Monetary Policy Stance - The ECB believes it is near its target after hiking rates ten times and lowering them eight times, but should not be complacent [2] - The ECB is taking a meeting-to-meeting, data-dependent approach due to uncertainty [4] - The ECB considers the current interest rate level to be in neutral territory, around 2% [5][6] - A rate cut would be stimulative [4] Economic Outlook & Risks - Volatility in energy markets indicates a need for caution [3][8] - Trade frontloading may have contributed to good numbers in the first quarter [12] - Uncertainty surrounding trade and tariffs could negatively impact the European economic outlook [15] - The European economy is in a fragile situation, making it vulnerable to uncertainty [16][17] Euro's Role & Stability - The current price level of the euro against the dollar is close to the long-term mean [9] - The ECB is not overly focused on the exchange rate, but considers it as one factor among many affecting inflation [10][11] - Strengthening the capital market union and banking union is crucial to making the euro more attractive to international investors [23][25] - A more relevant euro could contribute to a stable global environment alongside the US dollar [26]

🇺🇸 JUST IN: Trump says Fed Chair Powell and the board “should be ashamed,” claims U.S. should be paying 1% interest or less. https://t.co/13ZZJkvDbR ...

🇺🇸 TRUMP SAID WE SHOULD BE AT1% OR 2% INTEREST RATE.( CURRENTLY ITS 4.25% - 4.50% )RATE CUTS ARE COMING SOON !! https://t.co/kaYne1KRFf ...

Well, Federal Reserve officials are split on whether an interest rate cut in July is on the table depending on whether the FOMC holds rates steady or reduces the benchmark rate. What does that outcome mean for your everyday finances. Here to explain and discuss further, we've got Rob Conzo, who is the Wealth Alliance CEO.Rob, good to have you here with us. How does the Fed's benchmark rate affect people's personal finances. Great to be with you, Brad.Um, it's a very misunderstood rate. It's the red the rate ...

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So, is the market sending an all clear signal on the economy and the policy path ahead. Or is it time again to start looking out for what might trip things up. Let's ask Black Rockck's Rick Reer.He's CIO of Global Fixed Income and head of the global allocation team there. Rick, great to have you. Good to see you.Yeah, appreciate it. What's your read on uh on what we're getting from the markets here in ter I mean it feels like this is how the markets trade when kind of soft landing risk has been mitigated an ...

Core Viewpoint - The bond market showed slight recovery with government bond futures mostly flat, while interbank bond yields fell by approximately 1 basis point, indicating a cautious trading environment as the end of the quarter approaches [1][5]. Market Performance - Government bond futures closed mostly flat, with the 30-year main contract up by 0.10% at 120.720, while the 10-year main contract fell by 0.02% to 108.950 [2]. - Major interbank bond yields declined, with the 30-year government bond yield down by 1.5 basis points to 1.849%, and the 10-year government bond yield down by 1 basis point to 1.7175% [2]. Overseas Market Trends - In North America, U.S. Treasury yields fell across the board, with the 2-year yield down by 4.02 basis points to 3.7786% [3]. - In the Eurozone, 10-year French, German, Italian, and Spanish bond yields increased slightly, indicating mixed trends in the European bond market [3]. Primary Market Activity - Heilongjiang Province's local bonds saw high bid-to-cover ratios, with the 3-year bond receiving a bid multiple of 19.51 and the 5-year bond at 22.85, reflecting strong demand [4]. Liquidity and Monetary Policy - The central bank conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 5,093 billion yuan with a fixed rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net injection of 3,058 billion yuan for the day [5]. - The overall liquidity in the market remains stable, with slight declines in overnight and seven-day repo rates, indicating a controlled liquidity environment [5]. Institutional Insights - Zhongyou Fixed Income noted a surprising increase in demand for ultra-long credit bonds, driven by public offerings and insurance funds, suggesting a positive short-term outlook for this segment [6]. - CITIC Securities highlighted that the current bond market may continue to experience a range-bound pattern due to the absence of key variables, with potential for both upward and downward breaks depending on fundamental and policy adjustments [6].

You were criticizing the Federal Reserve chair before coming to this summit. I think he's terrible. I was wondering if you've begun interviewing different candidates for the Fed pick.Yeah, I I I know within three or four people who all going to pick. I mean, he goes out pretty soon fortunately because I think he's terrible. He's an average mentally person.I'd say low in terms of what he does. Low uh low IQ for what he does. Okay.Uh wait. So unsaid instead of paying $900 billion dollars, we don't want to pay ...

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We're also getting some breaking headlines from the Fed. Steve Leeman has those for us. Steve.David, thank you. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman saying that if inflation remains contained, she would support lowering rates in July, becoming the second Fed official, actually second Fed Governor as well to say so. She says it is time to consider adjusting the policy rate.The data she says have not shown clear signs of impact of impacts from tariffs and the progress on tariff negotiations could lead she expects to ...