6月18日晚，以色列与伊朗又展开新一轮互袭，以色列连续出动数十架战机，打击德黑兰多处目标。伊朗则首次向以色列发射"泥石"弹道导弹。以 色列和伊朗，到底谁的持久力更大？中东局势紧张之际，美国派大批战机增兵中东，此举将产生什么影响？本期《新华网国际看点》连线，宁夏 大学中国阿拉伯国家研究院院长李绍先，听听他的解读与分析。 伊朗和以色列，谁的持久力更大？ 6月13日，在伊朗首都德黑兰，工程车辆清理在以军袭击中受损的建筑。新华社发 宁夏大学中国阿拉伯国家研究院院长李绍先：其实我们看到，现在伊朗和以色列之间已经形成了互攻。但是大家要知道，以色列和伊朗想达到的 目的是不同的。 以色列是这次互攻的先发起者，可以说它进行先发制人的这样一个军事行动去打击伊朗。而伊朗是被动应战，可以说以色列对伊朗这样一种突如 其来的攻击，极具侮辱性的攻击把伊朗逼到了墙角，伊朗实际上无处可退。 6月17日，在以色列中部城市海尔兹利亚，一栋建筑遭导弹袭击后升起浓烟。新华社发（吉德翁·马科维奇摄/基尼图片社） 长期以来以色列一直孜孜以求，要摧毁伊朗的核设施，也就是彻底终止伊朗的核能力建设。以色列这种追求不是一天两天了，至少十多年，二十 年，可以这样讲 ...

跟踪中东局势动态 +订阅 金十数据6月20日讯，据纽约时报报道，尽管伊朗已囤积大量可用于制造核弹的浓缩铀，但美国情报官 员表示，情报机构仍认为伊朗尚未就是否制造核武器作出最终决定。这一评估自今年3月情报机构上次 研判伊朗意图以来未有变化——即便以色列已对伊朗核设施发动袭击。美国高级情报官员称，若美军袭 击伊朗福尔多铀浓缩设施，或以色列杀害伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊，伊朗领导人可能会转向核武研发。然 而，在美国和以色列的许多伊朗问题鹰派人士看来，伊朗是否已决定造核弹并不重要，他们认为德黑兰 的核能力已足以对以色列构成生存威胁。这一问题长期以来是伊朗政策辩论的焦点，随着特朗普考虑是 否轰炸福尔多核设施，争论再度升温。 美情报官员：若福尔多核设施遇袭或哈梅内伊遇刺，伊朗或转向核武研发 ...

莱维特当天在白宫记者会上宣读了特朗普的一份声明。特朗普在声明中说，美国"在不久的将来"与伊朗 谈判或取消谈判的可能性都很大，"我将在未来两周内决定是否对伊朗发动打击"。莱维特重申，特朗普 的立场是，伊朗不得拥有核武器，必须同美方达成协议，内容包括不进行铀浓缩活动。 莱维特还称，美国与伊朗的联络"仍在继续"。 新华财经纽约6月19日电（记者徐静）美国白宫新闻秘书卡罗琳·莱维特19日说，美国总统特朗普将 在"接下来两周内"决定是否下令美军对伊朗发动打击。 据美国媒体报道，特朗普17日晚批准军方对伊朗的打击计划，但是推迟作出最终决定，以观察伊朗是否 会放弃核项目。自17日以来，特朗普每天都在白宫战情室与他的国家安全团队会面。 另外，埃及外长阿卜杜勒阿提19日与欧盟外交与安全政策高级代表卡娅·卡拉斯通电话时，再次呼吁以 色列和伊朗停止军事冲突，呼吁推动加沙地带停火，并强调谈判是就伊朗核项目达成可持续协议、避免 中东地区陷入全面冲突的唯一途径。 （文章来源：新华社） 路透社援引数名不愿公开姓名的中东国家外交官的话报道，自以色列13日对伊朗发动袭击以来，美国中 东问题特使史蒂文·威特科夫和伊朗外交部长阿拉格齐多次通电话， ...

Core Viewpoint - The UK Prime Minister, Keir Starmer, emphasizes the importance of resolving the Iranian nuclear issue through diplomatic means [1] Group 1 - The UK government is advocating for a diplomatic approach to address the challenges posed by Iran's nuclear ambitions [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the shifting stance of the U.S. under President Trump regarding military action against Iran, highlighting the complexities of U.S.-Iran relations and the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran [1][3]. Group 1: U.S. Position Changes - President Trump initially expressed a desire to avoid war but has since approved military strike plans against Iran, contingent on Iran's nuclear program decisions [1]. - The U.S. is under pressure from both its "Make America Great Again" supporters, who oppose intervention, and Israel, which demands U.S. support against Iran [3][5]. - The U.S. is increasing military presence in the Middle East to bolster its defensive posture amid the ongoing conflict [3]. Group 2: Israel and Iran Conflict - Israel has conducted multiple airstrikes against Iranian targets, while Iran has retaliated with missile attacks on Israel [3]. - Israeli officials assert that military actions will continue until Iran's nuclear facilities are destroyed, although they currently lack the capability to do so [3][4]. Group 3: Iran's Stance - Iran remains resolute against U.S. military intervention, with its leaders stating that any aggression will have severe consequences [6]. - Despite claims from Trump about Iran's willingness to negotiate, Iranian officials have denied any requests for talks, emphasizing their refusal to negotiate under pressure [6].

