Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of confirming the sustainability of stock trends for profitable short-term investing, highlighting the use of a specific screening strategy to identify stocks with strong fundamentals and positive price momentum [1][2][3]. Group 1: Stock Screening Strategy - The "Recent Price Strength" screen is designed to identify stocks with sufficient fundamental strength to maintain their recent uptrend, focusing on those trading in the upper portion of their 52-week high-low range, indicating bullishness [3]. - Accel Entertainment (ACEL) is highlighted as a suitable candidate that passed through this screening process, showing a solid price increase of 9.3% over the past 12 weeks, reflecting investor confidence [4]. - ACEL has also maintained a price increase of 5.3% over the last four weeks, indicating that the upward trend is still intact, and it is currently trading at 81.7% of its 52-week high-low range, suggesting a potential breakout [5]. Group 2: Fundamental Strength - ACEL carries a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, which are critical for near-term price movements [6]. - The Zacks Rank system has a strong track record, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988, indicating the effectiveness of this ranking system [7]. - The Average Broker Recommendation for ACEL is 1 (Strong Buy), reflecting high optimism from the brokerage community regarding the stock's near-term performance [7]. Group 3: Additional Insights - The article suggests that ACEL's price trend is unlikely to reverse soon, and there are other stocks that also meet the criteria of the "Recent Price Strength" screen, encouraging investors to explore these options [8]. - The key to successful stock-picking is ensuring that the strategy has produced profitable results in the past, which can be backtested using the Zacks Research Wizard [9].

Core Insights - Investors often focus on the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for stock valuation, but it has limitations [1] - The EV-to-EBITDA ratio is considered a more comprehensive valuation metric, providing a clearer picture of a company's true value and earnings potential [2][4] Valuation Metrics - EV-to-EBITDA is calculated by dividing a company's enterprise value (EV) by its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) [4] - EV accounts for market capitalization, debt, and preferred stock, minus cash and cash equivalents, offering a complete view of a company's value [4] - EBITDA provides insight into profitability by excluding non-cash expenses, making it a useful proxy for cash flows [4] Investment Opportunities - Stocks with low EV-to-EBITDA ratios are often seen as undervalued and attractive for acquisition [5] - Companies like Astrana Health, KT Corporation, Upbound Group, Noah Holdings, and DXP Enterprises have impressive EV-to-EBITDA ratios, indicating potential investment opportunities [3][9] Screening Criteria for Bargain Stocks - Parameters for screening include EV-to-EBITDA less than the industry median, P/E less than the industry median, and P/B less than the industry median [8][10] - Additional criteria include a minimum average trading volume, current price above $5, and a favorable Zacks Rank [11] Company Profiles - Astrana Health is a physician-centric healthcare company with a Zacks Rank of 1 and an expected earnings growth rate of 76.7% for 2025 [12][13] - KT Corporation, the largest telecommunications operator in South Korea, has a Zacks Rank of 2 and an expected earnings growth rate of 280% for 2025 [13] - Upbound Group, a lease-to-own provider, has a Zacks Rank of 2 with a projected earnings growth rate of 9.1% for 2025 [14] - Noah Holdings, a wealth management service provider in China, has a Zacks Rank of 2 and an expected earnings growth rate of 28% for 2025 [15] - DXP Enterprises, providing innovative solutions and services, has a Zacks Rank of 2 and an expected earnings growth rate of 17.5% for 2025 [16]

Core Insights - Investing in stocks based on valuation metrics, particularly the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, can identify opportunities with strong upside potential, especially for unprofitable or early-stage companies [2][3][4] Valuation Metrics - The P/S ratio compares a company's market capitalization to its revenues, providing a clearer picture of value when earnings are minimal or volatile [3][6] - A P/S ratio below 1 indicates that investors are paying less than $1 for each $1 of revenue, marking a potential bargain [7][11] - The P/S ratio is preferred over the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio as sales are harder to manipulate than earnings, making it a more reliable metric [8][9] Screening Parameters - Companies with low P/S ratios and strong fundamentals are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [11] - Additional screening parameters include P/E ratio, price-to-book ratio, and debt-to-equity ratio, ensuring a comprehensive evaluation of a stock's value [12] Company Highlights - **Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG)**: Specializes in insurance and reinsurance, benefiting from strong execution and a clear growth roadmap, with gross premiums written rising significantly [13][14] - **The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX)**: A leading supplier in freight transportation markets, with a strong product lineup and revenue visibility, currently holding a Value Score of A and Zacks Rank 1 [15][16] - **Signet Jewelers (SIG)**: A major retailer of diamond jewelry, demonstrating strength in key segments and improving operational efficiency through strategic restructuring [17][18] - **Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH)**: A professional services company experiencing robust organic growth, particularly in Health Sciences and Financial Services, bolstered by acquisitions and AI initiatives [19][20] - **PagSeguro Digital (PAGS)**: Offers a suite of financial solutions in Brazil, focusing on innovation and sustainable growth, currently holding a Value Score of A and Zacks Rank 2 [21][22]

