We are live RIGHT NOWhttps://t.co/QStcdJBPsC- Is the bottom ACTUALLY IN!?!?- No November jobs data... why- Are Rate cuts SMOKED!?- How my 1st day of CLAWING BACK on Polymarket went...&& so much more🔋by @yeet https://t.co/fsCZlbgnP5 ...

Market Overview - Singapore's Straits Times Index (STI) has surpassed 4,500, a level not seen in a decade, raising investor interest and speculation about a potential breakout after years of stagnation [1] - The rally is driven by recovering REITs, steady industrial performance, and strong earnings from major banks, despite mixed results among them [2][5] Bank Performance - DBS Group reported a net profit of S$2.95 billion for 3Q2025, while OCBC posted S$1.98 billion; however, UOB's net profit fell to S$443 million due to increased provisions [2][5] - DBS's total income increased by 3% YoY to S$5.9 billion, while OCBC maintained a strong capital return plan with a CET1 ratio of 16.9% [5] - UOB's profit decline of 72% was attributed to S$1.36 billion in credit allowances, including S$615 million in pre-emptive provisions [5] REITs and Industrial Stocks - REITs have stabilized, with CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust achieving a portfolio occupancy of 97.2% and a 3.5% YoY increase in distribution per unit (DPU) [3][10] - Sembcorp Industries reported an underlying profit of S$491 million for 1H2025, while Keppel Ltd's net profit surged 25% YoY to S$431 million, driven by real estate recovery [3] - The average distribution yield for S-REITs is around 6.2%, higher than global peers and Singapore government bond yields, indicating renewed strength in the sector [11] Industrial Sector Growth - Singapore's industrial companies are benefiting from trends in clean energy, infrastructure upgrades, and digitalization, contributing to the STI's rally [13][16] - Sembcorp's earnings have improved due to a focus on renewable energy, while Singapore Technologies Engineering reported a 20% increase in net profit to S$403 million [14] - New contracts worth S$4.9 billion were secured in 3Q2025, enhancing the order book in various sectors [15] Economic Indicators - Singapore's GDP grew by 2.9% YoY in 3Q2025, with total merchandise trade rising 6.6% in 2024 to S$1.29 trillion, indicating steady growth [17][18] - Despite the positive indicators, external risks such as geopolitical tensions and policy shifts could impact market sentiment and financial conditions [17][18] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to focus on quality companies with steady earnings, strong balance sheets, and reliable dividends, particularly in the REITs and industrial sectors [19][20] - A diversified portfolio of well-managed companies is recommended to withstand market volatility and capitalize on potential long-term growth [19][20]

Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin has recently experienced a significant decline, dropping to around $93,000, which is a 10% decrease in just one week and has turned negative for the year, raising questions about whether this marks the bottom or if further declines are expected [1]. Market Dynamics - A six-month rally in the crypto market has led to a reasonable consolidation phase, influenced by macroeconomic factors such as AI capital expenditures, credit concerns, and the Federal Reserve's plans for rate cuts [2]. - Bitcoin, being a higher growth asset, is subject to higher volatility, with historical patterns showing multiple 30% drawdowns during uptrends, making it premature to declare a sustained downtrend at this point [3]. Leverage and Market Sentiment - Recent events have seen a significant reduction in leverage within the Bitcoin ecosystem, following a large deleveraging event earlier in October, which has already caused considerable market pain [4][5]. - Negative reflexivity and market sentiment continue to play a role in driving Bitcoin's price movements, but the current market dynamics suggest a shift towards reduced volatility as institutional ownership increases [5][6]. Institutional Investment - Institutional ownership of Bitcoin has risen to 16%, up from virtually 0%, indicating a trend towards less sensitivity to market volatility and potentially smaller drawdowns in the future [6]. - The involvement of prestigious institutions, such as Harvard University's endowment fund investing in Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, highlights the growing institutional interest in the asset class [7]. Long-term Investment Perspective - The company views itself as a long-term investor in the digital assets ecosystem, with its Bitcoin fund launched in 2013 achieving nearly an 80% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) since inception, which is exceptional for over a decade [8][9]. - Despite the potential onset of a bear market, the company believes that a 30% pullback presents an interesting opportunity for gradual allocation into Bitcoin, given its historical performance and growth potential [9].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, the company reported invested income of $5.4 million or $0.80 per share, a slight decrease from $5.5 million in the prior quarter [15] - Total expenses remained stable at $2.4 million or $0.35 per share, consistent with the previous quarter [15] - The company recorded net unrealized losses on investments of $6.9 million or $1.02 per share, alongside a modest net realized loss of $424,000, resulting in a net loss of $4.3 million or $0.64 per share [15] - Recurring cash flows from the CLO portfolio totaled $8.7 million or $1.28 per share, exceeding distributions and expenses by $0.26 per share, up from $8 million or $1.18 per share in the prior quarter [15][16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The portfolio's average junior OC cushion stands at 4.5%, with deals exposed to First Brands having a slightly higher cushion of 4.6% [6] - The weighted average gap yield of the portfolio increased from 12.75% to 13.07% due to refinancing activities [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The broader CLO equity market faced headwinds, primarily due to spread tightening in the broadly syndicated loans market [5] - The company noted a significant uptick in leveraged buyout (LBO) activity, with approximately $200 billion in deals announced during the first three quarters of 2025, surpassing the $164 billion recorded for all of 2024 [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on disciplined portfolio management and long-term total return, viewing market dislocations as opportunities [5][9] - The investment platform combines machine learning and natural language processing with traditional credit analysis, providing a competitive advantage in sourcing opportunities [11][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management views the current environment as broadly positive for CLO equity, especially with anticipated rate cuts leading to improved corporate refinancing conditions [9] - The company believes that CLOs provide an efficient way to access senior secured corporate loans and can offer an attractive risk-return profile across various credit cycles [19] Other Important Information - As of September 30, 2025, total assets were $157.5 million, with total net assets of $114.9 million, resulting in a net asset value per share of $16.89 [16] - The company distributed dividends of $0.22 per common share in July, August, September, and October, with plans for the same in the following months, representing an annualized dividend yield of approximately 16% [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on the primary CLO market and investment opportunities - Management indicated that arbitrage returns in the primary CLO equity market are currently not adequate for large-scale participation, with more attractive opportunities in the secondary CLO equity markets [22][23] Question: Impact of resets and refinancings on expected yields - Management preferred not to comment on intra-quarter activities but noted that previous resets and refinancings contributed significantly to yield improvements [24][25] Question: Mix of opportunities between U.S. and European CLOs - The majority of the portfolio is focused on the U.S. CLO market, with occasional consideration for European CLOs, particularly single B positions that can provide stronger NAV protection [29] Question: Future ATM issuance versus share repurchase - Management is evaluating both options but believes it is too early to consider share repurchase as a viable option at this stage [31] Question: Potential portfolio growth and leverage management - Management will add leverage when costs are attractive, and they continue to monitor conditions to modulate leverage levels as needed [32][33]

Core Insights - Bitcoin experienced a significant decline, dropping below $90,000 and erasing its year-to-date gains, with El Salvador being the only country to continue purchasing Bitcoin during this downturn [1][2] - El Salvador has accumulated a total of 6,380.18 BTC, valued at approximately $630 million, and has been buying 1 BTC per day [2] - Despite the volatility, El Salvador's holdings reflect a floating profit of $317 million, returning to levels last seen in the spring [3] Market Dynamics - Bitcoin has fallen over 26% from its all-time high of $126,000, with a sell-off triggered by the liquidation of $19 billion in leveraged long positions [4] - Analysts from Bernstein suggest that the current pullback aligns with historical patterns following Bitcoin's halving, but they do not foresee a severe drawdown of 60-70% [5] - The market environment does not appear to be at a cycle peak, according to analyst Gautam Chhugani [5] Institutional Factors - There is a growing trend of ETF ownership among traditional investors and continued corporate treasury adoption, notably by Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) [8] - Support from the Trump administration for Bitcoin and the Clarity Act may also influence market dynamics [8] Future Outlook - Analysts from 10X Research indicate that demand has stalled, and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance has created fragile conditions, yet they believe the four-year cycle should not be overlooked [9] - The potential for a bull run in Q4 2026 is being discussed, although current panic selling persists [9]

