a negative reaction to earnings. This is a chip equipment maker, by the way. >> Yeah.And investors aren't exactly feeling optimistic today. So we'll see how it shakes out through the call. Thanks Christina.Now let's get back to today's big sell off. Speaking of what should investors do if a fed rate cut is no longer a guarantee in the markets seem to be on a bit less stable ground. Joining me now is Innovator Capital Management chief investment strategist Tim Urbanowicz and Citi U.S. equity strategist Drew ...

As expected, President Trump signed legislation Wednesday evening that ended the longest US government shutdown in history. The bill provides full-year funding for some departments, funds other agencies through January 30, and includes pay for furloughed government workers. The bill also resumes federal payments to states and localities and recalls agency employees who were laid off during the shutdown.Wednesday evening, Boston Fed President Susan Collins said, "It will likely be appropriate to keep policy ...

What matters in U.S. and global markets today ...

Core Viewpoint - The SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, reported a total holding of 1,046.64 tons of gold as of November 12, 2025, reflecting a slight increase of 0.28 tons from the previous trading day. The price of spot gold has surged, breaking the $4,200 per ounce mark, driven by a weak dollar and rising expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [7]. Group 1: Gold ETF Holdings - As of November 12, 2025, SPDR Gold Trust's holdings stand at 1,046.64 tons, marking an increase of 0.28 tons from the prior day [7]. - The gold ETF holdings have increased for two consecutive trading days [7]. Group 2: Gold Price Movement - On November 12, spot gold prices reached a high of $4,211.59 per ounce before closing at $4,195.46, reflecting a gain of $68.84 or 1.67% [7]. - Gold prices experienced a brief sell-off, dropping below $4,100 per ounce, but quickly rebounded, establishing $4,100 as a support level for the week [8]. Group 3: Market Drivers - The rise in gold prices is attributed to a weak dollar and heightened expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, alongside concerns over the economic impact of the U.S. government shutdown, which may have reduced GDP growth by 1.5% to 2.0% [7][8]. - Market sentiment is influenced by disappointing employment and consumer confidence data, which have contributed to the bullish trend in gold as a non-yielding asset [8]. Group 4: Technical Analysis - The upward trend in gold prices remains intact, with the path of least resistance pointing upwards. Any pullbacks are likely to be viewed as buying opportunities [8]. - Key resistance levels are identified at $4,250 and $4,300, while short-term support is at $4,161 and $4,100 [9].

In global trade, the Stoxx Europe 600 advanced 0.4% led by Infineon, up 2.6%, after forecasting higher chip sales driven by surging AI data center demand. The FTSE 100 edged 0.2% higher in London. Asian markets were mixed. South Korea’s Kospi climbed 1.1% for a third session, boosted by tech stocks. Japan’s Nikkei rose 0.4%, while SoftBank slipped 3.5%. Taiwan’s TAIEX gained 0.6% after Foxconn beat profit forecasts. China’s Shanghai Composite dipped 0.1%. U.S. Treasury yields eased as bond trading resumed ...

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Core Viewpoint - Gold prices experienced a decline in the early Asian session, influenced by positive economic indicators that decreased the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut [1] Economic Indicators - The ADP employment data released on Wednesday exceeded expectations, indicating stronger job growth [1] - The ISM services-sector index also showed positive results, contributing to the reduced odds of a Fed rate cut [1]

Valuation Concerns - The sell-off in the market is attributed to extreme valuations, particularly noting Palantir's 250 times forward earnings as a significant concern [1][2] - The combination of valuation issues, government shutdown, and inflation are contributing factors to the current market sentiment [1] Government Shutdown Impact - The ongoing government shutdown is described as a significant event, with the Congressional Budget Office estimating a GDP impact of 0.1% to 0.2% for each week it continues [3] - The uncertainty surrounding the shutdown is affecting economic data interpretation, which is crucial for the Federal Reserve's decision-making process [4] Employment and Consumer Sentiment - Layoffs at major companies like IBM, UPS, and Amazon raise concerns about consumer sentiment and economic health, with McDonald's earnings being a key indicator for middle and lower-income consumers [5][6] - The upcoming unemployment numbers are critical for understanding the labor market, but their delay adds uncertainty to the Federal Reserve's data-driven approach [6] Stock Analysis: UPS - UPS is highlighted as a stock to watch, with analysts maintaining an overweight consensus and a price target above its current trading level [8] - Despite recent layoffs and a strong earnings report, UPS is seen as a candidate for mean reversion, with a target buy range identified between 90 to 92 [10][11]

Uh now to the Fed and uh what investors should expect from the central bank. We've been talking about the Fed all morning. Senior economics reporter Steve Leeman joins us with the latest.Hey Steve. Hey, good morning Andrew. Friday brought out a chorus of Fed hawks and some doves with Fed communications sounding increasingly chaotic.Beth Hammock from Cleveland. Uh Lori Logan from Dallas. Jeffrey Schmidt from Kansas City.All three opposed that October cut and cast doubt on whether they would support a Decembe ...

Meanwhile, Dow's up about 40. We're getting Chicago PMI for that. We'll turn to Rick Santelli.Happy Friday, Rick. Happy Friday. Happy Halloween.And yes, we are getting some of the PMIs. We get confidence numbers. They don't go through the government.Chicago's October read on PMI comes in better than expected. 43.8%. We're expecting a number closer to 42 and a half.There's good and there's bad. This is the best since well, July of this year, but that's still an improvement. sequentially higher than our final ...