Core Insights - FTAI Aviation Ltd's stock is currently down 2.7% to $115.34, marking its lowest close since May 23, and has seen a decline of 19.9% in 2025, but historical trends suggest a potential for recovery [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Trends - FTAI is trading within one standard deviation of its 50-day moving average, indicating it has been above this average 80% of the time over the last two months [2] - Historical data shows that similar signals have led to an 82% chance of the stock being higher one month later, with an average gain of 10.1%, which could help recover its nine-month deficit of 13.3% [3] Group 2: Short Interest and Market Dynamics - A short squeeze may contribute to upward movement in shares, as short interest has decreased by 15.4%, yet 6.27 million shares sold short still represent 6.2% of FTAI's total float [5] - At the current trading pace, it would take shorts nearly four trading days to cover their positions [5] Group 3: Options and Volatility - Options are considered attractive due to FTAI's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 56%, which is in the 20th percentile of its annual range, indicating lower-than-usual volatility expectations [6] - Historically, FTAI has exceeded volatility estimates, reflected in its Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) score of 90 out of 100, suggesting larger-than-expected price swings [6]

Group 1 - Upstart Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:UPST) is experiencing a breakout above its June closing highs, surpassing its 200-day moving average and year-to-date anchored volume-weighted average price (AVWAP) [1] - The stock has bounced near peak put open interest at the 50-strike and is now breaking above the $55 pivot point from a November earnings gap, which has previously acted as both support and resistance [1] - The 65-strike call option is set to expire next week, potentially leading to higher prices as shorts begin to cover, with over 25% of UPST's total available float sold short [2] Group 2 - The Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) for UPST is in the 10th percentile of its annual range, indicating that options traders can acquire premiums at a relative bargain [2] - A recommended call option has a leverage ratio of 3.7, suggesting it will double in value with a 29.1% move in the underlying equity [3]

Market Overview & Strategy - Investors should avoid stocks where long and short positions are roughly equal, as these "battleground" stocks exhibit high volatility (around 50%) and significant drawdown (up to 65%), resulting in negative risk-reward [4] - Identifying battleground stocks like Archer, Kohl's, and C3 AI is crucial, and portfolio allocation should be carefully considered [5] Short Interest & Volatility - Stocks with short interest significantly exceeding long positions, such as Rivian and Super Micro, are prone to sharp declines upon negative news [6] - Increased short interest in the energy sector indicates bets on falling energy prices [7] Potential Short Squeeze - Apache is highlighted as a potential short squeeze candidate due to high borrow costs and substantial short interest; a stock price increase could trigger a significant squeeze [8] Individual Stock Call - S3 Partners generally refrains from making individual stock calls unless a strong correlation exists between short interest and price action [2]

Hims & Hers Health TodayHIMSHims & Hers Health$42.09 -22.13 (-34.46%) 52-Week Range$13.47▼$72.98P/E Ratio61.00Price Target$38.00Add to WatchlistIt’s not often that investors come across the kind of companies that can yield a multi-bagger investment over the years. Still, today, there is one name that possesses all the right components (and timing) to make it a suitable investment for those seeking to compound their wealth in the coming years. This company is popular among value investors and in the retail ...

Core Concept - MicroStrategy, now known as Strategy, began purchasing Bitcoin in 2020, believing its finite supply could serve as a hedge against inflation, leading to a significant increase in its stock value by approximately 2,970% since the first purchase [1][2] Company Overview - MicroStrategy currently owns over 2.5% of all outstanding Bitcoin tokens and has positioned itself as a Bitcoin treasury company [2] - GameStop, a struggling video game retailer, has also started buying Bitcoin, attempting to replicate MicroStrategy's success [3][11] Financial Performance - GameStop reported a profitable fiscal 2024, but net sales fell by roughly 27.5% [9] - In the first quarter of fiscal 2025, GameStop generated nearly $45 million in net income, a significant improvement from a $32 million loss the previous year, although revenue declined by 16.9% [10] Strategic Moves - GameStop announced plans to raise $1.3 billion through convertible senior notes to purchase Bitcoin, making its first purchase of over $500 million at the end of May [11] - CEO Ryan Cohen highlighted Bitcoin's advantages as a hedge against global currency devaluation and systemic risk, emphasizing its portability and scarcity [12] Market Sentiment - Analysts express skepticism regarding GameStop's Bitcoin strategy, noting a significant valuation gap between GameStop and MicroStrategy [12] - GameStop's stock is viewed as a highly volatile investment, with concerns that it is becoming a leveraged play on Bitcoin rather than a stable business strategy [13][14]

