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X @Watcher.Guru
Watcher.Guru· 2025-12-09 17:21
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 95% chance the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 25 bps tomorrow, according to Polymarket. https://t.co/Unpw30E4QB ...
How The Fed Attempts To Predict The Future
CNBC· 2025-12-09 17:00
There's an emerging divide at the Federal Reserve. >> This is a generally a consensus driven committee. Consensus is not there right now.>> It's a high stakes difference of opinion. The Fed's leaders set an interest rate that can affect your job prospects, your home's value, and the cost of virtually all financial products. >> We're talking about mortgages, talking about credit cards, car loans, all those kind of things that people use over the course of their daily lives.What is important to know is the di ...
We remain 'constructive' on the market, says Piper Sandler’s Michael Kantrowitz
CNBC Television· 2025-12-09 16:59
Let's get to the broader market ahead of tomorrow's Fed decision. Joining us now is Piper Sandler chief investment strategist Michael Cananteritz. Michael was ranked Excel's top portfolio strategist for the second year in a row.Michael, thank you for joining us. So, so do you expect the gains this year to continue through the end of the year and into next. >> Yeah, I I think you know we remain constructive on the market.I think the difference is going to be the leadership. you know, in the summer from the A ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-12-09 16:51
Treasuries edged lower after a gauge of US job openings topped estimates, highlighting the challenge Federal Reserve policymakers face as they prepare to vote on whether to lower interest rates again this week https://t.co/muRKWz2riD ...
Retail Conundrum: Prime Space in High Demand, but There’s Little Availability
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-09 16:03
Core Insights - The retail real estate industry is facing challenges such as inflation, regulatory issues, and high interest rates affecting construction loans, which can range from 6% to over 10% [1][4] - AI is increasingly being utilized across various sectors to enhance efficiency and streamline processes, with significant implications for decision-making in business [2] - The ICSC New York convention is a key event for industry stakeholders, focusing on consumer behavior, retail strategies, and potential partnerships for 2026 [2][3] Market Conditions - There is a lack of new construction in the retail sector due to high borrowing costs and inflation, leading to a focus on redevelopment instead [4] - High occupancy rates are reported, with significant demand for retail spaces despite closures of major retailers like Bed Bath & Beyond and Joann [4] - The Sun Belt region, particularly cities like Nashville, Orlando, and Atlanta, is experiencing economic growth and high demand for retail space, contrasting with high vacancy rates in cities like San Francisco and Portland [5] Consumer Behavior - Consumers are currently price-conscious, favoring off-price retailers and seeking deals, which is reflected in the success of discount stores [8] - During the Thanksgiving to Cyber Monday shopping period, 77% of U.S. adults shopped, with significant participation from Millennials and Gen Z [11] - In-store shopping remains popular, with 84% of shoppers engaging in in-store or for in-store pickup shopping, marking a 6 percentage point increase from the previous year [11] Industry Events - The ICSC New York event attracts around 8,000 attendees, while the larger ICSC Las Vegas event is expected to draw 25,000 participants, highlighting the significance of these gatherings for networking and industry insights [9] - The mood at ICSC New York is optimistic, driven by resilient consumer behavior during the holiday shopping season [9]
Job openings unchanged in October; hires, quits slide
Youtube· 2025-12-09 15:27
Hi indeed, Carl. This is October read for Jolts. Uh 7,670,000.That's not a bad number. 7670 actually would be the strongest number going back to well going back to May when we were 70 7.7% million and change. So that's pretty decent.And considering that the expectation was for a number around 7.1% million. So it's definitely better than expected. We're also getting leading economic indicators which have been leading us in a negative lately.This is September read coming in exactly at is matching expectations ...
LPL Research Team Releases 2026 Outlook: The Policy Engine
Globenewswire· 2025-12-09 14:00
Core Insights - The 2026 Outlook by LPL Financial emphasizes a data-driven perspective on the economic and market landscape, providing actionable insights for investors to navigate policy-driven trends and volatility [1][2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Markets in 2026 are expected to be heavily influenced by fiscal and monetary policy rather than traditional fundamentals, with policy decisions shaping sentiment and market direction [4] - Volatility is anticipated to continue in 2026, with supportive policy conditions expected to benefit markets despite the ongoing volatility [3][4] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Equity markets are likely to extend gains, driven by enthusiasm around artificial intelligence (AI) and a more accommodative Federal Reserve, although high valuations and concentration in mega-cap technology stocks may increase sensitivity to company-specific risks [5] - The stock market's outlook for the second half of 2026 will depend on trade talks, AI developments, interest rate fluctuations, and tax policy, with modest gains expected due to already high valuations [6] Group 3: Risk Management Strategies - Diversification is essential in a complex, policy-driven market, with LPL Research recommending spreading exposure across asset classes, sectors, and regions, while incorporating noncorrelated alternatives to enhance portfolio resilience [7] - Investors should pay attention to alternative investments that do not follow traditional market trends, especially in a policy-driven environment [8]
Things Trump ‘Needs’ To Do for American’s Wallets in 2026, According to Economists
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-09 13:55
Whether you love or hate how the second Donald Trump Administration has handled the economy, it has certainly made changes. And it shows no signs of slowing that pace of change. Trending Now: When Trump Says He Has ‘Solved’ Inflation, This Is What It Means for You Find Out: How Middle-Class Earners Are Quietly Becoming Millionaires — and How You Can, Too So what changes do economists say the president should enact in 2026? Plus, take a look at how these household bills have changed since Trump took office ...
Bitcoin Pre-FOMC
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-12-09 13:31
Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the cryptoverse. Today we're going to talk about Bitcoin prefc. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on into the cryptoverse premium at intothecryptoverse.com. Let's go ahead and jump in. So, we are about to have FOMC on December 10th.And what you'll notice is that the markets are expecting a rate cut, right. About an 87% chance of a rate cut. Let me go ahead and reload this ...
This ETF Thrives on Rising Long-Term Rates. Why It’s 1 of the Best Ways to Profit Before Wednesday’s Fed Meeting.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-09 13:00
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's potential interest rate changes are less significant than the broader implications of the bond market and long-term interest rates, particularly in light of rising U.S. federal debt and international rate dynamics [1][5][6]. Group 1: Federal Reserve's Role - The Federal Reserve primarily controls very short-term interest rates, specifically the rates at which banks borrow from the central bank and each other [3]. - The Fed's actions can influence the entire yield curve, but many factors affecting interest rates are beyond its control [4]. Group 2: Bond Market Dynamics - Recent movements in long-term U.S. Treasury bond yields and prices are critical, with potential significant impacts expected [5]. - The increasing federal debt has transitioned from a future concern to an immediate issue, exacerbated by legal challenges to tariffs and rising rates in Japan [6]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - The Ultrapro Short 20 Year Treasury -3X ETF (TTT) is highlighted as a potential investment vehicle for profiting from rising long-term rates, though it carries high leverage risks [8].