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Should You Buy, Sell or Hold CCL Stock Before the Q4 Earnings Release?
ZACKS· 2025-12-17 17:11
Core Viewpoint - Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) is set to release its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on December 19, with expectations of significant earnings growth and revenue increase compared to the previous year [1][6]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CCL's fiscal fourth-quarter earnings per share (EPS) is 25 cents, reflecting a 78.6% increase from 14 cents in the same quarter last year [1][6]. - The consensus revenue estimate for the fourth quarter is $6.36 billion, indicating a 7.2% growth from the prior year's figure [1][6]. Earnings Surprise History - CCL has a strong earnings surprise history, having beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 169.8% [3][4]. Revenue and Cost Trends - Passenger ticket revenues are projected to rise 5.2% year-over-year to $4.05 billion, while onboard and other revenues are expected to increase by 6.1% to $2.21 billion [9]. - Total operating expenses are anticipated to rise 5.3% year-over-year to $5.7 billion, influenced by higher variable compensation and ongoing investments in destinations and ship maintenance [11][10]. Stock Performance and Valuation - CCL shares have increased by 19.4% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Leisure and Recreation Services industry growth of 7.6% and the S&P 500's rise of 16.5% [12]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 11.68, below the industry average of 17.15, indicating a potential undervaluation [14]. Strategic Positioning - The company is benefiting from strong booking momentum, high pricing, and disciplined yield execution, with record forward bookings and elevated customer deposits [16]. - Strategic investments in destination development and fleet upgrades are expected to enhance revenue generation and shareholder value over time [16]. Conclusion on Investment - While the fundamentals appear supportive, near-term visibility is limited due to ongoing cost pressures and elevated interest expenses, suggesting potential volatility around upcoming results [20][21]. - A cautious approach is recommended, with existing investors maintaining exposure due to improving fundamentals, while new investors may consider waiting for clearer signals on cost management [22].
What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About Accenture (ACN) Q1 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-12-15 15:16
Core Viewpoint - Analysts expect Accenture (ACN) to report quarterly earnings of $3.74 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 4.2%, with revenues projected at $18.56 billion, up 4.9% from the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock, with empirical research showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [2] Revenue Projections - Analysts project 'Revenues- Type of Work- Consulting' to reach $9.42 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of +4.1% [4] - 'Revenues- Type of Work- Managed Services' is estimated at $9.08 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +5% [4] - 'Revenues- Industry Groups- Product' is expected to be $5.68 billion, suggesting a change of +4.7% year over year [5] - 'Revenues- Industry Groups- Health & Public Service' is projected at $3.98 billion, indicating a +4.3% change from the prior year [5] - 'Revenues- Industry Groups- Financial services' is forecasted to reach $3.37 billion, with a year-over-year change of +6.4% [6] - 'Revenues- Industry Groups- Communications, Media & Technology' is expected to be $3.03 billion, reflecting a +6.1% change [6] - 'Revenues- Industry Groups- Resources' is projected at $2.54 billion, indicating a +4.8% year-over-year change [6] Geographic and Booking Metrics - 'Geographic Revenue- EMEA' is estimated at $6.85 billion, reflecting a year-over-year change of +6.8% [7] - The consensus estimate for 'New Bookings - Total' stands at $19.66 billion, compared to $18.70 billion from the previous year [7] - 'New Bookings - Managed Services' is projected to reach $10.25 billion, up from $9.48 billion year-over-year [7] - 'New Bookings - Consulting' is expected to arrive at $9.41 billion, compared to $9.22 billion in the same quarter last year [8] Stock Performance - Accenture shares have increased by +10.8% in the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -0.2% movement [8]
Earnings Preview: CarMax (KMX) Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-12-11 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in CarMax's earnings due to lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results will compare to estimates [1][3] Earnings Expectations - CarMax is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.32 per share, reflecting a 60.5% decrease year-over-year [3] - Revenues are projected to be $5.79 billion, down 7% from the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 6.95% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] - A negative Earnings ESP of -17.56% suggests analysts have become bearish on CarMax's earnings prospects [10][11] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict deviations from consensus estimates, but is more reliable for positive readings [7][8] - CarMax's current Zacks Rank is 5, which complicates predictions of an earnings beat [11] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, CarMax was expected to earn $1.03 per share but only achieved $0.64, resulting in a surprise of -37.86% [12] - Over the past four quarters, CarMax has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [13] Conclusion - CarMax does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider other factors before making investment decisions [16]