Market Overview - US stock futures declined, indicating a potential return to losses, influenced by a slump in bitcoin and upcoming earnings reports from Nvidia and delayed jobs data [1][2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell approximately 0.3%, while S&P 500 futures also decreased by 0.3%, and Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 0.4% [1] Nvidia Earnings Report - Nvidia's stock dropped about 2% ahead of its fiscal third-quarter results, which are anticipated to provide insights into the sustainability of the AI-driven market rally [3] - Investors are concerned about stretched valuations, softening market breadth, and increasing AI-related depreciation, alongside a rise in Big Tech debt issuance [3] Federal Reserve Expectations - Key economic data points are expected to influence the Federal Reserve's future decisions, with rate-cut odds significantly reduced to about 40% from over 90% a month ago [4] - The Fed's October meeting minutes and the September jobs report are set to be released, which may impact market expectations [4] Retail Earnings Insights - Major retailers such as Walmart, Home Depot, and Target are scheduled to report earnings this week, which will provide insights into consumer strength ahead of the holiday season [5] Cryptocurrency Market Impact - Bitcoin's decline below $90,000 has raised alarms in the market, leading to fears of a negative selling spiral among leveraged investors [5][6] - The cryptocurrency fell as much as 2.8%, erasing all its gains for the year, which contributed to a significant drop in the MSCI Asia Pacific Index by over 2% [6] Asian Market Reaction - Asian stock markets experienced declines following the drop in US tech stocks, with almost every market in the region losing ground [6][11] Baidu's Performance - Baidu's Q3 revenue exceeded expectations, leading to a 2% increase in its stock, driven by strong growth in its cloud business amid a recovering advertising market [9]

Group 1 - Muni bonds have experienced record trading volumes in 2025, indicating strong market activity [1] - Anticipation of further rate cuts in 2026 suggests that investors may need to seek better investment opportunities for their cash positions [1] - Muni funds, such as DWS, are highlighted as potential options for investors looking for income-focused portfolios [1]

Market Overview - The market partially recovered after an early session selloff that affected all three major Wall Street indexes, which were down more than 1% [1] - The S&P 500 lost 2.70 points (0.05%) to end at 6,734.42 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 29.17 points (0.13%) to 22,899.53, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 308.29 points (0.65%) to 47,148.93 [10] Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - Expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December have diminished due to persistent inflation, with the probability of a 25-basis-point cut falling to under 50% from 67% last week [2] - Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid expressed concerns about "too hot" inflation, indicating potential dissent at the Fed's December meeting if short-term borrowing costs are cut [5] Artificial Intelligence Sector - Nvidia, a key player in the AI chip market, is set to report quarterly results, with investors looking for signs that the competition in emerging technology remains strong [6] - Heavyweight AI stocks, including Nvidia, Palantir, Microsoft, and Tesla, saw gains despite broader market concerns [1] Corporate Developments - Warner Bros Discovery's stock increased after the company amended CEO David Zaslav's employment agreement amid a strategic business review [10] - Cidara Therapeutics shares doubled following Merck's announcement of its acquisition of the company in a deal valued at nearly $9.2 billion [9]

Robust euro-zone growth masks a widening split, with nearly half the bloc stagnating — a concern for the ECB as it weighs more rate cuts https://t.co/ivJ41WpJb7 ...

Core Viewpoint - Dow futures experienced a decline of approximately 214 points, or about 0.5%, as investor sentiment turned cautious ahead of significant economic data and new commentary from the Federal Reserve [1] Group 1: Market Reaction - The drop in Dow futures indicates a negative market reaction influenced by recent hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials [1] - Investor hopes for near-term interest rate cuts have been dampened following these comments from Fed officials [1]