Technical Analysis

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CBOE Outperforms Industry, Trades at a Discount: How to Play the Stock
ZACKS· 2025-06-13 15:10
Core Insights - Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE) shares have increased by 35.1% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 27.9%, the Finance sector's return of 20.7%, and the Zacks S&P 500 composite's appreciation of 11.2% [1] - CBOE has outperformed peers such as Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE), S&P Global Inc. (SPGI), and OTC Markets Group Inc. (OTCM), with respective share gains of 32%, 16.4%, and 2.8% in the past year [1] Company Performance - CBOE has a market capitalization of $23.69 billion, with an average trading volume of 0.9 million shares over the last three months [4] - The company has a solid track record of beating earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average beat of 1.95% [4] - CBOE shares are currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 23.19X, which is lower than the industry average of 25.89X, indicating that the shares are undervalued [5] Technical Analysis - CBOE shares closed at $226.30, trading above the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages of $221.41 and $210.75, respectively, suggesting strong upward momentum [6] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CBOE's 2025 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 10.3%, with revenues projected at $2.25 billion, reflecting an 8.4% year-over-year improvement [10] - Long-term earnings growth is expected to be 10.5%, surpassing the industry average of 10.1% [11] - CBOE's organic net revenue growth for Data Vantage is anticipated to be in the mid to high single-digit range in 2025 [9][16] Analyst Sentiment - Recent analyst activity shows one analyst has raised estimates for 2025 and another for 2026, resulting in a 0.5% and 0.2% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for those years, respectively [12] Valuation and Capital Management - The average price target from 15 analysts for CBOE is $225.00 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 0.9% from the last closing price [13] - CBOE has a strong capital management strategy, with $644.5 million remaining under its current share repurchase authorization and a history of increasing dividends for 13 consecutive years [20]
Red Cat: Potential 13x Revenue Growth In 2025 -- I'm In With Calls, Again
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-11 19:24
Group 1 - The investor has a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy involves buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, especially when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]
Procter & Gamble Slips Below 50-Day SMA: Time to Buy or Exit?
ZACKS· 2025-06-11 16:46
Core Insights - Procter & Gamble's stock has recently fallen below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), indicating a short-term bearish trend, closing at $162.84 on June 10, 2025, below the 50-day SMA of $163.91 [1][10] - The stock also dipped below its 200-day moving average on June 4, 2025, suggesting a potential long-term downward trend [2] Performance Analysis - Over the past three months, Procter & Gamble's shares have declined by 3.3%, underperforming the Zacks Consumer Products – Staples industry's decline of 2.1% and the broader Zacks Consumer Staples sector and S&P 500's growth of 2.3% and 7.1%, respectively [7] - Compared to competitors, Procter & Gamble's performance is weaker, with Unilever, Colgate-Palmolive, and Grocery Outlet seeing gains of 6.9%, 1.2%, and 11.2%, respectively [8] Financial Guidance - Procter & Gamble has revised its fiscal 2025 guidance downward, expecting total sales to be flat year over year and organic sales growth trimmed to 2%, down from a previous range of 2-4% and 3-5% [13] - The company projects EPS growth of 6-8% from last year's $6.02, with core EPS estimated at $6.72-$6.82, indicating a 2-4% growth versus $6.59 reported in fiscal 2024 [14] Market Positioning - Procter & Gamble's stock trades at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 23.27X, which is significantly higher than industry peers like Unilever and Grocery Outlet, which trade at 18.62X and 21.18X, respectively [20][21] - Despite strong fundamentals, the premium valuation limits near-term upside potential, especially in a volatile macro environment [24] Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a comprehensive productivity strategy targeting up to $1.5 billion in gross savings to mitigate rising input costs and protect margins [19] - Procter & Gamble's long-term strategy focuses on innovation, sustainability, and operational discipline to adapt to changing consumer expectations [18]
Alphabet: Shares Trading 13%-35% Below Fair Value
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-11 08:03
Investment Strategy - The company employs a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares [1] - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, with a typical investment timeframe of 3-24 months [1] - The company targets stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Screening and Analysis - Fundamental analysis is utilized to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchased shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - Technical analysis is employed to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1]
Stock Of The Day: SoFi's Ascending Triangle Pattern — Sign Of A Breakout?
