The so-called big beautiful bill facing a final house approval vote in the coming hours. Joining us now is Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant. Mr.. Secretary, thank you so much for joining us. We're we're going on more than six hours now where Minority Leader Jeff is speaking. What What are you hearing.What's your expectation for when and whether this could pass. Uh, well, it's going it's going to going to pass and my expectation is that we'll get a vote around 130 today. Got it.You have said that this isn't ...

Core Viewpoint - Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) offers a high dividend yield of 20.3%, significantly above the industry average of 12.4%, and has increased its dividend three times in the past five years [1][9]. Dividend Yield - ORC is a specialty finance mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT) that invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) on a leveraged basis, providing favorable long-term returns and substantial dividend yields [3]. - Competitors AGNC Investment and Arbor Realty Trust have dividend yields of 15.8% and 15.5%, respectively [3]. Financial Position - As of March 31, 2025, ORC had $446.5 million in cash and cash equivalents, with no debt [4]. - The company has a share repurchase plan, with 2.7 million shares available for repurchase as of April 25, 2025 [5]. Market Conditions - The Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates by 100 basis points in 2024, and mortgage rates have slightly declined, with the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at 6.77% as of June 26, 2025 [7]. - Fannie Mae projects mortgage rates to reach 6.6% by the end of Q3 2025 and 6.5% by year-end [8]. Earnings Projections - Earnings for 2025 are projected to rise by 394.4%, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 266.67% for Q2 2025 [9][17]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ORC's earnings in 2025 is $0.53, with a significant increase from a loss of $0.18 the previous year [19]. Valuation Analysis - ORC is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 2.47X, higher than the industry average of 2.35X [20]. - The company's share price has increased by 12.5% over the past three months, outperforming the industry average of 10% [14]. Strategic Focus - ORC maintains a focus on agency RMBS, which positions it well in the competitive market, with expectations of improved loan demand and net interest spreads as mortgage rates decline [10][11][22]. - The company generated a positive total return of 2.6% in Q1 2025, driven by its monthly dividend [12].

Goldman Sachs global chief economist Yan Hatius joins us with his first take on the report looks good from the headlines but as I highlighted earlier beneath the surface you know where the job growth was concentrated why the unemployment rate came down wasn't all that great what do you think true it overstates the strength of the report if you just look at the headline numbers I think on the establishment survey the private sector was pretty soft and the big headline number was really driven by increas piec ...

Core Insights - Goldman Sachs has experienced strategic gains and challenges in 2025, showing resilience in a complex macroeconomic environment with moderate stock gains year to date [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Goldman Sachs reported earnings of $14.12 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $12.71, and up from $11.58 per share a year ago [3] - The company achieved revenues of $15.06 billion for the quarter, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $15.02 billion, and compared to $14.21 billion in the previous year [3] - Goldman Sachs has consistently topped revenue estimates in each of the last four quarters [3] Group 2: Business Segments - The rebound in dealmaking activity has positively impacted Goldman Sachs, with increased advisory services and equity underwriting revenues due to improving corporate confidence and interest rate expectations [2] - Asset and wealth management have remained strong, with assets under supervision growing due to inflows into alternative investments [2][8] - The trading division has faced volatility, with fixed income revenues steady but equities trading struggling due to low market volumes [4] Group 3: Stress Test Performance - In the 2025 Fed stress test, Goldman Sachs was a standout performer, projected to lose only around $300 million under a severely adverse scenario, contrasting sharply with an estimated $18 billion loss in the 2024 stress test [5][8] Group 4: Market Position - Year to date, Goldman Sachs has grown 25%, outperforming its Zacks Peer Group, which advanced by 15.9% [6] - Competitors Citigroup and Wells Fargo have shown growth of 23.3% and 17.3%, respectively, both carrying a Zacks Rank of 3 [6]

Poland’s central bank Governor Adam Glapinski pushes back against growing market expectations that a surprise interest rate cut on Wednesday has kicked off an easing cycle https://t.co/hXXQIlQVph ...

When we see such a positive jobs report, 147,000 jobs and a lower unemployment level, what is this. What is driving this. Good morning.Thanks for having me. Look, you know, as you said a moment ago, you know, this report was better than 78 out of the 79 forecasts that came into into the Bloomberg consensus range, the Bloomberg forecast. And so what we see is an economy that continues to defy it, continues to defy expectations, continues to defy, you know, all the doom and gloom that's out there, whether it' ...

wouldn't cut rates right away, but I'd have my finger near the trigger. >> All right, Steve, stay with us. >> Let's bring in the rest of our panel, the Brookings Institution's Wendy Edelberg, the Manhattan Institute's Allison Schrager, and our own Mike Santoli.Great to have you all with us. Wendy, let's start off with you. What's your take on the report. What's your take on that asterisk that Steve brings up in terms of the growth from the federal government in terms of job ads.>> Yeah, Steve makes a great ...

report. Joining us right now is Roger Ferguson, former vice uh Fed vice chair as well as a CNBC contributor. Good morning to you.Uh before we get into it, just your reaction to the jobs number. Do you put this in a good category. We had Steve Leeman who found a couple of holes in it.What's your what's your thought. Uh look, overall a very good category. The unemployment rate coming down always very helpful.You know, the job creation number after the ADP surprise uh yesterday very welcomed. I'm not sure I ag ...

Key Takeaways HD's Q1 FY25 sales rose 9.4% to $39.9B, but large remodeling demand stayed soft amid high interest rates. Big-ticket transactions of more than $1,000 rose just 0.3% as customers avoided financed renovations. HD sees a $50B deferred demand opportunity, but rate pressure continues to delay project recovery.Higher interest rates continue to weigh on The Home Depot Inc.’s (HD) core market of big-ticket remodeling business. These bigger renovations typically require financing and persistently hig ...

The most important principle to keep in mind when thinking about large government debts and deficits such as those that we have and that are coming is when countries have too much debt, lowering interest rates and devaluing the currency that the debt is denominated in is the preferred path government policy makers are likely to take. So it pays to bet on that happening. That means betting on a weaker currency and uh lower real interest rates are the best path.And the reason governments uh prefer to take tha ...