Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when NVR (NVR) reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lowe ...

Core Viewpoint - Tesla is expected to report second-quarter 2025 earnings of $0.40 per share and revenues of $22.6 billion, reflecting a decline from the previous year [1][9]. Group 1: Earnings and Revenue Estimates - The consensus estimate for second-quarter earnings per share has decreased by $0.01 in the past week, indicating a 23% decline year-over-year [2]. - Quarterly revenues are projected to decline by 11.3% compared to the same period last year [2]. Group 2: Vehicle Deliveries and Sales Performance - Tesla delivered 384,122 vehicles in the second quarter, a 13.5% decrease from the previous year, marking the largest quarterly sales drop in the company's history [3]. - This decline in deliveries is attributed to a demand problem rather than production issues, as the new Model Y has ramped up production [4]. Group 3: Segment Performance - Automotive sales revenues are expected to decline by more than 6%, with gross margins from automotive sales projected at 15%, down 3 percentage points from the previous year [5]. - Conversely, revenues from the Energy Generation/Storage segment are anticipated to rise to $3.03 billion, reflecting growth both sequentially and year-over-year [6]. Group 4: Operating Expenses and Capital Expenditures - Tesla's high operating expenses and capital expenditures are likely to impact profits and cash flows, as the company continues to invest heavily in expanding gigafactory output and enhancing its Supercharger network [7]. Group 5: Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for Tesla this earnings season, with an Earnings ESP of +0.82% [8].

Core Insights - Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) shares have increased by 20.3% in the past month, outperforming the Zacks Leisure and Recreation Services industry's growth of 11.8% and the S&P 500's growth of 3.7% [1][2] Financial Performance - Carnival has achieved record-breaking earnings, with EBITDA rising 26% year over year and net income more than tripling [6] - The company has met its 2026 financial targets 18 months ahead of schedule, indicating strong commercial execution and operational discipline [6] - For fiscal 2025, Carnival raised its adjusted EBITDA forecast to approximately $6.9 billion, up from $6.7 billion, reflecting over 10% year-over-year growth [13] Demand and Pricing - Net yields increased by 6.5% in the fiscal second quarter, driven by strong ticket pricing and onboard spending [7] - 93% of 2025 capacity is already booked at historically high prices, indicating strong demand and pricing power [8] Strategic Developments - The anticipated July debut of Celebration Key is expected to generate strong consumer interest and command pricing premiums [10] - Carnival is modernizing its fleet with the AIDA Evolution program and launching new ships with family-friendly amenities [11] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts maintain a positive outlook on Carnival, with an average price target of $30.04, suggesting a potential upside of 4.8% from the last closing price [23] - The company holds an average brokerage recommendation of 1.60, indicating a favorable outlook [24] Stock Valuation - Carnival stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 13.40X, below the industry average of 19.79X, presenting an attractive investment opportunity [17]

Core Insights - Abbott Laboratories (ABT) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 17, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.09 in the last quarter, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.9% [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $11.07 billion, indicating a 6.7% increase year-over-year, while EPS is estimated to rise 9.6% to $1.25 [1][2] Revenue Estimates by Segment - **Diagnostics**: Expected revenue growth impacted by a decline in COVID-19 testing revenues, but anticipated to benefit from high demand across various settings. Estimated revenue increase of 0.1% year-over-year [3][4][6] - **Established Pharmaceuticals (EPD)**: Projected to continue strong performance across multiple regions and therapeutic areas, with a year-over-year revenue increase of 6.1% [7][8] - **Medical Devices**: Anticipated to show significant growth, driven by the Diabetes Care division and continuous glucose monitor (CGM) systems, with a projected revenue increase of 10.9% year-over-year [8][9][13] - **Nutrition**: Expected robust sales from adult nutrition brand Ensure and solid growth in infant formula and toddler brands, with a year-over-year revenue improvement of 4.3% [13] Earnings Estimate Revision - Estimates for Q2 earnings have remained unchanged at $1.25 per share over the past 30 days, indicating stability in expectations [3] Market Position and Growth Drivers - The Medical Devices segment is highlighted as a standout performer, with growth driven by new product approvals and strong demand in various categories, including heart assist devices and structural heart products [10][11][12]

