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Will GILD's Strong HIV Portfolio Reap Rewards in 2026?
ZACKS· 2025-12-19 14:16
Core Insights - Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) maintains a leading position in the HIV market, primarily driven by its flagship therapies Biktarvy and Descovy, which have significantly contributed to the company's revenue growth in recent quarters [1][9] Gilead's HIV Portfolio - The FDA approved lenacapavir, branded as Yeztugo, as the first and only twice-yearly injectable HIV-1 capsid inhibitor for prevention, enhancing GILD's HIV portfolio amid generic competition for Truvada [2][9] - Yeztugo's competitive edge lies in its biannual dosing, appealing to a broader population compared to daily oral medications [3] - Gilead's investigational single-tablet regimen combining bictegravir and lenacapavir has met primary endpoints in phase III studies, indicating potential for regulatory submission [4][5] Competitive Landscape - The HIV treatment market includes major competitors like GSK and Merck, with GSK's HIV portfolio benefiting from strong demand for long-acting injectables and Dovato, while Merck markets doravirine in various formulations [7][8][10] Financial Performance - Gilead's stock has increased by 31.2% over the past year, outperforming the industry average growth of 15% [11] - The company's shares are trading at a price/earnings ratio of 14.32x forward earnings, which is above its historical mean of 10.93x but below the large-cap pharma industry's average of 17.11x [12] - Earnings estimates for 2025 have risen to $8.17 from $8.07, while the estimate for 2026 has slightly decreased to $8.50 from $8.51 [13]
GILD's Bictegravir and Lenacapavir Regimen for HIV Meets Primary Goal
ZACKS· 2025-12-16 14:56
Key Takeaways GILD's ARTISTRY-2 showed once-daily BIC/LEN was non-inferior to Biktarvy at week 48.GILD randomized virologically suppressed patients 2:1 to switch to BIC/LEN or stay on Biktarvy.GILD plans regulatory filings combining phase III results from ARTISTRY-1 and ARTISTRY-2.Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) announced that the investigational single-tablet regimen of bictegravir and lenacapavir for the treatment of HIV met the primary endpoint in the late-stage ARTISTRY-2 study.ARTISTRY-2 is a multicenter, ...
GSK Stock Up Almost 19% in 3 Months: Should You Buy, Hold or Sell?
ZACKS· 2025-12-11 15:15
Core Insights - GSK's stock has increased by 18.6% over the past three months, driven by strong Q3 results that exceeded earnings and sales estimates, along with raised sales and profit guidance for the year [1][9] - The drug and biotech sector has seen a recovery, with major companies like Pfizer and AstraZeneca entering drug pricing agreements with the Trump administration [2] - GSK's Specialty Medicines unit is a key growth driver, with sales rising 16% in the first nine months of 2025, supported by successful launches in Oncology and long-acting HIV medicines [4][6] Specialty Medicines Growth - The Specialty Medicines unit's sales growth is attributed to strong demand for new long-acting HIV medicines and oncology drugs, with key products like Nucala and Dovato contributing significantly [5][6] - GSK expects Specialty Medicines sales to grow at a mid-teens compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in 2025, up from previous low-teens expectations, and anticipates this segment will account for over 50% of total revenues by 2031 [6][26] Promising Pipeline - GSK is increasing R&D investments in long-acting and specialty medicines, with several recent drug approvals, including Penmenvy and Blujepa, expected to drive growth in the coming years [7][8] - The company plans to launch five new products/line extensions in 2025, with several already approved in the U.S. [12] Vaccine Sales Decline - GSK's vaccine sales in the U.S. have declined by 11% at constant exchange rates (CER) in 2025, primarily due to lower demand for its shingles and RSV vaccines [13][15] - Despite the decline in the U.S., sales of these vaccines have risen in Europe, indicating a mixed performance across regions [15] Stock Performance and Valuation - GSK's stock has outperformed the industry and the S&P 500, rising 43.1% year-to-date compared to an industry increase of 11.7% [17] - The stock is trading at a price/earnings ratio of 10.02, which is lower than the industry average of 16.31, indicating an attractive valuation [20] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GSK's earnings has increased from $4.38 to $4.49 per share for 2025, reflecting analysts' optimism about profit growth [23][24] - GSK expects to achieve over 7% sales growth and more than 11% core operating profit growth on a CAGR basis through 2026 [27]
GILD's Investigational Regimen for HIV Treatment Meets Primary Goal
ZACKS· 2025-11-14 14:16
