Welcome to Market Catalyst. I'm Julie Heyman. We are 30 minutes into the US trading day and here's what we're watching today. First, we'll discuss the state of the US consumer as retail sales data shows no growth for the holiday season. Plus, we'll bring you the top takeaways from CBS earnings after I caught up with the company's chief financial officer. And we'll discuss the future of streaming as Spotify post record user growth and we'll also look at the artists poised for success in 2026. All that and mo ...

Retail sales. These are December numbers. Headline expected up 4/10 comes in light.Only zero goose egg unchanged. That would equal uh where we were. Well, actually to find a lower number, you're going all the way back to May of last year when it was down 8/10.That's the last negative number we had. So, that's unchanged. If you strip out autos, it remains unchanged. And if you strip out autos and gas, it also remains unchanged.The control group or the core retail sales comes in at down onetenth of a percent. ...

Retail Sales Flat in December, Lower Than ExpectedETF Trends is now VettaFi. Read More --The Advance Retail Sales Report from the Census Bureau showed consumer spending was unexpectedly flat in December. Headline sales were unchanged, down from November's 0.6% reading and below the projected 0.4% growth.For an inflation-adjusted perspective on retail sales, take a look at our [Real Retail Sales] commentary.Here is the introduction from [today's report]:Advance Estimates of U.S. Retail and Food Services Adva ...

Welcome to Morning Brief. I'm Julie Hyman. Here's what you need to know today.First up, US stocks are trading near record highs ahead of key economic data, including the US jobs report and the latest read on inflation. This morning, we already got an economic data report. Retail sales from December showing no growth.And we're going to talk much more about the state of the consumer throughout the show. Plus, investors are betting on another century of Google parent Alphabet. According to reports, Alphabet se ...

Market Overview - The equity markets experienced a modest recovery from earlier losses, with futures down only about four to five points after being down 25 [1] - This week is significant for data releases that could influence short-term equity movements, particularly following a pullback related to AI software [2] Retail Sales and Economic Indicators - Retail sales data was slightly below expectations, showing no change instead of the anticipated 0.4% increase, indicating a cooler economic environment [2] - The current economic conditions are described as a "Goldilocks" scenario, where inflation is not too high to prevent Federal Reserve action, nor too low to necessitate emergency measures [3] Job Market Insights - Recent job data indicates some softening, and stability in these numbers will be crucial for the Fed's future decisions, potentially more so than retail sales figures [4] - The analysis suggests that strong retail sales in November may have masked weaker performance in December, and a more comprehensive view over several months is necessary [4][5] Inflation Expectations - January is expected to show stronger inflation numbers compared to November and December due to seasonal factors [5] - There is speculation about the future direction of the Federal Reserve under Kevin Worsh's potential chairmanship, with expectations that he may continue to cut rates despite rising inflation [6][7] Historical Context and Future Projections - Historical parallels are drawn to the late 1990s tech boom, suggesting that while productivity may rise, inflation could also return, challenging current economic assumptions [8][9] - Concerns are raised about potential cash shortages similar to past crises if the Fed tightens monetary policy too aggressively [10][11] Investor Sentiment - Investors appear to favor a pro-growth approach with continued rate cuts, as evidenced by increased interest in sectors like quantum computing and AI infrastructure [12]

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>> 5:00 A. M. IN NEW YORK CITY, 10:00 A.M. IN LONDON. LET'S SET YOU UP FOR THE DAY AHEAD.FUTURES GAIN AFTER TECH DRIVES A STOCKS NEAR A RECORD HIGH. INVESTORS AWAIT RETAIL SALES DATA OUT THIS MORNING. ALPHABET LINES UP SALES OF STERLING AND SWISS FRANC BONDS INCLUDING A 100 YEAR NOTE.EARNINGS CONTINUE WITH COCA-COLA, MARRIOTT, AND FOR NON-DECK. GOOD MORNING, WELCOME TO TUESDAY. U.S. FUTURES ARE WAKING UP TO MODEST GAINS AFTER THE S&P CAME WITHIN A WHISKER OF ALL TIME HIGHS YESTERDAY.WE HAVE A RAFT OF U.S. E ...