Core Viewpoint - Snap-on Incorporated (SNA) is expected to report declines in both revenue and earnings for the second quarter of 2025, with a revenue estimate of $1.2 billion, reflecting a 2.2% decrease from the previous year [1] Financial Performance - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is stable at $4.61 per share, indicating a 6.1% decline from the same quarter last year [2] - Snap-on has experienced a negative trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of nearly 1% on average, with a notable negative surprise of 6.2% in the last reported quarter [2] Influencing Factors - The company is focusing on enhancing value creation through initiatives in safety, service quality, customer satisfaction, and innovation, including expanding its franchise network and increasing its presence in emerging markets [3] - Snap-on's innovation pipeline remains strong, with ongoing investments in product development and global brand expansion [3] Challenges - External challenges include macroeconomic headwinds, geographic pressures in key industries, and geopolitical disruptions, which are likely impacting performance [4] - The Tools Group unit has been sluggish due to lower activity in U.S. operations and adverse foreign currency translations, with an estimated 4% decline expected in the second quarter [5] - Rising raw material and operational costs continue to pose risks to profitability [4][9] Market Position - Despite challenges, Snap-on's manufacturing strategy allows for quick adjustments to evolving production landscapes, with expected resilience in the automotive repair sector due to increased household spending on repairs [6] - The Repair Systems & Information Group is predicted to see a 3% rise in the second quarter [6] Valuation - Snap-on's stock is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 16.54x, which is below its five-year high of 18.63x and the industry average of 17.50x, presenting an attractive investment opportunity [8] Recent Performance - Over the past three months, Snap-on's shares have decreased by 4.8%, compared to a 0.8% drop in the industry [10]

Core Viewpoint - Southern Copper (SCCO) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, which could significantly influence its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for Southern Copper's quarterly earnings is $1.06 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 13.1% [3]. - Expected revenues for the quarter are $3.01 billion, down 3.5% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 14.96%, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Southern Copper matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with a strong predictive power for positive readings [9][10]. - Southern Copper currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat conclusively [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Southern Copper exceeded the expected earnings of $1.13 per share, achieving $1.19, resulting in a surprise of +5.31% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Conclusion - While Southern Copper does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors when making investment decisions ahead of the earnings release [17].

Core Insights - Goldman Sachs is expected to report quarterly earnings of $9.43 per share, reflecting a 9.4% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $13.5 billion, a 6% increase from the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - Analysts have revised the consensus EPS estimate 1.1% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a reevaluation of initial forecasts [1][2] - The importance of earnings estimate revisions is highlighted as a predictor of investor actions and stock performance [2] Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Net Revenues- Global Banking & Markets- FICC' to reach $3.39 billion, a year-over-year increase of 6.7% [4] - 'Net Revenues- Asset & Wealth Management- Debt investments' are projected at $151 million, indicating a significant decline of 49.2% from the prior year [4] - 'Net Revenues- Platform Solutions- Consumer platforms' are expected to be $619.93 million, reflecting a 3.5% increase [5] - 'Net Revenues- Global Banking & Markets- Equities' are forecasted at $3.74 billion, showing an 18.2% increase [5] - 'Net Revenues- Asset & Wealth Management- Private banking and lending' is estimated at $744.53 million, a 5.3% increase [6] - 'Net Revenues- Platform Solutions- Transaction banking and other' is expected to be $65.86 million, a decrease of 5.9% [6] - 'Net Revenues- Global Banking & Markets- Advisory' is projected at $891.69 million, a substantial increase of 29.6% [7] - The total 'Net Revenues- Asset & Wealth Management' is estimated at $3.82 billion, a slight decline of 1.5% [7] Key Metrics - The 'Book Value Per Share' is expected to reach $347.76, up from $327.13 in the same quarter last year [8] - 'Assets Under Supervision (AUS) - Total' is forecasted to be $3,228.04 billion, compared to $2,934.00 billion a year ago [8] - The 'Common equity tier 1 capital ratio' is estimated at 15.1%, up from 14.8% year-over-year [8] - The 'Leverage ratio' is expected to be 5.3%, slightly down from 5.4% in the previous year [9] Stock Performance - Goldman Sachs shares have increased by 13.4% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500 composite, which rose by 4.1% [10]