Core Insights - Gilead Sciences, Inc. announced that its investigational single-tablet regimen (STR) of bictegravir and lenacapavir for HIV-1 treatment met the primary endpoint in the late-stage ARTISTRY-1 study [1][5] Study Results - The ARTISTRY-1 study is a multicenter phase II/III trial comparing the once-daily combination of bictegravir and lenacapavir against current therapy in HIV patients who are virologically suppressed on complex regimens [2][4] - The study showed that the STR met the primary success criterion for non-inferiority to baseline multi-tablet antiretroviral therapy regimens, with the primary efficacy endpoint being the percentage of participants with HIV-1 RNA levels ≥50 copies/mL at week 48 [5][8] - The combination was generally well tolerated, with no significant or new safety concerns identified [5][8] Market Performance - Gilead's shares have surged 35.6% year to date, outperforming the industry growth of 15.4% [3] Future Plans - Gilead plans to file the late-stage data from the ARTISTRY trials with regulatory authorities [6][10] - The company is also conducting the double-blind, phase III ARTISTRY-2 trial, evaluating the safety and efficacy of switching from Biktarvy to the fixed-dose combination of bictegravir and lenacapavir in virologically suppressed people with HIV-1, with top-line data expected before the end of 2025 [10] HIV Franchise Strength - Gilead has a market-leading HIV franchise, with Biktarvy and Descovy as flagship therapies driving top-line growth [11] - Biktarvy accounts for over 52% of the treatment market in the U.S., while Descovy holds more than 45% of the U.S. PrEP market [11][12] - The FDA approval of lenacapavir under the brand name Yeztugo for twice-yearly PrEP has further strengthened Gilead's HIV portfolio [12][13] - Yeztugo generated $39 million in sales in the third quarter, achieving a 75% coverage goal ahead of schedule, with a target of 90% coverage by mid-2026 [14] Competitive Landscape - Positive data from the ARTISTRY studies is expected to bolster Gilead's position amid increasing competition from companies like GSK, which is expanding its HIV business with long-acting injectable medicines [15]
GSK's Q3 Earnings & Sales Beat Estimates, Stock Up on Raised '25 View
ZACKS· 2025-10-29 16:50
Core Insights - GSK plc reported third-quarter 2025 core earnings of $1.48 per American depositary share (ADS), exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.26, with core earnings increasing 11% year over year on a reported basis and 14% at a constant exchange rate (CER) [1][10] - Quarterly revenues rose 7% on a reported basis and 8% at CER to $11.52 billion (£8.55 billion), driven by rising sales across all business segments, particularly in HIV, oncology, and respiratory medicines, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $11.16 billion [2][10] Segment Performance - GSK operates under three segments: General Medicines, Specialty Medicines, and Vaccines. Specialty Medicines sales increased by 16%, General Medicines rose by 4%, and Vaccine sales were up by 2% [3] - HIV sales rose 12% during the quarter, driven by increased demand for Dovato and long-acting medications like Apretude and Cabenuva, with Dovato sales increasing by 24% [4][5] - Oncology sales surged by 39%, led by strong demand for Jemperli, which saw a 79% increase due to expanded treatment indications [6][7] - Respiratory drug Nucala sales increased by 14%, while Benlysta sales rose by 17%, reflecting strong demand across markets [9] Financial Guidance - GSK raised its 2025 guidance, now expecting sales growth of 6-7%, up from a previous forecast of 3-5%, and core EPS growth of 10-12% [10][17][19] - Specialty Medicines are now expected to grow at a mid-teens percentage at CER, while General Medicines are anticipated to remain stable [18] - The company reiterated its guidance for R&D and SG&A expenses, with R&D expected to grow slightly faster than sales [20] Long-term Strategy - GSK is focusing on HIV, immunology/respiratory, and oncology therapeutic areas, with 80 assets in clinical development, including 16 in late-stage development or under regulatory review [24] - The company plans to launch five new products/line extensions this year, with four already approved by the FDA [25] - GSK aims to launch 15 new drugs between 2025 and 2031, each with peak sales potential exceeding £2 billion [26]
艾滋与免疫药物需求强劲 葛兰素史克(GSK.US)上调全年业绩指引
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 08:40
Core Insights - GSK has raised its full-year profit and sales forecasts due to increased demand for its HIV and immunology drugs [1] - The company reported Q3 revenue of £8.55 billion, a 4.9% year-over-year increase, exceeding expectations by £300 million [1] - GSK anticipates a growth of up to 12% in adjusted earnings per share for the year, surpassing the previous maximum forecast of 8% [1] Financial Performance - Q3 revenue reached £8.55 billion, exceeding analyst expectations by £300 million [1] - Adjusted earnings per share grew by 11% to £0.55, compared to the expected £0.47 [1] - Revenue growth is projected to be as high as 7%, above prior estimates [1] Leadership Transition - Luke Mills will take over as CEO in January, facing challenges