Analysts Expect?
ZACKS· 2025-07-17 14:56
Core Viewpoint - Sky Harbour Group Corporation (SKYH) shows potential for significant upside, with a mean price target of $17.92 indicating a 76.9% increase from its current price of $10.13 [1] Price Targets and Analyst Estimates - The mean estimate consists of six short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $4.8, suggesting variability among analysts [2] - The lowest estimate of $14.00 indicates a 38.2% increase, while the highest estimate of $25.00 suggests a potential surge of 146.8% [2] - Analysts' price targets can often mislead investors, as empirical research indicates they rarely reflect actual stock price movements [7][10] Earnings Estimates and Analyst Agreement - There is strong agreement among analysts regarding SKYH's ability to report better earnings, which supports the potential for stock upside [4][11] - Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has increased by 9.8%, with one estimate moving higher and no negative revisions [12] - SKYH holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates [13] Conclusion on Price Movement - While the consensus price target may not be a reliable indicator of the extent of potential gains, it does provide a useful guide for the direction of price movement [14]
What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About Texas Instruments (TXN) Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-07-17 14:15
Group 1 - Texas Instruments (TXN) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.32 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 8.2% [1] - Revenues are projected to be $4.31 billion, which represents a 12.7% increase from the same quarter last year [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating a reevaluation of initial estimates by analysts [1] Group 2 - Analysts project 'Revenue- Other' to reach $270.04 million, indicating a year-over-year change of -3.2% [4] - 'Revenue- Embedded Processing' is estimated to be $687.90 million, reflecting an 11.9% increase from the previous year [4] - The consensus for 'Revenue- Analog' is $3.39 billion, showing a 15.7% increase compared to the prior-year quarter [4] Group 3 - The average prediction for 'Operating Profit- Analog' is $1.27 billion, up from $1.05 billion reported in the same quarter last year [5] - 'Operating Profit- Other' is expected to be $8.34 million, a significant decrease from $121.00 million in the previous year [5] - The consensus estimate for 'Operating Profit- Embedded Processing' stands at $104.46 million, compared to $80.00 million from the year-ago period [6] Group 4 - Texas Instruments shares have returned +9.2% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +4.2% change [6] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it is expected to mirror overall market performance in the near future [6]
Wall Street Analysts See a 25.67% Upside in Ardmore Shipping (ASC): Can the Stock Really Move This High?
ZACKS· 2025-07-14 14:55
Core Viewpoint - Ardmore Shipping (ASC) shows potential for upside based on Wall Street analysts' price targets, with a mean target of $13.17 indicating a 25.7% upside from the current price of $10.48 [1] Price Targets and Estimates - The average price target consists of three estimates ranging from a low of $12.50 to a high of $14.00, with a standard deviation of $0.76, suggesting a consensus among analysts [2] - The lowest estimate indicates a 19.3% increase, while the highest suggests a 33.6% upside [2] - Analysts' agreement on earnings estimates is a strong indicator of potential stock performance, with positive revisions correlating with price movements [4][11] Analyst Behavior and Price Target Reliability - Solely relying on price targets for investment decisions may not be prudent due to historical inaccuracies in analysts' predictions [3][7] - Analysts often set optimistic price targets influenced by business relationships, which can lead to inflated expectations [8] - A low standard deviation in price targets indicates strong agreement among analysts, which can serve as a starting point for further research [9] Earnings Estimates and Zacks Rank - ASC has seen a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions, with a 16.2% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate over the past 30 days [12] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates [13] - While price targets may not be entirely reliable, the direction they imply can be a useful guide for potential stock movement [14]
Countdown to F.N.B. (FNB) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Estimates Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2025-07-14 14:16
Core Insights - The upcoming earnings report for F.N.B. (FNB) is anticipated to show quarterly earnings of $0.33 per share, reflecting a 2.9% decline year-over-year, while revenues are expected to increase by 4.4% to $421.73 million [1] - Analysts have revised the consensus EPS estimate downward by 1.4% over the past 30 days, indicating a reassessment of initial projections [2] - The correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price performance is well-documented, suggesting that these revisions are significant indicators for investor behavior [3] Financial Metrics - Analysts predict an 'Efficiency Ratio' of 56.2%, up from 54.4% in the same quarter last year [5] - The 'Net Interest Margin' is expected to remain stable at 3.1%, consistent with the previous year's figure [5] - The 'Average Balance - Total interest earning assets' is projected to reach $43.80 billion, an increase from $41.42 billion year-over-year [6] - 'Total Non-Performing Loans' are expected to rise to $157.76 million, compared to $108.00 million in the same quarter last year [6] - 'Mortgage banking operations' are estimated at $7.58 million, up from $6.96 million a year ago [7] - 'Total Non-Interest Income' is forecasted to be $89.13 million, slightly higher than $87.92 million reported last year [7] - 'Insurance commissions and fees' are expected to decrease to $5.48 million from $5.97 million in the previous year [8] - 'Net Interest Income' is projected to increase to $332.40 million from $315.89 million year-over-year [8] - 'Bank owned life insurance' is expected to reach $5.18 million, up from $3.42 million last year [9] - 'Capital markets income' is forecasted at $5.19 million, slightly above the previous year's $5.14 million [9] - 'Trust services' are expected to increase to $11.68 million from $11.48 million last year [9] - 'Other Non-Interest Income' is projected to decrease to $3.62 million from $3.75 million year-over-year [10] Stock Performance - F.N.B. shares have increased by 16% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which rose by 4% [10]
Countdown to Independent Bank Corp. (INDB) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Estimates Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2025-07-14 14:16