Core Insights - Analysts project Monarch Casino (MCRI) will report quarterly earnings of $1.22 per share, reflecting a 2.5% year-over-year increase [1] - Revenue is expected to reach $130.37 million, marking a 1.7% increase from the same quarter last year [1] - There have been no revisions in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analysts' forecasts [1] Revenue Projections - 'Revenues- Other' is estimated at $5.37 million, showing a decline of 4% from the previous year [4] - 'Revenues- Hotel' is projected to be $18.40 million, indicating a decrease of 6.8% year-over-year [4] - 'Revenues- Food and Beverage' is expected to reach $32.20 million, reflecting a slight increase of 1.1% from the prior year [4] - 'Revenues- Casino' is forecasted to be $74.47 million, representing a year-over-year growth of 4.9% [5] Market Performance - Shares of Monarch Casino have increased by 5.6% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which rose by 4.1% [5] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it is expected to perform in line with the overall market in the near future [5]

Core Insights - Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.02 per share, reflecting a decline of 4.7% year-over-year, while revenues are forecasted to increase by 3.8% to $430.36 million [1] Earnings Estimates - There has been no revision in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analysts' forecasts [1][2] - The consensus estimate for the 'Efficiency Ratio' is 55.9%, slightly improved from 56.0% in the same quarter last year [4] - Analysts predict a 'Net Interest Margin' of 3.6%, unchanged from the previous year [4] Key Financial Metrics - 'Average total interest earning assets' are estimated at $30.64 billion, up from $30.02 billion year-over-year [5] - The estimated 'Book value per share' is $26.85, compared to $24.48 a year ago [5] - The 'Tier I risk-based capital ratio' is expected to be 17.0%, an increase from 16.2% in the previous year [6] - The 'Total risk-based capital ratio' is projected at 17.8%, compared to 17.0% last year [6] Loan and Income Projections - 'Non-accrual loans' are expected to be $21.76 million, up from $19.30 million in the same quarter last year [7] - The forecast for 'Total Non-Interest Income' is $157.57 million, compared to $152.24 million a year ago [8] - 'Fully-taxable equivalent net interest income' is projected to reach $275.75 million, up from $264.58 million last year [8] - 'Trust fees' are expected to be $55.69 million, compared to $52.29 million in the same quarter last year [8] - 'Bank card transaction fees' are forecasted at $47.42 million, slightly down from $47.48 million last year [9] Stock Performance - Commerce shares have increased by 6.5% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 4.1% increase [9]

Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that FB Financial (FBK) will report quarterly earnings of $0.89 per share, a 6% increase year over year, with revenues expected to reach $135.28 million, reflecting a 5.5% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 2% higher over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Key Financial Metrics - Analysts expect the 'Efficiency Ratio' to be 57.2%, down from 58.6% in the same quarter last year [5]. - The 'Net Interest Margin' is projected to remain stable at 3.6%, consistent with the previous year's figure [5]. - 'Average Earning Assets' are expected to reach $12.57 billion, up from $11.63 billion in the same quarter last year [6]. - 'Mortgage banking income' is estimated at $12.80 million, compared to $11.91 million a year ago [6]. - 'Total Noninterest income' is projected to be $24.69 million, down from $25.61 million in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Net interest income (tax-equivalent basis)' is expected to be $111.97 million, up from $103.25 million in the same quarter last year [7]. - The consensus estimate for 'Other Income' is $2.25 million, down from $4.61 million a year ago [8]. - 'Service charges on deposit accounts' are projected to reach $3.46 million, slightly up from $3.17 million last year [8]. - 'Net Interest Income' is expected to be $111.61 million, compared to $102.62 million in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Investment services and trust income' is projected at $3.63 million, up from $3.39 million in the same quarter last year [9]. Stock Performance - FB Financial shares have increased by 6.1% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which rose by 3.9% [9]. - FBK holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating expectations of outperforming the overall market in the near future [9].