Implied Volatility
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Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Cantaloupe Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 15:31
Core Viewpoint - Investors in Cantaloupe, Inc. (CTLP) should closely monitor the stock due to significant movements in the options market, particularly the high implied volatility of the Dec 19, 2025 $5 Call option [1] Company Analysis - Cantaloupe is currently rated as a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) within the Financial Transaction Services industry, which ranks in the top 22% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] - Over the past 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current quarter has increased from 7 cents per share to 8 cents per share [3] Options Market Insights - The high implied volatility suggests that options traders are anticipating a significant price movement for Cantaloupe shares, potentially indicating an upcoming event that could lead to a major rally or sell-off [2][4] - Options traders often seek out options with high implied volatility to sell premium, aiming to benefit from the decay of the option's value if the underlying stock does not move as much as expected by expiration [4]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 15:21
Core Insights - Investors in Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ALNY) should monitor stock movements due to significant implied volatility in the options market, particularly the Dec 19, 2025 $140.00 Put option [1] Company Overview - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) in the Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, which is in the top 36% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] - Over the last 60 days, three analysts have raised their earnings estimates for the current quarter, increasing the Zacks Consensus Estimate from earnings of $1.14 per share to $1.71 [3] Market Sentiment - The high implied volatility suggests that options traders anticipate a significant price movement for Alnylam Pharmaceuticals shares, potentially indicating an upcoming event that could lead to a major rally or sell-off [2][3] - Options traders often seek high implied volatility options to sell premium, aiming to benefit from the decay of options value if the underlying stock does not move as much as expected [4]
Options Alert: Iron Condor Screener Results for October 15th
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-15 11:00
Core Insights - A short iron condor is an income strategy designed to profit when a stock remains within a specified range during the trade period [1] - The strategy involves four options with the same expiration, with capped maximum profit and loss [1] Summary by Sections Iron Condor Strategy - The maximum profit is limited to the premium received, while the maximum potential loss is also capped [1] - To calculate maximum loss, subtract the premium received from the difference in strike prices of the long and short options [1] Trade Examples - A short iron condor trade on Apple involves selling the $195 put and buying the $180 put, while selling the $285 call and buying the $300 call [3] - The price for this condor is $0.60, resulting in a $60 credit to the trader's account, with a maximum risk of $1,440 and a total profit potential of 4.17% [3] - The profit zone for this trade ranges between $194.40 and $285.60 [5] Market Conditions - Apple shows an implied volatility (IV) percentile of 80% and an IV rank of 27.99%, with current implied volatility at 29.75% [7] - The 52-week high for implied volatility is 65.20%, and the low is 15.97% [7] - Apple is scheduled to report Q3 earnings on October 30th, introducing earnings risk if the trade is held to expiration [7]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-14 14:01
Core Insights - Investors in BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (BCRX) should monitor the stock closely due to significant activity in the options market, particularly the Mar 20, 2026 $2.00 Call, which has shown high implied volatility [1] Company Overview - BioCryst Pharmaceuticals is currently rated as a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) in the Medical - Drugs industry, which is positioned in the top 28% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] - Over the past 60 days, one analyst has raised the earnings estimates for the current quarter, resulting in an increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate from earnings of 4 cents per share to 5 cents per share [3] Market Sentiment - The high implied volatility in options trading suggests that investors are anticipating a significant price movement for BioCryst Pharmaceuticals shares, potentially due to an upcoming event that could trigger a rally or sell-off [2][4] - Options traders often seek to capitalize on high implied volatility by selling premium, aiming for the underlying stock to not move as much as expected by expiration [4]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Intercontinental Exchange Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-14 13:46
Group 1 - The stock of Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) is experiencing significant attention due to high implied volatility in the options market, particularly for the Jan 16, 2025 $80 Call option [1] - Implied volatility indicates the market's expectation of future price movement, suggesting that investors anticipate a significant price change or an upcoming event that could lead to a rally or sell-off [2] - Currently, Intercontinental Exchange holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) in the Securities and Exchanges industry, which is in the bottom 34% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] Group 2 - Over the past 30 days, no analysts have raised their earnings estimates for the current quarter, while five analysts have lowered their estimates, resulting in a decrease of the Zacks Consensus Estimate from $1.72 to $1.64 per share [3] - The high implied volatility may indicate a developing trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on options with high implied volatility to capture decay [4]
Options Corner: AMD's A.I. Rally
Youtube· 2025-10-14 13:12
Core Viewpoint - The discussion focuses on a conservative trading strategy for AMD, leveraging elevated implied volatility while avoiding the upcoming earnings report, which could introduce additional market volatility [2][3][5]. Group 1: Trading Strategy - The proposed trade involves selling an out-of-the-money put vertical, specifically the 210 strike put, to increase the probability of success in a bullish scenario [4][5]. - The trade aims to collect approximately $250 per spread, with a break-even point set at $207.50, which is about 6% below the current share price [5][6]. - The probability of the short 210 strike being out of the money at expiration is estimated to be around 60% [6]. Group 2: Market Context - AMD shares have experienced significant growth, up about 80% year-to-date, contributing to elevated implied volatility levels in the market [2]. - The overall market has shown considerable fluctuations, impacting AMD's stock performance, which was previously down over 1% before recovering to a 2% gain [1][5]. - The current market conditions are described as choppy, making a conservative approach more appealing for traders [7][8].