Core Insights - Independent Bank Corp. (INDB) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.20 per share, reflecting a decline of 0.8% year-over-year, while revenues are forecasted to increase by 5.6% to $179.81 million [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 4.2% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [2] - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, with empirical studies showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3] Key Financial Metrics - Analysts estimate an 'Efficiency Ratio' of 59.6%, up from 58.5% a year ago [5] - The 'Net Interest Margin (FTE)' is projected to remain at 3.3%, consistent with the same quarter last year [5] - 'Average Balance - Total Interest-Earning Assets' is expected to reach $17.77 billion, compared to $17.22 billion a year ago [6] - 'Total Non-Interest Income' is estimated at $32.97 million, up from $32.33 million year-over-year [6] - 'Net Interest Income' is forecasted to be $146.94 million, an increase from $137.93 million a year ago [6] Non-Interest Income Estimates - 'Interchange and ATM Fees' are expected to reach $4.76 million, slightly up from $4.75 million year-over-year [7] - 'Deposit Account Fees' are projected at $6.76 million, compared to $6.33 million last year [7] - 'Other Noninterest Income' is forecasted to be $6.18 million, down from $6.47 million a year ago [7] - 'Investment Management' is expected to reach $11.35 million, up from $10.99 million last year [8] Stock Performance - INDB shares have increased by 4% over the past month, aligning with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 4% movement [8] - The stock holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating it is expected to closely follow overall market performance in the near term [8]
United (UAL) Q2 Earnings on the Horizon: Analysts' Insights on Key Performance Measures
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 14:16
Core Viewpoint - Analysts expect United Airlines (UAL) to report quarterly earnings of $3.86 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 6.8%, with revenues projected at $15.36 billion, an increase of 2.5% from the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 5.4%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock, with empirical research showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts predict 'Operating revenue- Passenger revenue' to be $14.00 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 2.3% [5]. - The estimated 'Operating revenue- Other operating revenue' is $950.69 million, indicating a year-over-year change of 6.6% [5]. - 'Operating revenue- Cargo' is expected to reach $462.00 million, reflecting an 11.6% increase from the prior year [6]. Key Metrics - The consensus estimate for 'ASMs (Available seat miles)' is 84.60 billion, up from 79.68 billion in the same quarter last year [8]. - Analysts expect 'RPMs (Revenue passenger miles)' to be 70.28 billion, compared to 67.06 billion in the previous year [8]. - Fuel consumption is projected at 1,249 million gallons, an increase from 1,134 million gallons reported in the same quarter last year [9]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, United shares have increased by 18.4%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which saw a change of 4.1% [10].
Can Kennedy-Wilson (KW) Climb 32.71% to Reach the Level Wall Street Analysts Expect?
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 14:57
Core Viewpoint - Kennedy-Wilson (KW) has shown a significant price increase of 11.3% over the past four weeks, with a mean price target of $9.9 indicating a potential upside of 32.7% from the current price of $7.46 [1] Price Targets and Analyst Consensus - The average price targets for KW range from a low of $7.70 to a high of $13.00, with a standard deviation of $2.76, suggesting variability in analyst estimates [2] - The lowest estimate indicates a 3.2% increase, while the highest suggests a 74.3% upside, highlighting the potential for significant price movement [2] - A low standard deviation among price targets indicates a high degree of agreement among analysts regarding the stock's price direction [9] Earnings Estimates and Market Sentiment - Analysts have shown increasing optimism about KW's earnings prospects, with a strong consensus on revising EPS estimates higher, which correlates with potential stock price increases [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has risen by 245.5% over the past month, indicating positive sentiment among analysts [12] - KW holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates, further supporting its potential upside [13] Caution on Price Targets - While price targets are commonly referenced by investors, they can often mislead, as empirical research shows that they rarely predict actual stock price movements accurately [7][10] - Analysts may set overly optimistic price targets due to business incentives, which can inflate expectations [8]
Seeking Clues to Delta (DAL) Q2 Earnings? A Peek Into Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-07-04 14:16
Core Viewpoint - Delta Air Lines is expected to report a quarterly earnings per share (EPS) of $1.99, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 15.7%, with revenues projected at $16.18 billion, down 2.9% from the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 10.1%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts forecast 'Operating Revenues- Passenger' at $13.81 billion, a decrease of 0.2% year over year [5]. - The estimated 'Operating Revenues- Cargo' is projected at $204.15 million, reflecting an increase of 2.6% year over year [5]. - 'Operating Revenues- Other' is expected to be $2.50 billion, indicating a decline of 4.4% from the previous year [5]. Passenger Revenue by Region - 'Passenger Revenue by Geographic Region- Domestic' is expected to reach $9.30 billion, down 1.1% from the prior year [6]. - 'Passenger Revenue by Geographic Region- Pacific' is projected at $715.71 million, showing an increase of 9.4% year over year [6]. - 'Passenger Revenue by Geographic Region- Latin America' is estimated at $1.01 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 4.4% [6]. - 'Passenger Revenue by Geographic Region- Atlantic' is expected to be $2.66 billion, indicating a decline of 5.7% year over year [7]. Operational Metrics - The 'Passenger Load Factor' is projected at 86.8%, slightly down from 87.0% a year ago [7]. - 'Revenue passenger miles - Consolidated' is expected to reach 67.54 billion, up from 65.24 billion in the previous year [7]. - 'Available seat miles - Consolidated' is forecasted to be 77.89 billion, compared to 74.66 billion reported in the same quarter last year [8]. Cost Metrics - Analysts have not provided a specific estimate for 'Cost per Available Seat Mile (CASM) - Ex' [8]. - The assessment for 'Operating Cost Per Available Seat Mile' remains unspecified [9]. Stock Performance - Delta shares have returned +4.1% over the past month, compared to a +5.2% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [9].