Economic Data Releases - The upcoming week will feature significant US economic data releases, including the January employment report and the January CPI report, which are typically not released in the same week [1] - December retail sales and the Q4 employment cost index will also be released, alongside global inflation updates from China and several European economies [1] Employment Report Expectations - DB economists project a rise in headline and private payrolls by 75k, with the unemployment rate expected to remain at 4.4% [2] - Average hourly earnings are anticipated to increase by 0.3%, with hours worked remaining unchanged at 34.2, leading to a year-over-year growth rate of payroll-based nominal compensation rising to 4.5% from 4.3% [2] Inflation Report Expectations - The headline CPI is expected to increase by 0.26%, influenced by a projected 2.4% drop in motor fuel prices, while core CPI is anticipated to rise by 0.35% [4] - This would result in a year-over-year headline CPI slowing to 2.46% from 2.68%, and core CPI to approximately 2.55% [4] Corporate Earnings - Corporate earnings reports are ongoing, with six of the Magnificent Seven having reported, which may reduce volatility until Nvidia's report on February 25th [1] - The week will also see earnings from major tech companies and consumer firms, including Cisco, Coca-Cola, and McDonald's [8] Fed Communications - Fed officials will be actively communicating throughout the week, discussing regulatory topics and the balance sheet outlook, particularly in light of the nomination of Kevin Warsh for Fed Chair [6] - Discussions will include perspectives on the labor market and inflation, with various Fed governors scheduled to speak [6][20] Global Economic Indicators - In Europe, key indicators include the UK's Q4 GDP and CPI reports from Denmark, Norway, and Switzerland [7] - In Asia, China's January inflation report is due, with forecasts indicating a slowdown in CPI inflation to 0.4% year-over-year [8]

>> LIVE FROM LONDON, THIS IS "BLOOMBERG DAYBREAK: EUROPE." ALL NECESSARY MEASURES. THE YEN EXTENDS GAINS AFTER JAPAN'S PRIME MINISTER SAYS THE GOVERNMENT STANDS READY TO STOP THE CURRENCY SLIDE WITH SIGNS OF POSSIBLE BACKING FROM THE UNITED STATES. GOLD BREAKS ABOVE THE $5,000 ANNOUNCE LEVEL FOR THE FIRST TIME AS GEOPOLITICAL UNCERTAINTY FUELS INVESTOR FLIGHT FROM SOVEREIGN BONDS OUT OF THE DOLLAR.PLUS, DEMOCRATS THREATENED TO BLOCK A SPENDING PASSAGE AMONG ESCALATING TENSIONS IN MINNESOTA, RISKING A PARTIA ...

Economic Overview - The U.S. economy shows signs of cooling inflation and resilient consumer activity, with consumer price growth at a six-month low in December and retail sales rebounding [1] - Investor sentiment is high, indicated by record-high margin debt levels, suggesting increased market risk-taking [1] Inflation Dynamics - Consumer inflation decreased for the second consecutive month in December, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 2.68%, down from 2.74% in November, and a monthly increase of 0.3% [2] - Core inflation slightly increased from 2.63% in November to 2.64% in December, with a monthly rise of 0.2% [2] - Conversely, the Producer Price Index (PPI) rose unexpectedly to 2.95% in November, up from 2.80% in October, indicating potential future consumer inflation [3] Consumer Spending - Retail sales increased by 0.6% in November, surpassing the 0.5% forecast, marking a recovery from a revised decline of -0.1% in October [4] - Core sales, excluding autos, rose by 0.5%, exceeding the projected 0.4% growth, although control purchases rose only 0.3%, below the 0.4% forecast [5] Margin Debt Insights - Margin debt reached a record high of $1.23 trillion in December, marking an eighth consecutive monthly increase and a more than 30% surge over the past year [6][7] - High margin debt levels indicate strong investor confidence but also suggest increased market volatility and risk-taking behavior [7] Market Reactions - The S&P 500 reached a record high before ending the week with a 0.4% loss, while the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) fell by 0.3% [8] - The S&P Equal Weight Index increased by 0.7% from the previous week [8] Treasury Yields and Fed Outlook - The 10-year Treasury yield finished at 4.24%, and the 2-year note at 3.59%, with a 95% chance that the Fed will hold rates steady at the upcoming meeting [9]