shutdown's over. There was political damage for Republicans. The question is though, is it temporary or is this something that's going to linger into 2026.So, what you're looking at here are two past shutdowns, two of the most high-profile of recent history. 9596, Bill Clinton was president, Republicans had Congress, Speaker N. Gingrich, and then 2013, this was Obama's second term.Republicans in the House had a fight with Obama over Obamacare funding. What I'm showing you here is this is the generic congres ...

America’s last elections before next year’s midterms have given Democrats hope https://t.co/SdlWf3Cmlr ...

Allies of President Trump and Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. are looking to the Make America Healthy Again movement to boost GOP prospects in next year’s midterm elections https://t.co/27Jxu2Ut52 ...

I want to bring in former Obama White House communications director Jen Paul Ner, former Obama White House deputy chief of staff for operations and campaign manager for Obama 2012's re-election, Jim Msina, and former press secretary to former House Speaker John Boehner and Paul Ryan. MSNBC political analyst Brendan Buck. Great to have all of you there here. So, Jen, and I guess there because you're not here with me, but Jen, how do you Dems keep this going? Well, I think that um what the results sort of ref ...

Election Analysis & Midterm Outlook - NBC News poll shows Democrats leading by eight points in the generic ballot for the 2026 midterm elections [2] - The generic ballot was tight in the fall of this year, which initially gave Republicans hope for the 2026 midterms [2] - Trump's low marks on the economy and blame for the government shutdown contributed to the Democrats' advantage [3] - Results in Virginia and New Jersey are consistent with the Democrats' eight-point lead in the generic ballot [3] Key Factors & Potential Implications - Trump's numbers have fallen, indicating a potential shift in voter sentiment [3] - The Democratic lead in the generic ballot suggests a potentially accurate finding [5] - The results in politically competitive parts of Virginia and New Jersey could be indicative of trends in swing districts next year [4]

Election Analysis & Market Implications - PIMCO is monitoring off-year elections to test the durability of trends observed in 2024, particularly regarding President Trump's influence and Republican inroads with minorities and younger men [2][3] - These elections could provide clues about the durability of trends seen in 2024 and the effectiveness of the shutdown strategy for Democrats [4][5] - A decisive win by one party in New Jersey, Virginia, and New York City could correlate with the 2026 midterm elections [8] - The Supreme Court's review of the Voting Rights Act is a significant issue, potentially leading to secular trends benefiting Republicans and impacting the House in 2026 and beyond [18][19] Candidate Performance & Messaging - The performance of candidates like Mikey Cheryl in New Jersey is being closely watched, with her campaign potentially being less impactful than expected [6] - Democrats can learn from candidates like Mandani, who, like Trump, effectively communicates on economic issues and understands voter concerns about affordability [11][12] - Mandani's focus on "kitchen table issues" like gas and groceries resonates with voters, similar to Trump's approach in 2024 [12] Specific Races & Referendums - The New Jersey race is significant because Harris won it by only 6 percentage points, compared to Biden's nearly 16 percentage points, potentially indicating shifting trends [7] - Proposition 50 in California is important due to its impact on redistricting and potential benefits for Gavin Newsom's presidential aspirations and Democrats' efforts to counter Republican redistricting [17] - Prediction markets suggest a high probability (e g 84% or 90% or 98%) of certain candidates winning, but surprises are still possible [13][19]

Kinley Salmon, our Latin America correspondent, looks at Argentina’s midterm elections https://t.co/OJ1njOPcqd ...

I think let's start on Argentina because Scott Bessant just made a little news, moved the ball forward in some way about the unprecedented um bailout essentially what I think would normally be known as a currency swap, but usually that's predicated on some sort of policy change which we're not seeing right now. Um but uh he told Christ Welker um that we are supporting Argentina with this 40 >> We have the sound. >> Oh, we have the sound.Great. Let's play the sound. How is this move America first, Mr.. Secre ...

Geopolitical & Economic Impact - US expected to announce a $20 billion lifeline to Argentina [1] - The aid aims to help the Argentine leader win midterm elections on Oct 26 [1]

Midterm Elections Outlook - Democrats are aiming to regain control of Congress in the upcoming midterms, but face significant political challenges [1] - Republicans currently hold 220 seats, while Democrats have 215, meaning Democrats need a net gain of only three seats to take the House [2] - Republican efforts to redraw maps in several states could create a larger advantage for them [2] Historical Comparison - In Trump's first midterm, Democrats gained 40 seats, a "blue wave," but the signs were visible far in advance [3] - In October 2017, Democrats led the generic ballot by nearly eight points, a level maintained throughout 2018 [4] - Currently, Democrats lead the generic ballot by only three points, indicating less certainty compared to 2018 [5] Party Favorability - In October 2017, Republicans had a 27% average favorable score, while Democrats had 39% [6] - Currently, Republicans have a 41% favorable score, while Democrats have 35% [7] - Democrats are currently less popular than Republicans, which could impact their ability to capitalize on anti-White House sentiment in the midterms [8]