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Warning: S&P 500 flashes start of bear cycle
Finbold· 2025-11-18 16:50
Market Overview - The S&P 500 index has fallen below its 50-day moving average, indicating a potential broader market downturn, closing at 6,630.21 with a 0.6% drop in the past day [1] - Technical signals suggest that the current pullback could develop into a more significant decline if conditions persist [2] Technical Analysis - A bearish divergence is forming on the weekly RSI, with the index printing higher highs while the RSI trends lower, reminiscent of the setup seen in mid-November 2021 [3] - The 100-day moving average has been a key support level over the past five months, and a weekly close below this level could indicate a structural breakdown, transitioning from bullish to bearish cycles [4][5] Price Projections - If a breakdown is confirmed, the S&P 500 could retrace towards the 200-week moving average, which marked the bottom of the 2022 bear cycle after a decline of approximately 27.6% [5] - The next major accumulation zone is estimated between 5,300 and 5,000, assuming the recent peak holds [6] Market Sentiment - Despite the bearish signals, some analysts on Wall Street remain optimistic, projecting that the S&P 500 could still reach 7,000 next year [7]
4 Struggling Stocks With “Harmless” Pullbacks
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-11-18 16:05
Core Insights - The article draws a parallel between certain stocks and snakes, highlighting that some stocks may appear risky but are actually safe investments, akin to king snakes mimicking coral snakes [1][3]. Stock Analysis - **CRISPR Therapeutics AG (NASDAQ:CRSP)**: The stock has decreased by 21% this quarter and 23% from its annual high of $78.48. However, it has maintained its prior low of around $51 and its 200-day moving average, indicating potential support. The stock only fell 0.7% post-earnings after a narrower-than-expected loss, and its experimental cholesterol treatment shows promise. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 30, suggesting it may be a good buying opportunity [5]. - **Crocs Inc (NASDAQ:CROX)**: The stock held its prior low of $73, and despite current unattractiveness, there are optimistic signs following earnings with a top-line beat and price-target hikes. Options are affordably priced, making it a potential buy for investors looking for value [7]. - **Palantir Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:PLTR)**: The stock is currently facing challenges, with a middling RSI and support at the 100-day moving average. There are concerns about a potential double top formation, and it is viewed as a target due to AI valuation concerns [9]. - **AppLovin Corp (NASDAQ:APP)**: The stock briefly breached its prior lows at $545 but quickly recovered, indicating chart support. While it is not considered oversold, the 80-day trendline is providing assistance, and $500 was a significant peak earlier in the year [11]. Volatility Insights - All four stocks mentioned have implied volatilities at modest-to-low levels, which is advantageous for options traders looking for stocks experiencing a post-earnings volatility crush [13]. Value Trap Consideration - The article also mentions the concept of value traps, referring to stocks that have performed well but may not have reached their lowest point yet, indicating potential risks for investors [14].
After Plunging 15.3% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why the Trend Might Reverse for WisdomTree, Inc. (WT)
ZACKS· 2025-11-18 15:36
Core Viewpoint - WisdomTree, Inc. (WT) has experienced significant selling pressure, resulting in a 15.3% decline over the past four weeks, but analysts anticipate better earnings than previously expected, indicating potential for recovery [1]. Group 1: Technical Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is utilized to determine if WT is oversold, with a current reading of 28.13 suggesting that selling pressure may be exhausting, paving the way for a potential rebound [2][5]. - RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures price movement speed and change, typically indicating oversold conditions when readings fall below 30 [2][3]. Group 2: Fundamental Indicators - Analysts have raised earnings estimates for WT by 4.3% over the last 30 days, reflecting a strong consensus among sell-side analysts, which often correlates with price appreciation [7]. - WT holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, further supporting the stock's potential for a turnaround [8].
Down 25.6% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why You Should You Buy the Dip in DigitalBridge (DBRG)
ZACKS· 2025-11-18 15:36
Core Viewpoint - DigitalBridge (DBRG) has experienced significant selling pressure, declining 25.6% over the past four weeks, but is now positioned for a potential trend reversal as it enters oversold territory, with analysts predicting better earnings than previously expected [1]. Group 1: Technical Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that helps identify whether a stock is oversold, with readings below 30 indicating oversold conditions [2]. - DBRG's current RSI reading is 29.73, suggesting that the heavy selling may be exhausting itself, indicating a potential trend reversal [5]. Group 2: Fundamental Analysis - There is strong consensus among sell-side analysts that earnings estimates for DBRG have increased by 5.1% over the last 30 days, which typically correlates with price appreciation [7]. - DBRG holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, further supporting the potential for a turnaround [8].
Tree.com (TREE) Loses 16.9% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why a Trend Reversal May be Around the Corner
ZACKS· 2025-11-18 15:36
Core Viewpoint - Tree.com (TREE) has experienced a significant decline of 16.9% over the past four weeks, but it is now positioned for a potential trend reversal as it enters oversold territory, with analysts predicting better earnings than previously expected [1] Group 1: Technical Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that indicates whether a stock is oversold, with readings below 30 typically signaling this condition [2] - TREE's current RSI reading is 29.41, suggesting that the heavy selling pressure may be exhausting, indicating a possible bounce back towards equilibrium [5] Group 2: Fundamental Analysis - There is strong consensus among sell-side analysts to raise earnings estimates for TREE, with the consensus EPS estimate increasing by 29.7% over the last 30 days, which often correlates with price appreciation [7] - TREE holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, further supporting the potential for a turnaround [8]
After Plunging 10.6% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why the Trend Might Reverse for Armstrong World Industries (AWI)
ZACKS· 2025-11-18 15:36
Core Viewpoint - Armstrong World Industries (AWI) is experiencing significant selling pressure, with a 10.6% decline over the past four weeks, but is now positioned for a potential trend reversal as it enters oversold territory, supported by positive earnings forecasts from Wall Street analysts [1]. Group 1: Technical Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a key technical indicator used to identify oversold conditions, with a reading below 30 typically indicating that a stock is oversold [2]. - AWI's current RSI reading is 28.34, suggesting that the heavy selling may be exhausting itself, indicating a potential bounce back towards equilibrium in supply and demand [5]. Group 2: Fundamental Analysis - There is a strong consensus among sell-side analysts that AWI's earnings estimates for the current year have increased by 2.8% over the last 30 days, which often correlates with price appreciation in the near term [7]. - AWI holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, further indicating a potential turnaround [8].
