Earnings Surprise

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Analysts Estimate Axos Financial (AX) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 15:00
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Axos Financial (AX) will report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite higher revenues when it releases its results for the quarter ended June 2025 [1][3]. Group 1: Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for Axos Financial's quarterly earnings is $1.82 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 0.6% [3]. - Expected revenues for the quarter are $312.44 million, which represents a 7.4% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Group 2: Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 2.53% higher, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Axos Financial is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.24%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [11]. Group 3: Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with a strong predictive power for positive readings [7][8]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 have historically produced a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time [8]. Group 4: Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Axos Financial exceeded the expected earnings of $1.74 per share, achieving actual earnings of $1.81, resulting in a surprise of +4.02% [12]. - The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in all of the last four quarters [13]. Group 5: Industry Comparison - Another company in the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, Marathon Digital Holdings, is expected to post earnings of $0.24 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year increase of 200% [17]. - Marathon Digital's expected revenues are $220.24 million, up 51.7% from the previous year, but it has an Earnings ESP of -190.72%, making it difficult to predict an earnings beat [18].
Analysts Estimate Smurfit Westrock (SW) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 15:00
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Smurfit Westrock despite higher revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Smurfit Westrock is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.57 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 17.4% [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $7.98 billion, indicating a significant increase of 168.8% compared to the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.32% over the past 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Smurfit Westrock is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.24%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict deviations from consensus estimates, with positive readings being more reliable [9][10]. - Smurfit Westrock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Smurfit Westrock exceeded earnings expectations with a surprise of +12.31%, having reported earnings of $0.73 against an expectation of $0.65 [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Conclusion - Smurfit Westrock does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider additional factors when evaluating the stock ahead of the earnings release [17].
Will Segmental Revenues Bolster FTAI Aviation's Q2 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 14:56
Core Insights - FTAI Aviation Ltd. is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 29, 2025, after market close, with a four-quarter average negative earnings surprise of 9.98% [1] Revenue Performance - The Aviation Leasing Unit is projected to see revenues of $308 million, reflecting a 67% increase year-over-year due to higher engine and aircraft lease revenues supported by an increased number of aircraft and engines on lease along with higher rental rates [2] - The Aerospace Products segment is estimated to generate revenues of $390.3 million, indicating a growth of 59.2% from the previous year, driven by higher sales of commercial jet engines and positive synergies from recent acquisitions [3] Overall Financial Estimates - FTAI's overall second-quarter sales are expected to reach $511.3 million, representing a 15.3% increase from the prior-year quarter, with solid growth expectations across both segments and a decrease in repairs and maintenance expenses benefiting the bottom line [4][9] - The consensus estimate for earnings per share is projected at $1.33, which implies a significant growth of 411.5% compared to the year-ago quarter [5] Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for FTAI, as it holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) despite having an Earnings ESP of +2.75% [6][7]
Hilton's Q2 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Revenues Rise Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 13:40
Core Insights - Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. reported strong second-quarter 2025 results, with earnings and revenues exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate, showing year-over-year growth [1][3][8] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q2 2025 were $2.20, surpassing the consensus estimate of $2.04, and up from $1.91 in the same quarter last year [3][8] - Total revenues reached $3.14 billion, beating the consensus mark of $3.08 billion, and reflecting a 6.3% increase year-over-year [3][8] - Adjusted EBITDA was reported at $1 billion, a 9.9% increase from the previous year, exceeding the estimate of $958.7 million [5][8] Revenue Streams - Franchise and licensing fees improved to $745 million from $689 million year-over-year, aligning with estimates [3] - Base and other management fees rose to $97 million from $93 million, while incentive management fees increased by 10.3% to $75 million [4] RevPAR and Occupancy - System-wide comparable RevPAR declined by 0.5% year-over-year on a currency-neutral basis, attributed to occupancy declines [5][8] - The company anticipates stronger RevPAR performance in the future due to improving travel demand and limited industry supply growth [2] Development and Expansion - Hilton added 221 hotels in Q2 2025, contributing 26,100 rooms and achieving net room growth of 22,600 [9][11] - The development pipeline includes 3,636 hotels representing 510,600 rooms across 128 countries, with expected net unit growth of 6-7% for 2025 [11] Future Outlook - For Q3 2025, Hilton projects net income between $453-$467 million and adjusted EBITDA between $935 million and $955 million, with adjusted EPS expected to be between $1.98 and $2.04 [12] - For the full year 2025, net income is estimated to be in the range of $1.64-$1.68 billion, with adjusted EBITDA between $3.65 billion and $3.71 billion [13][14]
Weatherford (WFRD) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-07-22 22:46
Core Viewpoint - Weatherford (WFRD) reported quarterly earnings of $1.87 per share, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.97 per share, marking an earnings surprise of +92.78% [1][2] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenues of $1.2 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.94%, although this represents a decline from year-ago revenues of $1.41 billion [2] - Over the last four quarters, Weatherford has consistently surpassed consensus EPS estimates, achieving this four times [2] Stock Performance - Weatherford shares have declined approximately 25.4% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 7.2% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell), indicating expectations of underperformance in the near future [6] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.44 on revenues of $1.22 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $4.90 on revenues of $4.82 billion [7] - The trend of estimate revisions for Weatherford was unfavorable prior to the earnings release, which may impact future stock movements [6] Industry Context - The Oil and Gas - Field Services industry, to which Weatherford belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 5% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a challenging environment for stock performance [8]
KKR Real Estate Finance (KREF) Reports Q2 Loss, Lags Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-07-22 22:26
Core Insights - KKR Real Estate Finance (KREF) reported a quarterly loss of $0.53 per share, significantly worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.16, marking an earnings surprise of -231.25% [1] - The company posted revenues of $30.17 million for the quarter ended June 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.55% and down from $40.43 million a year ago [2] - KKR Real Estate shares have declined approximately 12.1% year-to-date, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 7.2% [3] Earnings Outlook - The future performance of KKR Real Estate's stock will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the earnings outlook [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.12 on revenues of $29.92 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.33 on revenues of $121.86 million [7] Industry Context - The REIT and Equity Trust industry, to which KKR Real Estate belongs, is currently ranked in the top 38% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to lower-ranked industries [8] - Another company in the same industry, Ellington Credit, is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.21 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 41.7% [9]
Can Hasbro (HAS) Keep the Earnings Surprise Streak Alive?
