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Gilead vs Bristol Myers: Which Biotech Bigwig is a Better Bet Now?
ZACKS· 2025-04-16 18:05
Core Viewpoint - Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) and Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) are prominent biotechnology companies with diverse portfolios and global reach, each presenting unique investment opportunities and challenges [1][2][3]. Gilead Sciences (GILD) - Gilead is a leader in the HIV treatment market, with its flagship drug Biktarvy being the most prescribed regimen for HIV-1 infection, maintaining a growing market share [4]. - The company’s prevention drug, Descovy, holds over 40% market share in the U.S. for pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) [4]. - Late-stage studies for lenacapavir, a potential twice-yearly HIV prevention treatment, could significantly enhance Gilead's HIV portfolio [5]. - Gilead's oncology segment includes the successful breast cancer drug Trodelvy, which is undergoing further label expansion studies [6]. - The liver disease portfolio has been bolstered by the FDA approval of seladelpar for primary biliary cholangitis, enhancing Gilead's offerings in this area [7]. - As of December 31, 2024, Gilead's total debt-to-total-capital ratio was 59%, with $10 billion in cash and long-term debt of $25 billion [8]. Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) - BMY's Growth Portfolio, including drugs like Reblozyl and Opdualag, has stabilized revenue amidst generic competition, with Reblozyl showing strong performance [9][10]. - Opdivo continues to gain momentum with consistent label expansions, and the recent FDA approval for subcutaneous use is expected to enhance its immuno-oncology franchise [11]. - BMY has made strategic acquisitions to expand its portfolio, including the recent approval of Cobenfy for schizophrenia, validating its acquisition strategy [12]. - Despite the growth from newer drugs, BMY faces challenges from generic competition affecting legacy drugs, which significantly impact revenue [13]. - As of December 31, 2024, BMY's total debt-to-total-capital ratio was 75.2%, with cash and equivalents of $10.3 billion and long-term debt of $47.6 billion [14]. Financial Estimates and Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GILD's 2025 sales indicates a slight decrease of 0.39%, while EPS is expected to increase by 70.13% [15]. - In contrast, BMY's 2025 sales are projected to decrease by 5.11%, but EPS is anticipated to rise by 489.57% [18]. - GILD has outperformed BMY in price performance, with a gain of 15.2% compared to BMY's loss of 9.6% year-to-date [22]. - Valuation metrics show GILD trading at a forward P/E ratio of 13.23, higher than BMY's 7.61 [22]. - BMY offers a higher dividend yield of 4.83% compared to GILD's 2.97% [24]. Investment Outlook - Gilead's innovation in its HIV portfolio and potential approval of lenacapavir for HIV prevention are seen as strong growth catalysts [25]. - BMY's efforts to counteract generic competition are noted, but the outlook for 2025 appears challenging [26]. - Overall, GILD is considered a more favorable investment option at present due to its solid fundamentals and growth potential despite its higher valuation [26].