Earnings Performance & Expectations - AMD's earnings have consistently surpassed expectations for the past five years, with analysts projecting an 18.7% increase in 2025 and a significant 54% jump thereafter [3][4] - McDonald's has a strong earnings surprise track record, but earnings growth is expected to be slower, with 5.1% in 2025 and 8.4% in 2026 [6][7] - Qualcomm demonstrates a great earning surprise track record, with earnings expected to increase by 16.3% in 2025, but no growth is expected in 2026 [9][10] - Ralph Lauren exhibits a strong earnings track record, with analysts anticipating a 21.6% increase this year, followed by 9% in 2026 [13][15] - Ino Data, a small-cap AI play, has shown four consecutive big beats, but earnings are expected to be down 12.4% this year, followed by a significant gain of 39.7% in 2026 [17][18] Valuation & Market Sentiment - AMD's stock is trading at 65 times earnings, with investors seemingly unconcerned about valuations in the AI sector for now [4][5] - McDonald's is trading at a PE of 24 times, which is considered fairly expensive for its single-digit earnings growth [8] - Qualcomm is trading at a PE of 15 times, considered cheap for a tech AI play [12] - Ralph Lauren is trading at 21.3 times forward earnings, which is not super stretched if it achieves its projected earnings growth [16] - Ino Data has a high PE of 96 times following a recent breakout [18] Key Factors & Challenges - Tariffs are a significant issue for retailers like Ralph Lauren, impacting sourcing and pricing strategies [13][14] - McDonald's is facing investor concerns about its ability to execute, particularly regarding the effectiveness of its value menu [8] - Qualcomm's potential for earnings growth is tied to its new rack scale performance and memory capacity for data center AIs [11] - The consumer's willingness to absorb price increases due to tariffs is a key concern for retailers [14]

Market Volatility and Macro Events - NVIDIA earnings, while generally positive, may lead to a sell-off due to high market expectations and global significance [2][3] - The market hasn't shown panic pullbacks, which is comforting, despite VIX spikes potentially driven by high valuations and market narrowness [6][7] - Valuations alone are not a catalyst for sell-offs, but market wobbles are expected given the chaotic US data release schedule [8][9] Sectoral Impact and Correlations - A feed-through from tech sell-offs is expected in sectors like euro stocks (13% tech), tech, and industrials, while defensive stocks like utilities may outperform [4] - The correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq is attributed to retail flows and market linkages, but concerns exist regarding crypto assets due to valuation difficulties and volatility [5][6] Economic Outlook - The fundamental backdrop remains strong, with a trade truce, Washington reopening, and a Fed terminal rate of 3%, all positive for equities [10] - The absence of irrational exuberance, with investors being more bearish than bullish, is a positive sign, suggesting the market is not in a bubble [7][8]

Nvidia stock was dropping with sentiment souring on technology stocks ahead of the chip maker's earnings. ...

City is sticking with its bullish playbook, focusing on five stock selection narratives. AI at a reasonable price, positive ROE trend, inflecting growth, return on growth capex, and high earning sharp. So, let's bring in Drew Pettit from City to break this all down.Drew, welcome back. Last week, you told us the market's fully valued. This week, you got some themes.Which one of these do you think is the most counterintuitive. >> I would say the inflecting growth theme. It's funny.We're we're talking about th ...

Stock futures are little changed as investors prepare for a busy week of earnings, with AI chip giant Nvidia and several big retailers set to release quarterly results in the coming days. Here's what investors need to know today. https://t.co/PZCZgoGuGf ...

Earnings from a slew of retailers that hit over the next few days are critical to traders seeking a view on the health of consumers and the economy https://t.co/nWddEHFIJ3 ...

Market Analysis by covering: S&P 500, NVIDIA Corporation. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com ...

Market Sentiment - The market appears more nervous than it did previously, with a sense of discomfort heading into the next week despite some technical levels being held [1][3][4] - There was a notable lack of strong rebounds, with the market closing significantly off intraday highs, indicating a lack of confidence [3][7] Federal Reserve Influence - The Federal Reserve's communication suggests a less accommodative tone, particularly regarding December's monetary policy outlook, which could impact market sentiment [4][10] - The market's reaction to the Fed's stance indicates that rates and the glide path are significant factors in market movements this week [11] Earnings Reports - Approximately 90-95% of earnings reports have been released, providing data points for future market expectations, with Nvidia and some retail names still pending [4][12] - The earnings growth is being scrutinized alongside price-to-earnings expansion, raising concerns about the sustainability of stock price increases driven by speculative trading rather than fundamental earnings potential [6][7] Volatility and Market Dynamics - Continued volatility is expected, especially following a period of suppressed volatility as indicated by the VIX [5][6] - The market's tendency to not bottom on Fridays suggests caution for investors heading into the weekend, as historical patterns indicate a preference for market corrections occurring earlier in the week [9] Key Companies - Nvidia is highlighted as a pivotal company that could significantly influence market sentiment depending on its upcoming outlook and capital expenditure plans [11][12]

When all this is said and done, the markets end of the week basically where they started. So, what should be the takeaway from today's market action, from this week's market action, Tim. >> Well, I think the market feels more nervous than than it did.I mean, I know a week ago intraday really, you know, that's that's the low the markets needed to rally off of and they did or not retest and and I think there's a lot of people out there that think that attest to that is a place to to maybe take a little bit mo ...

Oh, if you add all this together, the momentum trade unwinding perhaps not just in AI but across sectors and uncertainty about a December rate cut. With all that, where does that leave investors. Well, CFR research chief investment strategist Sam Stovall and HSBC Global Private Banking and Wealth Management CIO Jose Rasco join me now.Uh, welcome guys. Jose, what kind of rotation are you seeing here. >> Well, I think there's concern about the Fed, right.No question about it. And I think it's well placed beca ...