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吴说本周宏观指标与分析:美联储利率决议、日本央行利率决议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-15 16:28
Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the recent macroeconomic indicators, including the lower-than-expected U.S. CPI of 2.4% for May, and anticipates significant central bank decisions this week, particularly from the U.S., Japan, and the UK [1] - The U.S. May CPI year-on-year was reported at 2.4%, below the expected 2.5%, while the previous value was revised from 2.3% [1] - The U.S. May PPI year-on-year remained at 2.6%, matching expectations, with the previous value revised from 2.4% to 2.5% [1] - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending June 7 were reported at 248,000, slightly above the expected 240,000, with the previous value revised to 248,000 [1] - China's May CPI year-on-year was reported at -0.1%, better than the expected -0.2%, while the previous value remained at -0.1% [1] - China's M2 money supply year-on-year growth was reported at 7.9%, below the expected 8.1% and the previous value of 8% [1] - The Federal Reserve's quarterly financial accounts report indicated a decline in U.S. household assets for the first quarter of 2023, marking the first decrease since the beginning of the year [1] Group 2 - Key upcoming events include the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) rate decision and economic projections on June 19, followed by a press conference by Chairman Powell [1] - The Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England will also announce their rate decisions on June 19 [1] - The Bank of Japan's Governor will speak at a trust association meeting on June 20 [2]
吴说本周宏观指标与分析:美联储官员讲话、欧洲央行会议纪要
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-18 23:58
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - Recent macroeconomic indicators show that US inflation data (CPI & PPI) fell below expectations, indicating potential shifts in monetary policy and economic conditions [1]. Weekly Review - The US April CPI year-on-year rate was 2.3%, the lowest since February 2021, with market expectations at 2.4% [1]. - The US April PPI year-on-year rate recorded 2.4%, marking a third consecutive month of decline and the lowest since September of the previous year. The month-on-month PPI for April was -0.5%, the lowest since April 2020, significantly below the market expectation of 0.2% [1]. - The Bank of Japan's April monetary policy meeting indicated a cautious stance regarding the potential impacts of US tariffs, while not ruling out further interest rate hikes [1]. - Initial jobless claims in the US for the week ending May 10 were 229,000, aligning with expectations, with the previous value revised from 228,000 to 229,000 [1]. - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell highlighted the challenges posed by more frequent and prolonged supply shocks to the economy and the central bank [1]. - The initial consumer inflation expectations for May in the US were 7.3%, compared to an expectation of 6.5% and a previous value of 6.5% [1]. - The preliminary consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan for May was 50.8, down from April's final value of 52.2, marking the fifth consecutive month of decline [1]. Upcoming Key Events & Indicators - The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its interest rate decision on May 20 [1]. - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang will speak at the Taipei International Computer Show, discussing advancements in AI and accelerated computing technologies [1]. - Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson and St. Louis Fed President Bullard will address economic outlook and monetary policy on May 22 [1]. - The European Central Bank will release the minutes from its April monetary policy meeting on May 22 [1].