Campbell Soup Company (NASDAQ:CPB) Surpasses Earnings Estimates
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-12-09 18:00
Core Insights - Campbell Soup Company reported earnings per share of $0.77, surpassing the estimated $0.73, indicating strong financial performance [1][6] - The company achieved a revenue of approximately $2.68 billion, exceeding the estimated $2.66 billion, driven by strong consumer demand for its products [2][6] - CEO Mick Beekhuizen highlighted the effectiveness of Campbell's in-market execution and reaffirmed guidance for fiscal year 2026, reflecting confidence in the company's strategic direction [3][6] Financial Metrics - Campbell's P/E ratio is approximately 14.87, suggesting a reasonable valuation compared to its earnings [4] - The price-to-sales ratio is about 0.87, indicating the market's valuation of its sales [4] - The enterprise value to sales ratio is around 1.56, reflecting the company's total valuation in relation to its sales [4] - The enterprise value to operating cash flow ratio is approximately 14.03, providing insight into cash flow efficiency [4] Investment Considerations - The earnings yield of 6.72% offers a return on investment relative to the share price [5] - The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.85 indicates a higher reliance on debt financing compared to equity [5] - The current ratio of 0.77 highlights the company's ability to cover short-term liabilities with short-term assets, suggesting areas for potential improvement in liquidity management [5]
Genesco Q3 Earnings Miss, Sales Rise on Higher Comparable Sales
ZACKS· 2025-12-05 18:25
Core Insights - Genesco Inc. (GCO) reported lower-than-expected third-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with adjusted earnings of 79 cents per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 87 cents, but showing an increase from 61 cents in the same quarter last year [2] Financial Performance - Net sales increased by 3% to $616.2 million, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $618 million, driven by a 5% rise in same-store sales, increased wholesale sales, and favorable foreign exchange impacts, but offset by net store closings and a 3% decline in e-commerce sales [3] - Comparable sales fell by 2% at Schuh Group and Johnston & Murphy Group, while Journeys Group saw a 6% increase, leading to a total comparable sales rise of 3% for Genesco [4] Margin and Expenses - Gross margin decreased to 46.8%, down 100 basis points year-over-year, primarily due to lower margins at Genesco Brands Group and increased promotional activity at Schuh, partially offset by reduced shipping and warehouse costs for Journeys and Schuh [5] - Selling and administrative expenses were 44.7%, down 140 basis points as a percentage of sales, reflecting cost-saving measures, with adjusted operating income rising 25.2% to $12.9 million from $10.3 million in the previous year [6] Financial Snapshot - As of the end of the quarter, Genesco had approximately $27 million in cash, $69.8 million in long-term debt, and $513.8 million in shareholders' equity, with inventories increasing by 6.7% to $558.1 million [7] - The company incurred $18 million in capital expenditures during the quarter and anticipates $55–$65 million in capital expenditures for fiscal 2027, focusing on growth initiatives [8] Future Outlook - Genesco has revised its fiscal 2026 outlook, now expecting approximately 2% sales growth and adjusted earnings per share of around 95 cents, down from previous expectations of 3-4% sales growth and earnings of $1.30-$1.70 [11][12][13]
AeroVironment, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVAV) Earnings Preview: A Deep Dive into Financial Expectations
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-12-05 01:00
Core Viewpoint - AeroVironment, Inc. is poised for significant financial growth, with expectations of strong earnings and revenue increases in its upcoming quarterly earnings report [1][2][5] Financial Performance Expectations - Analysts anticipate earnings per share (EPS) of $0.85, representing a year-over-year growth of 80.9% [2][5] - Projected revenues are expected to reach $477 million, indicating a substantial rise of 153.3% compared to the same quarter last year [2][5] - There has been a slight downward revision of 1.6% in the consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days, which may affect investor sentiment [2] Market Sentiment and Ratings - The Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) upgrade reflects increasing optimism regarding the company's earnings prospects, driven by an upward trend in earnings estimates [3][5] - The Zacks rating system provides valuable insights into the company's earnings outlook, which can influence stock prices [3] Financial Health Metrics - The enterprise value to sales ratio stands at 13.47, while the enterprise value to operating cash flow ratio is -95.33, indicating negative operating cash flow [4] - The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.19, suggesting a low level of debt relative to equity [4] - A current ratio of 5.96 indicates a strong ability to cover short-term liabilities with short-term assets [4]
Allegiant Travel (ALGT) Up 10.1% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-12-04 17:30
