Economists are increasingly split on Poland’s interest-rate path, with a majority expecting the central bank to keep borrowing costs unchanged after faster-than-expected economic growth https://t.co/UC10Xyf8Pm ...

Pakistan is in talks with the International Monetary Fund over a plan to boost economic growth, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif says https://t.co/EFIIICBH54 ...

You talked about how consumer spending is uneven. The president calls inflation defeated and solved. The FOMC says it's a somewhat elevated inflation, but you talked about those customer survey or those some consumer sentiment surveys and public opinion polls that show that most families say the cost of living is still issue number one.What is the conversation around the table with your colleagues about how wealthier consumers seem to be driving so much of the economy and why so many families still feel lik ...

Core Viewpoint - JPMorgan Chase & Co. is a leading global financial services firm with a positive outlook reflected in the increasing consensus price target among analysts [2][5] Group 1: Company Overview - JPMorgan operates across four main segments: Consumer & Community Banking, Corporate & Investment Bank, Commercial Banking, and Asset & Wealth Management [1] - The company competes with other large banks, such as PNC Financial, and offers a variety of financial products including investment banking and consumer banking solutions [1] Group 2: Analyst Sentiment - The average consensus price target for JPMorgan increased from $306.65 to $324.25 over the past year, indicating growing confidence among analysts [2] - There was a slight decrease from the last quarter's target of $331.56, suggesting recent adjustments in expectations [2] Group 3: Upcoming Earnings Report - The upcoming earnings report is crucial as it marks the beginning of the earnings season for major banks and will provide insights into the economy's health [3] - Investors and analysts are focused on the broader economic landscape rather than just earnings per share (EPS) [3] Group 4: Business Developments - JPMorgan secured the Apple Card business, marking a significant business move for the company [4] - As the largest bank in the United States, JPMorgan's actions and results are closely monitored by investors and analysts [4]

Breaking: U.S. economic growth accelerated to a 4.3% annual rate last quarter, blowing past expectations https://t.co/5GmgF6xrRS ...

NEW: Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan says AI’s economic impact is "kicking in more" and expects it to boost U.S. economic growth in 2026 ...

JUST IN: Bank of America CEO says AI will drive "strong" economic growth in 2026. https://t.co/pMcKheSK7T ...

Market Overview - Markets were mixed, with the Nasdaq rising by +0.23% due to positive news from Tesla, while the Dow, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 declined by -0.62%, -0.24%, and -0.45% respectively [1] - The U.S. jobs report showed a net gain of +64K jobs in November, recovering from an October loss of -105K jobs, contributing to concerns about economic stability [2] Retail Sales and Economic Indicators - Retail Sales for October remained unchanged at 0.0%, missing expectations of a +0.1% increase, while ex-auto sales rose by +0.4% [3][4] - The S&P flash Services PMI for December was reported at 52.9, down from 54.1, and Manufacturing PMI dropped to 51.8 from 52.2, but both remain above the growth threshold of 50 [5] Oil Market Dynamics - Global crude oil prices are nearing five-year lows, with West Texas crude trading at $55 per barrel, marking ten consecutive days below $60, which may help keep inflation low but negatively impacts companies like Phillips 66, which saw a nearly -7% drop [6] Company Performance: Lennar Home - Lennar Home reported Q4 earnings, missing bottom-line expectations due to a one-time charge of $156 million, with earnings of $1.93 per share and revenues of $9.37 billion, surpassing the consensus of $9.13 billion [7] - New orders for Lennar Home decreased by +18% year-over-year, indicating challenges in the overall market, with expectations for new deliveries falling below analyst estimates [8][9]

Market Analysis Based on Potential Fed Chair Picks - Reflexivity's analysis suggests different investment strategies based on who is chosen as the next Federal Reserve chair [1][3] - The platform uses odds calculation to provide optimal positioning advice [3] Investment Strategies Under Different Scenarios - If Kevin Hasset is chosen, the best strategy is to invest in small-cap stocks, benefiting from potential immediate rate relief and higher expected growth [3][4] - Small caps have 60% floating rate debt versus 30% for large caps, making them more sensitive to rate changes [4] - If Kevin Warsh is chosen, financial sector stocks (e g, XLF) are preferred due to his perceived stability and market trust [5][6] - A Warsh appointment is expected to steepen the yield curve, benefiting banks [6] Investment Strategy for Uncertainty - If the choice between candidates is unclear, the Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG) is recommended [7][8] - VIG performs well in a lower rate environment, as companies maintaining dividends often have pricing power [8] - VIG offers diversification across financials, healthcare, tech, and consumer staples [8] - VIG provides lower volatility and lower expected reward, suitable when the outcome is uncertain [8][9]

The Kelsey prediction markets agree by the way with Hasset now back ahead of former Fed Governor Kevin Worsh who took the lead I think just this week. Hasset leading the odds today with a 53% chance of getting the nod. Worsh down to 34.While the market debates which Kevin could win the horse race, we wanted to ask what would be the real difference between them as far as the market can discern. Let's bring in Dan Clifton. He's head of policy research at Strategus.Dan, the task goes to you. I'm sure everyone ...