Core Insights - Leidos Holdings Inc. (LDOS) has seen a year-to-date share price increase of 3.1%, outperforming the S&P 500's return of 0.1%, but underperforming the Zacks Aerospace-Defense industry's growth of 17.5% and the broader Zacks Aerospace sector's appreciation of 18.6% [1][2] Group 1: Stock Performance and Backlog - The company ended Q1 2025 with a backlog of $46.30 billion, up from $43.55 billion in the previous quarter, indicating strong demand for its products across various industries [4] - The improved backlog is expected to bolster future revenue generation prospects, enhancing investor confidence in the stock's profitability [5] Group 2: Financial Health - Leidos Holdings reported cash and cash equivalents of $0.84 billion and current debt of $0.12 billion at the end of Q1 2025, indicating a strong solvency position [6] - The current ratio of 1.54 as of April 4, 2025, suggests the company has sufficient capital to meet short-term debt obligations [6] Group 3: Growth Prospects - The macroeconomic and geopolitical environment is favorable for Leidos Holdings, with increased defense spending anticipated, including a proposed 13% increase in the defense budget to $1.01 trillion for fiscal 2026 [7] - The company is well-positioned to contribute to the "Golden Dome" missile defense initiative, which aligns with its advanced air and missile defense capabilities [9] Group 4: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 sales suggests improvements of 2.7% and 3.2% year-over-year, respectively [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings per share for 2025 and 2026 has been revised upward by 1.8% and 1%, respectively, indicating growing analyst confidence in the stock's earnings growth capabilities [11] Group 5: Valuation - Leidos Holdings has a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.49X, which is a discount compared to the industry average of 26.42X, suggesting a lower price relative to expected earnings growth [16] - Other industry peers, such as RTX and Northrop Grumman, are also trading at discounts to the industry average [17] Group 6: Investment Consideration - Investors may consider adding LDOS to their portfolio due to its discounted valuation, long-term growth prospects, and upward revisions in earnings estimates [18] - The company holds a VGM Score of A and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating strong performance potential [20]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported FFO per share as adjusted for comparability of $0.65, representing a year-over-year increase of 4.8% [21] - Same property cash NOI increased by 7.1% year-over-year, with a 4.3% increase when excluding real estate tax refunds [22] - The annual dividend was increased by 3.4%, marking the third consecutive year of dividend increases [3] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company signed 179,000 square feet of vacancy leasing year-to-date, achieving 45% of the full-year target [4] - Tenant retention was reported at 75% during the quarter, despite some contractions and non-renewals [5] - The defense IT portfolio occupancy rate has exceeded 94% for nine consecutive quarters [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company executed 120,000 square feet of vacancy leasing in the first quarter, with over 40% tied to secure space and nearly 50% related to cyber activity [11] - Columbia Gateway was highlighted as a standout market, with significant leasing activity [12] - The leasing pipeline remains strong, with 975,000 square feet of prospects, equating to a healthy activity ratio of 79% [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on developing into visible demand, as evidenced by the commencement of a new 150,000 square foot building [6] - The strategy includes maintaining a strong focus on defense-related missions, aligning with government priorities [10] - The company plans to fund the equity component of investments with cash flow from operations on a leverage-neutral basis [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence that priority missions will not be impacted by recent budget reallocations [9] - The company expects to maintain its full-year guidance for FFO per share at $2.66, implying a 3.5% growth over 2024 [7] - Management noted that the leasing activity to tenants executing priority missions is strong and broad-based [20] Other Important Information - The company has a development leasing pipeline of approximately 1,200,000 square feet, with an additional 1,500,000 square feet of potential development opportunities [20] - The balance sheet remains strong, with 98% of debt at fixed rates [23] - The company anticipates compound annual FFO per share growth of 4% between 2023 and 2026 [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on Space Command relocation to Huntsville - Management indicated high expectations for a decision on the relocation within weeks, which could be beneficial for shareholders [30] Question: Investment pipeline and mix between acquisitions and developments - Management expects to meet the $225 million earmarked for new investments primarily through new development starts, with potential acquisitions being evaluated [32][33] Question: Impact of data center demand on tenants - Management stated that current data center operations will not be affected, but power availability remains a challenge for future developments [36][100] Question: Progress on vacancy leasing and rent growth - Management noted solid rent performance and a reduction in concessions, indicating a stable market [40][41] Question: Bond