Core Viewpoint - Allegiant Travel reported a wider-than-expected loss in Q3 2025, raising questions about the sustainability of its recent stock performance, which has outperformed the S&P 500 by 10.1% over the past month [1][2]. Financial Performance - Allegiant Travel posted a Q3 2025 loss of $2.09 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $1.84 per share, and compared to a loss of $2.02 per share in the same quarter last year [3]. - Operating revenues were $561.9 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $580.4 million, and fell 0.1% year-over-year. Passenger revenues, which made up 87.9% of total revenues, increased by 1.1% year-over-year [3]. Operational Metrics - Air traffic, measured in revenue passenger miles, grew by 8.7% year-over-year, while capacity, measured in available seat miles (ASMs), increased by 10.2% [4]. - The load factor decreased to 84.3% from 85.6% as traffic growth did not keep pace with capacity expansion [4]. - Airline operating costs per available seat mile, excluding fuel, decreased by 4.7% year-over-year to 8.47 cents, and the average fuel cost per gallon fell by 4.9% year-over-year to $2.55 [5]. Liquidity Position - As of September 30, 2025, Allegiant's total unrestricted cash and investments were $991.2 million, up from $852.7 million in the previous quarter. Long-term debt and finance lease obligations totaled $1.78 billion, slightly up from $1.77 billion [6]. Future Guidance - For Q4 2025, scheduled service ASMs are expected to increase by 10% year-over-year, with total system ASMs projected to rise by 9.5% [7]. - Adjusted earnings per share for Q4 are anticipated to be in the range of $1.50 to $2.50, with an expected adjusted operating margin of 10% to 12% [7]. - For the full year 2025, adjusted consolidated EPS is now expected to exceed $3.00, up from a prior estimate of above $2.25, while adjusted EPS for the airline is anticipated to be above $4.35 [8][9]. Estimate Revisions - In the past month, there has been a notable upward trend in fresh estimates, with the consensus estimate shifting by 58.26% [10]. VGM Scores - Allegiant Travel currently holds a subpar Growth Score of D, but a better Momentum Score of B, and an A score on the value side, placing it in the top quintile for value investors. The overall aggregate VGM Score is B [11]. Industry Context - Allegiant Travel is part of the Zacks Transportation - Airline industry, which has seen American Airlines gain 8.5% over the past month. American Airlines reported revenues of $13.69 billion for the last quarter, reflecting a year-over-year change of +0.3% [13].
Why Is Insperity (NSP) Down 6.5% Since Last Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-12-03 17:36
Core Viewpoint - Insperity, Inc. reported disappointing Q3 2025 earnings, missing estimates and showing a significant decline in profitability compared to the previous year [2][5][11]. Financial Performance - Insperity registered an adjusted loss of $0.20 per share, contrasting with the consensus estimate of earnings at $0.22 per share and down from $0.39 per share a year ago [2]. - Revenues for the quarter were $1.6 billion, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate but reflecting a 4% increase year-over-year [2]. - Gross profit decreased by 15% year-over-year to $195 million, with a gross margin of 12%, down 140 basis points from Q3 2024 [4]. - Operating loss was reported at $25 million, compared to an operating income of $1 million in the same quarter last year [5]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $10 million, representing an 87.5% decline year-over-year [5]. Employee Metrics - The average number of worksite employees paid per month increased by 1% year-over-year to 312,842 [3]. - Revenues per worksite employee (WSEE) per month rose by 3% from the previous year to $1,729 [3]. - Operating expenses decreased by 4% year-over-year to $220 million, with operating expenses per WSEE per month also falling by 4% to $246 [4]. Balance Sheet & Cash Flow - As of the end of Q3 2025, Insperity had cash and cash equivalents of $422 million, down from $441 million in the previous quarter [6]. - Long-term debt remained flat at $369 million [6]. - The company distributed $11.1 million in cash dividends during the quarter, with capital expenditures totaling $5.6 million [6]. Guidance - For Q4 2025, Insperity's guidance for loss per share is set between $0.79 and $0.16, with adjusted EBITDA expected to range from -$29 million to $9 million [7]. - The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) guidance for 2025 has been lowered to a range of $0.84 to $1.47, down from the previous estimate of $1.81 to $2.51 [7]. - Adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2025 has also been reduced to $119 million to $153 million, compared to the earlier range of $170 million to $205 million [7]. Market Sentiment - Estimates for Insperity have trended downward, with a significant shift of -241.05% in consensus estimates over the past month [8]. - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell), indicating expectations of below-average returns in the coming months [11]. Industry Comparison - Insperity operates within the Zacks Staffing Firms industry, where competitor Robert Half has seen a 7.5% gain over the past month despite reporting a year-over-year revenue decline of 7.5% [12]. - Robert Half's expected earnings for the current quarter indicate a change of -43.4% from the previous year, with a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell) as well [13].