similar to those of current CEO Emma Walmsley [1] - The new CEO is tasked with convincing investors that the company's pipeline can achieve over £40 billion ($53 billion) in sales by 2031 [1] Product Portfolio and Market Performance - GSK's specialty drug portfolio, including treatments for HIV, cancer, and lupus, is expected to drive growth [1] - Demand in Europe for drugs like Dovato and Benlysta has boosted sales, alongside a strong performance in the vaccine business [1] - GSK has entered two early-stage deals to enhance its product pipeline ahead of the patent expiration of its best-selling HIV drug [1] Regulatory Environment - Unlike local competitor AstraZeneca, GSK has not reached an agreement with the Trump administration regarding price reductions in exchange for immunity from new industry tariffs [2] - The company has factored in the impact of existing tariffs and a potential 15% tariff in Europe into its full-year guidance [2]
Gilead Resolves Patent Litigations for HIV Treatment Biktarvy
ZACKS· 2025-10-07 14:42
Core Insights - Gilead Sciences, Inc. has reached settlement agreements with generic manufacturers to resolve patent litigations regarding its HIV treatment Biktarvy, which generated $6.7 billion in sales in the first half of 2025 [1][4][7] - The company's shares have increased by 25.6% year to date, outperforming the industry growth of 10.1% [2] Patent Settlements - Gilead has settled with Lupin Ltd., Cipla Ltd., and Laurus Labs Ltd., preventing generic versions of Biktarvy from entering the U.S. market before April 1, 2036 [4][5][7] - These agreements provide nearly a decade of patent protection for Biktarvy, which holds over 51% of the U.S. HIV treatment market [5][7] HIV Portfolio Growth - Gilead's HIV portfolio has been bolstered by the FDA approval of lenacapavir (Yeztugo), the first twice-yearly injectable HIV-1 capsid inhibitor for prevention [6][8] - The company anticipates a 3% growth in HIV sales for 2025, up from previous expectations of flat revenue growth, driven by strong performances from Biktarvy and Descovy [8] Competitive Landscape - The European Commission has granted marketing authorization for lenacapavir under the brand name Yeytuo, enhancing Gilead's competitive position [9] - Gilead's innovation efforts are crucial for maintaining growth amid competition from GSK, which has strong demand for its HIV products [9] Collaborations and Future Developments - Gilead is collaborating with Merck to evaluate a combination treatment for HIV, with a phase III update expected in 2026 [10] - Merck has also submitted a new drug application for a once-daily oral regimen for HIV treatment, with a target action date set for April 28, 2026 [11]
Gilead Sciences Surges 26.5% YTD: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-09-24 15:20
Core Insights - Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) has demonstrated strong performance in 2025, with shares rising 26.5% year to date, significantly outperforming the industry growth of 6% [1][9] - The FDA approval of lenacapavir, branded as Yeztugo, for HIV prevention has been a pivotal event, marking it as the first twice-yearly injectable pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) option in the U.S. [3][7] Gilead's HIV Portfolio - Gilead holds a leading position in the HIV treatment market, with its flagship drug Biktarvy commanding over 51% market share in the U.S. [4] - The company anticipates a 3% growth in HIV sales for 2025, up from previous expectations of flat revenue, driven by strong performances from Biktarvy and Descovy [5] - The approval of Yeztugo enhances Gilead's HIV portfolio, especially as Truvada faces generic competition [6] Oncology and Cell Therapy - Gilead's oncology portfolio includes Trodelvy, which has shown strong performance in treating metastatic triple-negative breast cancer, with plans for further approvals [11] - However, the Cell Therapy franchise, including Yescarta and Tecartus, is facing competitive pressures in the U.S. and Europe [12] - Gilead's subsidiary Kite has acquired Interius BioTherapeutics for $350 million, enhancing its capabilities in CAR T-cell therapies [13] Liver Disease Portfolio - The FDA approval of seladelpar, branded as Livdelzi, for primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) has strengthened Gilead's liver disease portfolio [14][15] Financial Performance and Estimates - Gilead's shares are currently trading at a price/earnings ratio of 13.62x forward earnings, lower than the large-cap pharma industry's average of 14.83x [16] - Earnings estimates for 2025 have increased to $8.10 from $8.02, while the estimate for 2026 has slightly decreased to $8.50 from $8.53 [17] Strategic Collaborations - Gilead has partnered with the U.S. State Department to deliver lenacapavir, indicating a commitment to expanding its HIV prevention efforts [10] - The company is also collaborating with Merck to evaluate a combination treatment for HIV, with updates expected in 2026 [20] Dividend and Cash Position - Gilead has maintained a strong cash position, with $7.1 billion in cash and equivalents as of June 30, 2025, supporting its sustainable dividend yield of 2.76% [22] - In Q2 2025, Gilead paid out $994 million in dividends and repurchased $527 million of common stock, reflecting its commitment to returning value to shareholders [21]