offering pricing expectations - Management estimated that the bond would likely price at or slightly higher than 6% based on current market conditions [42] Question: Retention rates and non-renewals - Management confirmed a 75% retention rate and expressed confidence in backfilling non-renewed spaces quickly [80][81] Question: Government lease expirations and renewals - Management expects to renew 100% of government leases, with activity ramping up in the upcoming quarters [58][59]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported FFO per share as adjusted for comparability of $0.65, representing a year-over-year increase of 4.8% [24] - Same property cash NOI increased by 7.1% year-over-year, with a 4.3% increase when excluding real estate tax refunds [24][25] - The annual dividend was increased by $0.04, marking the third consecutive year of dividend increases, with a healthy AFFO payout ratio of 65% [4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company signed 179,000 square feet of vacancy leasing year-to-date, achieving 45% of the full-year target [5] - Tenant retention was reported at 75% during the quarter, with 438,000 square feet of renewal leasing executed [17] - The defense IT portfolio occupancy rate exceeded 94% for nine consecutive quarters, with total portfolio occupancy at 93.6% [12][8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company executed 120,000 square feet of vacancy leasing in the first quarter, with over 40% tied to secure space and nearly 50% related to cyber activity [12] - The leasing pipeline remains strong with 975,000 square feet of prospects, equating to a healthy activity ratio of 79% [16] - The company has committed over $50 million of capital to new investments, including a 100,000 square feet investment leasing across three properties [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is maintaining its full-year guidance for FFO per share at $2.66, implying a 3.5% growth over 2024 [8] - The strategy includes developing into visible demand, as evidenced by the commencement of a new 150,000 square foot building with 90,000 square feet of prospects already identified [8] - The company is focused on priority missions supported by the Department of Defense, with expectations of increased defense spending benefiting its portfolio [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence that priority missions will not be impacted by recent budget reallocations, citing strong leasing activity and pipeline [10] - The company anticipates continued growth in defense spending, aligning with the administration's priorities for national defense [11] - Management noted that the leasing activity to tenants executing priority missions is strong and broad-based, with no expected impact from recent initiatives [22] Other Important Information - The company has a strong balance sheet, with 98% of its debt at fixed rates, and plans to refinance a $400 million bond maturing in March 2026 [26] - The company is affirming its guidance for FFO per share at $2.66 while narrowing the range as the year progresses [27] - The company has a development leasing pipeline of about 1,200,000 square feet, with 100% of this demand at defense IT locations [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on Space Command relocation and missile defense programs in Huntsville - Management indicated high expectations for a decision on Space Command relocation within weeks, which could be beneficial for shareholders [33] - The administration has prioritized the Golden Dome missile defense program, which may increase demand for related services in Huntsville [34] Question: Investment pipeline and mix between acquisitions and developments - Management expects to meet the $225 million earmarked for new investments primarily through new development starts, with potential acquisitions being evaluated [35][36] Question: Impact of hyperscaler demand on data centers - Management stated that current data centers will not be affected, but timing of power availability remains a challenge for future developments [41][42] Question: Progress on vacancy leasing and rent growth - Management noted solid rent performance and a reduction in concessions, indicating a stable market environment [45][46] Question: Bond offering pricing expectations - Management estimated that the bond would likely price at or slightly higher than 6% based on current market conditions [47] Question: Retention rates and non-renewal impacts - Management reported that approximately 70-75% of Columbia Gateway is tenanted by defense IT, with confidence in backfilling non-renewed spaces quickly [51][84] Question: Government lease expirations and renewal processes - Management explained that government leases often experience delays but expressed confidence in renewing 100% of the leases due to predictable leasing cycles [61][63] Question: Potential acquisition opportunities from government real estate monetization - Management indicated that most government real estate for sale is not aligned with their focus, particularly in non-defense areas [95]

Defense stocks are pulling back following Q1 reports from Lockheed Martin NYSE: LMT, Northrop Grumman NYSE: NOC, and RTX NYSE: RTX. The primary cause is uncertainty, followed by tepid guidance. Regarding uncertainty, companies face an unknown impact from tariffs that could affect their profitability. That is a risk that can’t be ignored. Each company reaffirmed its 2025 outlook, calling for growth and enough cash flow to maintain financial strength, reinvest in operations, and return capital to shareholders ...