Turn Market Volatility Into Income This Earnings Season
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-14 11:00
Core Insights - The earnings season has commenced with major companies such as Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), JP Morgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs (GS), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), and American Express (AXP) set to report their earnings this week [1] Group 1: Earnings Reporting - Companies reporting earnings include TSM, JPM, WFC, BAC, GS, JNJ, and AXP [1] Group 2: Stock Screener Usage - The Stock Screener can be utilized to identify companies with significant option volume and upcoming earnings [2] - A specific scan can be conducted to find companies with total call volume greater than 1,000 and market capitalization exceeding 10 billion, with earnings dates between October 13 - 17 [3] Group 3: Trading Strategy Example - An example trading strategy involves using an iron condor for TSM, which profits from a drop in implied volatility while keeping the stock within a specified range [5] - The iron condor consists of a bull put spread and a bear call spread, with specific strike prices for options sold and bought [6] - The total premium generated from the iron condor is approximately $1.50 per contract, equating to $150 [6] Group 4: Profit Zone Calculation - The profit zone for the iron condor ranges between $278.50 and $321.50, calculated by adjusting the short strikes with the premium received [7]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in First Horizon Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 14:51
Core Viewpoint - Investors should closely monitor First Horizon Corporation (FHN) stock due to significant movements in the options market, particularly the high implied volatility of the Jan 16, 2026 $3 Put option [1] Group 1: Implied Volatility - Implied volatility indicates the market's expectation of future stock movement, with high levels suggesting potential for a significant price change or an upcoming event that could trigger a rally or sell-off [2] - The current high implied volatility for First Horizon options suggests that traders anticipate a notable price movement [4] Group 2: Analyst Sentiment - First Horizon holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) in the Banks - Southwest industry, which is in the top 30% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] - Over the past 30 days, two analysts have raised their earnings estimates for the current quarter, increasing the Zacks Consensus Estimate from 44 cents to 45 cents per share [3]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Marsh & McLennan Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 14:45
Core Viewpoint - Investors should closely monitor Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MMC) stock due to significant implied volatility in the options market, particularly for the Dec 19, 2025 $135.00 Call option [1] Company Analysis - Marsh & McLennan currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) within the Insurance - Brokerage industry, which is in the top 38% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] - Over the past 60 days, no analysts have raised their earnings estimates for the current quarter, while four analysts have lowered their estimates, resulting in a decrease in the Zacks Consensus Estimate from $1.81 to $1.80 per share [3] Options Market Insights - The high implied volatility suggests that options traders anticipate a significant price movement for Marsh & McLennan shares, potentially indicating an upcoming event that could lead to a major rally or sell-off [2][4] - Options traders often seek to sell premium on options with high implied volatility, aiming to benefit from the decay of the option's value if the underlying stock does not move as much as expected by expiration [4]
Option Volatility And Earnings Report For October 13 – 17
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-13 11:00
Core Viewpoint - The earnings season is commencing with significant reports from major banks and tech companies, indicating a pivotal week for stock performance [1]. Earnings Reports - Key companies reporting this week include Bank of America (BAC), Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), JP Morgan (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), Citigroup (C), Morgan Stanley (MS), Goldman Sachs (GS), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), and ASML Holdings (ASML) [1]. Implied Volatility - Prior to earnings announcements, implied volatility tends to be high due to market uncertainty, leading to increased demand for options [2]. - After earnings announcements, implied volatility typically decreases to normal levels [3]. Expected Price Movements - The expected price range for stocks can be estimated by summing the prices of at-the-money put and call options [3]. - Expected price movements for specific stocks are as follows: - Monday: FAST – 5.6% - Tuesday: C – 5.6%, GS – 5.6%, JNJ – 3.3%, JPM – 5.0%, WFC – 5.3% - Wednesday: ASML – 7.9%, BAC – 5.0%, MS – 5.1% - Thursday: IBKR – 6.5%, ISRG – 8.7%, SCHW – 5.7%, TSM – 6.8% - Friday: AXP – 5.3%, SLB – 5.5% [4]. Trading Strategies - Traders can utilize expected price movements to structure their trades, with bearish traders selling bear call spreads and bullish traders selling bull put spreads or using naked puts [5]. - Neutral traders may consider iron condors, ensuring short strikes remain outside the expected range [5]. Risk Management - It is advisable to employ risk-defined strategies and maintain small position sizes when trading options over earnings [6]. - A full loss from a trade should ideally not impact the portfolio by more than 1-3% [6]. High Implied Volatility Stocks - A stock screener can identify stocks with high implied volatility, using filters such as total call volume greater than 5,000, market cap over 40 billion, and IV rank above 60% [7].