Comfort Systems Climbs 29% in 3 Months: Should You Buy the Surge?
ZACKS· 2025-12-03 15:21
Core Insights - Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX) has experienced a 29.3% increase in stock price over the past three months, outperforming the Zacks Building Products - Air Conditioner and Heating industry, the Construction sector, and the S&P 500 Index [1] Company Performance - The company is benefiting from increased opportunities in large-scale projects, particularly in data center and chip manufacturing, supported by favorable public spending and declining Federal interest rates [2][9] - FIX's backlog reached $9.38 billion, reflecting a 65% year-over-year growth from $5.68 billion and a 15.5% sequential increase, indicating strong demand across traditional construction and modular operations [5][8] - The Technology sector accounted for approximately 42% of revenues year-to-date, up from 32% the previous year, driven by hyperscale and AI-driven infrastructure projects [4] Market Trends - The favorable market environment, characterized by strong federal funding and falling interest rates, is expected to enhance long-term demand trends for FIX [8][10] - The company's management highlighted strong pipelines in technology and promising long-term opportunities in pharmaceuticals and manufacturing as key growth drivers [10] Financial Health - As of Q3 2025, FIX reported cash and cash equivalents of $860.5 million, an increase from $549.9 million in 2024, with operating cash flow of $717.8 million, up from $638.6 million year-over-year [11] - The company has maintained a stable liquidity position, with short-term obligations of $4.7 million, and has engaged in share repurchases and increased dividend payments [12] Return on Equity and Earnings Estimates - FIX's trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) stands at 43.6%, significantly higher than the industry average, indicating strong efficiency in generating shareholder returns [13] - Earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have increased to $26.31 and $30.61 per share, respectively, suggesting year-over-year growth of 80.2% and 16.4% [14] Investment Appeal - Despite trading at a premium with a forward P/E ratio of 30.9, FIX's strong project momentum and favorable macroeconomic conditions enhance its investment appeal [17][19] - Analysts show optimism towards FIX, with 77.8% of recommendations indicating a "Strong Buy" [19]
Stay Ahead of the Game With Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) Q3 Earnings: Wall Street's Insights on Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-12-01 15:16
Core Insights - Wall Street analysts forecast a quarterly loss of -$0.17 per share for Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK), representing a year-over-year increase of 19.1% in losses. Revenue is expected to reach $320.93 million, reflecting a 35.9% increase compared to the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been adjusted upward by 1.8%, indicating a collective reassessment by covering analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor actions regarding the stock, with empirical research showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts predict 'Revenue- Subscription' will reach $309.06 million, indicating a year-over-year change of +39.5% [4]. - 'Revenue- Other' is expected to be $10.44 million, showing a +1.1% change from the prior-year quarter. Conversely, 'Revenue- Maintenance' is projected at $1.57 million, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of -63.8% [5]. - 'Cloud ARR' is projected to reach $1,136,975, contrasting with the year-ago figure of $768,838 [5]. Key Company Metrics - The combined assessment suggests 'Subscription ARR' will likely reach $1,321,722, compared to $1,002,252 in the same quarter last year. Additionally, 'Customers with $100K or more in Subscription ARR' is expected to reach 2,650, up from 2,085 in the same quarter last year [6]. - Over the past month, Rubrik, Inc. shares have recorded a return of -7.9%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite changed by -0.5%. The company holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating it is likely to perform in line with the overall market in the upcoming period [6].