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Companies can't pass through as much of the price increase as they want, says Mohamed El-Erian
CNBC Television· 2025-09-10 13:28
Economic Outlook & Consumer Behavior - Companies are struggling to pass price increases to consumers, especially those selling to lower-income demographics [2] - Consumers have absorbed price increases for the past five years since COVID, but are now resistant due to diminished cash reserves [3][4] - Lower-income consumers are depleting their cash balances and increasing debt, excluding mortgage debt [8][9][10] - There's concern that economic weakness among lower-income consumers could spread to other segments [11] Monetary Policy & Market Dynamics - The market is currently in a "bad news is good news" situation, but there's a risk of "bad news is bad news" scenario [6] - Risk-on assets (equities, credit spreads) and risk-off assets (gold, government bonds) are both performing well [6] - The employment side is much weaker than expected, while the latest inflation print is much better than expected [5] - A potential 50 basis point cut by the Federal Reserve should be considered, given the data [12] Productivity & Future Growth - Deregulation is needed to improve supply-side response [13] - Optimism exists regarding productivity gains in the coming years due to AI, life sciences, and robotics [13]
Cooler US producer inflation hints at softening demand
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-10 12:45
By Lucia Mutikani WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. producer prices unexpectedly fell in August amid a compression in trade services margins and mild increase in the cost of goods, suggesting that domestic firms were probably absorbing some of the tariffs on imports. The lack of strong producer price pressures, despite import duties, could also be signaling softening domestic demand against the backdrop of a struggling labor market. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates at its policy meeting ne ...
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-10 12:42
PPI data today sending the 50bps cut higher howeverAlmost at a 20% chance now for September!October 25bps cut rising as well. https://t.co/ztN7KXoBGYEasy (@EasyEatsBodega):3 cuts this year.25bps each FOMCSeptember, October, December ...
Investors: Should You Be Worried About the Stock Market Right Now?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-10 00:00
Key Points More than 40% of investors feel "bearish" about the market's six-month horizon. While a recession may or may not happen this year, risk factors are mounting. However, history has promising news for nervous investors. 10 stocks we like better than S&P 500 Index › The stock market has been surging in recent months, but many investors are still feeling on edge. As of this writing, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has soared by close to 31% since April, while the tech-centered Nasdaq Composi ...
Where Will Home Depot Be in 5 Years?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-09 11:00
Company Overview - Home Depot has a trailing 12-month revenue of $165 billion and holds a leading position in the home improvement industry with over 2,000 stores across the U.S. [1] Financial Performance - Home Depot's shares have generated a total return of 67% over the past five years, which is significantly lower than the S&P 500's performance [2] - The company experienced a sales surge of 19.9% in fiscal 2020 and 14.4% in fiscal 2021 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, but revenue growth has slowed, with fiscal 2024 revenue only 5.5% higher than three years prior [3] - For fiscal 2025, management anticipates same-store sales growth of only 1%, indicating a lack of excitement among investors [3] Market Conditions - Economic uncertainty is the primary reason for customers delaying renovation projects, as noted by CEO Ted Decker [4] - Elevated interest rates have led households to be more cautious about large projects that may require debt financing [5] Industry Outlook - The home improvement industry is estimated to be worth $1 trillion and is fragmented, providing Home Depot with a competitive advantage due to its brand recognition and product availability [6] - Home Depot plans to add 13 new stores in fiscal 2025, although expanding physical presence is not a key growth strategy [8] Future Prospects - A potential decline in interest rates could boost Home Depot's sales, and consistent profits have allowed the company to maintain dividend payments [7] - Despite current challenges, there is confidence that Home Depot's revenue will be higher in five years, although growth may not match historical trends [8]
The Job Market Is Crashing And The Fed Must CUT BIG
Hello everyone. We've got a lot to discuss today. The jobs report this morning was very, very bad.The Fed should have been cutting rates months ago. We're now entering what I call a crazy uncle market. And Elon Musk, he just got a massive pay package at Tesla and it could make him the world's first trillionaire.We're live today from the desk of Anthony Pompiano. Before we get into today's episode, you know what it is. Hit that subscribe button.We are currently at 20,729 subscribers and I need your help to m ...
Lackluster August Jobs Report Fuels Rate Cut Bets | Bloomberg Businessweek Daily 9/5/2025
Bloomberg Television· 2025-09-05 20:28
This is Bloomberg Businessweek Daily, reporting from the magazine that helps global leaders stay ahead with insight on the people, companies and trends shaping today's complex economy. Plus, global business, finance and tech news as it happens, Bloomberg Businessweek Daily with Carol Massar and Tim Stennett back live on Bloomberg Radio, Television, YouTube and bloomberg originals. Very good afternoon, everyone.Carol Massar tim stanwick live here at bloomberg headquarters. We're streaming across youtube, blo ...
Trump's pick for the Fed board could join in time for key rate cut vote
Fox Business· 2025-09-05 15:26
Group 1 - Stephen Miran, nominated by President Trump for the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, may be confirmed in time for the mid-September rate-setting meeting [1][5] - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to cut rates in September following Chairman Jerome Powell's indication of a softer policy stance during his Jackson Hole address [1] - The FOMC consists of 12 voting members, including the seven governors of the Federal Reserve Board and the president of the New York Fed [2] Group 2 - Miran's nomination follows the resignation of Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler, which Trump described as a "pleasant surprise" allowing for a candidate more aligned with his economic agenda [6] - Trump has intensified pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates to 1% to stimulate economic growth, while Powell has maintained a key borrowing rate between 4.25% and 4.5% [9] - If Trump successfully removes Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, he would gain a majority of appointments on the Fed's board, enhancing his influence over U.S. monetary policy [10][11]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-05 12:41
The Canadian economy surprisingly shed jobs for a second consecutive month as the unemployment rate jumped, increasing the likelihood of an interest rate cut from the Bank of Canada this month https://t.co/h7ushYQXjU ...
X @Anthony Pompliano 🌪
Anthony Pompliano 🌪· 2025-09-05 12:35
The Federal Reserve should cut 100 basis points in September to catch up to where they should have been all along.We need a big, bold move instead of an incremental cut. ...