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石油需求预测
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欧佩克下调未来四年的全球石油需求预估
news flash· 2025-07-10 09:52
Core Viewpoint - OPEC has revised down its global oil demand forecast for the next four years, but has increased its long-term demand outlook due to rising demand from developing countries, indicating no evidence that demand has peaked [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Short-term Demand Forecast - OPEC projects global oil demand to average 105 million barrels per day in 2023, increasing to 106.3 million barrels per day in 2026, and reaching 111.6 million barrels per day by 2029. The forecasts for demand from 2026 to 2029 are lower than last year's expectations [1] Long-term Demand Forecast - OPEC maintains its forecast of 113.3 million barrels per day for 2030, unchanged from last year. Additionally, the long-term forecast for global oil demand in 2050 has been raised to 122.9 million barrels per day, compared to the previous estimate of 120.1 million barrels per day [1] Comparison with Other Forecasts - OPEC anticipates that the duration of demand growth will exceed that of other forecasters, such as the IEA, which predicts that oil demand will peak in the 2020s [1]
OPEC:对2026年至2029年石油需求的预测均低于去年
news flash· 2025-07-10 09:47
Core Insights - OPEC's latest report indicates a downward revision in global oil demand forecasts for the years 2026 to 2029 compared to last year's predictions [1] Group 1: Oil Demand Forecasts - OPEC projects that global oil demand will average 105 million barrels per day in 2023 [1] - The forecast for global oil demand in 2026 is set at 106.3 million barrels per day, while the 2029 forecast is 111.6 million barrels per day, both lower than previous estimates [1] - OPEC maintains its 2030 daily demand forecast at 113.3 million barrels, unchanged from last year's prediction [1]
IEA月报:预测2025年总需求平均为1.039亿桶/日。
news flash· 2025-05-15 08:05
Core Viewpoint - The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts that the average total demand for oil will reach 103.9 million barrels per day by 2025 [1] Group 1 - The IEA's report indicates a significant increase in global oil demand, reflecting ongoing economic recovery and growth [1] - The projected demand of 103.9 million barrels per day represents a notable rise compared to previous years, highlighting the resilience of the oil market [1] - This forecast may influence investment strategies within the energy sector, as companies adjust to anticipated demand shifts [1]