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Prologis: Time To Upgrade After 5 Years Of Underperformance
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-17 20:53
Group 1 - Prologis, Inc. (NYSE: PLD) is recognized as one of the faster-growing companies in the typically slow-growth REIT industry [1] - The company continues to deliver solid financial results despite ongoing tariff uncertainties [1] - Prologis has shown a significant recovery after years of underperformance [1] Group 2 - The investment strategy focuses on identifying undervalued companies with long-term growth potential [1] - The approach emphasizes strong balance sheets and effective management teams in sectors with extended growth opportunities [1]
Tesla Stock At 40% Safety
Forbes· 2025-05-16 12:10
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock presents a compelling investment opportunity through the strategy of selling Put Options, offering a potential yield of over 12% with a 40% margin of safety [1][2][10]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - Selling a long-dated Put option with a strike price of $200 allows investors to collect approximately $1,704 in premium per contract, equating to an 8.5% yield on the cash set aside [2][5]. - If Tesla's stock remains above $200 by June 18, 2026, the investor retains the premium, resulting in an effective income of 8.5% over 400 days [5]. - Should Tesla's stock fall below $200, the effective cost basis for acquiring shares would be $183, representing a 47% discount from the current price [5][13]. Group 2: Company Performance and Market Position - Tesla's revenue has more than tripled over the past four years, exceeding $95 billion in the last 12 months, despite competitive pressures from companies like BYD [6]. - The company remains profitable and cash flow positive, even amid margin compression, due to investments in production automation and expansion into the robotaxi market [6]. - Tesla's long-term optionalities, including Full Self-Driving (FSD), the Dojo supercomputer, and its energy business, could significantly enhance intrinsic value over time [7]. Group 3: Market Volatility and Risk Management - Tesla is characterized by high volatility, which contributes to the attractive yield from options trading; historical price bottoms have risen over time, indicating a potential for recovery [8][9]. - The stock's historical lows were $102 in 2022, $140 in 2024, and $215 in 2025, suggesting that a strike price of $200 or $165 provides a favorable margin of safety for investors [9]. - The investment strategy is supported by large institutions, indicating reliability for long-term investors who are comfortable with Tesla's market leadership in clean energy [3][12].
Veren-Whitecap: This Simulation Through COVID Made Me Buy A Lot
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-28 07:52
Core Viewpoint - The decision to sell all oil stocks was not based on a bearish outlook for oil prices, but rather to allocate funds for a significant investment in Whitecap Resources [1]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - The company focuses on capital management and has transitioned from engineering to finance since 2018 [1]. - The investment philosophy is rooted in fundamental analysis, emphasizing a "Margin of Safety" and a "Catalyst" for stock selection [1]. - The portfolio is typically limited to a maximum of 10 stocks, indicating a concentrated investment approach [1]. Group 2: Knowledge and Expertise - The company has acquired financial knowledge from reputable sources, including NYU Professor Damodaran and influential investment literature such as "Margin of Safety" and "The Intelligent Investor" [1]. - The writing on platforms like Seeking Alpha serves as a means to organize thoughts and share insights on the energy sector [1].