GSK Adds Around $5B in a Month: Here's How to Play the Stock
ZACKS· 2025-09-02 14:51
Core Insights - GSK stock has increased by 6.4% over the past month, adding nearly $5 billion to its market value, driven by strong performance in the Specialty Medicines unit and a positive long-term outlook despite challenges in the Vaccines unit and economic pressures [1][9]. Group 1: Specialty Medicines Performance - The Specialty Medicines unit is experiencing significant sales growth, with a 16% increase in the first half of 2025, attributed to successful launches in Oncology and long-acting HIV medicines [3][9]. - Key products driving growth include Nucala, Dovato, Cabenuva, Apretude, Jemperli, and Ojjaara, with expectations for low teens percentage growth in sales for this segment in 2025 [4][9]. - Specialty Medicines currently account for approximately 40% of GSK's sales and are projected to exceed 50% of total revenues by 2031 [4]. Group 2: Promising Pipeline and R&D - GSK is increasing its R&D investment in long-acting and specialty medicines across various therapeutic areas, including Respiratory, Immunology & Inflammation, Oncology, and HIV [5]. - Recent approvals include the pentavalent MenABCWY meningococcal vaccine and Blujepa/gepotidacin for uncomplicated urinary tract infections, with additional regulatory applications under review [6][7]. - GSK plans to launch five new products/line extensions in 2025, including Blenrep and depemokimab, which are already approved in the U.S. [7]. Group 3: Vaccine Sales Challenges - Vaccine sales in the U.S. are declining, particularly for the shingles vaccine Shingrix and the RSV vaccine Arexvy, with total vaccine sales down 11% at CER in the first half of 2025 [8][11]. - Revised recommendations for RSV vaccinations have negatively impacted sales of Arexvy, particularly among adults aged 60-74 [10][11]. - GSK anticipates a low single-digit percentage decrease in vaccine sales for 2025, reflecting broader challenges in this segment [11]. Group 4: Stock Performance and Valuation - GSK stock has outperformed the industry and the S&P 500, rising 21.2% year-to-date compared to a 1.4% increase for the industry [12]. - The stock is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 8.58, significantly lower than the industry average of 14.78, indicating attractive valuation [14]. - Analysts have raised the earnings consensus estimate for 2025 from $4.34 to $4.37 per share, reflecting optimism around profit growth [18]. Group 5: Future Growth Expectations - GSK expects over 7% sales growth and more than 11% core operating profit growth on a CAGR basis from 2022 to 2026, driven by the Specialty Medicines segment [21]. - The growth in Specialty Medicines is expected to offset the slowdown in the Vaccines unit, with General Medicines also contributing to overall sales growth [21].
GILD Wins Approval for Twice-Yearly HIV Prevention Shot in the EU
ZACKS· 2025-08-26 14:41
Core Insights - Gilead Sciences, Inc. has received marketing authorization from the European Commission for its HIV prevention drug lenacapavir, branded as Yeytuo, which is administered twice a year [1][8] - The approval follows an accelerated review process by the European Medicines Agency, highlighting the drug's significance for public health [3][8] - Lenacapavir has shown superior efficacy in preventing HIV infections compared to daily oral Truvada, with clinical trial data supporting its effectiveness [5][10] Regulatory Approvals - Lenacapavir was also approved by the FDA in June 2025 for the same indication, branded as Yeztugo [2] - The European Commission's approval was based on positive recommendations from the CHMP and data from late-stage trials [3][4] Clinical Efficacy - In the phase III PURPOSE 1 study, lenacapavir demonstrated a 100% reduction in HIV infections among 2,134 participants [5] - The phase III PURPOSE 2 study reported only two HIV infections among 2,179 participants, indicating a 99.9% prevention rate [6] Market Position - The approval of lenacapavir strengthens Gilead's HIV portfolio, especially as its other prevention drug, Truvada, faces generic competition [10] - Gilead holds a leading market share in HIV treatments, with its flagship drug Biktarvy accounting for over 51% of the U.S. treatment market [12] Competitive Landscape - Lenacapavir is positioned as a long-acting injectable PrEP, addressing barriers associated with daily oral medications [11] - The competitive landscape includes ViiV Healthcare's Apretude, which is also a long-acting injectable approved for PrEP [13][14] Pricing and Coverage Issues - Gilead's Yeztugo has a U.S. list price exceeding $28,000 per year, and negotiations with CVS Health regarding coverage are ongoing [15]