ZACKS· 2025-07-22 17:11
Group 1 - Hasbro has a strong track record of exceeding earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 38.14% over the past two quarters [1][5] - In the last reported quarter, Hasbro achieved earnings of $1.04 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.67 per share by 55.22% [2] - The previous quarter also saw Hasbro beat expectations, reporting earnings of $0.46 per share against an estimate of $0.38 per share, resulting in a surprise of 21.05% [2] Group 2 - Estimates for Hasbro have been trending higher, supported by its history of earnings surprises [5] - The stock currently has a positive Earnings ESP of +0.78%, indicating bullish sentiment among analysts regarding its earnings prospects [8] - Hasbro's Zacks Rank is 3 (Hold), suggesting that another earnings beat may be likely in the upcoming report scheduled for July 23, 2025 [8] Group 3 - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] - The Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7] - A negative Earnings ESP does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss, but it can reduce the predictive power of the metric [9]
Pre-Markets Marginally Higher on Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-07-22 16:01
Market Overview - Pre-market futures are showing slight increases with the Dow and S&P 500 up by +9 points and Nasdaq up by +4 points [1] - Bond yields are decreasing, with the 10-year yield at +4.36%, the 2-year at +3.84%, and the 30-year down to +4.94% [1] Company Earnings Reports - General Motors (GM) reported Q2 earnings of $2.53 per share, exceeding expectations by +5.86%, with revenues of $47.98 billion, surpassing estimates by +1.89%. However, North American EBIT fell below expectations, leading to a -1.8% drop in shares [2] - Lockheed Martin (LMT) had a strong Q2 with earnings of $7.29 per share, a +12.33% surprise, but revenues of $18.2 billion were below consensus, resulting in a -7% pre-market decline. Northrop Grumman (NOC) reported earnings of $7.11 per share, exceeding estimates by +5.96%, and revenues surpassed expectations by +2.94%, leading to a +3% increase in shares [3] - D.R. Horton (DHI) reported Q3 earnings of $3.36 per share, exceeding consensus by +15.86%, with revenues of $9.23 billion, surpassing expectations by +5.13%. Shares rose by +6% [4] - Coca-Cola (KO) reported Q2 earnings of 87 cents per share, beating expectations of 83 cents, but revenues of $12.54 billion fell short by -0.44%. Shares are down modestly but up +12% year to date [5] - Sherwin-Williams (SHW) missed earnings expectations by -10.11% with $3.38 per share, although revenues of $6.31 billion slightly exceeded estimates by +0.49%. Shares fell by -4% [6] Upcoming Earnings Reports - Key earnings reports expected after market close include Texas Instruments (TXN), Capital One (COF), and Intuitive Surgical (ISRG). TXN anticipates double-digit growth in both earnings and revenues, COF expects over +20% gains, and ISRG projects +8% earnings growth and +16.8% revenue growth [7]
Earnings Preview: Graphic Packaging (GPK) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-07-22 15:07
Core Viewpoint - Graphic Packaging (GPK) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on July 29, and if the key numbers exceed expectations, the stock may rise; conversely, a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is $0.41 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 31.7%, while revenues are projected at $2.18 billion, down 2.6% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 2.56%, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Graphic Packaging aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, suggesting no recent differing analyst views [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with positive readings being more reliable [9][10]. - Graphic Packaging currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Graphic Packaging was expected to earn $0.56 per share but only achieved $0.51, resulting in a surprise of -8.93% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has only surpassed consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Conclusion - While the potential for an earnings beat exists, Graphic Packaging does not appear to be a strong candidate for such an outcome, and investors should consider additional factors before making investment decisions [17].
GeneDx Holdings Corp. (WGS) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2025-07-22 15:07
Core Viewpoint - GeneDx Holdings Corp. is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues, with a consensus outlook suggesting a significant earnings surprise could impact its stock price in the near term [1][2]. Company Summary - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show quarterly earnings of $0.10 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +190.9%. Revenues are projected to reach $84.7 million, which is a 20.1% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 7.81% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for GeneDx Holdings is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +5.26%. The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2, suggesting a strong likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Earnings Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, GeneDx Holdings was expected to post earnings of $0.11 per share but actually delivered earnings of $0.28, resulting in a surprise of +154.55%. The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in each of the last four quarters [13][14]. Industry Context - In the Zacks Medical Services industry, Revvity is expected to report earnings of $1.14 per share for the quarter ended June 2025, indicating a year-over-year decline of -6.6%. Revenue for Revvity is expected to be $711.27 million, up 2.8% from the previous year [18]. - Revvity's consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, but a higher Most Accurate Estimate has led to an Earnings ESP of +0.88%. This suggests Revvity is also likely to beat the consensus EPS estimate, having done so in each of the trailing four quarters [19].