Market Trends - Developers need cost relief to continue building despite falling home prices [1]

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Q1 2019 Highlights - VLCC average spot rate in TI Pool was $35,195 per day, compared to $18,725 in Q1 2018[8] - VLCC average time charter rate was $27,630 per day[8] - Suezmax average spot rate was $27,380 per day, compared to $14,000 in Q1 2018[8] - Suezmax average time charter rate was $32,680 per day[8] - In Q1 so far, VLCC 535% fixed at around $26500 per day[12] - In Q1 so far, Suezmax 493% fixed at around $18000 per day[12] Financial Performance - Revenue increased to $232589 thousand in Q1 2019 from $98136 thousand in Q1 2018[13] - Net profit for the period was $19526 thousand in Q1 2019, compared to a loss of $39091 thousand in Q1 2018[13] - Result after taxation per share was $009 in Q1 2019, compared to $(025) in Q1 2018[13] - Cash increased to $1785 million in Mar-19 from $1730 million in Dec-18[15] Market Signals - US crude export outlook shows potential for growth to 2022[18] - Correlation between Euronav share price and new build VLCC value is 84%[25] - Demand 3% Supply 3% - VLCC $35K Q4 & Q1[26] Liquidity and Leverage - Liquidity increased to $785 million[17] - Leverage is 462% marked to market[16]

Financial Performance Highlights - The company's revenue for Q1 2020 was $416.7 million, a significant increase compared to $232.6 million in Q1 2019[12] - Net income for Q1 2020 reached $225 million, substantially higher than the $19.5 million reported in Q1 2019[15, 12] - Fuel procurement project resulted in $17.5 million savings in Q1 2020, impacting VLCC rates by $5,000 per day[14] - Dividends totaling $1.08 per share will be paid in June[11] Fleet and Market Dynamics - Average spot rates for VLCCs in Q1 2020 were $72,750 per day, compared to $35,195 in Q1 2019[8] - Average spot rates for Suezmax vessels in Q1 2020 were $59,250 per day, versus $27,380 in Q1 2019[8] - For Q2, 71% of VLCC days were fixed at approximately $95,000 per day, and 57% of Suezmax days were fixed at around $65,400 per day[11] - 125 VLCCs are currently used for storage, including 65 taken for market storage in April and 38 Iranian VLCCs[31] Balance Sheet and Capital Allocation - The company's cash position increased to $312.2 million in March 2020 from $297 million in December 2019[17] - Mandatory debt repayment for Q1 2020 was $28 million, with a $69 million reduction in the Revolving Credit Facility (RCF)[19] - $100 million was allocated towards the purchase of 4 VLCC resales[19] Future Market Outlook - The company anticipates a potential storage draw in the mid-term, with two scenarios: a quick draw if contango persists, or a slow draw if backwardation occurs[32] - The company notes that 26% of the VLCC fleet is over 15 years old, suggesting a potential for fleet resizing[35]

Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 2020 was $241 million[16], a significant increase compared to the year-to-date revenue of $5772 million in 2019[14] - Net income for Q3 2020 reached $462 million[16], a substantial turnaround from a loss of $419 million year-to-date in 2019[14] - Euronav's leverage stands at 358% of book value, with available liquidity of $12 billion[19] Fleet and Operations - VLCC average spot pool rate was $42000 per day in Q3 2020, compared to $25250 in Q3 2019[8] - Suezmax average spot rate was $23500 per day in Q3 2020, versus $17250 in Q3 2019[8] - The company extended an FSO contract by 10 years to 2032, projecting $645 million in additional revenue for the joint venture[11, 34] Capital Allocation - The company declared a Q3 dividend of USD 9c per share and executed a share buyback of $185 million[11] - Year-to-date dividend yield reached 21%, with $157 per share distributed[13] - Euronav has $236 million in outstanding capex, primarily financed by bank loans, with VLCC deliveries expected in Q1 2021[13] Market Outlook - Approximately 50% of Q4 VLCC days are fixed at around $225k per day, and 45% of Suezmax days are fixed at about $115k per day[11] - The tanker market remains in a transition phase, influenced by COVID-19 restrictions, OPEC+ supply cuts, and vessel supply[35, 36] - Recycling trends indicate that when VLCC rates fall below P&L breakeven, approximately 5% of the fleet is typically recycled[22]

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