Group 1 - The article discusses the fluctuating stance of the U.S. President Trump regarding military action against Iran, indicating a shift from a non-interventionist approach to a more aggressive posture [1][3] - Following an Israeli airstrike on Iran, Trump expressed a desire for Iran to "unconditionally surrender" and hinted at potential U.S. military involvement [1][3] - The U.S. is reportedly increasing its military presence in the Middle East to bolster its defensive posture amid ongoing conflicts between Israel and Iran [3] Group 2 - Iran's leadership, particularly Supreme Leader Khamenei, has firmly rejected any notion of surrender and warned of severe consequences for U.S. military intervention [5] - Despite Trump's claims of Iran's willingness to negotiate, Iranian officials have denied any requests for talks with the U.S., asserting that they will not negotiate under pressure [5] - The ongoing conflict has led to a series of indirect negotiations between the U.S. and Iran regarding nuclear issues, which have been complicated by military actions [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current geopolitical tensions between Iran, Israel, and the United States, highlighting Russian President Putin's comments on the situation and the implications for regional stability. Group 1: Russia's Position - Putin refused to discuss the potential assassination of Iranian leader Khamenei and stated that Iran has not made any formal requests for weapon supplies [1][2] - He emphasized that Russia's strategic partnership with Iran does not include military cooperation and that Iran showed little interest in joint defense projects [2][4] - Putin assured that Iran's nuclear interests can be safeguarded and that discussions have taken place with Israel and the U.S. regarding these issues [1][4] Group 2: Iran-Israel Conflict - The conflict between Israel and Iran has escalated, with significant casualties reported: over 450 Iranian deaths and 24 Israeli deaths due to ongoing hostilities [4] - Israel has targeted Iranian oil, gas, and nuclear facilities, while Iran has retaliated against Israeli infrastructure [4][5] - The situation is critical, with concerns about U.S. military involvement in the conflict, as President Trump has hinted at possible military action against Iran [4][7] Group 3: U.S. Military Strategy - Reports indicate that the U.S. may need to intervene militarily to target Iran's deep underground nuclear facilities, which are beyond the reach of Israeli conventional weapons [5][7] - Trump has been described as being on the edge of a significant gamble regarding military action in the Middle East, with potential implications for his political stance [7] - U.S. military assets are reportedly being deployed to Europe and the Middle East in response to the escalating situation [5][7] Group 4: Regional Stability Concerns - Russian officials have warned that U.S. attacks on Iran could severely destabilize the Middle East and potentially lead to a nuclear disaster [8] - The rhetoric surrounding the conflict suggests a precarious balance, with the potential for escalation into broader military engagement [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalating military conflict between Iran and Israel, highlighting recent attacks, military preparations, and international responses. Group 1: Military Actions and Developments - U.S. officials are preparing for potential military action against Iran, with reports suggesting an attack could occur soon [1][10] - Iran has arrested 18 alleged Israeli agents accused of involvement in drone operations [2] - The Israeli Air Force has launched new attacks on Tehran and other regions, warning residents to evacuate before strikes on military facilities [4] - Iran has utilized its advanced "Mudstone" ballistic missiles for the first time in the ongoing conflict, targeting Israeli intelligence and military bases [8] - Since the conflict began, Iran has reportedly fired over 400 ballistic missiles and 1,000 drones at Israel, resulting in significant casualties and damage [8] Group 2: Political Context and Responses - President Trump approved an attack plan against Iran but has not issued a final order, seeking to assess Iran's nuclear intentions [10][12] - Iran's UN representative denied any request for negotiations with the U.S., labeling Trump's statements as false [14] - Russian President Putin expressed willingness to ensure Iran's peaceful nuclear energy interests while addressing Israeli security concerns [18][19] - The UN Secretary-General called for an immediate ceasefire and diplomatic solutions to the conflict, emphasizing the need to avoid escalation [22]

新华财经纽约6月18日电（刘亚南张怡然）由于以色列与伊朗冲突持续和上周美国商业原油库存大幅下 降，国际油价18日早盘小幅上涨，随后快速走低，午后持续回升并由跌转涨，收盘时国际油价均上涨。 截至当天收盘，纽约商品交易所7月交货的轻质原油期货价格上涨30美分，收于每桶75.14美元，涨幅为 0.4%；8月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格上涨25美分，收于每桶76.70美元，涨幅为0.33%。 以色列与伊朗的激烈交火已持续六天，以色列空袭重创德黑兰南帕尔斯天然气田，伊朗方面随后宣布局 部暂停生产。该气田是全球最大天然气田，由伊朗与卡塔尔共同开发。 美国总统特朗普18日表示，伊朗方面已经联系他并甚至表示可以派一个代表团来白宫进行谈判。特朗普 还说，自己此前考虑对伊朗核实施进行军事打击，但尚未作出最终决定。通过谈判解决伊朗核问题还为 时不晚。 能源市场正评估美国直接卷入冲突的可能性，以及可能引发的重大供应中断——尤其是最糟糕的情形， 例如伊朗封锁连接波斯湾与阿曼湾的战略要冲霍尔木兹海峡。 荷兰商业银行大宗商品策略主管沃伦·帕特森（Warren Patterson）表示，目前油市最担忧的情形是霍尔 木兹海峡运输中断，这条海上 ...

智通财经6月19日电，据央视新闻，伊朗外长将于20日与德国外长、法国外长、英国外交大臣和欧盟外 交与安全政策高级代表在日内瓦就伊朗核问题举行会谈。 伊朗外长20日将与欧盟及英法德外长在日内瓦举行会谈 ...