Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has lowered the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) by 10 basis points, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the 5-year LPR at 3.5%, which is expected to reduce financing costs for the real economy and homebuyers [1][3]. Group 1: Interest Rate Changes - The PBOC announced a policy interest rate cut of 0.1 percentage points, which is anticipated to lead to a similar decrease in the LPR [1]. - The 7-day reverse repurchase rate was reduced from 1.5% to 1.4%, aligning with market expectations for the LPR to decline [1]. - The average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans in April was approximately 3.2%, down about 4 basis points from the previous month and 50 basis points year-on-year [1]. Group 2: Impact on Financing Costs - The reduction in LPR is expected to effectively lower the comprehensive financing costs for the real economy and the costs for homebuyers [1]. - For a mortgage of 1 million yuan over 30 years, the recent LPR decrease could reduce the total repayment amount by approximately 19,000 yuan [1]. Group 3: Bank Responses - Commercial banks, including China Construction Bank and China Merchants Bank, have begun to lower deposit rates, with the 1-year fixed deposit rate now at 0.95% [2][3]. - The simultaneous decline of LPR and deposit rates is seen as beneficial for maintaining the stability of banks' net interest margins while effectively reducing financing costs for the economy [3].

瑞士央行行长施莱格尔：瑞士央行必须在不确定时期确保价格稳定。政策利率是我们的主要工具，但在 必要时我们也可以干预外汇市场。 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Report's Core View - The short - term and medium - term view of treasury bond futures is to fluctuate within a range. After the central bank's interest rate cut and reserve requirement ratio cut, it is necessary to wait for data to verify the effect, and the possibility of further interest rate cuts in the short term is low. The upward momentum of treasury bond futures is insufficient, but due to the anchoring effect of policy interest rates, the upward space of treasury bond yields is limited, so is the downward space of treasury bond futures. Overall, the upward and downward spaces of treasury bond futures are limited in the short term, mainly in a consolidation phase. [4] Group 3: Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Variety View Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For the TL2506 variety, the short - term view is "fluctuation", the medium - term view is "fluctuation", the intraday view is "fluctuation with a weak bias", and the reference view is "range - bound fluctuation". The core logic is that after the interest rate cut expectation is fulfilled, it is mainly in a short - term consolidation phase. [1] 3.2 Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For varieties TL, T, TF, TS, the intraday view is "fluctuation with a weak bias", the medium - term view is "fluctuation", and the reference view is "range - bound fluctuation". The core logic is that after the central bank's interest rate cut and reserve requirement ratio cut, it is necessary to wait for data to verify the effect, and the possibility of further interest rate cuts in the short term is low, so the upward momentum of treasury bond futures is insufficient. However, due to the anchoring effect of policy interest rates, the upward space of treasury bond yields is limited, and the downward space of treasury bond futures is also limited. In the short term, the upward and downward spaces of treasury bond futures are limited, mainly in a consolidation phase. Follow - up attention should be paid to external factors such as tariffs and the Fed, as well as domestic macro - economic indicators. [4]

瑞典央行副行长扬松：当前维持政策利率不变是明智之举，应等待更多信息，以便更清楚地了解经济活 动和通胀前景。 ...

瑞典央行副行长扬松：当前的政策利率处于一个良好的水平，能够帮助我们应对未来经济和通胀的上行 和下行意外。 ...

瑞典央行行长特登：如果不将政策利率降至低于目前水平，瑞典中期通胀率将会低于2%的目标。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve Governor Cook anticipates that the trade policies and related uncertainties of the Trump administration will dampen productivity growth in the short term, potentially leading the Fed to maintain policy interest rates unchanged for a longer period [1] Group 1: Economic Impact - A decline in productivity and a slowdown in potential economic growth will likely increase inflationary pressures [1] - Lower productivity, under unchanged conditions, may lead to support for keeping interest rates elevated for an extended duration [1] Group 2: Trade Policy Uncertainty - Uncertainty regarding the final levels and duration of tariffs may reduce business investment, thereby impacting productivity [1] - If protectionist trade policies favor less efficient companies or disrupt supply chains, productivity could also be adversely affected [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Artificial intelligence has the potential to enhance U.S. productivity in the coming years, potentially offsetting the negative impacts of trade policies [1]

Core Viewpoint - Kevin Warsh, a potential candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chair, criticizes the Fed for attributing inflation concerns to external factors, suggesting this undermines its credibility [1] Group 1 - Warsh argues that the Fed's assertion that inflation is influenced by external price changes indicates an admission of damage to its own credibility [1] - He highlights that the Fed's large and continually expanding balance sheet may contradict its primary policy tool of setting short-term borrowing rates [1] - Warsh suggests that if the Fed can reduce its money printing, it would be possible to lower policy interest rates [1]

Core Viewpoint - Former Federal Reserve Governor Walsh suggests that if the Federal Reserve reduces its balance sheet, the policy interest rates could potentially be lower [1] Group 1 - The reduction of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet may lead to a decrease in policy interest rates [1]

挪威央行：通胀仍高于目标。如果提前降低政策利率，物价可能会继续快速上涨。 ...