Market Focus on Fed and Nvidia - The market is in wait-and-see mode ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole, with investors hoping for signals of potential interest rate cuts [3] - Nvidia's upcoming earnings report is considered by some to be more important than Powell's speech, highlighting the market's focus on AI [49] Interest Rate Expectations and Inflation Concerns - Markets anticipate Powell addressing inflation, with concerns that he may prioritize price stability over labor market issues, potentially reducing rate cut probabilities [14] - There's debate on whether Powell will signal a 25 basis point rate cut in September while managing inflation concerns [17] - Some analysts believe Powell may not signal any rate cuts, potentially leading to market disappointment and increased speculation on future rate cuts based on incoming data [29][31] Economic Indicators and Retail Performance - Big retailers like Walmart and Target have warned about high prices impacting their businesses, aligning with concerns from the hot Producer Price Index [9] - Consumer sentiment reports indicate rising inflation expectations, with Cleveland Fed President noting inflation has been too high for four years and trending in the wrong direction [10] - Goldman Sachs economists suggest the economy could see only 30,000 net new jobs per month in the near term [11] Tech Stock Movements - Nvidia shares are down about 2% following reports of the company pausing H20-related chip production for China due to alleged security concerns [5] - Google's Alphabet is experiencing a positive movement after winning a multi-billion dollar cloud contract from Meta spanning over six years [6] - Palantir shares are down 13% over the past five days, reflecting market nervousness, but are still up 100% year-to-date [34][35] Nvidia's Outlook and AI Market - Analysts have increased Nvidia's price targets, with the average target about 10% above current price levels, anticipating strong AI demand [41] - Concerns exist about Nvidia's potential market cap exceeding its current 8% weighting in the S&P 500 [43][51] - Nvidia's sales are expected to jump about 50% this quarter, indicating continued growth in the AI sector [53] Cracker Barrel's Logo Change Impact - Cracker Barrel initially lost $200 million in market capitalization following the CEO's decision to change the company's logo, ultimately ending the day down $100 million [39] - Cracker Barrel's total market cap now stands at $1.22 billion [40]

CNBC and streaming on CNBC plus. >> Welcome back to The Exchange. We're seeing a big divergence in the consumer trade today.Discretionary stocks are the best performers while staples is the only sector in the red after Powell paved the way for a September rate cut. My next guest expects that divide to remain. Joining me now is Savita Subramanian, head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy of B of a securities.And Savita, it's great to have you on. This divergence we're seeing in the consumer and specific ...

But does a rate cut really change the narrative in the tech trade or is this just an overreaction. Joining me now is Ken Gilleski, senior internet analyst at Wells Fargo. Ken, it's great to have you on.We'll start right there. What does a rate cut do for tech. >> Yeah, so thank you so much for having me on.So it's an interesting place. We we had a really strong second quarter with advertising. you take us back, right.April, we were staring down the barrel of of of tariffs and a lot of fear and then what we ...

Welcome to Yahoo Finance's flagship show, The Morning Brief. I'm Julie Hyman. Let's get to the three things you need to know today.First up, US stock futures little changed ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Pal's Jackson Hole speech. Investors showing caution ahead of the remarks with the S&P 500 down five days in a row. Investors largely expect Pal to indicate the policy makers will start cutting interest rates next month, but it's not a sure bet.Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammock telling Yahoo Finan ...

Market Overview & Sentiment - Over 90% of S&P 500 stocks are higher, hitting an all-time high, a situation historically followed by extended bull markets [2][3] - The market is reacting positively to perceived dovish signals from the Federal Reserve [4] - A global bull market is underway, with various indices hitting all-time highs, favoring diversified equity holders [9][10] Investment Strategy & Sector Preferences - The firm favors financials, industrials, and technology sectors [6][7] - The firm is underweight small caps relative to large caps, but acknowledges potential upside if small caps show relative strength [7][8][9] - The firm is underweight bonds relative to stocks, anticipating a potentially dovish Fed and future leadership [12] Interest Rate & Bond Market - Historically, after a pause of 5 months to a year between interest rate cuts, the S&P 500 is higher one year later 10 out of 11 times, with a 14% median return [5] - The two-year Treasury yield has dropped significantly, reflecting market expectations of rate cuts [11]

CPI may be much higher than expected. >> All that's correct, Frank. There were a bunch of caveats in there.The biggest caveat you did mention, though, that I would say is the one about inflation expectations. He basically said, we are not going to allow tariff price increases to become broader inflation. That's on his watch. He believes that's in his control, and that would mean remaining relatively tight.So you're right. And I think what happened here, Frank, is is he didn't really talk the market down. Bu ...

Economic Outlook - Downside risks to employment are rising [1] - Tariff effects on consumer prices are clearly visible [1] - Tariff impact on inflation is expected to be short lived [1] Monetary Policy - A rate cut is anticipated next month [1]

MATT: IT IS 5:00 A. M. IN NEW YORK CITY, I AM MATT MILLER IN FOR DANI BURGER.EQUITY FUTURES WAIVER TO WRAP UP A WEEK THAT WAS ENTIRELY IN THE RED. MAYBE WE WILL SEE SOME GREEN TODAY AS MARKETS AWAIT FED CHAIR POWELL'S SPEECH AT THE JACKSON HOLE SYMPOSIUM. WE WILL BRING YOU THAT LIVE THAT SPECIAL COVERAGE ALL MORNING.NVIDIA IS SAID TO HAVE ASKED ITS SUPPLIERS TO HALT PRODUCTION ON ITS H20 CHIPS. WE WILL TAKE YOU THROUGH THAT STORY. LOOK AT FUTURES.WE ARE IN THE GREEN TODAY. THIS IS EVERY SINGLE DAY THIS WEEK ...

Market Expectations & Potential Scenarios - The market anticipates a hawkish speech from Powell at the Jackson Hole Summit, leading to market declines [1] - The probability of a September rate cut has decreased to 71% due to these expectations [1] - If Powell hints at a rate cut, a significant short squeeze is expected [1] - If Powell sounds hawkish, the market impact may be limited as it has already been priced in [1] Economic Indicators & Analysis - The unemployment rate has risen to 42%, initial jobless claims are increasing, and jobs data are being revised downwards [1] - Bankruptcies have reached their highest level since 2020 [1] - Inflation remains below 3% [1] Cryptocurrency Market Outlook - BTC and altcoins could rally higher in the coming weeks, regardless of Powell's speech [1]

🚨CMC News: Bitcoin Surges After Fed Minutes Reveal Rate Cut Push.🔗 https://t.co/cMWshQT3UT https://t.co/cGkxwwEKxM ...