Benzinga· 2025-06-10 18:42
Group 1 - SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) stock is showing signs of a potential breakout, indicated by the formation of a classic ascending triangle pattern on the chart, which is considered a bullish signal [1][4][6] - The stock has faced resistance around the $14.50 level, where sellers have been firm, indicating a struggle between buyers and sellers [4][5] - Despite the resistance, buyers have become increasingly aggressive, entering the market at higher prices, which is reflected in the formation of higher lows [5][6] Group 2 - The ascending triangle pattern illustrates the dynamics of aggressive buyers and patient sellers, suggesting that a move higher in SoFi stock may be imminent [6]
nLight (LASR) Just Flashed Golden Cross Signal: Do You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-06-10 14:55
Technical Analysis - NLight (LASR) has reached a significant support level, indicating a potential investment opportunity from a technical perspective [1] - The recent breakout of LASR's 50-day simple moving average above its 200-day moving average is identified as a "golden cross," which typically signals a bullish breakout [1] Golden Cross Characteristics - A golden cross consists of three stages: a downtrend that bottoms out, a crossover of the shorter moving average above the longer moving average, and a subsequent upward price movement [2] - This pattern is contrasted with a "death cross," which indicates potential bearish momentum [2] Performance and Outlook - LASR shares have increased by 41.3% over the past four weeks, suggesting strong upward momentum [3] - The company holds a 2 (Buy) rating on the Zacks Rank, indicating a favorable outlook for potential breakout [3] - Positive earnings outlook is supported by three upward revisions in earnings estimates over the past two months, with no estimates decreasing during that period [3] Investment Consideration - Investors are encouraged to monitor LASR for potential gains due to its key technical levels and positive earnings estimate revisions [4]
AMD Stock Continues To Be A No Brainer (Technical Analysis)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-08 07:26
Group 1 - Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMD) has experienced over 30% gains since a rating upgrade to a buy in April [1] - The stock is believed to remain a buy at present [1] - The analyst emphasizes a strong focus on the tech sector and aims to provide high-quality technical analysis [1] Group 2 - The analyst holds a Bachelor of Commerce Degree with Distinction, majoring in Finance [1] - Core values highlighted include Excellence, Integrity, Transparency, and Respect, which are deemed essential for long-term success [1] - The analyst encourages constructive criticism and feedback from readers to enhance the quality of work [1]
Nvidia: I Predicted $150 By Year End - I Was Dead Wrong
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-06 13:40
Investment Strategy - The company employs a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares [1] - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The company targets stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is utilized to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchased shares after sell-offs [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is used to optimize entry and exit points for positions, employing multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - Trend lines are drawn in multicolor patterns to aid in analysis [1]
AMD: Trend Reversal In Sight
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-06 02:56
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...
Stock Of The Day: Where Is The Bottom In CrowdStrike?
Benzinga· 2025-06-05 18:12
Group 1 - CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) shares are currently trading sideways, but have shown significant volatility over the past week, leading to its designation as the Stock of the Day by the technical analysis team [1] - The concept of support and resistance levels is crucial for traders; a downtrend occurs when there is insufficient demand to absorb supply, resulting in aggressive selling [2] - At support levels, demand is sufficient to absorb supply, causing sell-offs to pause or end [3] Group 2 - When a stock is rising, it indicates higher demand than supply, compelling buyers to outbid each other, which drives the stock price up; previously established resistance levels can become support [5] - Recently, CrowdStrike's stock dropped to approximately $445, which was identified as a support level after previously acting as resistance; some sellers regretted their decision to sell at this level [6] - Current support for CrowdStrike shares is around $456, which also had been a resistance level, highlighting the importance of certain price levels in market trends [7]