Market Overview - U.S. stock futures experienced volatility following declines on Wednesday, with major benchmark indices showing lower futures [1] - Disappointing earnings guidance and escalating U.S.-China trade tensions have negatively impacted investor confidence [1] - The Trump administration is contemplating new export restrictions to China, targeting products made with U.S.-developed software [1] Economic Indicators - The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 3.98%, while the two-year bond was at 3.46% [2] - Market expectations indicate a 96.7% likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in its October meeting [2] Stock Performance - Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) fell 3.04% in premarket trading despite reporting better-than-expected revenue for Q3, with earnings missing estimates [6] - International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE:IBM) dropped 7.14% despite better-than-expected Q3 results, but raised its full-year 2025 revenue growth guidance to "more than" 5% [6] - American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) rose 1.41% as analysts anticipate a quarterly loss of 28 cents per share on revenue of $13.63 billion [6] - Medpace Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:MEDP) surged 18.52% after reporting Q3 revenue of $659.9 million and earnings of $3.86 per share, both exceeding analyst estimates [12] - Ford Motor Co. (NYSE:F) shares remained unchanged ahead of its earnings report, with analysts expecting earnings of 36 cents per share on revenue of $43.08 billion [12] Sector Performance - Most sectors on the S&P 500 closed negatively, with communication services, industrials, and consumer discretionary stocks experiencing the largest losses [7] Analyst Insights - Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO, argues that the Federal Reserve is "behind the curve" and needs to implement "meaningful" rate cuts, suggesting a need for cuts of 150 basis points or more [9][10] - Wilson believes the economy has transitioned into an "early cycle new recovery," dismissing recent market volatility as part of a new economic cycle [11]

Pretty decent reaction on #Bitcoin.Ultimately, it's still chop until we're getting macroeconomic data (CPI) and the FED meeting.Bitcoin has been going sideways around $100-120K for nearly six months already, and that means that a big volatile move is on the horizon.When?I don't know.Not going to predict when it will occur, but there is a bias and thesis to be created out of the FOMC meetings, rate cuts, adjusted monetary policy and better business cycle.That's literally starting up later this quarter, and f ...

Can we get a crypto pump, por favor? Meanwhile, precious metals have hit all-time highs recently, and we’re finally seeing a new gold price drop. If all your TA brought you to this, what was the point of the TA? Might as well just flip a coin. Spot gold plunged 6.3% on Tuesday to around $4,090 per ounce, while silver fell nearly 9%, as traders dumped positions after technical indicators signaled that the rally had gone too far, too fast. So what’s going on with gold, and is this a larger indicator that w ...

I sat down with @JohnPompliano to discuss everything happening across the markets — bitcoin, gold, stocks, the Fed, and where things could be headed next.Are we going up or down? Should investors be worried or getting excited? And why retail investors might actually have an edge over institutions right now.Enjoy!YouTube: https://t.co/IlAdZySDCyApple: https://t.co/1u1HkPJQvYSpotify: https://t.co/5cSjicSkPjTIMESTAMPS:0:00 - Intro0:40 - Gold’s performance and macro shift5:17 - What is more likely: Gold standar ...

Rate cuts.QT ending.Gold nearing a crazy top.Peace in the Middle East.China deal incoming.Russia deal possibly next.Do you understand? ...

Rate cuts.QT ending.Gold nearing an crazy top.Peace in the Middle East.China deal incoming.Russia deal possibly next.And you’re bearish? ...

Core Insights - U.S. equity funds experienced renewed demand due to signals of potential rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and a positive start to the corporate earnings season, alleviating concerns over trade tariffs and government shutdowns [1] Group 1: Fund Flows - Investors purchased a net $1.04 billion in U.S. equity funds, recovering nearly 25% of the previous week's outflows of $4.45 billion [1] - U.S. sectoral funds saw an inflow of approximately $4.39 billion, marking the fourth consecutive week of purchases [2] - Tech and financial sector funds attracted significant investments of $1.18 billion and $920 million, respectively [2] Group 2: Fund Performance - U.S. large-cap and small-cap fund segments experienced outflows of $2.42 billion and $114 million, while mid-cap funds saw a net inflow of $495 million [3] - Money market funds had a net outflow of $20.98 billion, ending a three-week trend of inflows [3] - U.S. bond funds received a second consecutive weekly inflow of $6.49 billion [3] Group 3: Specific Fund Categories - Short-to-intermediate investment-grade funds, short-to-intermediate government and treasury funds, and municipal debt funds received inflows of $2.13 billion, $890 million, and $678 million, respectively [4]

Jeff Degraph, let's go back to what's happening in yields because I know you're watching those closely. Where's the next stop. Well, on the 10-year, I think that the yields trade down to about um 388 or so.Uh and then from there, it's about 370. I I I'd feel comfortable with yields doing uh what they should do anywhere between here and 360 under that. And that starts to get, you know, a little uncomfortable from uh what the market's message is about the economy.But I actually think this is really good news. ...

Economic Data and Market Sentiment - The Philly Fed index showed a significant decline from 23.2% last month to negative 12.8%, indicating a miss in regional economic data [1][2] - Corporate earnings reports from banks and airlines have been solid, with United Airlines and Delta performing better than expected, suggesting strength in the US consumer [3][4] Upcoming Earnings and Economic Indicators - American Express earnings are anticipated to provide insights into affluent US consumers, with several major companies set to report earnings soon, including Tesla on October 22nd and five major tech companies on October 29th and 30th [4][5] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is scheduled for October 24th, which will be crucial for market expectations [7] Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - Recent comments from Fed officials, including Jerome Powell, suggest a more dovish stance with discussions of potential rate cuts, possibly starting in October [8][9] - Stephen Myron indicated support for at least two rate cuts before the end of the year, contributing to a favorable outlook for stocks [10] Commodity Prices and Inflation - Crude oil prices have decreased from just below $63 to around $58.5, which is a significant factor in the inflation landscape [10][11] - The stability of the dollar, along with declining crude prices, is seen as favorable for the stock market [11]

Market Performance - The S&P 500 rose 0.4% to 6,680, nearing the recovery of last Friday's sell-off [2] - The Nasdaq 100 increased by 0.9% to 24,790, while the Dow Jones added 0.3% to 46,485, fully recovering from last week's decline [2] - Small-cap stocks also performed well, with the Russell 2000 gaining 0.7% and reaching new record highs [2] Earnings Reports - Bank of America Corp. and Morgan Stanley exceeded market expectations, with their shares rising over 5% and 4.5% respectively, marking their strongest single-day performance since April 9 [3] - The market is pricing in a 25-basis-point rate cut in October, with a 95% probability of another reduction in December, which has contributed to the rally in equities and precious metals [3] Precious Metals - Gold prices increased by 1% to $4,200 per ounce, marking its 13th gain in the past 15 sessions and a 60% year-to-date increase [4] - Silver also saw a significant rise, gaining 2.2% to $52.50 per ounce [4] Major Indices and ETFs - The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF rose 0.5% to $612.05, while the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.3% to $464.02 [7] - The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series rose 0.9% to $603.07, and the iShares Russell 2000 ETF gained 0.8% to $249.93 [7] Top Gainers and Losers - Top gainers in the S&P 500 included Advanced Micro Devices, Morgan Stanley, and Bank of America, with percentage changes of 7.68%, 5.65%, and 4.48% respectively [8] - Top losers included Abbott Laboratories, Lockheed Martin, and Booking Holdings, with percentage changes of -3.63%, -2.86%, and -2.12% respectively [9]