Core Insights - Recent negative stock market sentiment has led to significant short squeezes, generating substantial returns for certain stocks [1] - A bi-weekly list of stocks that are likely to experience short squeezes has been compiled, focusing on those with high short interest and potential losses for short sellers [2] Group 1: Stocks with Significant Short Interest - Stocks identified for potential short squeezes include Hims & Hers Health Inc (NYSE:HIMS), AST SpaceMobile Inc (NASDAQ:ASTS), and NuScale Power Corp (NYSE:SMR) [3] - The table lists various stocks with their short interest percentage changes, new short interest, and estimated returns for shorts, indicating potential opportunities for investors [4] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The technology and nuclear energy sectors are highlighted as areas where short sellers are facing significant losses, suggesting potential for recovery and investment opportunities [4] - Fast-casual restaurant stocks such as Shake Shack Inc (NYSE:SHAK) and CAVA Group Inc (NYSE:CAVA) are also noted as names to watch due to their performance amidst the current market conditions [4]

Core Viewpoint - GameStop has faced significant challenges due to the shift to digital gaming, leading to revenue declines and stock price volatility since the 2021 short squeeze [1][4][10]. Group 1: Company Challenges - GameStop's revenue growth has been negatively impacted by the transition to digital downloads, which began before the short squeeze and worsened during the COVID-19 lockdowns [4][10]. - The company has seen its stock price decline since the short squeeze, which was fueled by retail investors buying shares, causing a rapid increase in stock price followed by sharp declines [6][10]. Group 2: Cost-Cutting Measures - In response to its financial struggles, GameStop has aggressively cut costs, including closing 590 U.S. stores in 2024 and planning to exit markets in France and Canada [7][8]. - The company aims to focus on profitability and expand its market by selling graded collectibles and enhancing its online and in-store presence [8][14]. Group 3: Recent Developments - GameStop's stock has dropped 15% in the past 10 days, partly due to its announcement of investing in Bitcoin and a private offering of $1.3 billion in convertible senior notes [10][11]. - The company made its first Bitcoin investment by purchasing 4,710 Bitcoin, which raised concerns among investors about the volatility of cryptocurrency and its impact on long-term growth [11][13]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Despite cost-cutting measures leading to some earnings gains, GameStop's revenue growth prospects remain unclear, raising questions about its future product and service offerings [14]. - The company's strategy to invest in Bitcoin could be beneficial, but it does not address the fundamental issue of revenue growth [14].

Core Insights - Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (NASDAQ: RRGB) has been facing significant financial challenges, with over six years of net losses impacting its balance sheet [1] Financial Performance - The company has experienced a continuous decline in profitability, leading to a weakened financial position [1] Investment Perspective - The current situation presents potential investment opportunities, but the ongoing losses and balance sheet erosion raise concerns about the company's future viability [1]

Core Viewpoint - SoundHound AI Inc. is positioned as a potential target for a short squeeze due to high short interest and the excitement surrounding artificial intelligence, suggesting a favorable outlook for the stock in the coming months [3][6]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Short Interest - SoundHound AI's shares have 31.5% held in short positions, indicating a significant potential for a short squeeze if the stock price rises [6]. - The stock has experienced a 10.4% rally over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500 index by over 6% during that period [8]. - The current stock price is $9.85, with a 52-week high of approximately $24, suggesting the potential for substantial upside [2][9]. Group 2: Analyst Ratings and Price Forecast - The 12-month stock price forecast for SoundHound AI is $10.50, indicating a 6.74% upside based on 8 analyst ratings [10]. - Some analysts, like Scott Buck from HC Wainwright, have reiterated a Buy rating, suggesting a potential price target of up to $18 per share, which represents a 78% upside from the current price [9][10]. - The stock's price-to-book (P/B) ratio is notably high at 202x, compared to the computer sector's average of 6.8x, indicating a premium valuation [12]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Valuation - Despite the high valuation, the market may be willing to overpay for SoundHound AI due to its perceived potential for future financial performance [11][12]. - The significant short interest could lead to increased buying pressure if the stock price rises, further enhancing the potential for a short squeeze [5][6]. - The overall market sentiment appears to favor stocks that can outperform, which may justify the current valuation despite its apparent expensiveness [13].

Group 1 - The article highlights Paul Franke's extensive experience in stock picking and investment strategies, emphasizing his contrarian approach and algorithmic analysis for identifying stocks through a system called "Victory Formation" [1] - Franke's investment philosophy includes using stop-loss levels of 10% or 20% on individual stocks and maintaining a diversified portfolio of at least 50 well-positioned stocks to achieve consistent market outperformance [1] - The "Bottom Fishing Club" articles focus on identifying deep-value stocks or those showing significant positive technical momentum reversals, while the "Volume Breakout Report" discusses stocks with strong price and volume trends [1]