Down 15.4% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why Newmark Group (NMRK) Looks Ripe for a Turnaround
ZACKS· 2025-11-18 15:36
Core Viewpoint - Newmark Group (NMRK) has experienced a significant downtrend, with a 15.4% decline over the past four weeks, but is now in oversold territory, suggesting a potential turnaround due to improved earnings expectations from analysts [1]. Group 1: Technical Analysis - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a key technical indicator used to identify oversold conditions, with a reading below 30 typically indicating that a stock is oversold [2]. - NMRK's current RSI reading is 29.11, indicating that the heavy selling pressure may be exhausting itself, which could lead to a trend reversal [5]. Group 2: Fundamental Analysis - Analysts have shown strong agreement in raising earnings estimates for NMRK, with a 2.3% increase in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, suggesting potential price appreciation [7]. - NMRK holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, further indicating a potential turnaround [8].
Ready For A Rebound? Here Are 10 Oversold Stocks To Watch
Benzinga· 2025-11-17 21:31
Core Insights - Many popular stocks have experienced significant declines, creating potential rebound opportunities for investors [1] - A scan identified several oversold stocks with low relative strength index (RSI) values, indicating they may be primed for recovery [2] Oversold Stocks Analysis - MARA Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:MARA) has an RSI of 22.95 and has dropped over 40% in the past month, making it a top candidate for recovery [2] - CoreWeave, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWV) has an RSI of 23.20 and is linked to NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA), which may provide a supportive catalyst [5] - Webull Corp. (NASDAQ:BULL) has an RSI of 24.06 and has seen a decline of more than 25% in the last month, with upcoming earnings potentially acting as a catalyst [5] - Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI) has an RSI of 27.77 and has decreased by 35% over the past month, indicating potential for a reversal [5] - SoundHound AI, Inc. (NASDAQ:SOUN) has an RSI of 28.08 and has dropped 40% from its mid-October highs, suggesting it may be undervalued [5] - CleanSpark, Inc. (NASDAQ:CLSK) has an RSI of 28.15, while Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (NYSE:HIMS) has an RSI of 28.84 [5] - Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) and Oracle Corp. (NYSE:ORCL) both have RSIs of 28.84 and 29.14 respectively, indicating they are also in oversold territory [5] - NuScale Power Corp. (NYSE:SMR) has an RSI of 29.49, rounding out the list of oversold stocks [5] Investment Considerations - Stocks with very low RSI values may present attractive opportunities for quick rebounds, but investors should use additional indicators to confirm potential reversals [5]
After Plunging 19.4% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why the Trend Might Reverse for Arlo Technologies (ARLO)
ZACKS· 2025-11-17 15:36
Core Viewpoint - Arlo Technologies (ARLO) has experienced a significant decline of 19.4% in its stock price over the past four weeks, but it is now in oversold territory, suggesting a potential turnaround as analysts expect better earnings than previously predicted [1][5][7]. Group 1: Technical Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a key technical indicator used to determine if a stock is oversold, with a reading below 30 indicating oversold conditions [2]. - ARLO's current RSI reading is 29.02, suggesting that the heavy selling pressure may be exhausting itself, indicating a possible reversal in the stock's trend [5]. Group 2: Fundamental Analysis - There has been a strong consensus among sell-side analysts to raise earnings estimates for ARLO, with the consensus EPS estimate increasing by 228.6% over the last 30 days [7]. - An upward trend in earnings estimate revisions typically correlates with price appreciation in the near term, further supporting the potential for a stock rebound [7]. Group 3: Analyst Ratings - ARLO holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, indicating a strong potential for a turnaround [8].
Here's Why Open Text (OTEX) is Poised for a Turnaround After Losing 13.7% in 4 Weeks
ZACKS· 2025-11-17 15:36
Core Viewpoint - Open Text (OTEX) has experienced significant selling pressure, resulting in a 13.7% decline over the past four weeks, but analysts anticipate better earnings than previously expected, indicating a potential rebound for the stock [1]. Group 1: Technical Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is utilized to determine if a stock is oversold, with readings below 30 indicating oversold conditions [2]. - OTEX's current RSI reading is 28.71, suggesting that the heavy selling may be exhausting itself and a trend reversal could occur soon [5]. - The RSI helps identify potential entry opportunities for investors when a stock is undervalued due to excessive selling pressure [3]. Group 2: Fundamental Indicators - There has been a strong consensus among sell-side analysts to raise earnings estimates for OTEX, leading to a 2.6% increase in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days [7]. - An upward trend in earnings estimate revisions typically correlates with price appreciation in the near term [7]. - OTEX holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks, indicating a strong potential for a turnaround [8].